Thu, May 14, 12:28 PM
- U.S. shale oil companies that cut production when prices plunged are prepared to return rigs to operation as prices rise, WSJ reports.
- Last week: EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG) said it would ramp up output if U.S. prices hold at recent levels, Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) boosted planned production for the year, Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) said it hopes to increase drilling and add two new rigs per month from July if prices continue to rise, Whiting Petroleum (NYSE:WLL) said it would ramp up production at ~$70/bbl, and Continental Resources (NYSE:CLR) CEO Harold Hamm said that $70 oil is a price "that turns it on for us.”
- These companies are among those seen as swing producers that can boost production when prices are high and cut back when they fall.
- “U.S. supply could quickly rebound in response to the recent recovery in prices,” says one commodities economist. “Based on the historical relationship with prices, the fall in the number of drilling rigs already looks overdone, and activity is likely to rebound over the next few months."
- Earlier: Oil drilling could resume sooner than advertised, Susquehanna says
Tue, May 5, 8:55 PM
- David Einhorn's critical presentation pushed Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) 5% lower over the past two days, but Wolfe Research's Paul Sankey is out in defense of PXD and fracking companies generally, in large part because of their “takeover attractiveness."
- "Pioneer is the single most attractive takeover target to Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), and the entire group Einhorn listed as short candidates based on a value-destructive business model has takeover merits," Sankey writes, adding the potential for a takeout is at least part of why the market is overvaluing PXD.
- Einhorn said investors in PXD and fracking companies overall - he also mentioned CXO, EOG, WLL and CLR - have been willing to largely ignore their high capital expenditures, but Sankey believes the U.S. energy revolution "is in its very early stages, and efficiency and operational performance continues to grow at high pace,” making long-term projections for both expenditures and production challenging.
- Previous: Pioneer Natural sinks 2.5% as Einhorn slams PXD, other frackers
Tue, May 5, 6:46 PM
- Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) -0.5% AH after posting an unexpected Q1 loss, but PXD says it continues to deliver strong well results and that cost-cutting has helped improve margins.
- Analysts had estimated PXD’s profits would fall more than 90% Y/Y but did not go so far as to predict a loss; revenues fell 8% Y/Y but beat estimates.
- PXD says Q1 sales volumes averaged 194K boe/day, up 17% Y/Y, and it continues to forecast 10% production growth this year; Spraberry/Wolfcamp production is forecast to rise by at least 20% Y/Y.
- PXD says its $1.85B planned capital budget for FY 2015 is a 45% reduction from last year’s capital spending for continuing operations.
- Says it had $383M of cash on hand at the end of the quarter vs. more than $1B at the beginning of 2015, but CEO Scott Sheffield maintains the company is in healthy financial shape and may increase drilling activity in H2.
Tue, May 5, 4:17 PM
Tue, May 5, 3:58 PM
- EOG Resources (EOG -4.8%) plans to increase drilling activity as soon as oil prices stabilize at $65/bbl - probably in Q4 2015 - CEO William Thomas said on today's earnings conference call.
- Thomas anticipates EOG would return to double-digit growth in 2016, and in this year's Q3 may begin finishing wells that it has left half-drilled, with a decision likely in July; "We don’t want to get in a hurry... We don’t want to jump-start completions" and then see the price fall, the CEO said.
- Thomas joins Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD), whose CEO Scott Sheffield said last month he was preparing for a return to growth and may begin adding rigs as soon as June.
- EOG also said current well costs are already running at or below 2015 plan levels across all its major plays, and that it is protecting its balance sheet by meeting its cash flow and capex expectations for the year.
Mon, May 4, 12:27 PM
- Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD -2.6%) plunges following negative comments on PXD and other frackers by Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn at the Ira Sohn conference.
- Einhorn calls for shorting PXD, which he dubs "the motherfracker," and says PXD loses $0.20 of present value for every $1 invested, is burning cash and is not growing.
- Of the sector, Einhorn says fracking companies offer an "almost infinite supply of negative return investment opportunities."
- Einhorn says he also is short WLL -2.5%, CXO -1.2%, CLR -1%, EOG -0.7%.
Mon, Apr. 27, 5:13 PM
- Select energy E&P stocks are ready to be bought on weakness following the recent rally in the space, Cowen says as it names Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC), Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) and Range Resources (NYSE:RRC) its top picks; the three are started at Outperform with respective price targets of $72, $216 and $73.
- Cowen says its top picks have low-cost assets and high quality balance sheets that will allow them to emerge from the oil price downturn with higher margins.
- Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN), Noble Energy (NYSE:NBL) and Cimarex Energy (NYSE:XEC) also are initiated with Outperform rating, while Apache (NYSE:APA) and Continental Resources (NYSE:CLR) are started at Market Perform.
Wed, Apr. 22, 6:53 PM
- Nomura came out bullish today on the energy E&P sector - issuing Buy ratings for MRO, PXD, EOG, CLR, APC, NFX, RRC, CNQ, CXO, ECA and SU - even as the firm does not foresee a V-shaped rebound in crude oil prices.
- Nomura believes core North American shale plays do not represent the economic marginal cost of supply in the world, which runs counter to commonly held views that largely see shale occupying the high end of the cost curve; thus as oil rebounds, so will investment in the shales, which should support prices, the firm says.
- In such an environment, Nomura says selecting stocks will depend on factors such as ”the reinvestment opportunity set, impact of oilfield technology, continued efficiencies, potential new geologic plays, management acumen and balance sheet strength."
- The firm is Neutral on DVN, HES, MUR, OAS, UPL, WLL, XEC, COG, COP and SWN; it rates NBL, APA, DNR, CHK and CVE as Reduce.
Wed, Apr. 22, 3:44 AM
- Two days after Senator Lisa Murkowski said she would introduce legislation this year to allow U.S. crude exports, Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) CEO Scott Sheffield has put the chances of lifting the ban in 2015 at 40% to 50%.
- The chief executive, which has recently held talks with members of Congress and the Obama administration about removing the decades-old restriction, also sees an 80% to 90% chance that American E&P companies will be allowed to export crude by early 2017.
- Last year, the Commerce Department gave Pioneer and Enterprise Products Partners permission to begin selling an ultralight oil product called condensate.
- ETFs: USO, OIL, UCO, UWTI, SCO, BNO, DBO, DWTI, DTO, USL, DNO, OLO, SZO, TWTI, OLEM
Wed, Apr. 8, 7:30 PM
- Analysts say Shell's (RDS.A, RDS.B) move to buy BG Group is telling potential acquirers that one of the biggest players is now confident enough to make a big play, and that the worst may be over in the big slide in oil and gas prices.
- The deal also may be the starting gun for a wave of M&A activity that oil industry observers have been predicting since crude prices started to slump in June.
- For starters, BG's U.S. shale assets likely will become candidates for divestiture after the Shell deal closes; in buying BG, Shell has made the choice to double-down on global liquefied natural gas and de-emphasize U.S. shale.
- Among the biggest players, Exxon (NYSE:XOM) and BP could contemplate deals - perhaps even with each other, as has been speculated, since BP ranks among the cheapest major producers relative to estimated profit.
- BG itself could whet the appetite of XOM's Rex Tillerson, who recently said there was "no limitation" to what he might buy - but he will be especially selective after getting burned by 2010's XTO purchase.
- Companies with prime acreage in oil-rich shale fields in Texas, North Dakota and Colorado have become a lot cheaper in recent months; Anadarko (NYSE:APC), Cabot Oil & Gas (NYSE:COG), Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD), Occidental (NYSE:OXY), Continental Resources (NYSE:CLR), Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO) and Tullow Oil (OTCPK:TUWLF) are among those at topping analysts’ lists.
- Galp Energia (OTC:GLPEF) may draw interest from buyers because, like BG, it offers access to oil assets in Brazil.
Tue, Mar. 17, 7:12 PM
- Most of the top 15 shale oil producers in the U.S. are heavily concentrated in basins expected by NavPort to be severely affected by the decline in prices, with one major exception: ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP).
- COP has the lowest well completion concentration in basins expected to suffer the greatest production cuts this year, implying less disruption than other shale competitors, according to NavPort, which collates oil well and rig data using regulatory reports.
- All 14 of the other top producers tracked by NavPort have at least two-thirds of well completion concentrated in the basins rated with "strong" or "severe" exposure: CHK, APC, EOG, DVN, SWN, MRO, APA, SD, XOM, CLR, PXD, NBL, BHP, WLL.
- Operators concentrated in basins that have been less severely affected - such as the Woodford, Utica and Haynesville basins - should enjoy more production than their peers through a higher volume of well completions, NavPort says.
- The study sees the Mississippi Lime, Granite Wash, Bakken and Permian basins suffering at least a 40% Y/Y reduction in drilling.
Wed, Mar. 4, 4:29 PM
Mon, Mar. 2, 7:20 PM
- Shares of Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) have been on the rebound since a disappointing Q4 earnings report, in part because the company’s debt levels and development costs are lower than its competitors, which puts it in a strong position to weather the oil slump, according to a Bloomberg profile.
- PXD’s debt is ~1.4x a projection for its 2015 EBITDA, according to calculations by RBC analyst Leo Mariani, who says the result is ~25% lower than its competitors, including Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO) and Newfield Exploration (NYSE:NFX).
- Investors are watching to see if PXD can close above the intraday low of $160.50 from Nov. 26, the last trading day before a plunge in oil prices sent shares down 11%, Miller Tabak's Matt Maley says, and that it would be a bullish technical indicator if the stock can “fill the gap.”
Mon, Mar. 2, 7:31 AM
- Shares of Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) are close to filling the Nov. 26 gap created when a plunge in oil prices sent the stock down almost 11%.
- If the stock can “fill the gap,” that would be a bullish indicator that may prompt additional buying, Miller Tabak analyst Matt Maley says.
- RBC analyst Leo Mariani notes PXD's conservative debt-to-Ebitda ratio and its "very strong balance sheet," saying it gives investors a “bigger bang for the buck” in terms of profitability than peers like Concho (NYSE:CXO) and Newfield (NYSE:NFX).
Thu, Feb. 19, 7:22 PM
- With oil prices low, now is the time to lift the 40-year ban on exporting domestic crude, says Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) CEO Scott Sheffield, maintaining that lifting the ban now would be less painful for consumers if gasoline prices were to rise.
- The differential between WTI and Brent - now ~$8/bbl - is widening, and allowing exports to narrow that spread could equate to an additional $8-$10/bbl for U.S. producers, Sheffield says, and "that extra $10 would have a tremendous impact on production, on jobs, on investment."
- The CEO believes there lawmakers would support ending the ban, but many are concerned that voters would blame the political parties if gasoline prices rise as a result.
Wed, Feb. 11, 3:58 PM
- Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD -3.9%) has been pummeled today after reporting disappointing Q4 results that missed estimates on production, earnings and cash flow, and providing weak 2015 production guidance; PXD also said it would cut 2015 capex by 45% to $1.85B because of low oil prices.
- In response, Barclays downgraded shares to Underweight with a $97 price target, saying the guidance implies that PXD would not be able to grow at an oil price of less than $70/bbl if it were not hedged.
- Most analysts maintained their Hold or Market Perform ratings but were surprised by the extent of the 2015 budget reductions; only Credit Suisse, with an Outperform rating and $170 price target, sounded optimistic, focusing on the positive rate of change in well performance, a key factor enhancing capital efficiency.
- For WSJ's Liam Denning, PXD is "pointing the way to a new - and subdued - normal for oil prices," noting that the company emphasized it would bring rigs back on and raise output if oil recovers sustainably this year.
PXD vs. ETF Alternatives
Other News & PR