Today, 12:27 PM
- Eni’s (E +2.6%) discovery of a “super giant” natural gas field off the Egyptian coast will help make the company’s cash flow position "much more robust" and "positively" affect its dividend, CEO Claudio Descalzi says.
- Eni says the deepwater deposit in the Zohr Prospect in the Shorouk block may hold 30T cf of gas; the CEO hopes Eni can begin producing gas "in a couple of years,” the development will be “low cost” since it is located near facilities it has in the area, and the company is open to selling a stake in the field.
- The huge find could help meet energy-starved Egypt's gas needs for decades and complicate Israel's plans to export gas to Egypt; companies including Noble Energy (NBL -2.3%) and Delek Group (OTCPK:DGRLY -9.6%), which are developing gas fields in Israel, have been pushing plans to export the fuel to Egypt, Jordan and the Palestinian territories.
Mon, Aug. 24, 3:27 PM
- Chevron (CVX -5%) is upgraded to Neutral from Underperform with a $100 price target at BofA Merrill, which expects CVX’s net debt to stabilize with major projects beginning to contribute in 2017 and a drop in spending to maintenance levels.
- The firm says it has been concerned throughout the past year that CVX's cash burn would dilute equity value through peak spending at the same time that oil prices collapsed, but it no longer sees a risk, as CVX is discounting below strip prices but with a dividend.
- CVX requires sustained spending of $15B-$16B to hold production flat for an extended period,” BofA's Doug Leggate explains, adding that at $45-$50 oil, cash flow by 2017 would be closer to $29B so that the dividend is "more than covered" by cash flow in an ex-growth environment.
- ConocoPhillips (COP -6.2%) is the firm's top pick among the big oils after the stock has been hit hard, which the analyst thinks reflected unwarranted concerns regarding COP's dividend; at current strip prices, Leggate believes COP's upside is second only to Buy-rated Exxon Mobil (XOM -5.3%).
- However, the firm downgrades HollyFrontier (HFC -3.5%), Marathon Petroleum (MPC -7.2%) and Valero (VLO -4.7%) to Underperform and cuts Continental Resources (CLR -10.1%), Marathon Oil (MRO -8.4%), Noble Energy (NBL -5.4%) and Whiting Petroleum (WLL -8%) to Neutral.
Wed, Aug. 19, 11:18 AM
- It's a broad decline for stocks this morning, with the S&P 500, DJIA, and Nasdaq all lower by 1% or more. Leading the way down are the energy names (XLE -2.5%) after an unexpected jump in oil inventories has sent the price of black gold down to new bear market lows at $41.30 per barrel.
- Chevron (CVX -2.9%), ConocoPhillips (COP -3.8%), EOG Resources (EOG -4.3%), Apache (APA -4.1%), Hess (HES -3.6%), Marathon Oil (MRO -5.5%), Noble Energy (NBL -3.1%), Anadarko (APC -3.6%).
- ETFs: XLE, VDE, ERX, OIH, XOP, ERY, DIG, DUG, BGR, IYE, IEO, FENY, PXE, FIF, PXJ, NDP, RYE, FXN, DDG, DRIP, GUSH
Thu, Aug. 13, 2:29 PM
- At least some E&P companies are still able to sell shares despite the oil price swoon, as Diamondback Energy (FANG -1.3%) raises $176M through a stock offering - its third this year.
- FANG has completed more follow-on stock sales than any other U.S. E&P firm this year, although at $623M it has not raised the most; Noble Energy (NBL +1.6%) and Whiting Petroleum (WLL -4.5%) each have sold more than $1B.
- Crude oil’s collapse has not stopped the sector raising more money so far in 2015 - $11.6B so far - than any entire year in at least two decades, which may indicate optimism about oil nearing a bottom and that at least some E&P companies are using capital more productively.
- If a FANG investor bought its three stock sales this year, weighted by the size of each, he actually would have gained 2%; while the shares of only 10 of 35 issues YTD are higher than the price at which they sold, the group as a whole has beaten the E&P sector average by almost eight percentage points this year, adjusted for size and offer date, WSJ's Liam Denning writes.
Thu, Aug. 13, 9:10 AM
- Noble Energy (NYSE:NBL) +1.9% premarket after Israel's government said it reached a deal that will pave the way for the development of the Leviathan natural gas field.
- The controversial deal initially revealed in June will allow NBL and Israel's Delek Group (OTCPK:DGRLY) to keep ownership of Leviathan but require the sale of other assets, including stakes in the Tamar deposit.
- The deal sets a price ceiling for gas sales to Israeli companies and commits the consortium to invest $1.5B into developing Leviathan over the next two years; the field contains ~22T cf of gas, which is expected to provide billions of dollars in revenue to Israel.
- PM Netanyahu earlier this week won crucial backing for the agreement from the central bank.
Mon, Aug. 10, 10:15 AM
- Bank of Israel Governor Karnit Flug backs a disputed government plan to develop the country's natural gas industry that would allow Noble Energy (NBL +1.5%) and Delek Group (OTCPK:DGRLY) to keep ownership of the Leviathan offshore field.
- Flug says would speed up development of Leviathan and other smaller fields, and would bring "more stable regulation of the natural gas economy," making it easier to progress with financing and development.
- The outline agreement lets NBL and Delek to keep Leviathan, with estimated reserves of 22T cf, but requires the companies to sell off other assets including stakes in the large Tamar deposit.
Mon, Aug. 3, 10:31 AM
- Noble Energy (NBL -2.2%) opens lower after reporting better than expected Q2 earnings but also a 47% Y/Y revenue decline and costs that are not falling as much as sales.
- While NBL's Q2 sales volumes rose 3.1% Y/Y to 299K boe/day, crude oil and condensate sales were cut in half to $483M, and natural gas revenue fell 28% Y/Y to $215M.
- NBL attributes the modest rise in Q2 total sales volume to the continued development of the DJ Basin and Marcellus shale plays, where combined production rose 28%.
- NBL raises its full-year sales volume forecast to 305K-320K boe/day from 300K-315K boe/day, and says it expects more than 15% annual production growth from assets recently acquired from Rosetta Resources, which includes 50K acres in the Eagle Ford Shale and 54K acres in the Permian.
- NBL says total organic capital spending in 2015 remains unchanged at $2.9B for legacy assets; Q2 costs fell 17% Y/Y and 13% Q/Q.
Mon, Jul. 13, 10:25 AM
- Sterne Agee CRT’s Tim Rezvan reiterates his bullish views on Chesapeake Energy (CHK -3.1%), citing the latest short interest data which shows a 14.1% increase from mid-June to the end of June to 185M shares, 27.8% of shares outstanding and 8.1 days to cover; the increase in short interest increase from the end of February to the end of June was 163%.
- The firm upgraded CHK to Buy from Underperform on June 29, reflecting what it considered as oversold conditions, and Rezvan says the month-end short interest data validates the thesis and expect profit-taking from shorts to provide further support to CHK shares into Q2 earnings.
- The largest increase in short interest came from PetroQuest Energy (PQ +0.1%), which had a 16.1% increase to 7.2M shares (11% of shares outstanding, 5.0 days to cover); Noble Energy (NBL -1.1%) also showed a notable jump, with a 10.3% increase to 17.9M shares (4.6% of shares outstanding, 4.1 days to cover).
- CHK is sharply lower today, apparently in reaction to late Friday's court order for CHK to pay nearly $380M to bondholders.
Mon, May 11, 11:27 AM
- Some analysts say Noble Energy’s (NBL -7.5%) acquisition of Rosetta Resources (ROSE +25.5%) is the deal that will finally open the floodgates of M&A activity in the oil patch.
- The premium for ROSE is below average for the sector over the past five years, suggesting there are more mergers to come, says Oppenheimer's Fadel Gheit, and the sale shows that M&A was “arguably” a cheaper option for growth than organic investment, according to Morgan Stanley's Martijn Rats.
- SunTrust's Neal Dingmann sees Matador Resources (MTDR -0.9%), Callon Petroleum (CPE -0.5%) and Carrizon Oil & Gas (CRZO -1.8%) as the most likely targets for acquisitive eyes.
Thu, Apr. 2, 5:38 PM
Wed, Mar. 18, 3:43 PM
- Stifel analysts say oil prices could be headed even lower, but that investors should buy high quality E&P companies with strong assets and/or balance sheets before prices bottom.
- Stifel says the current cycle resembles previous patterns where large-cap E&P stocks lead the oil price, which in turn leads the rig count, thus the firm does not expect shares of the strong companies to track an oil price bottom; small-cap energy stocks, however, followed oil prices closely through the last cycle and even lagged the commodity’s recovery.
- The firm is favorably disposed to Anadarko Petroleum (APC +2.4%), Cabot Oil & Gas (COG +1%), EOG Resources (EOG +4.2%), Noble Energy (NBL +5.3%), Rosetta Resources (ROSE +5.3%) and Whiting Petroleum (WLL +8.6%).
Wed, Feb. 25, 4:42 PM| Wed, Feb. 25, 4:42 PM | 1 Comment
Tue, Feb. 24, 12:43 PM
- Israel's competition regulator has delayed a decision on whether to declare the country's natural gas fields a monopoly for two months to allow time for an agreed solution to be reached.
- Noble Energy (NBL +1.7%) and Israel's Delek Group (OTCPK:DGRLY) own 85% of the Leviathan gas field off the Mediterranean coast, and also control the nearby Tamar well, a situation Israel's antitrust commissioner said in December created a monopoly.
- Leviathan is one of the world's largest offshore gas finds to be made in the last decade, with an estimated 22T cf of reserves; production had been expected to begin in 2018 following an initial development investment of ~$6.5B.
Thu, Feb. 19, 3:40 PM
- Noble Energy (NBL -2.1%) says its disputes with Israel’s antitrust regulators has forced it to stall virtually all of its investments this year in two massive offshore natural gas fields in the Mediterranean Sea.
- In today's earnings call, CEO David Stover called Israel's antitrust decision an example of the uncertain regulatory environment in the country and said the two sides must come to an agreement before NBL could invest significantly in Israel’s energy sector.
- The two offshore gas fields, the Leviathan and the Tamar, hold the vast majority of Israel’s gas reserves, with more than enough to feed domestic demand, bring down electricity costs in the nation and have more gas for exports; NBL and Delek Group (OTCPK:DGRLY) own the majority of both fields.
- Stover said NBL had signed a letter of intent with a customer in Egypt to supply up to 250M cf/day of gas from Tamar, but it has not booked any of the sales because of the impasse with Israel’s government.
Fri, Jan. 2, 10:35 AM
- Noble Energy (NBL -2.6%) reportedly is suspending negotiations with Israel Shipyards until the future of the natural gas industry in Israel becomes clear; the negotiations are for a seven-year extension of the lease for the base of NBL's marine activity.
- Israel's antitrust regulator last week ruled that the Tamar and Leviathan fields in which the NBL-led partnership holds respective 85% and 67% stakes comprise a natural gas monopoly and that the partners must sell one or the other, reversing an earlier decision that the partnership could keep both fields providing they sell two smaller gas prospects.
Dec. 22, 2014, 10:45 AM
- Natural gas prices fall 9.5% to near two-year lows at $3.133/mmBtu, in the biggest one-day percentage loss since February and the lowest intraday price since January 2013, on mild weather forecasts and inventory that is above year-ago levels.
- Prices are now down more than 15% in three straight losing sessions and are 30% lower than the six-month high closing price of $4.489/mmBtu it hit just a month ago.
- Weather has been unseasonably warm for December, limiting demand for home heating and allowing relatively low stockpiles to catch up to where they were a year ago and encouraging traders to sell based on the belief that supply is relatively healthy.
- Gas producers are among the biggest early decliners: XOM -1.1%, CHK -7.3%, APC -2.6%, SWN -6%, DVN -2.2%, COP -2.3%, BP -1.5%, COG -4%, BHP -1.9%, CVX -1.3%, ECA -5.1%, EQT -4.3%, RDS.A -1.7%, UPL -12%, WPX -6.9%, EOG -1%, OXY -1.1%, RRC -6.1%, APA -2.3%, AR -3.2%, CNX -3%, QEP -4.8%, LINE -4.9%, NBL -1.6%, SM -2.6%, XEC -4.2%, PXD -2.9%, NFX -5.1%.
- ETFs: UNG, DGAZ, UGAZ, BOIL, GAZ, FCG, GASL, KOLD, UNL, NAGS, DCNG
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