Tue, Apr. 21, 9:37 PM
- "This whole discussion today about when interest rates move is torture for us,” said U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) CEO Richard Davis on last week's earnings call. “I remain very optimistic for the economy … a little less optimistic for the bankers until interest rates start to move up.”
- Earlier today, Regions Financial (NYSE:RF) and Fifth Third (NASDAQ:FITB) became the latest in a line of lenders reporting slimming net interest margins. For Regions, the average yield on its loan portfolio fell to 3.45% from 4.03% a year ago. "You’re trying to book the prudent loans that you have the opportunity to, but with the level of competition in the market, it’s hard to move those rates up absent some kind of interest-rate increase," said Regions chief Grayson Hall on the earnings call.
- On average, U.S. banks with more than $10B in assets showed a NIM of 2.97% in Q4, the lowest level in 25 years according to the FDIC ... And it got worse in Q1. Six of the nine big commercial banks reporting so far - including Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) and PNC Financial - had Q1 margins lower than Q4.
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and Regions - two banks seen as particularly sensitive to interest rates - are unsurprisingly the worst performers in the KBW bank index (NYSEARCA:KBE) this year, off 13.9% and 9.3% respectively.
- What to do? Regions, for one, is trying to emulate the Wall Street big boys by bulking up its wealth management and capital markets operations. And maybe there's some more fat to trim. “We’re going to turn up the heat on expenses…and we’ll see where we get to,” said PNC boss William Demchak on last week's conference call.
- Source; WSJ's Peter Rudegeair
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, FINU, QABA, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, FINZ, KRS
Wed, Apr. 15, 6:37 AM
Tue, Apr. 14, 5:30 PM
Wed, Apr. 8, 11:47 AM
- Picking winners in banking names is tough right now, says Nomura, as correlation between names has risen to 90% this year from 60% in 2014. When the headwind from ZIRP turns into a tailwind from rising rates is anybody's guess, but Nomura figures the market will still reward those who deliver strong performance in areas they can control, like fee income and efficiency.
- In credit cards, the team sees relative value in Discover (DFS +0.7%), noting it trades at a lower premium to Capital One (COF +1.2%) than has been typical in the past. "Discover’s excess capital (9% of its market cap) and the optionality associated with having its own network lead us to believe that it is likely to regain its premium."
- For banks, Nomura is cautious as recent data suggests loan growth has not been enough to offset margin compression. If you've got to own them, PNC Financial (PNC), U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.3%), and Wells Fargo (WFC +0.1%) are favorites.
Thu, Apr. 2, 11:04 AM
Fri, Mar. 27, 9:17 AM
- Returning to a focus on making loans to smaller and mid-sized companies close to its Rust Belt base, KeyBank (NYSE:KEY) grew commercial and industrial loans on its balance sheet by 12.3% in 2014, outpacing regional bank peers like Fifth Third (NASDAQ:FITB) and PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC), where they grew 4% and 10% respectively.
- The home-turf focus has helped the stock price - up 68% since the start of 2013 vs. 40% for the KBW Bank Index (ETF: KRE).
- “We’ve learned our lessons from the downturn,” says CEO Beth Mooney. "We value good execution over fancy strategies ... We want to be where we matter and can get paid for it ... and a predictable earner."
- Risks? The crash in energy prices could threaten at least part of the Midwest's industrial expansion, but analysts say the risk is less that the loans go bad and more than the bank's strong loan growth slows.
- Source: The WSJ's James Sterngold
Wed, Mar. 18, 2:41 PM
- The Dow and S&P 500 have each turned more than 1% higher following after the Fed cuts its projections for GDP growth, inflation, and the pace of rate hikes, but the country's yield-starved lenders don't join the party.
- The KBE is down 0.5% and the KRE by 0.9%.
- Bank of America (BAC -0.2%), Citigroup (C +0.1%), Regions Financial (RF -1.1%), KeyCorp (KEY -0.9%), First Niagara (FNFG -1.6%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.1%), PNC Financial (PNC +0.3%).
- Others gasping for a yield above zero: Schwab (SCHW -1.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +0.1%), Ameritrade (AMTD -0.5%).
- Previously: FOMC drops "patient," but sends dovish signal (March 18)
- Previously: Stocks stage sharp turnaround, yields dive following dovish Fed news (March 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, FINZ, KRS
Wed, Mar. 11, 5:02 PM
Tue, Mar. 10, 9:01 AM
- At issue was PNC's role in allegedly enabling an insurance scam involving prepaid funeral contracts at the now-shuttered National Prearranged Services.
- A federal jury yesterday ordered PNC to pay $355.5M in compensatory damages and $35.5M in punitive damages.
Fri, Mar. 6, 9:46 AM
- A turnaround from the action earlier this year - financials (XLF +0.9%) are marching higher in early action as the averages slip, as nervous investors buy back in following the stress test results. Also helping are surging interest rates following the strong jobs number.
- Looking at a pretty broad screen of bank names, just two - Goldman Sachs and Zions, both of which barely passed the stress test - are lower. Among the others: Bank of America (BAC +3.7%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.1%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.6%), Regions FInancial (RF +2.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.7%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.3%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), Fifth Third (FITB +2.2%), Comerica (CMA +3.8%), BNY Mellon (BK +2.9%).
- Among those starved for higher rates: MetLife (MET +3%), Prudential (PRU +3.3%), Lincoln National (LNC +4.1%), AIG (AIG +1.4%), Hartford (HIG +2%), E*Trade (ETFC +3.9%), Schwab (SCHW +4.4%), Ameritrade (AMTD +4.3%).
- Previously: Futures slip after jobs number as yields and dollar soar (March 6)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, KBWC, FINZ, KRS
Thu, Mar. 5, 8:28 PM
- The minimum Tier 1 common capital ratio for banks is 5%, according to the Fed, and here's how the 31 lenders stacked up under the central bank's severely adverse scenario vs. a year ago (h/t: WSJ):
- Deutshce Bank (NYSE:DB): 34.7%, not tested a year ago
- DIscover (NYSE:DFS): 13.9% vs. 13.2% a year ago
- Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:BK): 12.6% vs. 13.1%
- American Express (NYSE:AXP): 12.5% vs. 12.1%
- Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS): 12.3% vs. 11.7%
- State Street (NYSE:STT): 11.8% vs. 13.3%
- Citizens Financial (NYSE:CFG): 10.7% vs. 10.7%
- KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY): 9.9% vs. 9.2%
- Capital One (NYSE:COF): 9.5% vs. 7.8%
- PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC): 9.5% vs. 9%
- Santander Holdings USA (SAN's U.S. unit): 9.4% vs. 7.3%; shares +0.8% after hours
- BMO Financial (BMO's U.S. unit): 9% vs. 7.6%
- Comerica (NYSE:CMA): 9% vs. 8.6%
- Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN): 9% vs. 7.4%
- HSBC North America (NYSE:HSBC): 8.9% vs. 6.6%
- U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB): 8.5% vs. 8.2%
- Regions Financial (NYSE:RF): 8.3% vs. 8.9%
- Citigroup (NYSE:C): 8.2% vs. 7.2%
- SunTrust (NYSE:STI): 8.2% vs. 8.8%
- BB&T (NYSE:BBT): 8.1% vs. 8.4%
- MUFG Americas Holdings (NYSE:MTU): 8% vs. 8.1%
- Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY): 7.9% vs. 6.3%
- Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB): 7.9% vs. 8.4%
- Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC): 7.5% vs. 8.2%
- M&T Bank (NYSE:MTB): 7.3% vs. 6.2%
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC): 7.1% vs. 5.9%; shares +2.1% after hours
- JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM): 6.5% vs. 6.3%
- BBVA Compass (NYSE:BBVA): 6.3% vs. 8.5%
- Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS): 6.3% vs. 6.9%
- Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS): 6.2% vs. 6.1%
- Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:ZION): 5.1% vs. 3.6%; shares -1.7% after hours
- The lenders were also informed today whether their capital return plans would put them below the Fed's 5% threshold, giving them a 6-day window with which to change those requests, if need be. Last year, both BofA and Goldman scaled back their dividend/buyback requests, allowing them to pass the CCAR. This year's CCAR results will be announced on Wednesday.
- 2015 Stress Test Methodology and Results
Wed, Feb. 18, 2:49 PM
- The financial sector had begun to turn around a dismal start to the year as February brought forth a string of hawkish Fed heads suggesting a June rate hike, but the XLF is lower by 0.8% after just-released FOMC minutes suggest markets and the hawks are getting ahead of themselves. KBE -1.7%, KRE -2%
- The TBTFs: BofA (BAC -2.2%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.4%), Wells Fargo (WFC -1.6%), Ciitgroup (C -0.8%)
- The regionals: Regions Financial (RF -1.6%), KeyCorp (KEY -1.6%), PNC Financial (PNC -1.3%), BB&T (BBT -1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB -1.6%), SunTrust (STI -1.7%), First Niagara (FNFG -2.1%), M&T (MTB -1.9%), U.S. Bancorp (USB -1.3%), First Horizon (FHN -2.7%).
- Online brokerage: Schwab (SCHW -2.3%), E*Trade (ETFC -1.7%), Ameritrade (AMTD -1.1%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR -0.9%).
- Previously: FOMC minutes: June rate hike not a slam dunk yet (Feb. 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWC, FINZ, KRS
Fri, Feb. 6, 9:50 AM
- Financials have been mercilessly pounded in 2015 as hopes for higher interest rates looked like they might be dashed yet again, but today's blowout jobs number - firmly putting a June rate hike on the table - has brought in the dip-buyers.
- The major averages are flat, but the XLF is up 1.4%. The Regional Bank ETF (KRE +2%) and the Bank ETF (KBE +2.1%) are doing even better.
- Among the yield-starved banking names: Bank of America (BAC +3.1%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.6%), Citigroup (C +2%), Regions Financial (RF +4%), KeyCorp (KEY +3%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.9%), SunTrust (STI +2.3%), Zions (ZION +3.6%), Synovus (SNV +2.3%).
- Insurers: MetLife (MET +2%), Prudential (PRU +3.2%), Lincoln National (LNC +4.6%). AIG (AIG +1.5%).
- Trust banks: BNY Mellon (BK +2.7%) State Street (STT +1.9%), Northern Trust (NTRS +2.3%).
- Online brokers (currently getting killed on money-market fee rebates): Schwab (SCHW +4.5%), TD Ameritrade (AMTD +3.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +2.1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Sat, Jan. 24, 4:48 PM
- The financial sector is off to a worse start to the year than even the energy names, with the XLF down 3.9% YTD vs. the XLE's 3.2% decline. The S&P 500 is roughly flat. The SPDR KBW Bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KBE) is off 7.5%, and the Regional Bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KRE) is lower by 6.9%.
- Q4 earnings results haven't been wonderful, but financial names had been savaged well before those reports started coming out. Instead there's a difficult regulatory regime that won't quit, and - for now - it's looking like "wait'll next year" for the rising interest rates that were supposed to drive profit margins higher. The 10-year/2-year spread - already pretty low at 150 basis points to start the year - has narrowed to 137 bps.
- A partial roll call of banks: Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) -12.1% YTD, Citigroup (NYSE:C) -10.1%, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) -9.4%, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) -9.4%, Regions Financial (NYSE:RF) -14.7%, KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) -4.5%, PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC) -5.4%, Bank of New York (NYSE:BK) -9.1%, Capital One (NYSE:COF) -6%, Discover (NYSE:DFS) -13.6%.
- Other spread-starved sector names: MetLife (NYSE:MET) -9.8%, AIG (NYSE:AIG) -8%, Prudential (NYSE:PRU) -10.8%, Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) -9.9%.
- Some of what's working in financials: Blackstone (NYSE:BX) +6.7%, E*Trade (NASDAQ:ETFC) +1.2%, WisdomTree (NASDAQ:WETF) +12.3%, Legg Mason +2.8%.
Thu, Jan. 22, 12:35 PM
- Mercilessly sold since the year turned, banks are putting in a rare session of outperformance, helped along by some earnings beats from regional lenders and the return of animal spirits in M&A with RBC's purchase of City National (CYN +18.6%) for $5.4B.
- The XLF +1.4% vs. the S&P's 0.6% gain today, and the regional bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KRE) is higher by 3.1%.
- Among today's reporters putting in big gains are KeyCorp (KEY +5.5%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), and Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +2.6%), though Flagstar Bancorp (FBC -4.8%) missed estimates.
- Others: Regions Financial (RF +3.9%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.6%), Synovus (SNV +3.2%), M&T Bank (MTB +3%), Hudson City (HCBK +3.1%), First Horizon (FHN +2.7%), and First Republic (FRC +4.9%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
- Among the TBTFs, Citigroup (C +2.7%) and Bank of America (BAC +2.5%) are leading the way.
Fri, Jan. 16, 7:34 AM
- CEO William Demchak: "The near-term revenue environment remains challenging."
- Q4 net income of $1.1B or $1.84 per share vs. $1.1B and $1.87 one year ago.
- Net interest income of $2.097B down 7% Y/Y, with NIM of 2.89% down nine basis points from Q3 and down 49 bps from a year ago.
- Noninterest income of $1.85B up 2% Y/Y. Asset management income of $376M up 3%, Consumer Services $321M down 2%, Corporate Services $397M up 32%, Residential Mortgage $135M down 50%.
- Noninterest expense of $2.539B up 1% Y/Y.
- Total loans of $204.8B up 5% Y/Y; Investment securities of $55.8B down 7%. Deposits of $232.2B up 5%.
- Tier 1 capital ratio of 10% vs. 9.4% a year ago. 6.1M shares repurchased during Q for $500M. Company has another $400M to do this quarter to hits its Fed-approved buyback total.
- Book value per share of $77.61 up from $72.07 a year ago. TBVS of $59.88 up from $54.57.
- Conference call at 10 ET
- Previously: PNC Financial beats by $0.10, beats on revenue (Jan. 16)
- PNC unchanged premarket
PNC vs. ETF Alternatives
PNC Financial Services Group Inc is a financial services company. It operates in six segments: Retail Banking; Corporate & Institutional Banking; Asset Management Group; Residential Mortgage Banking; BlackRock; and Non-Strategic Assets Portfolio.
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