Fri, Mar. 27, 11:19 AM
- Southern Copper (SCCO -3.9%) has canceled its $1.4B Tia Maria project amid protests in Peru, the company's head of institutional relations in the country reportedly tells a local radio station.
- Tia Maria has been stalled for the last three years after local residents protested that the mine would hurt water supplies.
- The project was expected to produce 120K metric tons/year of copper over two decades.
Wed, Feb. 4, 12:28 PM
- Southern Copper (SCCO +2.1%) posted a 14% drop in Q4 net earnings to $348M, mainly due to lower prices for copper, but topped the consensus analyst estimate of $297M.
- Q4 EBITDA fell 8.7% to $664M
- Sales were $1.47B in the quarter, down from $1.54B a year earlier; sales for the full year totaled $5.79B, down 2.8% Y/Y, as weaker metal prices offset a 9.7% increase in its copper production.
- FY 2014 production totaled 676.6K metric tons of copper, vs. 617K tons in 2013, while molybdenum production rose 16% to 23.1K tons from 19.9K tons in the prior year.
- SCCO says the $1.2B expansion of its Toquepala mine and its $1.4B proposed mine Tia Maria, both in Peru, should add 220K metric tons of copper and 3.1K tons of molybdenum to its production capacity, and expansion to its Buenavista mine in Mexico is seen adding 308K tons of copper and 4.6K tons of molybdenum to annual production capacity.
Tue, Feb. 3, 10:24 AM
- Copper prices are on track for their biggest gains since September on speculation that China would use stimulus measures to jump-start its economy and boost demand for the metal.
- Rising oil prices and Chinese stimulus speculation “have changed the focus to the upside and the short-covering has done the rest,” says Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen, adding that “energy is such a big and important part of the commodity sector, and the somewhat improved sentiment there also helps other” raw materials; aluminum and nickel also are rising to multi-week highs.
- "We’re in this perverse world where bad news is good news,” says BNP Paribas analyst Stephen Briggs, and "a lot of people are thinking China’s going to join the rest of the world and lower interest rates or [offer] some kind of monetary response."
- Raw materials companies are off to a strong start today: FCX +5.8%, BHP +3.9%, RIO +2.4%, VALE +3.9%, SCCO +3.4%.
- ETFs: JJC, DBB, JJN, JJU, JJT, CPER, BOM, RJZ, BOS, LD, BDD, JJM, FOIL, NINI, CUPM
Fri, Jan. 23, 11:18 AM
- Iron ore miners are broadly lower after Goldman Sachs becomes the latest global bank to deliver a dismal outlook for the steel-making ingredient, forecasting an average price of $66/metric ton this year from an earlier estimate of $80.
- Goldman is at least the fifth bank this month to lower estimates, citing rising seaborne supplies and weaker demand growth from China; just last week, Citigroup cut its iron ore forecast to $58 in 2015, down from its earlier $65, and UBS lowered its target to $66 from $85.
- Low-cost expansions likely will continue as major producers are still mining iron ore at a profit, which would expand the global seaborne surplus from 47M tons this year to 260M tons by 2018, Goldman says.
- Iron ore miners: VALE -8%, BHP -3%, RIO -3.6%, CLF -7.6%.
- Copper miners: FCX -2.6%, SCCO -2.4%, TCK -2.6%.
- Steel companies: X -6.3%, MT -7.1%, AKS -3.2%, NUE -1.2%, STLD -3%, CMC -3.8%, TMST -2.4%.
- Earlier: Goldman gives in on mined commodities
Fri, Jan. 16, 5:36 PM
Wed, Jan. 14, 12:39 PM
- Citi cuts price targets for iron ore to $58 for 2015 and $62 for 2016, down from its prior estimates of $65 for both years, and lowers its outlook for thermal and met coal.
- Citi warns its downwardly revised forecast means it now expects earnings for major mining companies will fall by 9%-21% for 2015 and by 3%-16% in 2016.
- Rio Tinto (RIO -2.5%) is the exception, as Citi sees earnings rising 7.1% this year and 10.6% next year due to the company’s greater exposure to the weaker Australian dollar.
- The firm cuts its price target for Glencore (OTCPK:GLCNF -7.2%) by 8% to £3.60 from £3.90 and sees earnings falling 21% and 16% respectively in 2015 and 2016.
- Citi says it is still bullish on the sector, but warns that metals and mining companies will only slowly grind higher over the next few years.
- Also: BHP -4.5%, VALE -5%, FCX -12%, SCCO -4.9%, TCK -9.7%, CLF -4.4%, CENX -9.1%, MT -4.2%, X -4.9%, NUE -3.4%, STLD -2.6%, BTU -9.8%, ANR -8.8%, ACI -8.9%.
Wed, Jan. 14, 10:28 AM
- Freeport McMoRan (FCX -10.8%) sinks to a 52-week low as copper prices fall 4.5% to collapse to 2009 levels, though it is off overnight lows after prices were down nearly 9% at one point in London.
- Other big global miners also are sharply lower: SCCO -7.3%, RIO -2.5%, BHP -4.4%, VALE -3.8%, CLF -5.8%.
- Concerns over a supply glut and slowing consumption in China have weighed on copper prices in recent months; copper is often seen as an omen for the global economy because it is used in a wide array of construction and manufacturing activities, so today's precipitous drop explains much of the weakness in global equity markets.
- The iPath Dow Jones UBS Copper Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSEARCA:JJC) is trading so heavily that nearly 60% of the average full-day volume traded in the first 10 minutes this morning.
- ETFs: CPER, CUPM, DBB, BOM, RJZ, BOS, BDD, JJM, RGRI, UBM, BDG, USMI, HEVY
Wed, Jan. 14, 9:17 AM
Dec. 18, 2014, 1:22 PM
- Peru's government approves the environmental study for Southern Copper's (SCCO +2.8%) $1.2B expansion of its Toquepala mine, a project expected to raise the miner's copper output by 100K metric tons/year.
- Construction on the expansion, which will add a new concentrator at the mine and boost its tailings storage capacity, is scheduled to wrap up in two years.
Nov. 3, 2014, 1:14 PM| Comment!
Oct. 29, 2014, 3:49 PM
- Southern Copper (SCCO -2.4%) reports Q3 earnings of $0.39/share, below the analyst consensus estimate of $0.33, on revenues of $1.48B, up 6/7% Y/Y but slightly below analyst consensus $1.53B, and revises down its forecast for next year's copper output by 9.8% to 758K metric tons.
- SCCO also says it expects to receive a key environmental permit for the $1.2B expansion of its Toquepala mine in Peru in mid-November; work at Toquepala would then start at the beginning of next year, when construction of its $1.4B Tia Maria copper project also is scheduled to begin.
- The expansion at Toquepala is expected to add 100K metric tons to SCCO's annual production capacity.
Feb. 7, 2014, 2:27 PM
- Southern Copper (SCCO +3.9%) says it expects record capital expenditures in 2014 as it advances projects that will boost production from its operations in Mexico and Peru.
- The miner expects to invest $2.3B in 2014, which would be a 35% increase over the $1.7B spent last year. but then decline to $1.6B in 2015, $900M in 2016 and $500M in 2017, when it wraps up its current expansion program.
- The Buenavista mine in Mexico is seen as the main driver of SCCO's increased production this year; the company has been advancing a $3.4B expansion program that will increase the mine's production capacity to 488K tons/year of copper in 2015 from the current 180K tons.
- Q4 earnings
Feb. 7, 2014, 10:49 AM| 2 Comments
Jan. 14, 2014, 12:36 PM
- It's time to take profits in Freeport McMoRan (FCX +0.2%) after a strong six-month run, FBR Capital says in downgrading shares to Market Perform from Outperform.
- While investors are excited at the possibility of an MLP of FCX's California oil and gas assets, the firm believes proceeds ($5.3B-$6B) may not be enough to support expanded valuation and giving up diversified exposure, which was one of the rationales for the acquisition of the assets.
- FBR sees Southern Copper (SCCO +2.1%) as a better bet now; it thinks most of the production growth/dividend cut risk now has been priced in, valuation has become more attractive, and SCCO should restart work on its troubled Tia Maria project by March.
Dec. 30, 2013, 12:48 PM
- Southern Copper (SCCO +1.6%) is upgraded to Buy from Hold with a $34 price target at BB&T, which believes SCCO is poised to deliver significant production growth starting in 2015.
- The firm thinks the stock's risk/reward profile has improved greatly following higher expectations which have been reset in the past few quarters, tightening global copper supply/demand, and projected higher output upon completion of the Buenavista expansion.
Dec. 20, 2013, 10:53 AM
- Peru expects to approve a key environmental permit for the development of Southern Copper's (SCCO +1.9%) delayed Tia Maria copper mine project within the next 90 days, a top government official says after meeting with local residents.
- Tia Maria was suspended in 2011 after violent protests from opponents worried that it would deplete the water supply for local agriculture, but SCCO has since reworked its environmental study and says the new mine plan addresses local concerns.
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