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Dec. 9, 2013, 12:00 PM
- December is the new January as far as small caps are concerned, with Arthur Hill pointing out it's actually the year's last month when small caps are most likely to outperform the market - they do it 74% of the time vs. 50% in January (and a range of 40-60% for the rest of the year).
- The Russell 2000 (IWM -0.2%) is off today as the S&P 500 (SPY +0.3%) rises, and thus far this month the S&P 500 - is ahead of the Russell by 140 basis points.
- Small cap ETFs: IJS, IWM, TZA, TNA, UWM, VB, IJR, SLY, EES, RWJ, VBR, VBK, URTY, TWM, IWN, SCHA, IWO, IJT, RWM, SRTY, SAA, JKL, DWAS, VTWO, SLYG, RZV, SLYV, SBB, SDD, JKJ, RSCO, RZG, TILT, UKK, XSLV, FYX, VTWG, VIOO, JKK, SKK, FYT, VIOG, EWRS, UVT, VIOV, PXSV, TWOK, VTWV, SMLV, SJH, FNDA, FYC, IESM, VLU, PXSG, PXSC
Jul. 9, 2013, 3:11 PMState Street (STT) is competing aggressively on price with the launch of its Russell 2000 ETF (TWOK) - the fund will have an expense ratio of 0.12% vs. iShares' (BLK) IWM with expenses of 0.24%, and Vanguard's VTWO at 0.21%. In addition, SSgA is relaunching 3 existing ETFs after refitting them to Russell indexes. The SPDR Russell 3000 ETF (THRK) replaces the SPDR Dow Jones Total Market ETF (TMW), with expense ratio halved to 0.10%. The SPDR Russell 1000 ETF (ONEK) replaces the SPDR Dow Jones Large Cap ETF (ELR), with expense ratio halved to 0.10%. The SPDR Russell Small Cap Completeness ETF (RSCO) replaces the SPDR Dow Jones Mid Cap ETF (EMM) with expense ratio falling to 0.10% from 0.25%. | Comment!
Jul. 8, 2013, 3:54 PMState Street (STT) looks to take on iShares' (BLK) dominant small cap ETF (IWM) with the Tuesday launch of the SPDR Russell 2000 ETF (TWOK). IWM currently has $23.3B in AUM and an expense ratio of 0.24%. This compares to other far smaller competitors like Schwab's SCHA at 0.08% and Vanguard's VB at 0.10%. Previous: Small cap stocks outpace the S&P 500. Other reasonably popular ETFs: IJS, IJR.
| 4 Comments
Jun. 4, 2013, 10:51 AMBNP's "Love-Panic Index" signals a correction ahead as it crossed into "love" territory a few weeks back. Past experience says to brace for an average 12% decline in the S&P (SPY) over the next 6 months. The biggest drivers of the recent move into "love" have been State Street's Investor Confidence, the CFTC's COT report, falling short interest, rising Nasdaq to NYSE trading volume, and small caps (IWM) outperformance over large caps (IWB). | 14 Comments
May. 20, 2013, 3:11 PMThe Russell 2000 (IWM) cracked 1,000 for the first time this morning, but the small cap sector is far from over-loved by the fund managers who invest in it, according to Credit Suisse's Lori Calvasina - they ended Q1 with cash holdings at a near 10-year high. Indexing (IJR, IWO, IWN XSLV are some others) beats most active management, but Calvasina screened for stocks owned by fewer than 50 small-cap funds with $500M-$1.5B market cap, and with favorable investment ratings. No surprise the answer is heavy on mREITs - MTGE, AMTG, PMT. Also coming up: OMX and WFR. | Comment!
May. 9, 2013, 3:24 PM"Our enthusiasm is clearly a notch below where we were at the beginning of the year," write Credit Suisse analysts, starting to see a bit of froth creep into small caps. At 16.4x earnings, the Russell 2000 (IWM) "has admittedly lost its valuation appeal." For now, they're buyers on dips, but should the index near the 1,000 level, valuation pressure will really start to be felt. | 3 Comments
Apr. 26, 2013, 9:26 AM
Apr. 15, 2013, 12:38 PM
Apr. 14, 2013, 8:25 AMThe reconstitution of the Russell indexes coming up in June, Credit Suisse aims to anticipate who's in and who's out. The rules-based approach of the Russell 2000 has allowed arbitragers to profit each summer by front-running the moves, making the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) a poorer play for small cap fans than IJR . Expected among the top 25 adds are ARCP, SRPT, PBYI, ACAD, and WSTC. Among the top 25 deletes: CPST, FCEL, CHKE, OMER, and EML. | 1 Comment
Mar. 26, 2013, 1:27 PMSmall-cap stocks are set to outperform, according to Goldman research showing the IWM outperforms the SPY by an annualized 8.1% in quarters following a steep drop in the VIX. The "acute" decline in the VIX YTD "provides a tailwind to small-cap performance in 2Q13." A must-read for small cap index fans is SA author Ploutos' piece suggesting IJR is your best bet. | 3 Comments
Mar. 22, 2013, 12:29 PMLagging the solid rise in stocks today are small caps, the Russell 2000 (IWM) up 0.1% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq post better than 0.5% gains. Thus far in 2013, IWM is about level with the S&P, but is about 300 bps better on a Y/Y basis. IJR - maybe better for small cap fans - has outperformed both. | Comment!
Feb. 19, 2013, 9:10 AMOwners of the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) may be able to declare arbitragers as dependents on their tax returns. Sharp traders have been gaming the rules-based rebalancing of the popular small-cap index for sweet profits each summer. Small-cap fans should instead take a look at IJR - it's performed better thanks to inclusion rules that may make more sense and are less likely to be arbitraged. | Comment!
Jan. 7, 2013, 12:47 PMWith U.S. small caps "picked over," some managers are looking overseas for ideas. International valuations are at 13X earnings and dividend yields of 3% vs. domestic at 15X and 2%, according to Mark Bogar, whose firm is allocating 57% of it small cap exposure to foreign holdings, a big jump from a year ago. | 1 Comment
Dec. 21, 2012, 12:33 PM
Dec. 6, 2012, 3:46 PMJohn Bogle's never bought the idea that small caps outperform large caps over time, but his assertion is based on the removal from the 20th century a decade of particular small cap outperformance starting in 1973. Without it, he says, large caps have actually done better. Is this fair? What if we remove a decade of large cap dominance? In 2012, microcaps (IWC) have gained 15%, vs. 11.6% for the Russel 2000 (IWM), and 13.6% for the SPY. | 2 Comments
Nov. 14, 2012, 11:16 AMMoving mostly in line with the S&P in the selloff since the Fed's mid-September QE∞ announcement, the Russell 2000 (IWM) begins to more sharply underperform over the past session and a half. The Russell's relative strength 2 months ago may have signalled a top. Could its weakness now be the start of a bottom forming? | 1 Comment
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