Thu, Apr. 30, 3:15 PM
- A big rise in interest rates early in the session made for a good excuse to sell REITs, but - with the averages sharply lower - rates have reversed course. Still, the sector can't catch a bid, with many of the bigger names down way more than the broader market.
- Equity REITs: Realty Income (O -2.3%), Health Care REIT (HCN -3.2%), Ventas (VTR -3.2%), HCP (HCP -3.1%), Equity Residential (EQR -2.6%), Silver Bay Realty (SBY -2.5%), General Growth Properties (GGP -2.4%), Retail Opportunity (ROIC -3.9%), Boston Properties (BXP -2.4%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.9%)
- Mortgage REITs: Armour Residential (ARR -5.6%) - which reported another weak quarter overnight, Two Harbors (TWO -1.1%), Western Asset (WMC -1.3%), Arlington Asset (AI -2.8%), PennyMac (PMT -1.5%). When things get tough, money does have a tendency to flow into the sector giants though: Annaly Capital (NLY -0.4%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.3%) are notable outperformers on the session.
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, REZ, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FREL, WREI
Oct. 13, 2014, 4:19 PM
- Both equity and mortgage REITs saw plenty of buying as nearly all of the rest of the market was lit up bright red, and Treasury ETFs signaled a sharp drop in yields when government bonds reopen for trade tomorrow (closed this session for Columbus Day).
- A sampling of equity names: Senior Housing Properties (SNH +1.2%), Medical Properties Trust (MPW +1.4%), Gramercy Property Trust (GPT +1.7%), Equity Residential (EQR +0.7%), Inland Real Estate (IRC +0.9%), Sovran Self Storage (SSS +1.1%), Highwoods Properties Trust (HIW +1%).
- One equity REIT sector in the red along with the rest of the market is lodging amid worsening Ebola fears: Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT -2.9%), Sunshine Hotel Investors (SHO -1.4%), LaSalle Hotel Properties (LHO -1.5%), Summit Hotel Properties (INN -1.5%).
- Mortgage REITs: American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.4%), CYS Investments (CYS +2.2%), Invesco (IVR +1.1%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE +1.5%), Western Asset (WMC +1.1%).
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, REM, MORL, MORT, DRN, URE, REZ, SRS, RWR, SCHH, ICF, ROOF, DRV, KBWY, RTL, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, IFNA, FNIO, WREI
Jan. 31, 2014, 10:26 AM
- Working today - and for the whole month of January - as the broader market sells off are the REITs. The sector - both the equity REITs and mREITs - had been punished in 2013 as rates moved higher starting last May, but another four basis point decline this morning brings the 10-year Treasury yield down to 2.66% after starting the year at about 3%.
- At least for the mREITs, nearly all put in what may turn out to be major bottoms late in 2013 amid jitters over year-end tax-loss selling and the commencement of the taper - sell the rumor, buy the news ... indeed.
- Mortgage REITs: Annaly (NLY +1.1%) +7.4% YTD, American Capital (AGNC +1.3%) +9.1%, Invesco (IVR +0.5%) +6.7%, Anworth (ANH +0.6%) +10.9%, Apollo Residential (AMTG +0.7%) +9.1%, AG Mortgage Investment (MITT +0.6%) +5.6%.
- ETFs: REM, MORT, MORL
- Equity players: Realty Income (O +0.5%) +9.6% YTD, National Retail (NNN +0.7%) +9.8%, AvalonBay (AVB +0.8%) +4.1%, Public Storage (PSA +0.6%) +4.9%, Boston Properties (BXP +0.2%) +7.8%, Liberty Trust (LRY +1%) +7.9%.
- Related ETFs: IYR, VNQ, REM, DRN, REZ, URE, SRS, RWR, ICF, SCHH, DRV, ROOF, KBWY, RTL, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FNIO, WREI
Jan. 10, 2014, 2:44 PM
- The broad averages are struggling following the jobs number, but the big decline in interest rates (the 10-year Treasury is now off 10 bps to 2.87%) has the equity REIT sector lit up bright green.
- Ventas (VTR +4.4%) is having the biggest day, continuing to cruise through a couple of early-year downgrades (latest was Barclays on Wednesday). Among those also higher: National Retail Properties (NNN +3.1%), Realty Income (O +1.6%), Health Care REIT (HCN +2.5%), HCP (HCP +3.8%), RAIT Finanical (RAS +1.4%), Apartment Investment (AIV +2.9%), General Growth (GGP +1.6%), Inland Real Estate (IRC +1.5%), Government Properties (GOV +1.6%), American Campus (ACC +1.7%).
- Relevant ETFs: IYR, VNQ, REM, DRN, REZ, URE, SRS, RWR, ICF, SCHH, DRV, ROOF, KBWY, RTL, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FNIO, WREI
Jul. 22, 2013, 2:58 PMHomebuilders (ITB -1.4%) tumble across the board after existing June home sales slipped a seasonally adjusted 1.2%. Rising mortgage rates were supposed to boost short-term demand as potential buyers aimed to lock in mortgages before rates went even higher, but the June report showed no sign of it. KBH -2.6%, RYL -2.5%, MTH -2.5%, DHI -2.2%, MDC -2.2%, HOV -2%, LEN -2%, PHM -1.6%, TOL -1.4%. | Jul. 22, 2013, 2:58 PM | 3 Comments
Jul. 5, 2013, 10:07 AM
Apr. 25, 2013, 3:24 PMThe Homebuilder ETF (XHB +1.2%) gains after PulteGroup (PHM +5.5%) reported Q1 closings up 23%, with the average selling price up 10%. Meritage Homes (MTH +1.1%) yesterday reported a 17% increase in prices, while Ryland Group (RYL +6.7%) last night said its average price rose 8.2%. "Housing demand is greater than the supply of homes available for sale in many of the areas where we operate," says Meritage CEO Steven Hilton. | Apr. 25, 2013, 3:24 PM | Comment!
Mar. 22, 2013, 1:05 PMThe mREITs are back in favor after the Fed's QE∞ hit interest margins in Q4. A widening yield curve helps, but managements weren't powerless either. Share buybacks below book and altered business plans - Annaly's purchase of CreXus for one, others upping exposure to non-agency RMBS another - are sitting well with investors. Up 2.1% today, NLY is trading above book for the first time in a long time. | Mar. 22, 2013, 1:05 PM | 2 Comments
Feb. 7, 2013, 10:54 AMCYS Investments (CYS -4.1%) leads the mortgage REIT sector lower after last night's earnings. "The opportunities ... are quite a bit narrower," says CEO Kevin Grant on the earnings call (transcript), with the net interest spread of 108 bps "a pretty good indicator" of such. On a hopeful note, he thinks D.C. may be turning its focus to the non-agency market, which would take some pressure off agency players such as CYS. | Feb. 7, 2013, 10:54 AM | 1 Comment
Jan. 17, 2013, 9:25 AMA check on the homebuilder ETFs finds both XHB and ITB about 1% higher premarket following the big housing starts number. It's no news multi-family starts were of particular strength (longer-term chart), and Lennar (LEN) got on board this week, announcing its entry into that segment of the business. | Jan. 17, 2013, 9:25 AM | Comment!
Nov. 7, 2012, 9:40 AMIt's a jittery mortgage REIT sector as last night's election assures the Fed will continue to strangle the leveraged operators' net interest margins. Annaly (NLY -2.8%) - the purest of the pure-play agency REITs - still reeling from Monday's poor earnings, leads to the downside. AGNC -2%, TWO -2.3%, HTS -2.1%. | Nov. 7, 2012, 9:40 AM | 27 Comments
Nov. 6, 2012, 2:44 PM"The active involvement of policymakers in the mortgage market ... has introduced unique challenges for all investors," says Annaly (NLY -3.7%) CEO Wellington Denehan-Norris on the earnings call (transcript), not hiding her frustration with all the meddling. Credit Suisse cuts its price target on NLY to $16 from $17. (earlier) | Nov. 6, 2012, 2:44 PM | 1 Comment
Oct. 31, 2012, 10:23 AM
Oct. 17, 2012, 9:06 AM
Oct. 17, 2012, 8:57 AMAnnaly (NLY) is upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Compass Point following last night's buyback announcement, "a smart reallocation of capital ... (and) a floor for the share price." Noting likely high prepayment rates, Compass Point says the Fed's continued bid for MBS should keep book values - for Annaly and the rest of the sector - strong. Shares +2.2% premarket. | Oct. 17, 2012, 8:57 AM | 11 Comments
Oct. 10, 2012, 9:46 AMMortgage REITs continue to slide - NLY -1%, AGNC -2%, HTS -2.3%, to name 3 - the sector revaluing itself for what must surely be significant dividend cuts. The Fed's MBS purchases - likely to help book values and dividend maintenance in the short run - are vaporizing net interest margins. Absent a big jump in leverage, returns must fall. | Oct. 10, 2012, 9:46 AM | 58 Comments
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