Wed, Mar. 18, 3:43 PM
- Stifel analysts say oil prices could be headed even lower, but that investors should buy high quality E&P companies with strong assets and/or balance sheets before prices bottom.
- Stifel says the current cycle resembles previous patterns where large-cap E&P stocks lead the oil price, which in turn leads the rig count, thus the firm does not expect shares of the strong companies to track an oil price bottom; small-cap energy stocks, however, followed oil prices closely through the last cycle and even lagged the commodity’s recovery.
- The firm is favorably disposed to Anadarko Petroleum (APC +2.4%), Cabot Oil & Gas (COG +1%), EOG Resources (EOG +4.2%), Noble Energy (NBL +5.3%), Rosetta Resources (ROSE +5.3%) and Whiting Petroleum (WLL +8.6%).
Wed, Feb. 25, 4:42 PM| 1 Comment
Tue, Feb. 24, 12:43 PM
- Israel's competition regulator has delayed a decision on whether to declare the country's natural gas fields a monopoly for two months to allow time for an agreed solution to be reached.
- Noble Energy (NBL +1.7%) and Israel's Delek Group (OTCPK:DGRLY) own 85% of the Leviathan gas field off the Mediterranean coast, and also control the nearby Tamar well, a situation Israel's antitrust commissioner said in December created a monopoly.
- Leviathan is one of the world's largest offshore gas finds to be made in the last decade, with an estimated 22T cf of reserves; production had been expected to begin in 2018 following an initial development investment of ~$6.5B.
Thu, Feb. 19, 3:40 PM
- Noble Energy (NBL -2.1%) says its disputes with Israel’s antitrust regulators has forced it to stall virtually all of its investments this year in two massive offshore natural gas fields in the Mediterranean Sea.
- In today's earnings call, CEO David Stover called Israel's antitrust decision an example of the uncertain regulatory environment in the country and said the two sides must come to an agreement before NBL could invest significantly in Israel’s energy sector.
- The two offshore gas fields, the Leviathan and the Tamar, hold the vast majority of Israel’s gas reserves, with more than enough to feed domestic demand, bring down electricity costs in the nation and have more gas for exports; NBL and Delek Group (OTCPK:DGRLY) own the majority of both fields.
- Stover said NBL had signed a letter of intent with a customer in Egypt to supply up to 250M cf/day of gas from Tamar, but it has not booked any of the sales because of the impasse with Israel’s government.
Fri, Jan. 2, 10:35 AM
- Noble Energy (NBL -2.6%) reportedly is suspending negotiations with Israel Shipyards until the future of the natural gas industry in Israel becomes clear; the negotiations are for a seven-year extension of the lease for the base of NBL's marine activity.
- Israel's antitrust regulator last week ruled that the Tamar and Leviathan fields in which the NBL-led partnership holds respective 85% and 67% stakes comprise a natural gas monopoly and that the partners must sell one or the other, reversing an earlier decision that the partnership could keep both fields providing they sell two smaller gas prospects.
Dec. 22, 2014, 10:45 AM
- Natural gas prices fall 9.5% to near two-year lows at $3.133/mmBtu, in the biggest one-day percentage loss since February and the lowest intraday price since January 2013, on mild weather forecasts and inventory that is above year-ago levels.
- Prices are now down more than 15% in three straight losing sessions and are 30% lower than the six-month high closing price of $4.489/mmBtu it hit just a month ago.
- Weather has been unseasonably warm for December, limiting demand for home heating and allowing relatively low stockpiles to catch up to where they were a year ago and encouraging traders to sell based on the belief that supply is relatively healthy.
- Gas producers are among the biggest early decliners: XOM -1.1%, CHK -7.3%, APC -2.6%, SWN -6%, DVN -2.2%, COP -2.3%, BP -1.5%, COG -4%, BHP -1.9%, CVX -1.3%, ECA -5.1%, EQT -4.3%, RDS.A -1.7%, UPL -12%, WPX -6.9%, EOG -1%, OXY -1.1%, RRC -6.1%, APA -2.3%, AR -3.2%, CNX -3%, QEP -4.8%, LINE -4.9%, NBL -1.6%, SM -2.6%, XEC -4.2%, PXD -2.9%, NFX -5.1%.
- ETFs: UNG, DGAZ, UGAZ, BOIL, GAZ, FCG, GASL, KOLD, UNL, NAGS, DCNG
Dec. 17, 2014, 12:26 PM
- FBR Capital chooses Noble Energy (NBL +8.8%), Schlumberger (SLB +4.6%), Synergy Resources (SYRG +6%), Consol Energy (CNX +3.4%) and SunEdison (SUNE +0.7%) as its top energy and natural resources stocks for 2015.
- FBR likes NBL's strong combination of shale assets that are still immature in their adoption and application of technology, which is scalable; a strong balance sheet; and a portfolio that offers abundant exploration risk/reward potential.
- SLB is FBR's favorite energy stock among those whose secular earnings power is clearly the most likely to significantly expand over the next five years and/or is underestimated at current market multiples.
- SYRG offers investors exposure to industry-leading production growth and a solid balance sheet, a unique combination for a small-cap equity, the firm says.
Dec. 3, 2014, 11:32 AM
- The energy sector (XLE +1.5%) continues its momentum from yesterday, leading the way again as the best performing sector in early trading with crude oil rising 1.2% so far today and reports that U.S. well permits fell 40% last month.
- Top performers include Clayton Williams (CWEI +7.7%), Transocean Partners (RIGP +10.6%), Gaslog (GLOG +13.8%) and Energy XXI (EXXI +15.7%).
- Other leading energy names are showing stronger recoveries as they clear last Friday's bearish gap zone: XOM +0.2%, CVX +0.4%, COP +2.5%, OXY +2.5%, DVN +2.9%, EOG +2.5%, HES +2.2%, MUR +1.5%, NBL +2.3%, PXD +4.2%, SU +3%, CNQ +1.9%.
- Some analysts warn that the worst may not be over, however, as much of the advance is being driven by investors repurchasing ETFs they used to make short bets; investors also could opt to sell oil shares at a loss in coming weeks to reduce tax burdens.
Nov. 13, 2014, 3:20 PM
- U.S. crude oil prices break below $75/bbl for the first time in more than three years, brushing aside an IEA report showing a surprise 1.735M barrel inventory drawdown as well as remarks by the Saudi oil minister dismissing talk of an oil price war among producers.
- West Texas crude settled today at $74.21/bbl, -3.9% and breaking below an important support level; during the past three years, futures have tested but not broken through that level three times.
- Brent crude recently was trading below $78, -3%.
- Global oil majors are all lower: COP -1.9%, BP -1.4%, CVX -1.4%, XOM -1.1%, TOT -0.9%, RDS.A -0.7%.
- Oil services companies and offshore drillers suffer even sharper drops: SDRL -4.4%, SLB -4.2%, HAL -3.9%, BHI -3.9%, RIG -3.8%, DO -3.5%, NBL -2.9%.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, XOP, ERY, DIG, BNO, UGA, DTO, DBO, DUG, XES, IYE, IEO, CRUD, IXC, IEZ, PXE, USL, UWTI, IPW, FENY, PXJ, UHN, DWTI, DNO, RYE, FXN, SZO, GNAT, OLO, DDG, FILL, OLEM, TWTI
Oct. 21, 2014, 2:11 PM| Comment!
Aug. 26, 2014, 11:11 AM
- Consol Energy (CNX +1.7%) makes official its MLP plans for its midstream assets in the Marcellus Shale, as it and joint venture partner Noble Energy (NBL +1.2%) files with the SEC for an IPO in what will be known as Cone Midstream Partners.
- The companies say they hope to finish the IPO by early Q4, and Cone Midstream will trade on the NYSE under the ticker CNNX.
- The number of shares to be offered and the price have not been determined, but FBR Capital estimates CNNX could be valued at ~$1B (Briefing.com).
Aug. 4, 2014, 2:31 PM
- Noble Energy (NBL +5.8%) and Anadarko Petroleum (APC +5.3%) spike higher on news of an agreement to remove anti-fracking initiates from the ballot in Colorado.
- Gov. Hickenlooper and U.S. Rep. Polis are forming a task force to craft regulations to minimize conflicts over the siting of oil and gas facilities in Colorado; under the proposal, two initiatives aimed at tightening controls would be withdrawn and two initiatives considered pro-industry also would be pulled.
- Wells Fargo views the deal as a positive for companies with exposure to the Denver-Julesburg Basin, including NBL, APC, Bill Barrett (BBG +4.8%), PDC Energy (PDCE +10.1%), Whiting Petroleum (WLL +4.5%) and Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO +4.3%).
Jul. 24, 2014, 11:49 AM
- Noble Energy (NBL -3.6%) is sharply lower after Q2 earnings were cut in half from a year ago, as higher expenses masked a rise in revenue.
- Q2 revenue rose 20% Y/Y to $1.38B, total sales volumes jumped 13%, average realized prices for crude oil and condensates rose 5.9%, while average realized prices gained 15% for natural gas liquids and 10% for natural gas.
- Total oil and gas production rose 14% to 290K boe/day; NBL expects to produce 290K-305K boe/day in Q3 and 310K-330K boe/day in Q4.
- While production from the Denver-Julesburg basin rose in the quarter, NBL says the output fell below its expectations due to downtime at a third-party processing plant and facility upgrades at more than 60 wells.
- Total operating expenses for Q2 rose 8.4%.
Jun. 12, 2014, 8:11 AM
- Consol Energy (CNX) +4.2% premarket after announcing plans to form an MLP with Noble Energy (NBL) for pipeline operations they control at their jointly owned acreage in the Marcellus Shale.
- The companies have filed for the MLP to launch an IPO, which they hope will take place by the end of the year.
- NBL +1%.
Mar. 28, 2014, 10:57 AM
- Woodside Petroleum (WOPEF, WOPEY) has delayed signing an expected agreement to partner with Noble Energy (NBL +1.8%) and take up to a $2.7B stake in Israel's Leviathan gas field, reportedly balking at a push by the Israeli government to cut the potential share of profits from liquefied natural gas exports to Asia.
- RBC Capital still sees a good chance that the deal will get done, adding that preliminary guidelines released by Israeli regulators for Leviathan are in-line with its previous expectations; the firm keeps an Outperform rating on NBL.
Feb. 6, 2014, 3:19 PM
- Recent bearish views on offshore drillers are forgotten for at least a day, as Diamond Offshore's (DO +2%) solid Q4 earnings and revenue beats help lift the entire sector.
- Cowen analysts especially like DO's increased dayrates: Q4 ultra-deepwater average dayrates rose to $350K/day from $284K, deepwater dayrates increased to $402K/day from $380K, and mid-water floater rates rose to $277K/day from $258K.
- However, Wunderlich notes that while the contracts and extensions are a positive, the low duration of the contracts may be the new norm for many of DO’s older lower specification rigs, which will translate to a lower backlog and less revenue visibility.
- ESV +3.4%, SDRL +2.1%, ATW +2.1%, RIG +2%, HP +2%, NBL +1.9%, RDC +1.9%, PKD +1.8%, HERO +1.3%.
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