Tue, Mar. 10, 11:23 AM
- Up AH yesterday following its Q4 beat, Qihoo (NYSE:QIHU) has fallen to fresh 52-week lows today.
- JG Capital's Henry Guo thinks Qihoo's Q1 guidance (though above consensus) may have left investors wanting more. But he expects a 2H growth pickup.
- Guo: "While Q1 2015 guidance implies significant growth deceleration, we believe it is mainly due to seasonality (Web games and enterprise security) and lottery business disruption ... For the second half of 2015, we see multiple revenue growth drivers, including further desktop search monetization ramp-up, increasing medical/pharmaceutical search contribution, mobile search monetization traction and enterprise security revenue."
- Shares now go for 12x 2015E EPS and 9x 2016E EPS. Estimates have fallen slightly post-earnings.
Mon, Mar. 9, 6:37 PM
- In addition to beating Q4 estimates, Qihoo (NYSE:QIHU) is guiding for Q1 revenue of $375M-$380M (+41%-43% Y/Y), above a $374M consensus. Meanwhile, with a prior $200M buyback recently used up, a new $200M buyback has been authorized.
- After rising 110% Y/Y in Q3, operating expenses (non-GAAP) rose 84% Y/Y in Q4 to $201.2M (compares with 95% revenue growth), and were up less than 1% Q/Q. A mix shift towards and search ad and mobile revenue continues pressuring gross margin: It fell to 76.1% from Q3's 77.3% and the year-ago period's 86.4%.
- Search and mobile growth drove an 70.8% Y/Y increase in ad revenue to $243.2M. Mobile gaming growth led Internet value-added service (IVAS) revenue to rise 112.2% to $167.4M; PC gaming was weaker than expected. Enterprise security product sales (launched in Q4) were better than expected.
- Total monthly active users of Qihoo's PC products rose to 509M from Q3's 495M and Q4 2013's 475M. Smartphone users of Qihoo's Mobile Safe app rose to 744M from 673M and 467M. Average daily unique visitors to Qihoo's 360 browser start page rose to 132M from 129M and 119M.
- President Xiangdong Qi: "Both search and mobile app store businesses more than tripled [in 2014] and have ramped up faster than expected ... We are streamlining our monetization system into a fully integrated structure that seamlessly covers PC and mobile, and web and apps."
- QIHU +5.3% AH to $50.15. Shares remain down 28% from where they traded at the time of the Nov. 24 Q3 report.
- Q4 results, PR
Mon, Mar. 9, 6:02 PM| Comment!
Sun, Mar. 8, 5:35 PM
Nov. 24, 2014, 5:40 PM
- Qihoo (NYSE:QIHU) expects Q4 revenue of $410M-$415M, above a $405.1M consensus.
- While top-line performance remains strong, gross margin remains under pressure: It fell to 77.3% in Q3 from 79.1% in Q2 and 86.2% a year ago. Last quarter, Qihoo suggested search monetization costs and product mix changes were pressuring margins.
- Also: Opex rose 110% Y/Y (above rev. growth of 100%) to $200.1M, due to a 226% increase in sales/marketing spend to $91.5M.
- Total monthly active users of Qihoo's PC products amounted to 495M in September, down 1M Q/Q and up 30M Y/Y. Users of Qihoo's Mobile Safe app rose by 32M Q/Q and 265M Y/Y to 673M. Daily unique visitors to Qihoo's browser start page averaged 129M vs. 128M in Q2 and 126M a year ago.
- The company says its 360 Mobile Assistant Android app store (competes against Baidu and Tencent) continues to lead the Chinese market, and that it has received "very encouraging responses" to display and search ad platforms launched at the end of Q3.
- QIHU nearly unchanged AH. Q3 results, PR.
Nov. 24, 2014, 5:01 PM| 2 Comments
Nov. 23, 2014, 5:35 PM
Aug. 25, 2014, 1:11 PM
- Though Qihoo (NYSE:QIHU) beat Q2 estimates and offered above-consensus Q3 sales guidance, its gross margin fell to 79.1% from 79.5% in Q1 and 88.3% a year ago. In addition, opex rose 19% Q/Q and 114% Y/Y to $208.3M on the back of a 254% Y/Y increase in sales/marketing spend.
- Online ad revenue +22.3% Q/Q and +89% Y/Y to $171.3M thanks to search and mobile ad growth. Internet value-added service revenue +17.2% Q/Q and +140% Y/Y thanks to PC/mobile gaming growth.
- Total monthly active users of Qihoo's PC products totaled 496M in June, up from 497M in March and 461M a year ago. Smartphone users of Qihoo's 360 Mobile Safe app rose to 641M from 538M in March and 338M a year ago.
- Daily unique visitors for Qihoo's 360 browser home page grew to 128M in Q2 from 122M in Q1 and 114M a year ago. Average daily clicks for the page grew totaled 749M, up from 590M a year ago but down from 772M in Q1.
- Citi estimates PC search revenue (boosted by share gains) rose 52% Q/Q to $62M (20% of total revenue), and that mobile revenue rose 16% Q/Q to $68M, with 67% coming from games. At the same time, it expects heavy spend to result in op. margin falling to 25% in 2014 from 34% in 2013.
- Q2 results, PR
Aug. 24, 2014, 11:11 PM
Aug. 24, 2014, 5:30 PM
Jul. 25, 2014, 5:32 PM
- Goldman has raised its 2014-2016 Baidu (BIDU +10.9%) EPS estimates by 17%-23% following its sizable Q2 EPS beat and above-consensus Q3 guidance, and hiked its target by $35 to $260. BofA/Merrill, Deutsche, and Piper have also raised their Baidu PTs.
- Goldman was pleased with several datapoints provided in the Q2 report and CC (transcript). Among them: 1) Baidu topped 500M mobile search monthly active users (MAUs) in June. 2) Maps MAUs have passed 200M. 3) Baidu's app distribution platforms (led by 91 Wireless) averaged 130M downloads/day in Q2. 4) The Nuomi daily deals unit (acquired from Renren) has seen its user base double since Q4.
- BofA/Merrill observes Baidu's aggressive spending growth is now being fueled more by hiring than by marketing spend, something it expects will translate into future leverage. Marketing spend fell to 11.5% of revenue from 14.1% in Q1, while R&D grew to 14.6% from 13.6%.
- Baidu made fresh highs today, and provided a lift to rivals Qihoo (QIHU +3.7%) and Sohu (SOHU +2.2%) along the way.
Jun. 11, 2014, 2:39 PM
- Acquisition-hungry Alibaba (ABABA) is buying the 1/3 of top Chinese mobile browser vendor UCWeb it doesn't yet own for a mixture of cash and stock. The price hasn't been disclosed, but Alibaba claims the deal is the biggest Chinese Web merger in history, exceeding Baidu's (BIDU +0.4%) $1.9B purchase of app store provider 91 Wireless.
- UCWeb has a 50%+ share of the Chinese mobile browser market, and also has 35% of the Indian market. The company claims 500M total browser users, as well as 50M users for its Android app store, which competes against Baidu and Qihoo's (QIHU +3.8%) popular stores.
- More importantly for Baidu (and also relevant for Qihoo), UCWeb claims a 20%+ share of the Chinese mobile search market on the back of 100M active users. A mobile search JV was launched with Alibaba in April.
- Meanwhile, CNBC reports Alibaba will likely file a new F-1 early next week that includes its Q1 results. Odds are Yahoo (YHOO +0.6%), which has been reporting Alibaba's results a quarter in arrears, will move on the numbers.
- CNBC adds Alibaba is still expected to go public in the first week of August. Bloomberg previously reported Alibaba is eying an Aug. 8 IPO.
May. 27, 2014, 6:32 PM
- Qihoo (QIHU) expects Q2 revenue of $300M-$305M, well above a $270.2M consensus.
- Q1 results trounced estimates on the back of a 120.9% Y/Y increase in ad revenue to $140M, and a 172.2% increase in value-added service (largely gaming) revenue to $124.8M.
- Improving search/mobile monetization contributed to the ad growth. Qihoo notes it's now estimated to have 25% of the Chinese search market, up from 23% in Q4; the company has been aiming for a 30% share by year's end.
- Total users of Qihoo products/services rose by 4M Q/Q and 38M Y/Y to 497M. Users of Qihoo's 360 Mobile Safe app rose another 13% Q/Q and 96% Y/Y to 538M.
- Daily unique home page visitors rose by 3M Q/Q to 122M, after slipping by 7M in Q4. Average home page daily clicks rose by 91M Q/Q to 772M.
- Gross margin fell to 79.5% from 87.4% a year ago. Opex rose 101% Y/Y to $155.2M.
- Q1 results, PR
May. 27, 2014, 6:03 PM| 2 Comments
May. 26, 2014, 5:35 PM
May. 7, 2014, 10:50 AM
- Has irrational exuberance given way to panic selling? Internet stocks are off again today, as the Street registers disappointment with earnings reports from AOL, Groupon, Zulily, SouFun, 500.com, and King.
- Yahoo (YHOO -6.2%) has fallen below $35 as the Street digests Alibaba's IPO filing. Twitter (TWTR -4.4%), crushed yesterday following its lockup expiration, briefly cracked $30 before rebounding a bit.
- Other decliners: QIHU -8.9%. BITA -7.2%. GOMO -7%. TRLA -5.2%. MELI -4.7%. ANGI -4.6%. Z -4%. YOKU -5.5%. CTRP -5.3%. WUBA -5.3%. JOBS -5.1%. GRUB -4%.
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