RiskMetrics (RMG)
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How Good are RiskMetrics' Tools? [view article]
The tools are illusory at best. The assumption that one can capture all the risks and value them has been proven wrong time and again. In some years of teaching finance at a good university my research shows that the markets come very close to assessing risk best, but not in advance, hence the quest for tools. But, if one makes back casts the flows jump out and seeming defy capture in the model. Not hopeful and quants and add much except to explain HOW things failed. ReplySpeculator
How Good are RiskMetrics' Tools? [view article]
It would be nice if you actually knew the tool to have an opinion about it. The tool is only as good as the inputs you put in...for someone who has intimate knowledge of risk modeling, rest assured it was the tool that was flawed. It was who was doing the inputs that was flawed.Reply
How Good are RiskMetrics' Tools? [view article]
When I saw your title, "How Good are RiskMetric's Tools?" I assumed you were actually a user of those tools or had some statistical data to back up your evaluation. My assumptions were wrong, as could be your assumptions that RMG’s tools are somehow flawed or poor models for predicting risk.In almost any statistical model the long-tail, which seems unheard of to investment professionals in smooth-sailing markets, is always a possibility. What is clear is that the more esoteric derivatives will always be a step ahead of those hoping to evaluate their pricing. I think this is part of an investment banker’s mantra (i.e. “Liar’s Poker” by Michael Lewis).
Please keep this “on one’s watch list” and let us know when you have something concrete. Thanks.
Reply
IPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
Didn't VWINNER say that Visa would NEVER NEVER NEVER go under $75.00 in our lifetime!! He knows nothing!! VWINNER should use his time to take care of his own blog and his little band of followers: "Rah, Rah, Go Visa Go!!" VWINNER go back to your own blog where they idle and worship you. ReplyIPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
VWINNER do us all a favor and don't provide us with you valuable insightwhat's that? last chance to buy V in the 70's a month ago? How about in the 60's this month. and now we have RONJSQ with his expert advice and it's free. Reply
IPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
After a break from the site I'll be providing valuable insight and commentary.I couldn't stay away for long.
I missed you guys.
Jon Reply
IPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
I m Financial Analyst at Major Wall St Firm. Usually i dont provide free services, but due to current sentiment of the market, i think it as a moral responsibility to help you all out. Buy VISA(V). Also Buy Energy Stocks like Chesapeake Energy(CHK). This will be a good hedge. Buy Natural Gas stocks like SouthWestern Energy(SWN). A great stock to make good huge profit is Sirius Satellite Radio(SIRI). Fcc is soon likely to approve its merger with XM.Sirius is extremely undervalued stock right now. As soon as the merger is approved, it will skyrocket to $10 a stock . Healthcare is doing great and will soar,so buy Merck(MRK), Pfizer(PFE) etc. Microsoft(MSFT) is a great buy at this price as well.Buy these stocks on Monday or Tuesday - VISA(V), Sirius(SIRI), Chesapeake Energy(CHK), Southwestern Energy(SWN), Merck(MRK), Pfizer(PFE), Microsoft(MSFT).Reply
IPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
The writing is on the wall for Visa. This is a great long term holding. It will be even better when Joe Investor figures out it's not tied into the financial sector. ReplyIPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
Yes, man, I also get more V at 78 yesterday. Replyres
IPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
Visa is getting pummeled today and I am, Buying like it is a year end sale. Got some at 74.50 and waiting with a loaded trigger for even better pricing. EOY 2009 I look like a genius ReplyIPO Watch: Battered, Beaten and Pulped in 2008 (Except Visa) [view article]
How about Intrepid Potash (IPI), a big winner?Some financial IPOs were disasters: AGNC, FSC. FSC came at $15 and is now under $10, all in the last 30 days. Reply
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General Discussion on RMG
Is this a buy or a sell? Reply