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RSP Forum Topics
- All Comments on RSP
- General Discussion on RSP
- Outlook for Select Sector ETFs [view article]
- The Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now) [view article]
- Exchange-Traded Funds and Closed-End Funds by Asset Class, Type and Provider [view article]
- ETF Fund Revenues: A View from the Bottom [view article]
- Recent Key ETF Performance [view article]
- Today's Key ETF Performances: Financials Lead, Commodities Lag [view article]
- Friday Outlook: Crisis Half Over? [view article]
- Tuesday Outlook: March Sadness? [view article]
- ETF Fund Flows (Week Ending 2/22/08) [view article]
- ETF Fund Flows (Week Ending 1/4/08) [view article]
- Wednesday Outlook: The Bear Comes Out of Hibernation [view article]
Recent RSP Articles
- The Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now)
- S&P 500 vs. S&P 500 Equalweight
- Recent Key ETF Performance
- ETF Fund Revenues: A View from the Bottom
- Today's Key ETF Performances: Financials Lead, Commodities Lag
- Friday Outlook: Crisis Half Over?
- Tuesday Outlook: March Sadness?
- ETF Fund Flows (Week Ending 2/22/08)
- ETF Fund Flows (Week Ending 1/18/08)
- ETF Fund Flows (Week Ending 1/4/08)
- Full List of Articles »
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Considine
Outlook for Select Sector ETFs [view article]
Jonathan:As I say in the article--three years of trailing data is what I use. As far as getting rid of an under-performing sector, that will require study beyond QPP. The Financial sector is a great example. I have been very light on financials since well before the meltdown. I own some BAC, though, and it has gotten pounded. I am neither selling nor buying more. I invest for the long term and that is really what QPP is designed to help with. Over periods of less than a year, momentum tends to dominate--as I have discussed in some articles.
Personally, I do my homework up front and then I tend to get in for the long haul. I do not try to time my major investments in terms of selling out when they are down. When I am adding money, I will use data such as these to help provide ideas for sectors to look at.
The difference between under-valued and distressed is also apparent if you look at projected risk levels...
Geoff Reply
Sheinkop
Outlook for Select Sector ETFs [view article]
Geoff,Thank you for your uniquely academic approach. Can you be more specific in the length of the trailing time frames you use? As well, how often you look to make a change to a long term portfolio if a sector has just become a lead anchor? As you mention there is a difference between undervalued and distressed so when are you making your decision and acting upon it?
Thanks,
Jonathan Reply
The Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now) [view article]
Anyone I hear from, their moms and their grandmothers are buying commodities.This movie has been played before (in dot com era and in housing market). Just remember what goes up.. must come down. You can't fight gravity for long. Reply
Report
The Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now) [view article]
Energy and other commodity ETFs enjoyed hefty gains on Friday as oil spiked to almost $140 while the Dow tanked 394 points. Staying long in strong sectors like commodities (OIL) and selected foreign markets like Brazil (EWZ) has been the ticket lately. It protects you against both rising inflation and the deflating economy. Check out our website for more info. Replyspeculator
The Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now) [view article]
That story doesn't look so smart today. I have been short for more than a month. I will explain why @ theinvestingspeculator... ReplyColeman
The Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now) [view article]
Sorry ... typo ... should've said I'm NOT trying to give advice! ReplyColeman
The Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now) [view article]
Afraid not ... finished it up as it was happening! Understand this isn't an attempt to market time, rather aimed at our audience of long-term focused investors. Is this bear going to turn into 2000-2002 again? And I'm trying to give advice ... the point is, if you've got a set allocation and looking at making tactical changes only if the sky falls (or something similar) ... is it time yet to head to the hills? Some experienced managers (two of which went on the record) aren't ready to panic just yet ... and everyone's situation is different. ReplyThe Long Road: Bears Go Home (for Now) [view article]
Muray-Surely you must have written this article BEFORE the Dow tanked 395 points today and the Russell 2000 tanked 22.9 points (-3.00%). The bulls went home today. Or more appropriately, the bulls were barbecued for dinner! Bull market? Only for BBQ's bull meat! Reply
Exchange-Traded Funds and Closed-End Funds by Asset Class, Type and Provider [view article]
can you please update this list? thanks. ReplyTiedeman
ETF Fund Revenues: A View from the Bottom [view article]
Nice data! Thanks! ReplyRecent Key ETF Performance [view article]
Where can one find this information on a daly basis? ReplyConsidine
Outlook for Select Sector ETFs [view article]
Ben:Good question. I would say that this could be one data point among several. Buying individual stocks means that you have a specific view of a firm and want to own it. I would never do so just on the basis of QPP. I would also want to consider default risk via the tails--see my articles on this. Underpriced can also mean 'distress.'
Geoff Reply
Outlook for Select Sector ETFs [view article]
Geoff,Great article. I am curious - do you think that this strategy of using QPP's future projections to help predict sector performance can be used with individual stock picking? For instance, if a stock has been performing poorly and QPP predicts a significant increase in return, is that perhaps a signal that the stock is a good buy?
Thanks,
Ben Reply
Editors
General Discussion on RSP
Is this a buy or a sell? ReplyThe Wind
Today's Key ETF Performances: Financials Lead, Commodities Lag [view article]
Two of those that went down also just gave (very respectable) dividends within the last day or so. Perhaps more. Maybe the ones that haven't are close to an ex-date? Grain of salt, gang. Reply