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PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Portfolio ETF (PSI)

- NYSEARCA
  • Thu, Jan. 8, 4:18 PM
    • Hit hard on Tuesday amid a market rout, chip stocks have more than made up for it today: The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3%) handily exceeded the Nasdaq's 1.8% gain. The index posted a 1% gain yesterday.
    • Micron (MU +4.9%) has been one of the standouts, more than recouping yesterday's post-earnings losses. Ditto Freescale (FSL +9.2%), which benefited from a Deutsche target hike, and Marvell, which got a lift from an MKM note. Others: NVDA +3.8%. NXPI +4.7%. AVGO +5%. SWKS +4.5%. CY +6.1%. CODE +5.9%. CAVM +5.2%. SWKS +4.5%. SLAB +4.5%. KLIC +3.8%. SMTC +3.6%. ATML +3.7%. FCS +4.2%. TSEM +4.2%.
    • As is their custom, both chipmakers and their clients have been unveiling plenty of new products at CES.
    • ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Thu, Jan. 8, 4:18 PM | 7 Comments
  • Tue, Jan. 6, 1:36 PM
    • Up 30% in 2014, the Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -2.2%) has fallen over 4% thus far in 2015. Today's decline comes as the Nasdaq drops 1.6%.
    • Many names are posting 3%+ losses. SWKS -4.2%. QRVO -5.8%. AMAT -3.4%. KLAC -3.1%. SYNA -5.4%. IPHI -9%. ARMH -5.4%. SIMO -4.5%. MCRL -3.9%. AMCC -3.9%. CODE -5.1%. CY -4.6%. QUIK -7.9%.
    • This morning, Gartner estimated global chip sales rose 7.9% in 2014 to $339.8B, a little less than the 9.4% recently estimated by IHS. Sell-side firms have forecast industry growth will fall to the ~5% range in 2015.
    • Gartner thinks memory sales rose 16.9%, fueled by a 31.7% increase in DRAM sales. All other chip markets rose by 5.4%, a marked improvement from 2013's 0.8%. Intel (15% share) and Samsung (10.4%) claimed over a quarter of industry sales between them. Qualcomm (5.6%), Micron (4.9%), and SK Hynix (4.7%) rounded out the top-5.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Tue, Jan. 6, 1:36 PM | 3 Comments
  • Dec. 26, 2014, 5:46 PM
    • Buoyed by strong mobile chip demand, healthy DRAM/flash prices, and a PC inventory refresh, global chip sales will rise 9.4% in 2014 $353.2B, estimates IHS. That growth rate is soundly above 2013's 6.4% and the highest since 2010, when the industry was recovering from a gut-wrenching recessionary downturn.
    • IHS expects 22 of the industry's 28 sub-segments to see positive 2014 growth. Analyst Dale Ford: "While the upswing in 2013 was almost entirely driven by growth in a few specific memory segments, the rise in 2014 is built on a widespread increase in demand for a variety of different types of chips."
    • Growth is expected to slow a bit in 2014. Believing "the outlook into 2015 is generally tracking typical seasonality," JPMorgan forecasts 3%-5% 2015 industry sales growth and 6%-10% earnings growth. Jefferies expects 2015 growth of 5%.
    • Jim Cramer made a bull case for chip stocks earlier this week, arguing the semi consolidation wave that contributed to the industry's huge 2014 gains is far from over. "I think the logic of this consolidation is so powerful that within a few years, there will be hardly be any small semiconductor companies left."
    • With three trading days left in the year, the Philadelphia Semi Index (NASDAQ:SOXX) is up 31% YTD.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Dec. 26, 2014, 5:46 PM | 1 Comment
  • Dec. 12, 2014, 3:33 AM
    | Dec. 12, 2014, 3:33 AM | Comment!
  • Dec. 3, 2014, 1:48 PM
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +1.7%) is making fresh highs after Microchip (MCHP +4.1%) slightly upped its calendar Q4 guidance, and stated it continues to "see an improvement in our bookings and billings since our earnings call on October 30, 2014."
    • Chip stocks had also jumped following that earnings call, during which Microchip said it believed the inventory correction that triggered an Oct. 9 warning (and a major chip stock selloff) was mostly over. While a slew of chipmakers provided soft Q4 guidance after Microchip's warning, fears of a major correction didn't pan out.
    • The group outperformed a bit yesterday after Cypress (CY +2.9%) announced it's merging with Spansion (CODE +2.5%), continuing the chip industry's consolidation wave. Several firms have upgraded Cypress and/or Spansion in response, praising the deal's cost synergies.
    • Notable gainers include not only chipmakers, but also chip equipment, test/assembly, and IP licensing firms: ARMH +3.8%. AMBA +3%. MX +9%. MXIM +4.2%. AMCC +3.5%. ADI +3.1%. SIMG +3.7%. AMKR +4.2%. SPIL +3.3%. SYNA +2.7%. ATML +3.7%. ENTR +3.8%. AMAT +2.7%. KLAC +2.5%.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    • Last week: Chip stocks rally after ADI's earnings
    | Dec. 3, 2014, 1:48 PM | 10 Comments
  • Nov. 26, 2014, 2:52 PM
    • Chip stocks are outperforming after Analog Devices (ADI +5.2%) beat FQ4 estimates and offered in-line FQ1 guidance. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +1.9%) has made new highs.
    • Notable gainers include many analog/mixed-signal and telecom IC firms: TXN +3%. LLTC +2.7%. SMTC +3.1%. ISIL +3.3%. SWKS +3.7%. AVGO +2.9%. OVTI +3.2%. FSL +3.1%. EZCH +2.5%. XLNX +2.3%. ALTR +2.1%. MX +4.3%. PMCS +2.7%. BRCM +2%.
    • On its CC (transcript), ADI noted its telecom equipment chip sales are holding up well in spite of weak capex, aided by the fact its dollar content for 4G base stations is "at least 20% to 30% better" than for 3G base stations. The company also mentioned its lead times were stable in FQ4.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Nov. 26, 2014, 2:52 PM | 3 Comments
  • Nov. 11, 2014, 2:52 AM
    • The U.S. and China have reached an agreement to drop tariffs on a wide range of tech products, expanding upon their previous Information Technology Agreement at a time of strained relations.
    • Eliminating tariffs on sales of roughly $1T, the deal would liberalize trade in more than 250 categories ranging from semiconductors to medical devices.
    • The agreement has yet to be signed off by other countries involved in the talks, and will be discussed in Geneva by members of the WTO in December.
    • ETFs: XLK, VGT, KWEB, SOXL, FDN, TECL, USD, SMH, TDIV, IYZ, IYW, ROM, VOX, SOXX, CQQQ, XSD, QQQC, SOXS, PBS, TECS, FTEC, RYT, IGV, IGM, QTEC, FXL, PSI, PSCT, SSG, IGN, MTK, PXQ, REW, XTL, XSW, PSJ, PTF, FCOM, LTL, TLL
    | Nov. 11, 2014, 2:52 AM | 4 Comments
  • Oct. 31, 2014, 11:31 AM
    • Three weeks after providing a calendar Q3 warning that triggered a massive chip stock rout, Microchip (MCHP +7.3%) has provided Q4 guidance that's in-line with lowered estimates. The microcontroller vendor, which has often seen trends emerge ahead of peers, also said it saw most of its inventory correction in Q3, and expects Q4 sales to be just "slightly below typical seasonal levels."
    • Chip stocks are up strongly (SOXX +4%) on a day the Nasdaq is up 1.4%. Since Microchip's warning, a slew of analog chipmakers and microcontroller firms (e.g. Atmel, Freescale, STMicro, Intersil, Linear) have offered light Q4 guidance, and other firms have reported seeing high-end Android weakness (e.g. Synaptics, Cirrus Logic, Amkor).
    • On the other hand, several mobile chipmakers (Skyworks, RF Micro, TriQuint, Silicon Motion), some of which have decent iPhone exposure, have provided strong results and/or guidance. Other chipmakers, such as Broadcom, Texas Instruments, and Xilinx, have rallied after delivering in-line guidance.
    • Susquehanna's Chris Caso: "By now, we think it’s clear that the weakness MCHP saw in September is not company specific ... The question now is if the full extent of the weakness has been dialed into estimates. If it has, then this would be among the shortest and mildest downturns in many years."
    • Notable gainers: SNDK +3.9%. MU +4.1%. AMAT +3.9%. TXN +4.7%. NXPI +3.9%. NVDA +3.5%. MXIM +4.7%. LLTC +5.1%. FCS +9.6%. FSL +8.8%ADI +6.5%. TQNT +6.8%. RFMD +6.5%. ATML +5.9%. AVGO +5.1%. MRVL +4.7%. AMCC +8.9%. BRCM +3.6%. TSM +4.4%. ARMH +3.3%.
    • Intel (INTC +3.5%) has recovered most of the losses it saw yesterday due to Intesil's (ISIL +3.3%) results and guidance, and related comments about a PC chip inventory correction.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Oct. 31, 2014, 11:31 AM | 17 Comments
  • Oct. 26, 2014, 9:44 AM
    | Oct. 26, 2014, 9:44 AM | 17 Comments
  • Oct. 10, 2014, 1:42 PM
    • Following Microchip's warning and related prediction of a chip industry correction, Goldman's James Covello thinks there's 15%-20% downside in industry names.
    • Covello, who lowered his industry view to Cautious in August: "The last time Microchip negatively preannounced was October 15, 2012 (3% sales miss). Between October 1 and December 31, Street 2013 sales estimates for the Semi group were revised down 6% on average."
    • He adds several datapoints suggest the industry has been overheating. Among them: Semi revenue growth has outpaced end-market growth, and supply chain inventory dollars rose 3% more than their 3-year average in Q2.
    • "Nobody will be spared," predicts Hedgeye's Craig Berger. Benchmark's Gary Mobley observes 5 of the 6 chip stocks to have made Q3 pre-announcements have thus done so to the downside.
    • Worth noting: Mobile chipmaker Silicon Motion (SIMO -8.9%) is the one chipmaker to have positively pre-announced. It might not be a coincidence that Microchip has relatively low mobile exposure.
    • Observing U.S. macro data remains positive even as China and Europe soften, Longbow's JoAnne Feeney remains bullish long-term on select names. However, she has cut her short-term rating on Linear (LLTC -3.8%) to Sell, and removed IDT (IDTI -7.1%) from her trading long list.
    • In addition to the names previously mentioned, the following chip stocks are seeing steep losses: AMD -5.1%. FCS -13.6%. NXPI -11.2%. CODE -11%. LSCC -9.6%. SIMG -8.1%. IPHI -7.7%. ISIL -9.5%. CY -6.9%. RMBS -7.1%. QUIK -5.7%. SQNS -5.1%. IMOS -6.5%.
    • Foundries and contract manufacturers are also selling off: TSM -3.9%. UMC -2%. SMI -2.4%. SANM -11.7%. FLEX -6.8%. JBL -4%.
    • Chip ETFs: SOXX, SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Oct. 10, 2014, 1:42 PM | 44 Comments
  • Oct. 9, 2014, 4:37 PM
    • Microchip (NASDAQ:MCHP) expects FQ2 revenue of $546.2M, below prior guidance of $560M-$575.9M and a $567.9M consensus.
    • CEO Steve Sanghi: "The month of September is usually a strong month for our revenue after the summer holiday period. This time, the September sales did not materialize to our expectations. The revenue miss was led by China where the September quarter is traditionally the strongest."
    • Sanghi also highlights Microchip's status as a bellwether for the chip industry, due to its 80K+ customers and recognition of distributor revenue based on sell-through to customers rather than distributor sell-in. "We believe that another industry correction has begun and that this correction will be seen more broadly across the industry in the near future."
    • MCHP -8.1% AH.
    • Chip ETFs: SOXX, SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Oct. 9, 2014, 4:37 PM | 8 Comments
  • Aug. 18, 2014, 9:24 AM
    • Following a strong 2014 rally fueled by healthy industry growth and hopes for more consolidation, Goldman has lowered its rating for the semi industry to Cautious from Neutral.
    • The firm thinks industry shipment growth will slow down, and sees risk to Q4 estimates. InvenSense (NYSE:INVN) has been cut to Neutral, NXP (NASDAQ:NXPI) to Sell, and Maxim (NASDAQ:MXIM) to Buy from Conviction Buy.
    • Benchmark aired cautious remarks about the sector last month, noting supply chain inventories have been rising and Taiwanese electronics growth (seen as a proxy for chip demand) has been slowing down.
    • Regarding InvenSense, analyst Mark Delaney notes shares have hit Goldman's $25 target and have soundly outperformed the S&P 500 since being added to Goldman's Americas Buy list near the end of 2011. He adds a key near-term catalyst (share gains at Apple) has played out.
    • INVN -2.4%. NXPI -3.3%.
    • Chip ETFs: SOXX, SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Aug. 18, 2014, 9:24 AM | 4 Comments
  • Jul. 23, 2014, 12:25 PM
    • Among the year's best tech performers, chip stocks are selling off (SOXX -1.8%) on an up day for the Nasdaq following weak numbers from FPGA giant Xilinx (XLNX -14.5%).
    • Xilinx missed FQ1 revenue estimates by over $18M, and also guided for FQ2 revenue to be well below consensus. The company blamed the FQ1 shortfall on soft defense and wireless sales. BMO and BofA/Merrill have downgraded Xilinx; the former thinks Xilinx's 28nm share might be peaking.
    • Xilinx stated on its CC (transcript) the wireless weakness was mostly due to soft 28nm chip sales to Chinese 4G base station vendors; Chinese 4G rollouts have long been viewed as a catalyst for both Xilinx and Altera (ALTR -4.7%). Aerospace/defense sales were hurt by program timing issues.
    • Meanwhile, switch/router vendor Juniper offered light Q3 guidance to go with a Q2 beat. The company noted on its CC (transcript) "market dynamics" for U.S. carriers, including M&A activity, are affecting project rollouts.
    • Also: Analog/mixed-signal IC vendor Linear (LLTC -4.1%) is selling off in spite of beating FQ4 estimates and guiding in-line (8%-11% Y/Y FQ1 rev. growth vs. 9.1% consensus).
    • Notable decliners: FSL -5.3%. IDTI -6.4%. EZCH -3.3%. PMCS -4.3%. LSCC -6.8%. CAVM -4.7%. SMTC -4.1%. ATML -3.2%. TQNT -3.1%. RFMD -2.9%. IRF -2.9%.
    • Qualcomm, NXP, TriQuint, and Cirrus Logic report after the bell.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Jul. 23, 2014, 12:25 PM | 2 Comments
  • Jul. 10, 2014, 7:09 PM
    • Gartner now expects global semiconductor sales 6.7% Y/Y in 2014 to $336B; the firm previously forecast 5.4% growth.
    • DRAM sales, boosted by strong pricing, are expected to grow 18.8%. But Gartner adds many other industry segments, including ASICs, FPGAs, analog chips, and non-optical sensors, are also doing well. As one would expect, mobile hardware demand is fueling much of the growth.
    • Trade group SEMI recently estimated global chip equipment sales would rise 20.8% this year to $38.4B, and 10.8% in 2015 to $42.6B. Investments in cutting-edge manufacturing technologies (3D transistors, 3D NAND flash, 14nm) is driving much of the growth.
    • Is a lot of the good news priced in? The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX) has easily outperformed the Nasdaq this year, thanks to optimism about improving growth and industry consolidation. Benchmark observed today inventories have been rising for much of the semi supply chain.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Jul. 10, 2014, 7:09 PM | Comment!
  • Jul. 7, 2014, 3:56 AM
    • The U.S. has warned China that treaties and other global negotiations could be in danger if negotiations fail regarding their high-tech product international trade agreement. The agreement includes an annual $2T in trade, and eliminates tariffs and other trade barriers on IT products.
    • China has recently excluded approximately 60 new product categories, including medical devices and next-generation silicon chips, from the trade agreement. American authorities are looking to use this week’s annual U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue to update the 1996 Information Technology Agreement.
    • U.S. officials warn that if an agreement is not reached, increased opposition will be taken in Congress toward other trade deals with China.
    • ETFs: XLK, VGT, FDN, SOXL, KWEB, TECL, USD, SMH, PNQI, IYZ, TDIV, IYW, ROM, VOX, CQQQ, SOXX, QQQC, XSD, SOXS, PBS, TECS, FTEC, IGV, RYT, IGM, QTEC, PSCT, FXL, IGN, PSI, MTK, SSG, REW, PXQ, XSW, XTL, PSJ, PTF, FCOM, LTL, TLL
    | Jul. 7, 2014, 3:56 AM | 1 Comment
  • Jun. 9, 2014, 10:36 AM
    • A slew of chip stocks are rallying following Analog Devices' (ADI +5.9%) $2B deal to acquire RFIC vendor Hittite Microwave.
    • The purchase is part of an M&A wave that has hit the semiconductor industry over the last 12 months, as chipmakers try to gain scale, cut opex, and grow their cross-selling opportunities by consolidating. Other deals: RF Micro/TriQuint, Avago/LSI, Microchip/ISSC.
    • ADI, which shares many telecom equipment, defense/aerospace, and automotive clients with Hittite, predicts Hittite's RF, microwave, and millimeter wave ICs will complement its RF and signal-conversion (ADC/DAC) products.
    • Several RF and analog/mixed signal chipmakers are higher, but they're not the only gainers: RFMD +1.8%. TQNT +1.8%. PSMI +2.5%. LLTC +1.6%. MSCC +2.1%. IDTI +3.8%. ATML +3.4%. IRF +1.4%. SIGM +3.9%. AMCC +3.8%.
    • Chip ETFs: SOXX, SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Jun. 9, 2014, 10:36 AM | Comment!
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PSI Description
The PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Portfolio (Fund) is based on the Dynamic Semiconductors Intellidex Index (Index). The Fund will normally invest at least 90% of its total assets in common stocks that comprise the Index. The Index is designed to provide capital appreciation by thoroughly evaluating companies based on a variety of investment merit criteria, including fundamental growth, stock valuation, investment timeliness and risk factors.
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Sector: Technology
Country: United States
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