iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY)
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- iShares ETF Tracking Error: Risks and Explanations [view article]
- Investment Ideas For Hard Times To Come [view article]
- Even Asset Managers Run For Cover to Gold ETFs [view article]
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- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
- Bond Expert: Wednesday Outlook [view article]
- Interrelation of Asset Classes: A Few Market Themes [view article]
- Report from the Bond War Frontlines [view article]
- Bond Expert: Wednesday Wrap [view article]
- Tweaking the Global T-Bill Theory [view article]
- Why I'm Against Fixed Income ETFs [view article]
- Fixed Income: Little Value in Treasuries, Preferred Financials Yielding 8% [view article]
Recent SHY Articles
- iShares ETF Tracking Error: Risks and Explanations
- iShares ETFs Tied to Lehman Indexes Face Potential Regulatory Headache
- Investment Ideas For Hard Times To Come
- Currency ETFs Shine Through Bleak Market
- Key Asset Class Performance
- Even Asset Managers Run For Cover to Gold ETFs
- A Lehman Brothers ETF Is Not a Lehman Brothers ETF
- Who's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government?
- Bond Expert: Wednesday Outlook
- Report from the Bond War Frontlines
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Considine
An Optimised Portfolio Using Only ETFs (IVV, IJH, IWM, EFA, EEM, SHY, IEF, TLT, RWR, IDU, IXC, IGE) [view article]
Hi Barb G:I have come to fully appreciate the power of TIPS as diversifiers since I wrote this article. I discuss TIPS in many of my later articles. Reply
An Optimised Portfolio Using Only ETFs (IVV, IJH, IWM, EFA, EEM, SHY, IEF, TLT, RWR, IDU, IXC, IGE) [view article]
Where is the TIP ETF in the model portfolio? ReplyBeginner
2008 Asset Class Outlook: Off to a Rocky Start [view article]
I don't understand the example of the foreign bond return 5.5% if the dollar depreciates 10% against the foreign currency. I can come up with two scenarios: 1) You exchange dollars for 100 euros (let's say) and buy a foreign bond. At the end of one year you get back 105 euros and then exchange those back for dollars. If the dollar stays even with the euro, you make exactly 5%. If the dollar drop 10% against the euro, you make 15.5%. Conversely, if the dollar appreciates 10%, you loose money. 2) You do the same transaction except you add a hedge in the futures market. The problem is the hedge cost will be the same as the interest rate differential between the dollar and euro bring the 5% return down to the us bond rate. What am I missing here? ReplyFed to the Rescue [view article]
A lot of "garbelling in the wabe" out there. Does anyone see consumer income becoming greater than or equal to it's outgo any time soon? ReplyFed to the Rescue [view article]
I have been talking soft landing for awhile now. I like that term. Why does everything have to a be fatality ridden nightmare with this game?I really don't care if the market crashes wholeheartedly and then recovers brilliantly, or touches down gently and then takes off again in the same manner. Either way, there will be a bottom.
It sure would be nice to see some scenery along the way, but crashing into the cliff is not my idea of exhilirating fun.
I am more curious to see what the fed is going to do on the 18th. I imagin ethis willhave an impact on the decision. It seems that 3/4 pt. has to factored out of the equation now, but you never know.
Again, it will be an interesting week.
Reply
Fed to the Rescue [view article]
Many banks and brokers were in danger of having massive write downs on their Q1 financial statements. The Fed's 28 day purchase of agency and non agency MBS will allow these banks to sell these securities at par and permit them to avoid this Q1 earnings devastation. If the banks use this window of opportunity to write down other deteriorated assets in their loan portfolio this may offer a "soft landing", otherwise today's Fed action just delays the day of reckoning. ReplyFed to the Rescue [view article]
Many banks and brokers were in danger of having massive write downs on their Q1 financial statements. The Fed's 28 day purchase of agency and non agency MBS will allow these banks to sell these securities at par and permit them to avoid this Q1 earnings devastation. If the banks use this window of opportunity to write down other deteriorated assets in their loan portfolio this may offer a "soft landing", otherwise today's Fed action just delays the day of reckoning. ReplyTreasury Yields vs. Commodity Prices [view article]
I notice gold up 50 times, and houses also, since the depression. Given that, I believe the party will end when americans stop buying goods from china, india, etc.Their GDP's will decline, commodities will decline, and bonds will be king again.
The author has see 2% goverments, (1945), 14%, and now 5%.
Yes, they will go to 6%; but not any more.
Why, wages are not rising, surplus labor can not buy high priced commodities.
Commodities will drop 25%, wages drop 5%, bonds 6%, house drop
another 10-15%.
Wait it out, in foreign short term bonds. JRP Reply
Treasury Yields vs. Commodity Prices [view article]
MikeThanks for the article. I am long all the Ag stocks and natural resources. What is the best way to bet long term rates will go up? ETF? Reply
Treasury Yields vs. Commodity Prices [view article]
Really nice analysis. Thanks!Reply
Considine
An Optimised Portfolio Using Only ETFs (IVV, IJH, IWM, EFA, EEM, SHY, IEF, TLT, RWR, IDU, IXC, IGE) [view article]
To Ardano:I agree totally. New ETF's can provide powerful tools for better portfolios. Bogle warns that these new etf's can encourage speculation. Sure. But...they also provide powerful potential benefits in portfolio construction. Reply
An Optimised Portfolio Using Only ETFs (IVV, IJH, IWM, EFA, EEM, SHY, IEF, TLT, RWR, IDU, IXC, IGE) [view article]
The original concept used to advance the theory of this piece is important. What has changed since its original publication is that new EFT's have been created to both fill the gaps and negatively correlate with the basic allocation model. Therefore, investment professionals can now add carefully add alpha and further test the mpt theory. ReplyBernanke Isn’t Finished Cutting - By a Longshot [view article]
if they could just throw that whole "dual responsibility" thing out the window, we'd all be great, right?just push the reserve rate to 0% and watch the economy perpetually blossom, just like it has been in Japan for 20 years now.
jackass.
some of us work for a living and get paid with these increasingly worthless dollars. Reply
Bernanke Isn’t Finished Cutting - By a Longshot [view article]
i wish you had explained your chart more. why the spread and is it always like that? ReplyETF Fund Flows (Week Ending 2/22/08) [view article]
How can we link these weekly updates into a YTD chart ? Reply