The Time To Consider National Retail Properties Is Now
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Thursday, Apr 310:12 AM
Thursday, Mar 610:27 AM
Thursday, Mar 610:27 AM| 6 Comments
- Notably lower today with the major averages in the green are retail REITs Realty Income (O -1.5%) and National Retail Properties (NNN -1.7%), and shopping-center REITs like Kimco (KIM -1.1%), Inland Real Estate (IRC -0.6%), Federal Realty (FRT -1%), and Brixmor (BRX -1.2%).
- Investors may be mulling over a continuing string of disappointing retail earnings reports and plans for mass store closings from the likes of RadioShack and Staples.
- Brixmor is also the subject of a downgrade from Buy to Neutral from UBS.
Friday, Jan 3110:26 AM
Friday, Jan 3110:26 AM| 5 Comments
- Working today - and for the whole month of January - as the broader market sells off are the REITs. The sector - both the equity REITs and mREITs - had been punished in 2013 as rates moved higher starting last May, but another four basis point decline this morning brings the 10-year Treasury yield down to 2.66% after starting the year at about 3%.
- At least for the mREITs, nearly all put in what may turn out to be major bottoms late in 2013 amid jitters over year-end tax-loss selling and the commencement of the taper - sell the rumor, buy the news ... indeed.
- Mortgage REITs: Annaly (NLY +1.1%) +7.4% YTD, American Capital (AGNC +1.3%) +9.1%, Invesco (IVR +0.5%) +6.7%, Anworth (ANH +0.6%) +10.9%, Apollo Residential (AMTG +0.7%) +9.1%, AG Mortgage Investment (MITT +0.6%) +5.6%.
- ETFs: REM, MORT, MORL
- Equity players: Realty Income (O +0.5%) +9.6% YTD, National Retail (NNN +0.7%) +9.8%, AvalonBay (AVB +0.8%) +4.1%, Public Storage (PSA +0.6%) +4.9%, Boston Properties (BXP +0.2%) +7.8%, Liberty Trust (LRY +1%) +7.9%.
- Related ETFs: IYR, VNQ, REM, DRN, REZ, URE, SRS, RWR, ICF, SCHH, DRV, ROOF, KBWY, RTL, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FNIO, WREI
Friday, Jan 102:44 PM
Friday, Jan 102:44 PM| 3 Comments
- The broad averages are struggling following the jobs number, but the big decline in interest rates (the 10-year Treasury is now off 10 bps to 2.87%) has the equity REIT sector lit up bright green.
- Ventas (VTR +4.4%) is having the biggest day, continuing to cruise through a couple of early-year downgrades (latest was Barclays on Wednesday). Among those also higher: National Retail Properties (NNN +3.1%), Realty Income (O +1.6%), Health Care REIT (HCN +2.5%), HCP (HCP +3.8%), RAIT Finanical (RAS +1.4%), Apartment Investment (AIV +2.9%), General Growth (GGP +1.6%), Inland Real Estate (IRC +1.5%), Government Properties (GOV +1.6%), American Campus (ACC +1.7%).
- Relevant ETFs: IYR, VNQ, REM, DRN, REZ, URE, SRS, RWR, ICF, SCHH, DRV, ROOF, KBWY, RTL, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FNIO, WREI
Thursday, Dec 192013, 11:19 AM
Thursday, Dec 192013, 11:19 AM| 14 Comments
- The broad market is quiet today following yesterday's big session, but the equity REIT sector has its eyes focused on rising Treasury yields, particularly in the belly of the curve where the 5-year yield is higher by 10 basis points on the session and all the way up to 1.64% (it was 1.3% at Thanksgiving).
- Realty Income (O -3.6%), National Retail (NNN -2.4%), Health Care REIT (HCN -3.1%), LTC Properties (LTC -3.6%), Medical Properties (MPW -2.5%), Federal Realty (FRT -1.9%), Retail Opportunity (ROIC -1.1%), Chambers Street (CSG -1.8%).
- Related ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, SRS, RWR, ICF, SCHH, DRV, KBWY, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, WREI
Wednesday, Dec 112013, 3:08 PM
Wednesday, Dec 112013, 3:08 PM| 23 Comments
- The equity REITs are particularly weak today as the 10-year Treasury yield heads higher by 4 basis points to 2.85%. Senior Housing (SNH -2.3%), Omega Healthcare (OHI -2.6%), American Realty Capital (ARCP -1.7%), Stag Industrial (STAG -2%), Equity Residential (EQR -1.4%).
- Retail and shopping center/mall REITs also have the weak retail traffic numbers to mull over: Realty Income (O -1.4%), National Retail (NNN -2.8%), Simon Property (SPG -1.4%), General Growth (GGP -2.6%), Kimco (KIM -2.6%), Brixmor (BRX -0.8%).
Wednesday, Oct 232013, 11:45 AM
Wednesday, Oct 232013, 11:45 AM| 1 Comment
- "This is taking the number two and number three net-lease REITs and creating kind of a game-over, category-killer in the sector," says Cole Real Estate (COLE +8.7%) CEO Marc Nemer of the deal to sell itself to American Realty Capital Properties (ARCP -1.5%) for $11.2B in cash and stock. The combined company will push into first place in size in the popular triple-net-lease sector, surpassing Realty Income (O +0.7%).
- ARCP's acquisition-happy chief Nicholas Schorsch in the past has typically raised private money for non-traded REITs and then sold the portfolios to ARCP in order to cash out his investors, but this is a massive public deal. "How many REITs have the ability to raise both public and private capital," he says. "The ability for us to acquire non-traded REITs, either whole or in part, is only increased" by this Cole deal.
- S&P 500 inclusion next? The investor presentation (slide 8) notes the combined company's market cap will be larger than index constituents Kimco Realty and Macerich.
- Under the impression the CEOs of the two companies hated each other, SNL Financial's Jake Mooney wants the backstory. Earlier this year: Still a non-traded REIT, Cole rebuffs ARCP's buyout attempt for $9.7B.
- Earlier today: The deal announcement.
- Other triple-net players: National Retail (NNN +1.2%), W.P. Carey (WPC +1%), Spirit Realty (SRC +3.2%), EPR Properties (EPR +0.8%).
Tuesday, May 72013, 3:25 PMGramercy Property Trust (GPT +1%) moves about 3% off the session low as the earnings call/business plan update reveals a management focused and executing on its plan to turn the company into a pure play equity REIT. The implied cap rate (pg. 27-31) of net lease companies (O, WPC, NNN, LXP, EPR, SRC, ARCP,GTY) of 5%-6.5% is far below the 7.5%-8.5% Gramercy is closing deals at - "(the) widest arbitrage in our experience." |Tuesday, May 72013, 3:25 PM| 4 Comments
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montlakeal:: Don't know. "O" did the same.