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MXI Forum Topics
- All Comments on MXI
- General Discussion on MXI
- How Do Commodities ETFs Compare to ETNs? [view article]
- Van Eck's Hard Assets Producers ETF: A Better Alternative to Commodity ETFs? [view article]
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
- Should You Stick to the Straight and Narrow? [view article]
- ETF Update: Materials, Semiconductors, Homebuilders [view article]
- Rally ETFs: Panic Selling Will Open Door [view article]
- ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
- Global ETFs: Has the Bear Grown Weary? [view article]
- Country vs. Sector Diversification with ETFs [view article]
- Global Sector ETF Spread [view article]
- First Half ETF Performance: Steel's The Strongest, Housing Funds Weakest [view article]
Recent MXI Articles
- How Do Commodities ETFs Compare to ETNs?
- Van Eck's Hard Assets Producers ETF: A Better Alternative to Commodity ETFs?
- Overlooked ETFs: Are They Unloved For Good Reasons?
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008)
- Should You Stick to the Straight and Narrow?
- ETF Update: Materials, Semiconductors, Homebuilders
- Global Sector ETFs: Utilities, Healthcare and Staples Are Providing Shelter
- Rally ETFs: Panic Selling Will Open Door
- Will Window-Dressing Reveal Some Top ETFs For Next Quarter?
- ETF Update: ETFs Up on Higher Fuel Prices, Infrastructure ETFs
- Full List of Articles »
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ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Gary, You may be playing a dangerous game of chance. By your own submission the Put/Call ratio as measured by the last 5 years of data has been recently hitting new all time highs. So, where's your buy-in point now? When it hits 1.00?? Let's say the S&P is trading at 1260 (March lows) at a reading of 1.00. Are you going to buy? But if the Ratio expands to 1.35 or say a new record of 1.45 then where do you think the S&P will be then. I'll tell you, 900!! Are you prepared to tell people to buy at 1.00 and then face that kind of potential loss? I think not! So what do you do? Buy some stocks when the Ratio hits 1.00, buy more at 1.10, more at 1.20, more at 1.30 and even more at 1.40? I think not! That would be like all those out there that have been trying to guess the bottom on the Financials. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Sorry- here's the $VIX chart I referenced, tinyurl.com/66ec9t ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Why not follow it on a chart? It's the same, basically as the $VIX, which is close to breaking above 25, if it does, it could go to 30, but "capitulation&quo... is at 35 or above,stockcharts.com/h-sc/u...=$VIX&p=D&yr=1...
because the Plunge Protection Team, aka Paulson, has opened a window for trading desks to borrow at 2.25% and TRADE COMMODITIES and buy SPY/DIA futures to prop the market. Since Paulson came on board from Goldman Sachs, the broker-dealer's "trading profits" have skyrocketed. Why is no non-dumbass reporter on this website pointing out the broker-dealers are being subsidized by the Fed at 2.25% $21 BILLION PER DAY LAST WEEK! and there is no oversight as to their role in pushing up oil futures, they are using this money to trade commodities, they are NOT LENDING IT OUT. Reply
ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Sorry for the additional post. One place the CBOE "Total" Put/Call ratio to the S&P 500 can be found is at stockcharts.com under the symbol $CPC. If you choose the Point & Figure chart method, you can change the dates going all the way back to 1995, to backtest how this indicator responded to both fear and greed within the US large capitalization stock market, and what the eventual outcomes were. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
What chart is he reading? March S & P 500 ended at 1323. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
The CBOE "Total" Put/Call ratio to the S&P 500 closed Friday at 1.33, up from 0.98 the day before. In the past 10-months, it reached a high of 1.53 on August 16, 2007. Its recent low of 0.57 was recorded on December 21, 2007. Its 10-month average is 1.03, median 1.01 and standard deviation 0.16. The average norm has been 0.75 since 1995.For a simple perspective, this contrarian indicator represents the number of Put contracts divided by the number of Call contracts. A number above 1 indicates more Put buying, which is Bullish. And, of course, being a contrary indicator, a number below 1 indicates more Call buying, which is Bearish.
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ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Where do you easily find the put/call ratio? ReplyReport
ETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Commodity ETFs like DBC, GSP and XME are still going great guns. ReplyETF Opinion: Extreme Bearishness Will Tell You When to Buy Again [view article]
Thanks for the great post.It helps to remind me every-time I click the mouse to sell there is someone else on the other-side of the trade buying.
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Global ETFs: Has the Bear Grown Weary? [view article]
If financials were the cause of our present problems, it might make sense that they don't lead the parade out of the recession. prior recessions were driven by other factors.Thx jegan ;-) Reply
Editors
General Discussion on MXI
Is this a buy or a sell? ReplyCountry vs. Sector Diversification with ETFs [view article]
Foreign ETFs are big contributors to my balanced portfolio, however, what I find more often than not is that many of these ETFs have high concentrations on specific sectors - e.g. financials or oil & gas, etc. which leads to eliminating them from a balanced portfolio consideration due to high correlation to other domestic ETFs. ILF is one of the more profitable components I've been using recently. See my full portfolio at notiming.com ReplyGlobal Sector ETF Spread [view article]
Good stuff, thank you ReplyCountry vs. Sector Diversification with ETFs [view article]
Great info, thank you. I loved it. ReplyFirst Half ETF Performance: Steel's The Strongest, Housing Funds Weakest [view article]
Are the regional banks down because of their exposure to mortgages? Reply