Wed, Feb. 18, 2:49 PM
- The financial sector had begun to turn around a dismal start to the year as February brought forth a string of hawkish Fed heads suggesting a June rate hike, but the XLF is lower by 0.8% after just-released FOMC minutes suggest markets and the hawks are getting ahead of themselves. KBE -1.7%, KRE -2%
- The TBTFs: BofA (BAC -2.2%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.4%), Wells Fargo (WFC -1.6%), Ciitgroup (C -0.8%)
- The regionals: Regions Financial (RF -1.6%), KeyCorp (KEY -1.6%), PNC Financial (PNC -1.3%), BB&T (BBT -1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB -1.6%), SunTrust (STI -1.7%), First Niagara (FNFG -2.1%), M&T (MTB -1.9%), U.S. Bancorp (USB -1.3%), First Horizon (FHN -2.7%).
- Online brokerage: Schwab (SCHW -2.3%), E*Trade (ETFC -1.7%), Ameritrade (AMTD -1.1%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR -0.9%).
- Previously: FOMC minutes: June rate hike not a slam dunk yet (Feb. 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWC, FINZ, KRS
Fri, Feb. 6, 9:50 AM
- Financials have been mercilessly pounded in 2015 as hopes for higher interest rates looked like they might be dashed yet again, but today's blowout jobs number - firmly putting a June rate hike on the table - has brought in the dip-buyers.
- The major averages are flat, but the XLF is up 1.4%. The Regional Bank ETF (KRE +2%) and the Bank ETF (KBE +2.1%) are doing even better.
- Among the yield-starved banking names: Bank of America (BAC +3.1%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.6%), Citigroup (C +2%), Regions Financial (RF +4%), KeyCorp (KEY +3%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.9%), SunTrust (STI +2.3%), Zions (ZION +3.6%), Synovus (SNV +2.3%).
- Insurers: MetLife (MET +2%), Prudential (PRU +3.2%), Lincoln National (LNC +4.6%). AIG (AIG +1.5%).
- Trust banks: BNY Mellon (BK +2.7%) State Street (STT +1.9%), Northern Trust (NTRS +2.3%).
- Online brokers (currently getting killed on money-market fee rebates): Schwab (SCHW +4.5%), TD Ameritrade (AMTD +3.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +2.1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Sat, Jan. 24, 4:48 PM
- The financial sector is off to a worse start to the year than even the energy names, with the XLF down 3.9% YTD vs. the XLE's 3.2% decline. The S&P 500 is roughly flat. The SPDR KBW Bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KBE) is off 7.5%, and the Regional Bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KRE) is lower by 6.9%.
- Q4 earnings results haven't been wonderful, but financial names had been savaged well before those reports started coming out. Instead there's a difficult regulatory regime that won't quit, and - for now - it's looking like "wait'll next year" for the rising interest rates that were supposed to drive profit margins higher. The 10-year/2-year spread - already pretty low at 150 basis points to start the year - has narrowed to 137 bps.
- A partial roll call of banks: Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) -12.1% YTD, Citigroup (NYSE:C) -10.1%, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) -9.4%, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) -9.4%, Regions Financial (NYSE:RF) -14.7%, KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) -4.5%, PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC) -5.4%, Bank of New York (NYSE:BK) -9.1%, Capital One (NYSE:COF) -6%, Discover (NYSE:DFS) -13.6%.
- Other spread-starved sector names: MetLife (NYSE:MET) -9.8%, AIG (NYSE:AIG) -8%, Prudential (NYSE:PRU) -10.8%, Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) -9.9%.
- Some of what's working in financials: Blackstone (NYSE:BX) +6.7%, E*Trade (NASDAQ:ETFC) +1.2%, WisdomTree (NASDAQ:WETF) +12.3%, Legg Mason +2.8%.
Thu, Jan. 22, 12:35 PM
- Mercilessly sold since the year turned, banks are putting in a rare session of outperformance, helped along by some earnings beats from regional lenders and the return of animal spirits in M&A with RBC's purchase of City National (CYN +18.6%) for $5.4B.
- The XLF +1.4% vs. the S&P's 0.6% gain today, and the regional bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KRE) is higher by 3.1%.
- Among today's reporters putting in big gains are KeyCorp (KEY +5.5%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), and Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +2.6%), though Flagstar Bancorp (FBC -4.8%) missed estimates.
- Others: Regions Financial (RF +3.9%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.6%), Synovus (SNV +3.2%), M&T Bank (MTB +3%), Hudson City (HCBK +3.1%), First Horizon (FHN +2.7%), and First Republic (FRC +4.9%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
- Among the TBTFs, Citigroup (C +2.7%) and Bank of America (BAC +2.5%) are leading the way.
Fri, Jan. 16, 7:34 AM
- CEO William Demchak: "The near-term revenue environment remains challenging."
- Q4 net income of $1.1B or $1.84 per share vs. $1.1B and $1.87 one year ago.
- Net interest income of $2.097B down 7% Y/Y, with NIM of 2.89% down nine basis points from Q3 and down 49 bps from a year ago.
- Noninterest income of $1.85B up 2% Y/Y. Asset management income of $376M up 3%, Consumer Services $321M down 2%, Corporate Services $397M up 32%, Residential Mortgage $135M down 50%.
- Noninterest expense of $2.539B up 1% Y/Y.
- Total loans of $204.8B up 5% Y/Y; Investment securities of $55.8B down 7%. Deposits of $232.2B up 5%.
- Tier 1 capital ratio of 10% vs. 9.4% a year ago. 6.1M shares repurchased during Q for $500M. Company has another $400M to do this quarter to hits its Fed-approved buyback total.
- Book value per share of $77.61 up from $72.07 a year ago. TBVS of $59.88 up from $54.57.
- Conference call at 10 ET
- Previously: PNC Financial beats by $0.10, beats on revenue (Jan. 16)
- PNC unchanged premarket
Fri, Jan. 16, 6:56 AM
Thu, Jan. 15, 5:30 PM
Mon, Jan. 5, 1:25 PM
- "We view Wells Fargo (WFC -2.7%) as a core bank holding, but shares have reached our price target and we believe sentiment is now overwhelmingly positive after leading returns in 2014 (+21%, #1 among the top 50 banks)," says Baird's David George, who earlier downgraded the stock from Outperform to Neutral.
- Put the money in another bank? Not so quick, says George, suggesting the Fed could tighten later and be less aggressive than most expect, disappointing those hoping for higher rates to boost profits. Other than Wells Fargo, George sees sentiment highest in PNC Financial (PNC -2.7%), SunTrust (STI -3.9%), and U.S. Bancorp (USB -2.2%).
- Asset-sensitive names like Comerica (CMA -3.7%) and Zions (ZION -3.4%) lagged in 2014, but estimates still look to high.
- Top ideas would be Fifth Third (FITB -2.7%), Capital One (COF -2.4%), and JPMorgan (JPM -3%), but George is having a tough time finding value in the sector.
- Previously: Longtime Wells Fargo bull rings the register (Jan. 5)
Fri, Jan. 2, 10:52 AM
Dec. 8, 2014, 4:38 PM
- Senior Vice Chairman and Chief Risk Officer Joseph Guyaux has been appointed president and CEO of PNC Mortgage. He'll replace Todd Chamberlain, who's exiting effective January 31 for family reasons.
- Guyaux has been with PNC for 42 years.
- Taking Guyaux' spot as Chief Risk Officer for PNC is Joseph Rockey who currently leads Enterprise Risk Management and the Basel office within the bank's risk management organization.
- Source: Press Release
Oct. 27, 2014, 10:01 AM
- Spotting value in BB&T (BBT +0.2%), Sterne Agee ups the stock to a Buy with $43 price target. PNC Financial (PNC -0.3%) - on the other hand - loses its Buy rating, and is now a Neutral.
- Thus far this year, PNC is up 6.2%, outperforming BB&T by nearly 800 basis points. Meanwhile, BB&T continues to make acquisitions, the latest being another 41 Texas branches from Citibank, and The Bank of Kentucky.
Oct. 20, 2014, 12:54 PM
- "Credit leverage has mostly played out, VISA gains seem to be reflected in 2015 estimates (we assume $200M in our $7.39 estimate) and [the bank] has outperformed large regionals," says Matt O'Connor, downgrading PNC Financial (PNC -0.4%) to Hold as his Buy catalysts are about gone. The price target is cut to $87 from $94.
- He notes PNC has outperformed peers by 700 basis points YTD (and by 1.1K basis points vs. the five big asset-sensitive banks), making PNC the second-best performing name in his team's 29 regional bank coverage universe.
Oct. 15, 2014, 7:48 AM
- Q3 net income of $1B or $1.79 per share vs. $1B and $1.77 one year ago.
- Net interest income of $2.104B fell 6% from a year ago, with net interest margin of 2.98% down a whopping 49 basis points.
- Noninterest income of $1.737B up 3% from a year ago, with asset management revenue of $411M up 25%. Residential mortgage income of $140M fell 30%.
- Noninterest expense of $2.357B falls 2% from a year ago, with personnel expense of $1.189B up 1%.
- Tier 1 capital ratio of 10.1% up from 8.7% a year ago. 4.2M shares repurchased for $400M in Q3 vs. 2.6M for $200M in Q2. Buyback plan is for up to $1.5B ending in Q2 2015.
- Conference call at 10 ET
- Previously: PNC Financial beats by $0.08, beats on revenue
- PNC +1.7% premarket
Oct. 15, 2014, 6:45 AM
Oct. 14, 2014, 5:30 PM
Oct. 14, 2014, 3:31 PM
- Global growth, foreign-exchange, oil, and small caps are the subject of every client inquiry, says David Kostin. His team's recommendation: Buy "American exceptionalism."
- In Kostin's view, U.S. economy and corporate fundamentals are still strong, with economic growth expected by Goldman economists to be 3.2% next year, the fastest expansion since 2005. Europe is expected to grow just 1%.
- What his team likes are those stocks of companies which have a high proportion of domestic sales, plus sectors like Consumer Staples (XLP -0.1%) and Discretionary (XLY +0.7%) which stand to benefit from lower oil prices (plunging again today).
- As for small caps (IWM +0.9%), Kostin is wary, noting downward earnings revisions have boosted small cap P/E ratios even as prices have declined.
- The list of S&P 500 names capturing two or more of Kostin's themes: GT, GM, PCLN, AMZN, CMCSA, LOW, DG, TSN, ADM, CVS, AVP, WAG, PXD, HAL, JPM, BAC, SCHW, PNC, MS, C, GNW, LNC, MET, THC, AET, UNH, ESRX, HUM, WLP, BIIB, GILD, DAL, CMI, FLR, CRM, JBL, MA, FB, MU, FSLR, VMC, MON, T.
PNC vs. ETF Alternatives
PNC Financial Services Group Inc is a financial services company. It operates in six segments: Retail Banking; Corporate & Institutional Banking; Asset Management Group; Residential Mortgage Banking; BlackRock; and Non-Strategic Assets Portfolio.
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