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RYF vs. ETF Alternatives
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Wednesday, Mar 53:42 PM
Wednesday, Mar 53:42 PM| 8 Comments
- Buying the rumor? On a flattish day for the major averages, the Too Big To Fail banks are ignoring a continued slowdown in markets revenue this quarter, and instead partying ahead of what may be the imminent release of the Fed's stress test results (perhaps Friday). About one week later will be CCAR results at which the Fed gives the thumbs up or thumbs down on the banks' capital return plans.
- Word is the tests are tougher this year, but bank capital levels are also improved.
- Leading today is Bank of America (BAC +3%) - now within about one percent of a 4-year high. Others: Morgan Stanley (MS +2.8%), Goldman Sachs (GS +1.8%), Ciitgroup (C +1%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.5%), and Wells Fargo (WFC +0.6%).
- Also subject to the stress tests are a number of regional lenders, not to mention credit card players - they're mixed in today's action.
- Related ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAI, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FNCL, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KRS, FINZ, KBWC
Friday, Nov 82013, 10:41 AM
Friday, Nov 82013, 10:41 AM| 5 Comments
- Up sharply as interest rates fly higher (the 10-year is up 15 basis points to 2.75%) are the life insurers - all of whom have had their investment returns more than a little constrained by puny yields. IAK +2.4%
- MetLife (MET +5.9%), Prudential (PRU +4.5%), Lincoln National (LNC +6.8%), Hartford (HIG +3.1%).
- Also set to benefit from a steeper yield curve (if we're to believe their models) are the banks, and they're leading the S&P 500 higher. The TBTFs: Bank of America (BAC +3.3%), JPMorgan (JPM +3.1%), CItigroup (C +3.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +2.6%). The regionals (KRE +3.4%): Huntington (HBAN +2.6%), Regions (RF +4.2%), PNC (PNC +2.8%), FIfth Third (FITB +3.4%), First Niagara (FNFG +2%), Keycorp (KEY +3.5%), Zions (ZION +4.1%), Comerica (CMA +3.1%).
- The XLF +1.9%.
- FInancial sector ETFs: FAS, XLF, FAZ, UYG, KRE, KBE, VFH, IYF, KIE, SEF, IAT, IAI, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, RWW, FINU, RYF, KRU, KBWR, PSCF, KBWP, KBWI, KRS, FINZ, FNCL
Wednesday, Sep 252013, 9:43 AM
Wednesday, Sep 252013, 9:43 AM| Comment!
- Speaking at BAML's Banking and Insurance Conference in London, Deutsche Bank (DB -1.6%) co-CEO says the bank expects a "significant" drop in Q3 trading revenue.
- The announcement isn't unexpected, and follows a similar warning from Citigroup over the weekend, numerous other rumblings from investor conferences this month, and Jefferies' already reported ugly (from a trading standpoint) Q3.
- Previous: FICC trading revenue has been slipping for years and should be in analyst models by this point.
- Banks (KRE -0.6%), (KBE -0.4%) again are leading the market decline.
- Financials ETFs: XLF, IYF, PFI, VFH, RYF, RWW, FAS, UYG, FAZ, SKF, SEF, IAI, FXO, PSCF, KBWD, KBWB, IYG, FINU, FINZ.
Monday, Sep 232013, 10:23 AM
Monday, Sep 232013, 10:23 AM| 2 Comments
- The financial sector (XLF -1.2%) leads the market lower following Citigroup's warning about Q3 trading revenues. SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE -1.3%). Not necessarily exposed to trading activity, regional banks are nevertheless not spared, the Regional Banking ETF (KRE -1.3%). The TBTF banks are all off between 2 and 3 percent.
- Related ETFs: XLF, IYF, PFI, VFH, RYF, RWW, FAS, UYG, FAZ, SKF, SEF, IAI, FXO, PSCF, KBWD, KBWB, IYG, FINU, FINZ, KBWB, IAT, KBE, KRE, RKH, QABA, KRU, KRS, KBWR.
Thursday, Mar 142013, 5:14 PMAfter hours movers in the banks: JPM -2.5% and GS -2.1% after the two had their capital proposals approved but were asked to submit new plans "to address weakness in their capital planning processes." WFC +0.4%, BAC +3.8% after no dividend hike, but a whopping $10.5B in share repurchases and redemption of high-yielding preferreds. Morgan Stanley +0.9%. The XLF +0.1%. |Thursday, Mar 142013, 5:14 PM| 18 Comments
Monday, Dec 172012, 6:50 PMFinancials add to the regular session's big gains as Meredeth Whitney gets bullish on the sector, particularly Bank of America, Citigroup, and Discover. The catalyst for the group will be the March release of the Fed's stress tests showing them adequately capitalized, paving the way for more share repurchases and dividend bumps. BAC +2.1%, C +0.5%, DFS +2.3%, XLF +0.4% AH. |Monday, Dec 172012, 6:50 PM| 8 Comments
Wednesday, Dec 52012, 9:44 AM
Friday, Jul 202012, 12:29 PMIt's a "risk off" day for European financials (EUFN -3.4%), after Spain's expected bank bailout approval is accompanied by a weak GDP forecast. Unsurprisingly, Spanish banks are the biggest losers: SAN -7.7%. BBVA -8.4%. U.S. banks are only doing better by comparison (XLF -1.3%). |Friday, Jul 202012, 12:29 PM| 8 Comments
Thursday, Jul 192012, 1:03 PMThe 30 bp decline in Bank of America's (BAC) net interest margin represents $1.27B in lost quarterly earnings power, says Josh Steiner, a "hit (that) is recurring, not one time." This deterioration in bank's underlying business may help explain the sharp decline in the stock (-4% today, -4.8% yesterday) despite a headline beat on earnings thanks to a large reserve release. |Thursday, Jul 192012, 1:03 PM| 8 Comments
Thursday, Jun 282012, 6:25 AMIt's setting up to be a bad morning for financials. Barclays (BCS) -8.6% premarket as pressure grows for Diamond to quit, and JPMorgan (JPM) -5.2% on reports its trading loss could hit $9B. Perhaps in sympathy, other financial names are also dropping, outpacing the pullback by S&P futures: BAC -1.5%, MS -1.15%, C -1%, WFC -1%. |Thursday, Jun 282012, 6:25 AM| 11 Comments
Monday, Aug 152011, 5:15 PMFinancial stocks recouped some of their early-August losses today. Bank of America (BAC +7.9%) headlined the winners, thanks to its credit card business sale and positive news regarding its Countrywide lawsuits, but other big names also got a lift. MS +6.1%. AIG +6%. C +4.8%. WFC +3.7%. STI +5.9%. USB +3.7%. |Monday, Aug 152011, 5:15 PM| Comment!