Wed, Feb. 11, 2:43 PM
- "While it is still early days in the cloud, our discussions in the field point to Oracle's (ORCL -1.7%) ability to provide a comprehensive cloud foundation as a key determinant for customers signing on the dotted line, and we believe this ‘one-stop shop' approach will continue to support healthy cloud revenue growth," writes FBR's Daniel Ives in a recent note, reiterating an Outperform and $48 target.
- Ives adds recent checks leave him "incrementally positive as data points indicate deal momentum so far in F3Q15 (February) has slightly picked up" for cloud sales, in spite of forex headwinds.
- Oracle's various cloud software, app platform, and infrastructure offerings collectively saw 45% Y/Y revenue growth in the November quarter, helping offset a 4% drop in traditional software license sales (still a much larger business, especially after related license update/product support revenue is factored).
- The software giant is counting on its soup-to-nuts cloud approach to fend off established/still-rapidly-growing cloud software giants such as Salesforce and Workday, as well as a slew of startups and the cloud efforts of SAP, Microsoft, and IBM. Oracle recently struck a deal to buy ad data provider Datalogix (for a reported $1.2B+) to further its cloud marketing/analytics efforts.
Tue, Jan. 6, 9:50 AM
- Stating its latest CIO survey indicated Oracle's (ORCL +0.8%) cloud businesses are likely to benefit from higher IT spending, Piper has upgraded the enterprise software giant to Overweight, and hiked its target by $5 to $49.
- Oracle's SaaS/PaaS/IaaS revenue rose 45% Y/Y in the November quarter to $516M. However, traditional license revenue fell 4% to $2.05B, thanks to the adoption of cloud services (both Oracle's and those of third parties) and the reliance of many Web/cloud service providers on non-Oracle databases.
- Not counting forex pressures, Oracle has guided for 30%-35% Feb. quarter SaaS/Paas growth, 29%-33% IaaS growth, and 5%-8% total software/cloud growth.
Dec. 22, 2014, 9:27 AM
- Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) is buying Datalogix, a top provider of data used to link online ad campaigns with offline purchases. Terms are undisclosed, but the price is likely substantial - Datalogix has raised over $85M over its lifetime, and was reportedly weighing an IPO earlier this year.
- Datalogix's audience analysis solutions provide anonymized demographic data about the consumers targeted through an online ad campaign, and its campaign analysis solutions provide data about the offline purchases yielded by online ads (still more an art than a science).
- Google, Facebook, and Twitter are among the online ad giants to have hired Datalogix. Its 650+ customers also include 82 of the top 100 U.S. advertisers, such as Ford and Kraft.
- The acquisition follows Oracle's purchases of cloud marketing data management platform BlueKai, cloud marketing automation software vendors Eloqua and Responsys, and cloud social media marketing tool providers Vitrue and Collective Intellect.
- Like Salesforce, Adobe, and IBM, Oracle is trying to provide a broad set of online/mobile ad tools for marketers, as more and more ad spend shifts to digital channels and CMOs direct a larger portion of corporate IT spend.
- Datalogix rival Acxiom (NASDAQ:ACXM) is up 0.7% premarket.
Dec. 18, 2014, 2:04 PM
- With the help of stronger-than-expected hardware sales, Oracle (ORCL +9.2%) beat FQ2 estimates in spite of a 400 bps forex headwind (twice what was originally expected). FQ3 guidance was conservative after taking forex pressures into account.
- The numbers have been good enough for Oracle to surge to new highs and receive a slew of target hikes, and to lead many enterprise tech names to outperform amid a big market rally. The Nasdaq is up 1.9%.
- Microsoft (MSFT +3.2%), Cisco (CSCO +2.3%), EMC (EMC +3.7%), VMware (VMW +5.1%), and beaten-down IBM (IBM +2.8%) are among the enterprise tech names outperforming today. Others: SPLK +4.6%. CA +3.5%. RHT +3.4%. VRNS +6.3%. PCTY +5.8%. JIVE +4.6%. VMEM +5.2%. SAAS +4.7%. BRCD +3.8%.
- Oracle's healthy cloud software numbers are drawing attention: While traditional software license revenue fell 4% Y/Y, its SaaS/PaaS revenue rose 41%. SaaS/PaaS bookings totaled $170M, and are expected to be "well over" $1B in FY16 (ends May '16). Fusion cloud app bookings rose over 100%.
- On the CC (transcript), Oracle performed its customary trash-talking of cloud app rivals. "We are clearly growing faster than Salesforce (CRM +4%) and were more than three times the size of Workday (WDAY +3.2%)." Both firms are posting solid gains.
- Oracle's numbers come as Bloomberg reports the Chinese government is looking to "purge most foreign technology from banks, the military, state-owned enterprises and key government agencies by 2020." IBM, Cisco, and other U.S. firms have already seen their Chinese sales fall sharply following last year's NSA spying uproar.
Dec. 17, 2014, 5:40 PM
Dec. 17, 2014, 5:26 PM
- Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) has declined to provide guidance in absolute dollars on its FQ2 CC. In constant currency, the company expects FQ3 revenue to be up 4%-8% Y/Y, and EPS to be in a range of $0.69-$0.74. Consensus (based on absolute dollars, naturally) is for 4% revenue growth and EPS of $0.73.
- If exchange rates remain where they are, forex is expected to have 4%+ impact on absolute dollar revenue growth, and a $0.04 impact on EPS.
- In constant currency, software/cloud revenue is expected to be up 5%-8% Y/Y (~1%-4% in absolute dollars, at current exchange rates). Within cloud, SaaS/PaaS and IaaS revenue is respectively forecast to grow 30%-34% and 29%-33%; total cloud revenue was up 45% in FQ2. Hardware system growth guidance is set at -2% to +8%.
- ORCL +5.5% AH. Morgan Stanley's pre-earnings upgrade is looking good.
- FQ2 results, PR
Dec. 17, 2014, 4:18 PM
- Oracle's (NYSE:ORCL) total software/cloud revenue rose 5% Y/Y in FQ2 to $7.3B, in-line with guidance for 3%-6% growth. However, hardware system revenue grew 1% to $1.3B, beating guidance for flat to -10% growth.
- SaaS, (cloud app), PaaS (cloud app platform), and IaaS (cloud infrastructure) revenue collectively rose 45% to $516M; guidance was for 39%-44% SaaS/PaaS growth and 39%-43% IaaS growth.
- On the other hand, traditional software license revenue remains pressured by the cloud migration, it fell 4% to $2.05B. Services revenue fell 3% to $935M. License update/product support revenue (50% of revenue, driven by past deals) rose 6% to $4.8B.
- GAAP opex +3% Y/Y to $6.06B, even with revenue growth. Sales/marketing spend only rose 1% to $19B; R&D rose 9% to $1.39B.
- Americas revenue +5% Y/Y to $5.2B; EMEA +3% to $2.9B; Asia-Pac roughly flat at $1.5B (an improvement from recent quarters).
- $2.1B was spent on buybacks, up slightly from FQ1's $2B. Forex had a 400 bps impact on revenue.
- ORCL +2.7% AH. CC at 5PM ET, guidance should be provided.
- FQ2 results, PR.
Dec. 17, 2014, 4:02 PM
Dec. 16, 2014, 5:35 PM
Dec. 15, 2014, 9:33 AM
- Citing "improving results in secularly important portions of the business" against a backdrop of "very low expectations and weak sentiment," Morgan Stanley has upgraded Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) ahead of Wednesday's FQ2 report, and hiked its target by $5 to $50.
- Oracle's performance nearly matches the Nasdaq's this year. Shares go for 11x estimated FY16 (ends May '16) EPS exc. net cash.
Dec. 4, 2014, 7:04 PM
- With a corporate upgrade cycle and Web/cloud demand boosting sales, IDC estimates global server revenue rose 4.8% Y/Y in Q3 to $12.7B, an improvement from Q2's 2.5% growth and Q1's 2.2% decline. Gartner is more conservative, estimating revenue only rose 1.7%.
- "IDC has seen increasing market influence from Greater China, hyperscale datacenters, ODMs and native Chinese OEMs, all of which grew sharply in the third quarter," says VP Matt Eastwood. Like others, IDC expects Intel's recent Grantley Xeon CPU launch, together with the pending end of Windows Server 2003 support, to keep demand healthy.
- Thanks to weak demand for its high-end, Itanium-based, Integrity servers, market leader H-P's (NYSE:HPQ) share fell 140 bps Y/Y to 26.5%, after having risen 40 bps in Q2. H-P just rolled out Integrity servers running (x86-based) Intel Xeon CPUs in an attempt to stop the bleeding.
- #2 IBM's share fell 500 bps to 18.2%, thanks to both high-end (mainframe/Power) and x86 weakness. The sale of IBM's x86 server unit to Lenovo closed early in Q4. #3 Dell's share rose 80 bps to 17.8%.
- Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) passed Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) to take the #4 slot: Cisco's share rose 130 bps to 6.2% on the back of 31% revenue growth, while Oracle's was flat at 4.1% (3.4% revenue growth). Today, Cisco and IBM announced a converged hardware solution that pairs the former's UCS servers with the latter's Storwize storage arrays.
- As expected, white-label servers sold to Internet giants (called ODM Direct by IDC) continued gaining ground: Their share rose 250 bps to 8.9%. Everyone else saw their share collectively rise 210 bps to 18.4%.
- Related tickers: SMCI, MLNX, QLGC, ELX
Nov. 24, 2014, 3:43 PM
- Twenty-two spinoffs have been completed in 2014, the most in a decade, and another 28 have been announced. Among the catalysts are activist investors, so Credit Suisse screened for companies with multiple business segments, slow growth, and stocks trading for lower multiples than peers, in other words, "good, quality companies that are struggling to grow."
- The list is heavy on big media names like Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) and Twenty-First Century Fox (NASDAQ:FOXA), big tech like Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), Symantec (NASDAQ:SYMC), and IBM, and big industry like Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT), Ingersoll-Rand (NYSE:IR), and Raytheon (NYSE:RTN), but just two financial names - Travelers (NYSE:TRV) and Torchmark (NYSE:TMK).
- The rest: MO, CA, WU, DPS, PBI, SJM, HRS, SWK, EMR, WLP, MAT, GE, SNA, LLL, ITW, STJ, PDCO, HPQ, DLPH, HAS, NAVI, GME, CBS, JNJ, SLB.
Nov. 14, 2014, 2:43 AM
- SAP (NYSE:SAP) has agreed to pay Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) $359M to settle a long-running legal battle over software copyrights.
- Oracle filed suit in 2007 alleging that TomorrowNow, a company that SAP had acquired, illegally downloaded Oracle’s software.
- SAP admitted liability, but the lawsuit dragged on for years over the amount of damages the company should pay.
Nov. 12, 2014, 5:55 PM
- At its annual AWS re:Invent conference, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) has launched Aurora, a database solution for AWS clients that the company claims delivers "commercial-grade" performance and reliability (99.99% uptime is claimed) at "1/10 the cost of the leading commercial database solutions."
- Among those solutions, none looms larger than Oracle's (NYSE:ORCL) core database offerings, which (in spite of tough competition from Microsoft and others) maintains an outsized enterprise share.
- As it is, Oracle's database sales have been pressured by a secular migration towards cloud apps, many of which rely on MySQL and other non-Oracle databases. For a price, AWS supports Oracle's flagship 12c database, as well as several rival products.
- Amazon has also launched: 1) Key Management Service, a solution that lets enterprises manage encryption keys for both on-premise and cloud apps/services. 2) CodeDeploy, a solution for quickly having new code go live on multiple AWS computing instances. 3) CodeCommit, a cloud-based tool for managing code revisions. 4) CodePipeline, a service that automates software releases.
- What hasn't been announced yet is a new round of price cuts to counter the ones Google unveiled last week. After Amazon quickly matched a round of Google cuts in March, AWS' main reporting segment saw an unexpected Q/Q revenue drop in Q2; sales rebounded in Q3.
- AWS chief Andy Jassy says his unit now has 1M+ business and government clients, and reiterates its long-term vision. "The vast majority of companies will not own their own data centers in the fullness of time ... All that computing is moving to the cloud. This space is going to be a high-volume, relatively low-margin business."
- Previous: AWS still dominant; Microsoft, Google gaining ground
Nov. 8, 2014, 2:04 PM
- 54% of voting shareholders rejected Oracle's (NYSE:ORCL) proposed executive compensation package, down from 56% rejection last year and 59% in 2012. Oracle disclosed the results Friday in a filing. The vote was held at its annual stockholder meeting earlier this week.
- The vote, required since 2011 under Dodd-Frank, is symbolic, but is seen as a gauge of shareholder sentiment about a company and its corporate governance.
- Oracle is one of a handful of companies where say-on-pay votes have failed three times in a row.
- Sources: 8-K, WSJ, Oracle's investor presentation on executive comp.
Oct. 22, 2014, 1:22 PM
- Enterprise software vendors are having a rough day after VMware (VMW -5.6%) provided light Q4 guidance to go with a Q3 beat.
- On its CC (transcript), VMware also reported its bookings fell Q/Q in Q3. They were hurt by Russian and German softness, and a failure to close a major enterprise license agreement (ELA) with a federal client. ELAs made up 29% of Q3 bookings, down from 37% in Q2.
- Rivals Oracle (ORCL -1.5%), Red Hat (RHT -3.3%), and Citrix (CTXS -1.5%) are among the decliners, as are Splunk (SPLK -4.7%), Tableau (DATA -2.8%), Qlik (QLIK -2.5%), and MicroStrategy (MSTR -0.9%). Oracle provided light guidance last month.
- Several enterprise cloud software stocks are also selling off: N -2.5%. VEEV -2.9%. ZEN -4.2%. CSOD -2.3%. SAAS -3.2%. NOW -1.7%.
- Nomura and Raymond James have downgraded VMware. Nomura thinks 2015 guidance (expected in January) will also be light, and believes slow vSphere server virtualization growth (affected by competition and high penetration rates) will remain a headwind, given it's still over half of VMware's business. "Growth has to come from the vCloud Suite ... other newer products are just too small still to matter."
- Some of those "other newer products" are doing well: VMware's end-user computing license bookings (boosted by the AirWatch acquisition) rose over 60% Y/Y in Q3, and its much-hyped NSX software-defined networking platform now has 250+ paying customers (up from just 100 a few months ago).
- A slew of enterprise tech names sold off on Monday in response to IBM's Q3 report. Big Blue's software sales fell 2% Y/Y in Q3, after rising 1% in Q2. CA, Citrix, and ServiceNow report after the bell.
ORCL vs. ETF Alternatives
Oracle Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, hosts and supports database and middleware software, application software, cloud infrastructure, hardware system including computer server, storage and networking products and related services.
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