Seeking Alpha
 

Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF (RHS)

- NYSEARCA
  • Fri, Apr. 24, 8:44 AM
    • Is the retail rally over? After a 10-month period in which the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) outperformed the S&P 500 by 1.2K basis points, since April 2 the XRT has underperformed by 270 basis points - off 0.4% as the S&P 500 has added 2.3%.
    • The reversal comes alongside a major bounce in oil, up more than 30% since bottoming in mid-March. The thinking isn't too complicated - falling oil prices put more money in consumers pockets to spend at places like Wal-Mart, and surging oil prices is pulling money out.
    • As it turns out though, consumers didn't spend as much of the saved money as thought, with core retail sales shy of estimates for the last four months, and the savings rate hitting its highest level since December 2012.
    • Source: Bloomberg
    • Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, IYC, FXD, PEJ, FDIS, RHS, FSTA, SCC, UCC, RCD, PMR, PEZ, UGE, PSL, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
    | Comment!
  • Mon, Apr. 13, 4:53 AM
    • U.S. consumer stocks have been flying off the shelves, as tumbling oil prices boost Americans' spending power, but some investors are beginning to suffer from sticker shock.
    • Consumer discretionary stocks in the S&P 500 have risen 18.8% in the last six months, outpacing the 10.3% gain in the broader S&P 500, and the segment recently displaced healthcare as the most widely owned sector among stock pickers, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
    • The rally still has some analysts and portfolio managers worried due to elevated valuations and increasing oil prices over the last month is also raising concerns.
    • ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
    | Comment!
  • Tue, Mar. 31, 9:43 AM
    • Economists don't seem fully convinced that weather is behind the slower-than-anticipated pace of spending on goods and services for the first part of 2015.
    • Most have lowered Q1 GDP estimates without necessarily calling for a spring sales bounce.
    • Despite some indications consumer confidence has improved and a stronger job environment, consumers have increased their level of personal savings instead of spending in droves.
    • The weather excuse will get its test when April numbers start coming in.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
    | Comment!
  • Thu, Mar. 12, 8:44 AM
    • Retail sales grew only 1.7% Y/Y to trail the pace forecasts by economists.
    • The drop in sales from January was influenced in part by weather, although a higher-than-anticipated propensity by consumers to save was also a factor.
    • Nearly all retail categories showed a year-over-year increase in sales, but a 23% drop in sales at gasoline stations due to lower prices took a big cut.
    • The broad food services category which includes restaurants showed a 8.6% Y/Y rise, while sales at health & personal care stores were up 4.8%.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
    • Previously: Retail sales decline in February
    | Comment!
  • Fri, Mar. 6, 10:46 AM
    • Global consumer staples stocks are weaker than market averages as concerns on market pricing and F/X sit in the background.
    • The 1.21% gain in the U.S. Dollar Index isn't going unnoticed by traders.
    • Notable decliners include General Mills (NYSE:GIS) -1.6%, Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE:CL) -2.0%, Unilever (NYSE:UL) -1.9%, General Mills (GIS) -1.8%, Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) -1.9%, Post Holdings (NYSE:POST) -1.8%, Hershey (NYSE:HSY) -1.8%, Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) -1.2%.
    • The Consumer Staples ETF (NYSEARCA:XLP) is down 1.2% versus S&P 500 -0.4%.
    • Other staples ETFs: VDC, FXG, RHS, FSTA, PSL, PSCC
    | 5 Comments
  • Tue, Feb. 17, 8:25 AM
    • Cowen Research takes a broad look at the retail sector in a new note.
    • Analyst Oliver Chen cites tight inventory control, low gas prices, and higher employment rates as positive factors heading into the Spring.
    • F/X pressure and valuation on some names are concerns for investors.
    • Other retail analysts have become more optimistic after taking in the strong comp growth in the restaurant sector. They see the improvement as a potential early indicator on consumer spending, despite the disappointing headline misses on recent retail sales reports.
    • Previously: Restaurant sales show sharp increase in January (Feb. 11 2015)
    • Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, RCD, UGE, SZK
    | Comment!
  • Thu, Feb. 12, 11:22 AM
    | Comment!
  • Tue, Feb. 10, 8:28 AM
    • Consumer staples giants have been able to price out some of the F/X pain tied to Latin America, notes retail analyst Rahul Sharma.
    • The sector has been under a watchful eye due to the strong currency headwind in South America.
    • Today, Coca-Cola was the latest staples mainstay to navigate through the issue through pricing and allocation strategies.
    • The return on the Consumer Staples ETF (NYSEARCA:XLP) trails the S&P 500 over the last month by about 110 bps.
    • Previously: Coca-Cola +3.1% as N.A. and still beverages lift Q4 results
    • ETFs: VDC, FXG, RHS, FSTA, PSL, PSCC
    | Comment!
  • Tue, Jan. 27, 9:13 AM
    • The read from Redbook on retail sales through a good portion of the month indicates sales might decline around 3% M/M from December after the impact of auto and gas are backed out.
    • The December retail sales showed a small decline from November.
    • The Weekly Retail Chain Store Sales Index released today fell 0.6% W/W in another indication of softness in the retail sector, although on a year-over-year comparison the reading was up 2.6%.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, UGE, RCD, PSCD, SZK
    | Comment!
  • Fri, Jan. 16, 5:57 PM
    • Frustrations are mounting over stalled contract negotiations between West Coast dockworkers and port owners, prompting 175 industry groups representing agriculture, manufacturing, retailers, and other import/export operations to send a letter to the two sides urging them to solve their differences and agree to a contract.
    • While both sides agreed earlier the month to use a federal meditator, the latest public sniping has raised fears that the ports are heading toward a shutdown, which some say could cost the economy $2B/day if it lasts 20 days.
    • Midwest manufacturers have had to slow and even stop production due to delays in receiving components, and retailers are experiencing delays in early spring merchandise, including products for Valentine’s Day and Easter; the impact on the agricultural sector also has been dramatic, hurting producers from Washington apple growers to Idaho potato farmers.
    • A Cowen report this week said that while lower gas prices could boost consumer spending, retailers face increased shipping costs due to the port slowdown.
    • ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC
    | 1 Comment
  • Wed, Jan. 14, 9:54 AM
    • The National Retail Federation projects holiday sales rose 4.0% Y/Y.
    • The mark is just shy of the 4.1% forecast from the industry group.
    • Earlier today, a report on Retail Sales showed +3.2% Y/Y growth in December with a slide in sales at gas stations a factor.
    • Savvy retail analysts have been pointing out for months that holiday spending was pulled forward this year, making the M/M drop in retail sales for December a bit easier to digest.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, RCD, UGE, SZK
    | Comment!
  • Sat, Jan. 3, 7:51 PM
    • The intense competition in retail over free shipping policies is expected to bring some pain to Q4 margins as big box and e-commerce firms scrap for market share, warn analysts.
    • ComScore reports that free delivery on online purchases rose to 68% in 2014, up from 44% last year.
    • Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN): 2014 shipping costs were up 32% through Q3. That mark comes before a holiday season in which the company says it saved customers a mere $2B in shipping fees.
    • Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT): The Bentonville giant has already warned investors it will spend heavily on e-commerce and fulfillment center expansion as it eyes +30% growth in online sales. The company may have difficulty dialing back its free delivery policies, say industry insiders.
    • Target (NYSE:TGT): Wolfe Research projects a 1% shift in Target sales to e-commerce cuts into the firm's profit margin by 5 bps.
    • What to watch: Online sales rose 16% in Q3 vs. 4% for broad retail, a differential that is expected to have widened in Q4. Retailers with a sharp shift in mix to online could have trouble hitting consensus EPS estimates.
    • Related stocks: BBY, DKS, CAB, SPLS, TJX, BIG.
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCD, SZK
    | 45 Comments
  • Dec. 26, 2014, 12:32 PM
    • MasterCard Advisors estimates U.S. retail sales from Black Friday through Christmas Eve were up 5.5% Y/Y, in-line with prior forecasts. The figure follows consensus-beating Redbook and ICSC weekly retail sales data earlier this week.
    • For its part, the National Retail Federation has forecast low gas prices and healthy macro conditions will help U.S. November/December retail sales rise 4.1% Y/Y - the period's highest growth rate since 2011's 4.8%.
    • E-commerce continues taking share from traditional retail. IBM estimates holiday season online sales rose 8.3% Y/Y, with mobile accounting for 34.8% of sales; comScore sales from Nov. 1-Dec. 21 were up 15%. A year ago, Custora estimated U.S. holiday online orders rose 12%, with mobile accounting for 29% of them.
    • Globally, eMarketer forecasts retail sales will rise 6.1% this year to $22.5T, and 6.4% next year to $23.9T. E-commerce is expected to grow 22% this year to $1.3T, and 21% next year to $1.6T.
    • ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC,VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
    | Comment!
  • Dec. 23, 2014, 2:59 PM
    • The strong reads on consumer spending (ICSC, Redbook) bode well for Q4 earnings in the retail sector, note analysts.
    • Electronics sellers (BBY, HGG) and the luxury sector (RL, TIF, COH, KORS, KATE, FOSL, VRA) are viewed as being in a good position to see a December boost.
    • Companies which eased off on pulling a bulk of their sales forward with Black Friday/Cyber Monday deals are also seen as potential winners with sub-$2 gas resetting some holiday budgets.
    • Though e-commerce is expected to dazzle again this holiday season. It's not all fun and games for analysts looking at margins. The extension by Amazon (AMZN -0.1%) of its free shipping offer could be a signal that inventory levels are higher than anticipated and that the growth-at-all-costs mentality at the company is as entrenched as ever, notes Nasdaq Advisory Services.
    • The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) has doubled up the return of the S&P 500 over the last 3 months, 10.8% vs. 5.1%.
    • Previously: Retail trends to watch: Athleisure, P-E buyouts, and new online channels (Dec. 20 2014)
    • Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC,VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
    | 1 Comment
  • Dec. 22, 2014, 10:12 PM
    | Comment!
  • Dec. 2, 2014, 2:42 AM
    | 17 Comments
Visit Seeking Alpha's
RHS vs. ETF Alternatives
RHS Description
Seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before expenses, the performance of the S&P Equal Weight Index Consumer Staples.
See more details on sponsor's website
Country: United States
ETF Hub
Find the right ETFs for your portfolio: Visit Seeking Alpha's ETF Hub