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PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Portfolio ETF (PSI)

  • Thu, Oct. 1, 2:01 PM
    • After outperforming yesterday as markets rallied, chip stocks are doing the opposite today amid a selloff. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -2.1%) is back below $80.
    • Possibly hurting the group: Digitimes reports iPhone chip suppliers are worried Apple could cut its Q4 orders, and that one "major analog IC supplier" has disclosed a slight December order cut. At the same time, Digitimes states suppliers won't know if major order cuts will happen for at leas 1-2 months. iPhone suppliers seeing major losses include NXP (NXPI -4.2%), Avago (AVGO -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.5%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS -3.1%), Fairchild (FCS -4.9%), and Analog Devices (ADI -3.8%).
    • However, it's worth noting several chipmakers lacking iPhone exposure are also down strongly. The list includes Himax (HIMX -3.5%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -4.1%), InPhi (IPHI -4.6%), Semtech (SMTC -4.6%), and QuickLogic (QUIK -5.7%). Chip IP provider CEVA (CEVA -3.8%) and specialty foundry TowerJazz (TSEM -5%) are also selling off.
    • Memory giant Micron reports after the bell.
    | Thu, Oct. 1, 2:01 PM | 24 Comments
  • Wed, Sep. 30, 1:33 PM
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +2.9%) is easily outpacing the Nasdaq's 1.5% gain after Mellanox announced it's buying network processor vendor EZchip for $811M, and Bloomberg reported Synaptics turned down a $110/share buyout offer from a Chinese investment group.
    • In addition, hard drive giant Western Digital has announced it's selling a 15% stake to a Chinese firm at a 32% premium to yesterday's close, news that has given a lift to memory giants Micron and SanDisk.
    • After surging over the prior two years with the help of an industry M&A wave, SOXX is still down 21% from a June peak of $101.80. A broader market selloff, a chip inventory correction, and China-related concerns have weighed.
    | Wed, Sep. 30, 1:33 PM | Comment!
  • Tue, Sep. 8, 3:25 PM
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3.9%) has risen to its highest levels since mid-August on a day the Nasdaq is posting a 2.3% gain.
    • Likely helping out: Microchip (MCHP +8.4%), still often seen as an industry bellwether (though its commentary accompanying last fall's warning sparked criticism), has adjusted its FQ2 (calendar Q3) revenue and EPS guidance to $545M-$563M ($554M midpoint) and $0.60-$0.66 from a prior $$532M-$569M ($550.5M midpoint) and $0.58-$0.66. The outlook comes after many chipmakers (Microchip included) offered below-consensus calendar Q3 guidance amid an inventory correction, weak PC demand, and slowing Chinese smartphone growth.
    • Microchip's core ops are said to be tracking in-line with prior expectations, and recently-acquired Micrel's above expectations. The 8.6M shares issued in the Micrel deal have been repurchased.
    • Also: Various Taiwanese chipmakers and supply chain firms have reported August sales. Chip packaging/testing firms ASE (ASX +5.9%) and Siliconware (SPIL +4.1%) respectively reported sales were up 5.8% and 5.7% M/M, and up 9.5% and down 4.2% Y/Y.
    • Big gainers include Microchip peers NXP (NXPI +6.8%), Freescale (FSL +5.8%), Silicon Labs (SLAB +4.4%), and Cypress (CY +4.4%). Others include Avago (AVGO +5.8%), Xilinx (XLNX +5.7%), Cavium (CAVM +5.5%), Analog Devices (ADI +6.3%), Synaptics (SYNA +5.4%), Linear (LLTC +4.6%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +4.7%), IDT (IDTI +4.6%), Sigma Designs (SIGM +4.9%), and chip equipment maker Axcelis (ACLS +8%).
    • SanDisk, ON Semi, and Silicon Motion are benefiting from upgrades/bullish coverage. Apple holds its iPhone event at 1PM ET tomorrow.
    | Tue, Sep. 8, 3:25 PM | 1 Comment
  • Mon, Aug. 24, 8:03 AM
    | Mon, Aug. 24, 8:03 AM | 45 Comments
  • Tue, Aug. 18, 2:23 PM
    • Having already felt the effects of a string of downbeat earnings reports, chip stocks are underperforming today amid a 0.5% drop for the Nasdaq. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -1.7%) is near its 2015 lows, and now down 9% YTD. Fresh Chinese macro fears - the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges both fell sharply overnight - could be playing a role.
    • Micron (MU -4.9%), 4 days removed from hosting its analyst day and 1 day removed from seeing a slew of analysts respond, is among the names down strongly. BofA/Merrill downgraded NAND flash rival SanDisk and NAND controller vendor Silicon Motion to Underperform this morning, which citing Micron and SK Hynix's capex plans - Hynix says it's thinking of spending $39B on fab investments.
    • Other major decliners that are tied to the industry include Skyworks (SWKS -5.3%), Qorvo (QRVO -3.6%), IDT (IDTI -6.3%), AppliedMicro (AMCC -4.3%), ChipMOS (IMOS -4.3%), Rambus (RMBS -3.8%), Silicon Labs (SLAB -3.1%), Semtech (SMTC -3.5%), MagnaChip (MX -4.4%), and Amkor (AMKR -3.6%).
    • Needless to say, multiples for many hard-hit names have come down considerably over the last two months.
    | Tue, Aug. 18, 2:23 PM | 29 Comments
  • Fri, Aug. 7, 12:12 PM
    • "We’re reducing ratings and/or price targets on Avago, Fairchild, Infineon, Intel, Micron, Texas Instruments and Xilinx owing to industry reports key China-based mobile and comm. infrastructure suppliers are pushing out orders," writes Drexel Hamilton's Rick Whittington. For now, Micron (NASDAQ:MU) is the only name in the group seeing a 2%+ decline. The Nasdaq is down 0.7%.
    • Whittington, a long-time chip stock bull, argues "the chip industry has overbuilt and overstocked for a China OEM community that is struggling to work off inventories," and that OEMs such as Huawei, ZTE, and Xiaomi are pushing out orders. A slew of chipmakers have reported seeing high Chinese inventories this earnings season.
    • Nonetheless, Whittington thinks macro conditions in the U.S., Europe, Japan, Korea, and India remain healthy. He also notes the iPhone 6S and other major phone launches could absorb some excess inventory.
    • Regarding Micron, which Whittington upgraded to Buy just 10 days ago (in response to the 3D XPoint reveal), he reports seeing further DRAM spot price declines and reports of new contract price cuts in August, something which leads him to think PC demand remains soft. Micron rallied earlier this week on a report Samsung is slashing PC DRAM output and shifting capacity towards mobile DRAM, and has notified OEMs it won't be cutting prices in August.
    • Some of Whittington's concerns about chip demand/inventories have arguably been priced in: The Philadelphia Semi Index (NASDAQ:SOXX) is down 16% from a June peak of $101.80.
    | Fri, Aug. 7, 12:12 PM | 28 Comments
  • Wed, Jul. 22, 11:11 AM
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -3.2%) has fallen to its lowest levels since February after Apple, ARM, and Linear Technology posted their calendar Q2 reports yesterday afternoon.
    • Apple (down 4.8%) beat estimates, but offered soft guidance and reported slightly below-consensus iPhone sales. ARM (down 3.8%) reported roughly in-line Q2 results and a 26% Y/Y increase in ARM-based chip shipments, while stating it expects 2015 results to be in-line with expectations.
    • Linear (down 7.8%) missed FQ4 estimates and provided weak FQ1 guidance. Notably, the analog/mixed-signal chipmaker added it saw bookings slow "considerably" towards the end of Q2, with industrial and PC demand particularly weak. Bookings have improved in July, but Linear is still "preparing for a difficult [Q3]." The company expresses optimism the downturn will be short.
    • Apple suppliers are seeing big losses (previous). As are Linear peers Texas Instruments (TXN -3.7%), ON Semi (ON -5.1%), Maxim (MXIM -3.5%), IDT (IDTI -6.5%, Apple Watch supplier), InPhi (IPHI -4%), Exar (EXAR -4.2%), and Analog Devices (downgraded by Drexel Hamilton).
    • Other decliners include Micron (MU -4.2%, also an Apple supplier), Synaptics (SYNA -6.4%, ditto), STMicroelectronics (STM -6.2%, downgraded by Citi), Freescale (FSL -4.8%, following merger partner/Apple supplier NXP lower), Microchip (MCHP -4.6%), Cypress (CY -4.3%), Lattice (LSCC -3.9%), and Silicon Motion (SIMO -4.4%).
    • Qualcomm, TI, Cirrus Logic, SanDisk, and Xilinx report this afternoon.
    | Wed, Jul. 22, 11:11 AM | 3 Comments
  • Thu, Jul. 16, 2:45 PM
    • Chip stocks are missing out on a market rally (SOXX -0.2%) after Intel, TSMC, and Fairchild posted Q2 results. The Nasdaq is up 1.1%, and the S&P 0.7%.
    • Intel (down 0.2%) beat estimates - EPS benefited from a low tax rate - offered above-consensus guidance, cut its 2015 capex budget by $1B, and pushed out the ETA for its first 10nm CPUs to 2H17.
    • TSMC (up 0.8%) beat estimates and offered solid Q3 guidance, but also provided cautious industry commentary, and forecast global chip sales will rise only 3% in 2015. A strong dollar, weak PC sales, and slowing emerging markets smartphone growth have been weighing on industry growth.
    • Fairchild (FCS -10.4%) missed estimates and guided for Q3 revenue of $355M-$375M, below a $383.7M consensus. The analog chipmaker blames the Q2 miss on "some mobile and appliance customers, the wireless telecom sector as well as general market distribution."
    • Chip equipment stocks are especially hard-hit thanks to Intel's capex cut/10nm push-out, but various chip developers are also down. Notable decliners include Fairchild peers ON Semi (ON -2.3%), MagnaChip (MX -2.3%), Pericom (PSEM -3.4%), Silicon Labs (SLAB -2.1%), and Intersil (ISIL -2.4%).
    | Thu, Jul. 16, 2:45 PM | 3 Comments
  • Wed, Jul. 8, 11:37 AM
    • Chip stocks are underperforming as the Nasdaq registers a 1.2% decline. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -2.6%) is now down 13% from a June 1 peak of $101.80, and 4% YTD; it's still up 87% from a Nov. 2012 low of $47.58.
    • Plunging Chinese equity markets could be weighing on the group. With retail Chinese investors having set up brokerage accounts en masse over the last year, there are plenty of concerns about the reverse wealth effect of a crash. The Economist reccently downplayed those worries, noting a relatively modest 15% of Chinese household assets are invested in stocks.
    • Major decliners among chip developers include Skyworks (SWKS -4.9%), Qorvo (QRVO -5.6%), InvenSense (INVN -5.6%), NXP (NXPI -4.7%), Freescale (FSL -4%), MoSys (MOSY -9.4%), AppliedMicro (AMCC -5.1%), Cavium (CAVM -3.8%), and Silicon Motion (SIMO -6.4%). SIMO also fell yesterday after favorably adjusting its Q2 sales guidance. Skyworks and Qorvo sold off yesterday morning before rebounding in afternoon trading.
    • Other names tied to the industry that are seeing heavy selling pressure include ARM (ARMH -4%), TowerJazz (TSEM -5.1%), UMC (UMC -4.4%), Veeco (VECO -4.3%), and Axcelis (ACLS -4.6%).
    | Wed, Jul. 8, 11:37 AM | 6 Comments
  • Fri, Jun. 26, 2:48 PM
    • Chip stocks are seeing outsized losses (SOXX -2.6%) amid a 0.8% drop for the Nasdaq following DRAM/NAND flash giant Micron's FQ3 miss and weak FQ4 guidance - the numbers were blamed on a mixture of soft PC demand, associated DRAM price pressure, and a manufacturing process transition. Some analysts have argued Micron's issues are at least partly company-specific and/or that PC and DRAM demand will improve in 2H15.
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index is now down 7% from a June 1 peak of $101.80. It's still up 2% YTD, and (thanks partly to an industry M&A wave) roughly 2x from its fall 2012 lows.
    • In addition to PC-exposed Intel and AMD, chip stocks sporting large declines include Qorvo (QRVO -4.9%), Sigma Designs (SIGM -5.7%), MoSys (MOSY -7.9%), Anadigics (ANAD -10.8%), Silicon Motion (SIMO -6.5%), Inphi (IPHI -5.3%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -3.8%), ON Semi (ON -4.2%), AppliedMicro (AMCC -3.7%), and Vimicro (VIMC -5.3%).
    | Fri, Jun. 26, 2:48 PM | 15 Comments
  • Wed, May 27, 3:00 PM
    • Chip stocks are posting outsized gains (SOXX +4%) amid a 1.3% increase for the Nasdaq after the WSJ reported Avago and Broadcom are in advanced merger talks, sparking hopes for further M&A.
    • A Broadcom/Avago deal would be worth ~$67B at current valuations, easily making it the largest in the chip industry's breathless consolidation wave. It would also touch markets ranging from smartphones to set-tops to servers to switches/routers.
    • Notable gainers include Avago RF chip peers Skyworks (SWKS +4.3%), Qorvo (QRVO +3.2%), and Anadigics (ANAD +4.9%). Others include Micron (MU +3.8%), SanDisk (SNDK +4.3%), NXP (NXPI +3.5%), Silicon Motion (SIMO +8.3%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +4.8%), STMicroelectronics, (STM +3.4%), Synaptics (SYNA +3.4%), Atmel (ATML +2.8%), Cavium (CAVM +4.5%), Intersil (ISIL +4.6%), Semtech (SMTC +3.9%), ON Semi (ON +3.8%), Microsemi (MSCC +4.4%), and IDT (IDTI +4.2%).
    • Non-chipmakers tied to the industry are also doing well. Standouts include ARM (ARMH +4.4%), Amkor (AMKR +4.6%), ASML (ASML +3.1%), and Rambus (RMBS +3.3%).
    | Wed, May 27, 3:00 PM | 41 Comments
  • Mon, May 18, 2:10 PM
    • Many chip stocks are turning in healthy gains amid a 0.7% gain for the Nasdaq after the NY Post reported Altera (up 6.2%) has resumed buyout talks with Intel.
    • Also possibly helping: China's big-3 carriers have announced major data tariff cuts. Brean has argued the cuts are a positive for RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS +5.7%), Qorvo (QRVO +4.2%), and Avago (AVGO +1.9%); the companies benefit from rising 4G phone sales.
    • Aside from the aforementioned companies, today's gainers include Synaptics (SYNA +4.8%), Himax (HIMX +2.3%), and Silicon Motion (SIMO +2.3%), each of whom also has Chinese mobile exposure. Other winners include Atmel (ATML +3.7%), Microsemi (MSCC +2.6%), InPhi (IPHI +2%), Intersil (ISIL +2.5%), Silicon Labs (SLAB +2.5%), IDT (IDTI +2.3%), and MaxLinear (MXL +3.5%).
    | Mon, May 18, 2:10 PM | 1 Comment
  • Fri, Apr. 24, 2:03 PM
    • Though the Nasdaq is up 0.7% thanks to market-pleasing earnings from Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, chip stocks (SOXX -2.1%) are adding to their Thursday losses after Freescale, Altera, Microsemi, and Maxim joined the ranks of chipmakers offering soft Q2 guidance; Texas Instruments, Xilinx, and Qualcomm did so on Wednesday afternoon.
    • NXP (NXPI -4.3%), set to merge with Freescale in a cash/stock deal, is selling off ahead of its April 29 Q1 report. RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.4%), and Avago (AVGO -5.2%) are also seeing steep declines.
    • Other decliners include a slew of telecom/networking, microcontroller, and analog/mixed-signal chipmakers. The group includes Marvell (MRVL -3%), ON Semi (ON -6.9%), Atmel (ATML -3.3%), Cypress (CY -4%), Lattice (LSCC -3.9%), Semtech (SMTC -6.9%), Cavium (CAVM -6%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -2.9%), InPhi (IPHI -3.8%), and Silicon Labs (SLAB -2.9%). Chip packaging/testing firm Amkor (AMKR -5.7%) is also off; its Q1 report arrives on Monday.
    • As was the case with TI and Xilinx, soft telecom equipment chip demand was often blamed by those guiding light yesterday afternoon. Freescale (FSL -3.5%) stated it expects network processor division sales to be down Q/Q and RF (base station power amplifier) division sales to be flat. Microcontroller, automotive, and analog and sensor division sales are expected to rise.
    • Altera (ALTR -3.3%) stated its "telecom and wireless business, and particularly our wireless business globally looks to be quite weak in [Q2], while the rest for our business will in aggregate be flat to slightly up." Regarding its Q1 miss, the company notes "Industrial, test, compute and storage, and to a lesser extent military, fell short of our forecast" (share loss to Xilinx?).
    • Maxim reports seeing "broad-based softness in communications infrastructure demand" and soft industrial bookings to go with healthier mobile/auto demand. The Galaxy S6 appears to be giving a lift to Maxim's mobile sales.
    | Fri, Apr. 24, 2:03 PM | 1 Comment
  • Thu, Apr. 23, 12:20 PM
    • While the Nasdaq is up 0.3%, chip stocks are selling off (SOXX -1.8%) after Texas Instruments, Xilinx, and Qualcomm all provided soft calendar Q2 guidance. TI and Xilinx also missed Q1 sales estimates, while Qualcomm beat.
    • Decliners include Avago (AVGO -3.7%), Qorvo (QRVO -2.5%), Freescale (FSL -3%), STMicroelectronics (STM -3.6%), Atmel (ATML -2.3%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -2.5%), Fairchild (FCS -2.2%), Cypress (CY -2.1%), Audience (ADNC -6.6%), IDT (IDTI -4.5%), Vishay (VSH -2.9%), AppliedMicro (AMCC -2.3%), and Cavium (CAVM -4.4%). NXP, ON Semi, Linear, Microchip, and Maxim remain lower after falling AH yesterday.
    • With the decliners including many microcontroller, analog/mixed-signal, and telecom equipment chipmakers, TI (TXN -7.3%) might be the biggest culprit: The analog/DSP giant blamed soft telecom equipment and consumer electronics demand for its numbers, with particular weakness in mobile infrastructure (a 2014 strong point) and PCs; auto and industrial demand was healthier.
    • On its CC (transcript), TI attributed the mobile weakness to delayed carrier capacity upgrades. This morning, mobile infrastructure giant Ericsson posted a Q1 miss blamed in part on weak North American 4G spending.
    • Likewise, Xilinx (XLNX -1.3%), which has strong 4G infrastructure exposure, stated on its CC (transcript) wireless sales were weaker than expected due to "continued softness in North America and a weakening in China LTE business." Wired infrastructure sales were in-line, and other markets outperformed.
    • Qualcomm largely blamed its guidance on the iPhone 6's share gains and a loss of chip share at Samsung, rather than industry demand issues. Altera, Freescale, Maxim, Microsemi, and Synaptics report after the close.
    • 8 days ago: Chip stocks rally following Intel/Linear's earnings
    | Thu, Apr. 23, 12:20 PM | 1 Comment
  • Wed, Apr. 15, 2:19 PM
    • Chip stocks are turning in a good day as Intel's Q1 report - it featured a revenue miss, in-line EPS, light Q2 guidance, solid margin and server CPU figures, and a capex budget cut - goes over well with a market that had low expectations following a March warning.
    • Also: Analog/mixed-signal chipmaker Linear Technology is higher after beating FQ3 estimates, offering slightly soft guidance, and reporting healthy bookings
    • After selling off in late March amid concerns about TSMC remarks and forex pressures, the Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +1.7%) is again within $4 of a high of $99.57. The Nasdaq is up 0.8%.
    • Linear peers Texas Instruments (TXN +3.2%), Analog Devices (ADI +2.3%), Fairchild (FCS +3.4%), MagnaChip (MX +3.9%), Power Integrations (POWI +3.7%), InPhi (IPHI +4.2%), and ON Semi (ONNN +4%) are among today's standouts.
    • Other gainers include Cree (CREE +3.9%), Audience (ADNC +8.5%), QuickLogic (QUIK +5.2%), Cavium (CAVM +3.1%), and reported Intel buyout target Altera (ALTR +2.4%). Audience (believed to supply a voice processor for the Galaxy S6) could be getting a lift from Samsung remarks about stronger-than-expected Galaxy S6 sales.
    | Wed, Apr. 15, 2:19 PM | 1 Comment
  • Fri, Mar. 27, 4:54 PM
    • After falling hard on Wednesday amid cautious remarks from TSMC (TSM -1.1%), and falling again (to a lesser extent) on Thursday in the wake of SanDisk's warning, chip stocks rallied during the final 30 minutes of trading (SOXX +2.8%) in response to a WSJ report stating Intel is in talks to buy FPGA vendor Altera. A deal would be among the biggest in the chip industry's non-stop consolidation wave, rivaled only by NXP/Freescale.
    • In addition to Altera rivals Xilinx and Lattice (previously covered), chipmakers catching a bid included Avago (AVGO +2.8%), InvenSense (INVN +2.6%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +2.5%), Synaptics (SYNA +1.9%), Analog Devices (ADI +2.5%), QuickLogic (QUIK +3.8%) (a smaller FPGA maker), and Fairchild (FCS +3.2%).
    • InvenSense has occasionally been the subject of speculation Intel or Qualcomm could make a bid. Acquisition-hungry Avago, meanwhile, is reportedly on the hunt for new deals after bidding for Freescale.
    • More than a few analysts have defended chip stocks following the TSMC remarks. Jefferies and Susquehanna have argued TSMC's issues are due to share loss to Samsung (partly for Apple/Qualcomm orders), and BMO notes Nvidia (a major TSMC client) recently disclosed adding Samsung as a foundry partner. It's a fan of Synaptics and Maxim (MXIM +2.2%) due to their Galaxy S6 exposure.
    • BofA/Merrill reports seeing pockets of excess chip inventory (for PCs and emerging markets smartphones) during a Taiwanese trip, but thinks Apple and Samsung phone-related orders are healthy, as are auto, industrial, and data center chip demand.
    • Credit Suisse: "Our cyclical and structural call on Semis remains unchanged – cycle-to-date has been well behaved, Semi rev to global GDP is poised to inflect higher and Semis relative valuation still attractive – growing top/bottom line faster than SPX, twice the margin profile, essentially same dividend yield trading at a two turn discount."
    | Fri, Mar. 27, 4:54 PM | Comment!
PSI vs. ETF Alternatives
PSI Description
The PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Portfolio (Fund) is based on the Dynamic Semiconductors Intellidex Index (Index). The Fund will normally invest at least 90% of its total assets in common stocks that comprise the Index. The Index is designed to provide capital appreciation by thoroughly evaluating companies based on a variety of investment merit criteria, including fundamental growth, stock valuation, investment timeliness and risk factors.
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Sector: Technology
Country: United States
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