Micron Technology Inc. (MU)
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- General Discussion on MU
- Nine Months Later: Some Annual Predictions from the Financial Press [view article]
- 10 Ways the Financial Meltdown Impacts Tech [view article]
- All Quiet on the DRAM Front: Can Micron Survive the War of Attrition? [view article]
- Highly Levered Chip Stocks Sell Off on Refinance Worries [view article]
- Mellow Micron [view article]
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [view article]
- Micron Technology, Inc. F4Q08 (Qtr End 08/28/08) Earnings Call Transcript [view article]
- Earnings Preview: Micron Technology [view article]
- Two More Nails in the NAND Coffin? [view article]
- Can't Take a Hint: Micron Proposes $1.1 Billion in Convertible Senior Notes [view article]
- An Overpopulated Solid-State Drive Market Won't Spur Much M&A [view article]
- Nine Ways to Invest in Idaho's Growing Economy [view article]
Recent MU Articles
- 10 Ways the Financial Meltdown Impacts Tech
- Mellow Micron
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
- All Quiet on the DRAM Front: Can Micron Survive the War of Attrition?
- Earnings Preview: Micron Technology
- Qimonda: Heading for Insolvency?
- Highly Levered Chip Stocks Sell Off on Refinance Worries
- Nine Months Later: Some Annual Predictions from the Financial Press
- Two More Nails in the NAND Coffin?
- An Overpopulated Solid-State Drive Market Won't Spur Much M&A
- Full List of Articles »
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Under The Radar News - Friday [view article]
"A new Apple (AAPL) patent describes a large touch-based system designed to be used with both hands simultaneously. Perhaps a competitor to Microsoft's delayed Surface?"If so, it probably won't require 5 cameras and won't have the form factor of a coffee table.... Reply
Under The Radar News - Friday [view article]
I've read much better from Eli. This one didn't really didn't tell me anything new or important. I was hoping for some info on WB that might be helpful in buying or not buying WB on Monday. ReplyUnder The Radar News - Thursday [view article]
after looking at the asus specs I'd rather get a 5 yo ibook for less(around $200) but more everything..... hd, ram,larger screen, more memory , faster, wireless etc... yupHalf of the web sites for kids require a fast processor and a celeron 800 mhz is not going to cut it.. if you only want ti to type stuff then there are better choices Reply
Eli Hoffmann
Under The Radar News - Thursday [view article]
Indeed! Uncanny. ReplyJackson
Under The Radar News - Thursday [view article]
The FT article on laptop vendors is uncannily similar to this:Asus Eee: Threat to Apple, Microsoft, HP, Dell and the Hard Drive Vendors?
seekingalpha.com/artic...
which Seeking Alpha readers got 20 days earlier.
:-) Reply
Under The Radar News - Thursday [view article]
"E*Trade shopping for cash."I'm sticking with Etrade as a customer, for now. I hop I don't regret that. If things do head south, maybe BAC or somebody will buy them outright--who knows? Reply
Under The Radar News - Thursday [view article]
"Laptop makers mull margins. Sub-$500 laptops from Asus and others are dominating Amazon.com's"Right now: 5 Asus; 4 Apple; 1 HP. Looks like the rule is, people either want quality, or a tiny "no worries" device. This might be bullish for the iPod Touch....
"Fisher begs to differ." Yea! One FOMC-type with sense. Let's make HIM chairman. Reply
Under The Radar News - Thursday [view article]
mac notebooks and products filled the top 5 sales slots on Amazon this christmas i don't think the sub 500 notebook is in their sights at all (thank god) ReplyGuy
Under The Radar News - Tuesday [view article]
"Cold outlook for Chinese power providers. Heavy snow and sleet have forced 7% of Chinese power plants to shut down, and companies are struggling to secure enough coal to keep plants operating."Wonder if lower Chinese output could hit Walmart. Reply
SanDisk: Risk Down $3, Reward Up $30 [view article]
Regarding Net Cash per share, user 140904 is correct. You missed a big chunk of cash in the LT Investments line item. As of Sept 30, 2007 Sandisk had $970mm in cash, $1.334Bn in ST Investments, and $1.824Bn in LT Investments for a total of $4.128Bn. Subtracting the $1.25Bn in the convertible (which is not due til 2013 and only pays 1% per annum) you have $2.878Bn in Net Cash or $12.51 in Net Cash / share. At todays stock price of $27 - $12.51 = $14.49 of value for company operations which should produce $2.50-$3.00 in '08 and $3.50-$4.00 in '09. So that gets you a multiple of 5.27x '08 and 3.9x '09 estimates.But the best part is that Sandisk will put up another $200mm+ of cash in the just finished Q4 so the actual numbers are even lower and the company as of today has $13.50 in net cash, leaving $13.50 for compay operations or 4.9x '08 and 3.6x '09. Which my friends is pretty damn cheap for the best run company in the fastest growing part of the semiconductor sector and arguable the entire technology sector. Reply
SanDisk: Risk Down $3, Reward Up $30 [view article]
> expand NAND demand by several orders of magnitude.> Our back-of-the-envelope math gets us roughly 4.5B GB
> of incremental NAND demand in '09 versus 1 billion GB
> shipped in '06 and about 2 billion GB shipped in '07.
Um, going from 2 billion GB in 07 to even 6 billion GB in 09 would represent increasing demand by a factor of 3.
An order of magnitude requires increasing demand by a factor of 10. Two orders of magnitude would be at least a factor of 100. Several orders of magnitude requires at least a factor of 1000...
reinharden Reply
SanDisk: Risk Down $3, Reward Up $30 [view article]
Sandisk has taken up many hours of research and ticker watching for me. I cant believe its gotten to this price level. Right here its a no brainer for a long term investment; just dont buy short term calls..Scott W
growthportfolio.ning.c...
investment social network Reply
SanDisk: Risk Down $3, Reward Up $30 [view article]
I think you are wrong regarding cash/share. It's true they have $10 cash per share but they also have $5/share in liquid long term investment, which cancels out with debt, so they still have about $10/share net cash/share. ReplySanDisk: Risk Down $3, Reward Up $30 [view article]
I'm sorry but you are late to the party as are most analyst and MM. Dispite all of your partificating around nand spot pricing, Sandisk has never been and is currently not dependent to much extent on spot pricing of nand. One need only look at 2006 numbers where you analyst were expecting, for most of that year, for sandisk to report disappointing earnings. Stock price fail based on your flawed understanding of Sandisk business model a value proposition. However, earnings increased 25% while Revenue increase over 75%. Need more proof that you're full of hot air? Look no further than 1Q07 when nand pricing fail 24% during the quarter but Sandisk, unlike other semi providers that report huge losses in their Nand operations, reported inline earnings (excluding impact of mystems acquisition).Sandisk global market share expansion and improved cost efficientcies from its latest card assembly plant, increasing average card density is what's currently fueling its top/bottom line growth. Additionally, inventories are low going into the 1Q08 at a time when YoY demand is accellarating.
Although I agree with some of your reasoning, your inability to evaluate Sandisk as card producer and the only one of its kind leaves me to reject your analysis for investment advise. However, these monkeys that listen to you control the price of the stock and for that reason I appauld your positive although ill imformed opinion. Reply
Shakespeare on Semiconductors: Sail With the Tide [view article]
Your quote was misquoted by the old Intersil ("There are tides in the affairs of man...") as an advertisement for DRAMs, at a time when the company was offering an obsolete product line (32k instead of 64k, as I recall). I always thought that any engineer who knew their Shakespeare would find it as funny/sad/ironic as I did, since the company was clearly in the "omitted" group on that product line. Luckily I was working on Analog products, where we were taking the tide. Reply