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Fri, Jul. 11, 1:32 PM
- The Nikkei reports SoftBank (SFTBF) is close to a deal for a Sprint (S +4.4%)/T-Mobile (TMUS +1.9%) merger. Shares of both companies have moved higher.
- Reuters reported 3 weeks ago Sprint and T-Mobile were looking to announce a deal around August, and that the former had lined up a $40B+ debt package. Prior reports mentioned a ~$40/share T-Mobile acquisition price and a $2B breakup fee.
- T-Mobile is still below $34, as doubts about regulatory support for a deal remain high.
- Prior Sprint/T-Mobile coverage
Thu, Jul. 10, 6:18 PM
- Alibaba (BABA) could launch its IPO process (roadshow included) at the end of July, sources tell the WSJ. With the process typically taking 2 weeks from start to finish, an IPO could happen around mid-August.
- Bloomberg reported in June Alibaba was eying an Aug. 8 IPO. The Chinese e-commerce Chinese is believed to be mulling a $20B+ offering.
- Yahoo (YHOO), whose Q2 results arrive on July 15, is required to sell a decent chunk of its 22.6% stake at IPO time. Many on the Street are hoping details will be given on the Q2 CC about Yahoo's plans for the windfall. Topeka estimates post-tax proceeds from Yahoo's IPO share sale of $9B.
Thu, Jun. 19, 6:06 PM
- Sprint (S) has "lined up eight banks" to finance a T-Mobile (TMUS) acquisition, Reuters reports. The companies will reportedly "seek to finalize details of the financing in the coming month so they could announce a merger around August."
- The financing includes a $40B+ debt package featuring a ~$20B bridge loan from Sprint parent SoftBank (SFTBF), and a $20B refinancing of T-Mobile's present debt. Sprint currently has $26.6B in net debt, and T-Mobile roughly $9B.
- Bloomberg reported on June 4 Sprint and T-Mobile were near a deal valuing the latter at ~$40/share. CNBC reported last Friday the companies had agreed on a $2B breakup fee, and to have the post-merger company (should regulators allow it to exist) go under the T-Mobile name.
- S +0.5% AH. TMUS +0.9%.
Fri, Jun. 13, 10:28 AM
- CNBC's reported breakup fee figure is higher than the $1B+ previously reported by the WSJ, but still well below the $4B T-Mobile (TMUS +0.2%) was paid by AT&T.
- The TV network also reports Sprint (S +1.8%) and T-Mobile have agreed the post-merger company will be called T-Mobile. Though the carriers are roughly equal in size, T-Mobile has been performing much better as of late, and keeping its name would please parent Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY), which uses the T-Mobile brand in other markets.
- Past reports have noted brash T-Mobile CEO John Legere will likely be the head of the combined company.
- Sprint is trading higher. With skepticism about regulatory approval still running high, a reports about a relatively low breakup fee might be going over well with the Street.
- Previous: Sprint, T-Mobile reportedly near agreement on ~$40/share deal
Wed, Jun. 4, 5:56 PM
- Bloomberg reports Sprint (S) and T-Mobile USA (TMUS) are near an agreement for a deal that would value T-Mobile at ~$40/share. The WSJ is also reporting a ~$40/share price.
- S +3.7% AH. TMUS +3.2% to $36.02 - a price that points to ongoing regulatory worries.
- Sprint's offer will reportedly feature a 50-50 cash/stock split, and leave Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY), which currently owns 67% of T-Mobile, with a 15% stake in the combined company. Bloomberg's sources state an announcement could happen by July.
- In addition, the carriers are reportedly close to agreeing on a breakup fee - Sprint and parent SoftBank (SFTBF) have reportedly been pushing for a smaller breakup fee for a deal that's bound to face tough DOJ/FCC scrutiny; T-Mobile and Deutsche Telekom have wanted a bigger one.
- More on Sprint/T-Mobile
Thu, May. 29, 9:12 AM
- Japan's Kyodo news agency reports Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) has signed off on a SoftBank (SFTBF)/Sprint (S) bid to acquire its 67% stake in T-Mobile USA (TMUS).
- DT has previously suggested it's open to a deal as SoftBank/Sprint worked to line up financing - in addition to T-Mobile's equity, a deal has to account for $8.7B in net debt.
- But all signs suggest regulators remain wary of a tie-up lowering the number of nationwide U.S. mobile carriers to three, in spite of Masayoshi Son's relentless PR efforts.
- TMUS +1.6% premarket. S +2.5%.
Mon, May. 19, 4:05 PM
- Citing sources, CNBC reports Alibaba (ABABA) "could look to make its stock market debut the first week of August."
- The company reportedly expects to receive feedback from the SEC about its F-1 filing (published two weeks ago) as soon as June 7, and then "spend a few weeks correcting or clarifying any issues raised." Presumably, Alibaba would then launch its IPO roadshow.
- Yahoo (YHOO +1.4%) followed Internet peers higher today. The company sold off after Alibaba filed its F-1, but rallied in April after posting Alibaba's Q4 numbers.
- The Q4 figures led some of the sell-side to argue a $200B+ post-IPO valuation is possible. The recent selloff in Chinese Internet stocks might temper Alibaba's multiples a bit.
- Related tickers: SFTBF, SFTBY
Mon, May. 19, 11:59 AM
- Yahoo Japan (YAHOF) has abandoned its plan to acquire Japanese mobile/broadband services firm eAccess from SoftBank (SFTBF) for $3.2B (previous). Instead, the company will launch a low-cost mobile broadband service using eAccess' network.
- The eAccess deal was part of an effort by SoftBank, which owns 42.6% of Yahoo Japan, to restructure its assets and raise funds for M&A (including a possible Sprint/T-Mobile merger). But the company is already raising ¥300B in debt, and stands to reap a post-IPO windfall from its 34.4% stake in Alibaba.
- Yahoo (YHOO +0.6%) owns 35% of Yahoo Japan, whose shares fell 2.8% in Tokyo overnight. At current levels, Yahoo's stake is worth $8.1B. Yahoo Japan's sales fell 14% Y/Y in Q4 to $1.03B, and its net income 11% to $304M.
Sun, May. 11, 2:09 AM
- Deutsche Telekom (DTEGF) wants Sprint (S) to agree to a breakup fee of over $1B in the event that regulators block the latter's possible acquisition of T-Mobile US (TMUS), the WSJ reports.
- The German carrier also wants Sprint to pledge to keep the T-Mobile brand and some of its management.
- Deutsche Telekom's demands come after regulators implied they would view any Sprint/T-Mobile tie-up skeptically. Three years ago, Deutsche received $3B when authorities blocked the sale of T-Mobile to AT&T.
- The sides are working on forging a deal in the near term, but could wait until after a government auction of wireless airwaves - which is expected in 2015 - or under a different White House administration.
- The operators might have a bit more clarity next week, when the FCC is due to decide on how much spectrum carriers can hold and the rules for the spectrum auction.
Wed, May. 7, 8:04 AM
- Bloomberg reports Alibaba (ABABA) is looking to sell a 12% stake through its IPO. At a $150B valuation, that would imply raising $18B; at a $200B valuation, $24B.
- A big selloff in momentum stocks (inc. Chinese Internet companies) might lead to some downward pressure on Alibaba's multiples. At $200B, the company would be worth 92x 2013 adjusted net income of $2.16B - forward multiples might be considerably lower.
- Meanwhile, though Yahoo (YHOO) is required to sell a chunk of its 22.6% stake at IPO time, SoftBank (SFTBF) says it won't sell any part of its 34.4% stake, in spite of its big investments in Sprint and $3.2B deal to buy Japanese broadband provider eAccess. Shares fell 5.1% overnight in Tokyo.
- There's some disappointment over the fact Alibaba didn't break out details for its Taobao and Tmall sites. Would-be investors are also keen to learn more about how Alibaba plans to grow its international sales (8.8% of 2013 revenue), an effort bound to put the company on a collision course with Amazon and eBay.
- Yesterday: Alibaba files for IPO, shows off big numbers
- Alibaba's prospectus
Wed, May. 7, 7:39 AM
- Among the leading decliners was SoftBank (SFTBF), -5.1% as investors sold the news on the Alibaba offering. Exporters tanked as well, with a 2.9% fall in Honda and 3.4% decline in Panasonic pacing those slides.
- ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, DFJ, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, SCJ, DXJS, JPNL, JSC, ITF, JPP, JPNS, HEWJ, FJP, DXJH, DXJF, DXJT, DXJC, DXJR
Tue, May. 6, 5:00 PM
- Alibaba (ABABA) has released its long-anticipated F-1. No trading symbol has been proposed yet, and the company nominally says it's looking to raise up to $1B (it'll almost certainly raise more). The IPO underwriters: Credit Suisse, Deutsche, Goldman, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Citi.
- Alibaba had 2013 revenue of $5.55B (+73% Y/Y), net income of $1.35B, and adjusted net income of $2.16B. Gross margin was 71.9%. R&D spend totaled $604M, sales/marketing spend $581M, and G&A spend $465M.
- The company claims an annual gross merchandise volume (GMV) of $248B on the back of 11.3B orders, 231M active buyers, and 8M active sellers.Q4 GMV rose 53% Y/Y to RMB529B, with mobile accounting for 19.7% of the total. Mobile MAUs amount to 136M.
- Chinese commerce accounted for $4.69B of the company's 2013 revenue. International commerce accounted for $669M, cloud services $105M, and everything else $87M.
- Founder Jack Ma owns 8.9% of shares going into the IPO. SoftBank (SFTBF) owns 34.4%, and Yahoo (YHOO) 22.6%.
- Yahoo investors are taking the F-1 release in stride. Shares -0.3% AH.
Wed, Apr. 30, 6:03 PM
- Bloomberg reports Sprint (S) "plans to push forward" with a T-Mobile USA (TMUS) bid after lining up financing from six banks.
- SoftBank's (SFTBF) Masayoshi Son is expected to "make a formal bid in June or July," according to one source. SoftBank is still reportedly talking to T-Mobile parent Deutsche Telekom (DTEGF) about who would run the post-merger company; outspoken T-Mobile chief John Legere is the top candidate.
- While past reports have suggested financing will be available - Sprint is expected to absorb T-Mobile's $8.7B in net debt in the event of a deal - DOJ officials are apparently quite skeptical about the merits of a deal to merge the #3 and #4 U.S. mobile carriers.
- Son has previously argued he would launch a massive price war if a Sprint/T-Mobile deal was cleared, and would also offer competitive home broadband services (could be easier said than done in high-density urban areas).
- Sprint announced yesterday it lost 333K postpaid subs in Q1. T-Mobile, which reports tomorrow, has been faring better lately.
Fri, Apr. 25, 3:35 AM
- Alibaba (ABABA) is considering expanding its IPO to over $20B, which would make it the largest listing in U.S. history, the WSJ reports.
- The offering would be above the $19.7B that Visa raised in 2010 and could even top the world record $22.1B that Agricultural Bank of China attracted in Shanghai and Hong Kong in 2010. Until now, figures of $15-16B have been bandied about for Alibaba's IPO.
- Under the plan being discussed, Alibaba would sell shares in addition to its investors, which include Yahoo (YHOO). Another major shareholder, Softbank (SFTBF), is not planning to sell shares in the deal.
- "Alibaba is at the point where, after the extreme growth they've had, they're going to need capital to make another huge push forward," says investment adviser Paul Boyd.
Wed, Apr. 16, 4:08 AM
- Alibaba Group (ABABA) could file the prospectus for its U.S. IPO on Monday, Reuters reports, adding that the listing could be worth over $16B.
- The report comes after major shareholder Yahoo (YHOO) disclosed that Alibaba's Q4 net income surged 110% to $1.35B as revenue jumped 66% to $3.06B.
- Alibaba's results helped Yahoo's shares climb 6.8% in AH trading. In Tokyo, shares in SoftBank (SFTBF), which owns 37% in Alibaba, jumped 8.5%.
Mon, Apr. 7, 10:45 AM
- With all signs suggesting U.S. regulators remain opposed to a Sprint/T-Mobile USA merger in spite of Masayoshi Son's PR campaign, rumors have emerged SoftBank (SFTBF) will turn its sights on acquiring Vodafone (VOD +0.9%) if its efforts to fuse the #3 and #4 U.S. carriers are thwarted.
- It's worth noting Vodafone ($96B market cap) would be much harder for SoftBank ($87B) to digest than T-Mobile ($26B). If it was to try, SoftBank would doubtlessly make use of its 37% stake in soon-to-be-public Alibaba (could have a $50B+ pre-tax value).
- Sprint (S -2.6%) and T-Mobile (TMUS -1.5%) are seeing moderate declines.
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