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- ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
- Global ETFs: Has the Bear Grown Weary? [view article]
- Country vs. Sector Diversification with ETFs [view article]
- Global Sector ETF Spread [view article]
- First Half ETF Performance: Steel's The Strongest, Housing Funds Weakest [view article]
- Non-Precious Metals: A Straightforward Story of Supply and Demand [view article]
- Gold in Your Portfolio: How and How Much? [view article]
- Comparing Base Metals ETFs [view article]
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- ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again
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- 5 Infrastructure ETFs That Could Enhance Your Portfolio
- Global Materials ETF: Is the Recent Pullback a Buying Opportunity?
- Global ETFs: Has the Bear Grown Weary?
- Global Sector ETF Spread
- Global Sector ETF Spread
- Chartwell Releases White Paper on Global Sector ETF Investing
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ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Karmaguy - here's one solution for you. Like most dynamic indicators, why not smooth the results using a simple moving average. The current 200-day moving average is "Neutral" at the moment ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Good post Gary. Here are a few stats on the $VIX. Over the past 10-months (200-days) it reached a high of 32.24 on March 17, 2008. Its low of 12.78 was on June 1, 2007. Its 200-day average is 21.80, median 22.44 and standard deviation 4.35. Since 2000, its high was 45.08 on August 5, 2002. Its low was 9.97 on December 14, 2006. Its median since 1990 has been 19.00. $VIX is generally considered Bearish when it is above 25 and becomes Bullish below 20. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Gary, You may be playing a dangerous game of chance. By your own submission the Put/Call ratio as measured by the last 5 years of data has been recently hitting new all time highs. So, where's your buy-in point now? When it hits 1.00?? Let's say the S&P is trading at 1260 (March lows) at a reading of 1.00. Are you going to buy? But if the Ratio expands to 1.35 or say a new record of 1.45 then where do you think the S&P will be then. I'll tell you, 900!! Are you prepared to tell people to buy at 1.00 and then face that kind of potential loss? I think not! So what do you do? Buy some stocks when the Ratio hits 1.00, buy more at 1.10, more at 1.20, more at 1.30 and even more at 1.40? I think not! That would be like all those out there that have been trying to guess the bottom on the Financials. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Sorry- here's the $VIX chart I referenced, tinyurl.com/66ec9t ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Why not follow it on a chart? It's the same, basically as the $VIX, which is close to breaking above 25, if it does, it could go to 30, but "capitulation&quo... is at 35 or above,stockcharts.com/h-sc/u...=$VIX&p=D&yr=1...
because the Plunge Protection Team, aka Paulson, has opened a window for trading desks to borrow at 2.25% and TRADE COMMODITIES and buy SPY/DIA futures to prop the market. Since Paulson came on board from Goldman Sachs, the broker-dealer's "trading profits" have skyrocketed. Why is no non-dumbass reporter on this website pointing out the broker-dealers are being subsidized by the Fed at 2.25% $21 BILLION PER DAY LAST WEEK! and there is no oversight as to their role in pushing up oil futures, they are using this money to trade commodities, they are NOT LENDING IT OUT. Reply
ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Sorry for the additional post. One place the CBOE "Total" Put/Call ratio to the S&P 500 can be found is at stockcharts.com under the symbol $CPC. If you choose the Point & Figure chart method, you can change the dates going all the way back to 1995, to backtest how this indicator responded to both fear and greed within the US large capitalization stock market, and what the eventual outcomes were. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
What chart is he reading? March S & P 500 ended at 1323. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
The CBOE "Total" Put/Call ratio to the S&P 500 closed Friday at 1.33, up from 0.98 the day before. In the past 10-months, it reached a high of 1.53 on August 16, 2007. Its recent low of 0.57 was recorded on December 21, 2007. Its 10-month average is 1.03, median 1.01 and standard deviation 0.16. The average norm has been 0.75 since 1995.For a simple perspective, this contrarian indicator represents the number of Put contracts divided by the number of Call contracts. A number above 1 indicates more Put buying, which is Bullish. And, of course, being a contrary indicator, a number below 1 indicates more Call buying, which is Bearish.
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ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Where do you easily find the put/call ratio? ReplyWealth
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ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Commodity ETFs like DBC, GSP and XME are still going great guns. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Thanks for the great post.It helps to remind me every-time I click the mouse to sell there is someone else on the other-side of the trade buying.
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Global ETFs: Has the Bear Grown Weary? [view article]
If financials were the cause of our present problems, it might make sense that they don't lead the parade out of the recession. prior recessions were driven by other factors.Thx jegan ;-) Reply
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General Discussion on MXI
Is this a buy or a sell? ReplyCountry vs. Sector Diversification with ETFs [view article]
Foreign ETFs are big contributors to my balanced portfolio, however, what I find more often than not is that many of these ETFs have high concentrations on specific sectors - e.g. financials or oil & gas, etc. which leads to eliminating them from a balanced portfolio consideration due to high correlation to other domestic ETFs. ILF is one of the more profitable components I've been using recently. See my full portfolio at notiming.com ReplyGlobal Sector ETF Spread [view article]
Good stuff, thank you Reply