iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY)
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- iShares ETF Tracking Error: Risks and Explanations [view article]
- Investment Ideas For Hard Times To Come [view article]
- Even Asset Managers Run For Cover to Gold ETFs [view article]
- Who's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
- Bond Expert: Wednesday Outlook [view article]
- Interrelation of Asset Classes: A Few Market Themes [view article]
- Report from the Bond War Frontlines [view article]
- Bond Expert: Wednesday Wrap [view article]
- Tweaking the Global T-Bill Theory [view article]
- Why I'm Against Fixed Income ETFs [view article]
- Fixed Income: Little Value in Treasuries, Preferred Financials Yielding 8% [view article]
Recent SHY Articles
- iShares ETF Tracking Error: Risks and Explanations
- iShares ETFs Tied to Lehman Indexes Face Potential Regulatory Headache
- Investment Ideas For Hard Times To Come
- Currency ETFs Shine Through Bleak Market
- Key Asset Class Performance
- Even Asset Managers Run For Cover to Gold ETFs
- A Lehman Brothers ETF Is Not a Lehman Brothers ETF
- Who's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government?
- Bond Expert: Wednesday Outlook
- Report from the Bond War Frontlines
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thought
Who's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
The money we owe to these foreign governments is creating our emerging markets. In turn these emerging markets are creating our best investment opportunities. This is what's known as a virtuous circle. It's not all doom and gloom chicken little and we are getting value for our money. ReplyA
Who's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
In answer to your question: Who is going to bail out the U.S. government?Answer: Only God provided we (leaders and people) humble ourselves before him and ask for forgiveness for the mess we have made.
As Thomas Jefferson once said: "When all government, domestic and foreign, in little as in great things, shall be drawn to Washington as the center of all power, it will render powerless the checks provided of one government on another."
In summary, we are out of control and the worst fears of our founding fathers is coming to pass.
God help us. Reply
Who's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
the only bottom you can be sure of is the one you are sitting on.there is plenty of paper to wipe it.the paper all has fancy initials but it will do the trick. the sheeples are maybe beginnin g to wake up but it may be too late. ReplyWho's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
Good article and excellent comments. It should be obvious even to the clueless among us(IE most of us) that we are in the midst of a predicament, not a problem. You can't solve a predicament, you can only adapt and possibly mitigate. Problems have solutions, good and bad but at least with a problem you have the chance of fixing it. This is a predicament and there is no fix. What investments do you hold going forward in a deflationary meltdown with the presses printing toilet paper with presidents pictures? You are witnessing a collapse scenario which is accelerating likely into a full blown depression. Economic activity of the type we have had for the past 50 to 75 years will not likely return and until this debt debacle is resolved, we're not at a bottom. You're on your own out there bub. ReplyWho's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
Thanks for thoughfully delineating he abject failure of the United States government to conduct its affairs on behalf of the American people.Or is it the failure of the American people to demand a responsible government?
These quasi-elected people have financed an invasion / and costly occupation with bonds largely sold to foreign governments, and don't have the moral fortitude to raise taxes to pay the bills? Talk about a welfare state. They pacify the citizens by not even telling them the bills will come due, in some form -- either through taxes (are we grown up enough to handle that?), inflation, lower growth accompanied by lower real wages ... economic forces will extract the cost whether we like it or not.
Our government has chosen to let hundreds of billions fly out the door each year to flood the coffers of other governments, mostly unfriendly ones. That's real wealth leaving out country. We're thirty years behind in heading off that mess, which could have been solved by now with intelligent use of resources and responsible actions, along with foresight and real leadership.
The Roman state lasted much longer before it collapsed under its own weight. We stilll have choices. The American people could still learn to act like grown-up responsible people. Instead we demand our leaders treat us like soft, spoiled brats. Will we continue the slide? Reply
Who's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
Not who but what will save the gov...wwiii...wait for the Asian bubble to burst, I think I may add to my gold position while it's down. ReplyWho's Going to Bailout the U.S. Government? [view article]
This stuff is wrong.The BRIC countries will be very lucky if they can avoid large, stagflation crises.
The arrogance of the notion that Goldman Sachs - which depends on the ability to borrow at the risk-free GOVERNMENT rate is somehow going to bail out the government which supplies it with fiat capital is absurd.
What are they going to use for money? Gold?
Don't make me laugh.
Reply
A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
job well done and very easy to follow ReplyBond Expert: Wednesday Outlook [view article]
The movement towards treasuries is increasing this am. It appears that the fall decline will be preceded by repricing of risk - again - since the world demand for GSE and even the more risky private equities/bonds is sated. That means the US financial markets are on their own until the election (which is a big factor according to our sources) or some action by Hank Paulson, who is a short timer. ReplyReport from the Bond War Frontlines [view article]
The last sentence should read: They poorly reward tyhe investor... ReplyReport from the Bond War Frontlines [view article]
Duration is one of the critical variables in a bond fund. The longer durations have much more volatility, for now, not much extra yield. Ultimately it is a personal decision as to which yields and duration are best for your portfolio. Personally, I do not recommend any long term funds. They poorly reqard the investor for the increased risks and yield.Best wishes,
ray Reply
Report from the Bond War Frontlines [view article]
The most interesting bond ETFs on the market are PST and TBT. They offer a convenient way to get long exposure to profligacy, pandering, fraud, political incompetence, and central bank indiscipline. That combination of exposure in a single product is hard to beat. Most of the ETFs you mention have short exposure to these. I do not understand why anyone would want them. Replygin.net
Report from the Bond War Frontlines [view article]
Bond ETFs. What an exciting asset class. The fixed income market definitely lends itself to research, analysis, and alpha generation. The only reason to trade an ETF would be to specifically short sectors (say Treasuries or Mortgages) not have a Lehman Agg type of fund.www.beyondthemargin.ne... Reply
Bond Expert: Wednesday Wrap [view article]
When the market is thin, and at the end of a season, anything can happen as the kinks are pulled out. We must wait to see what the movers and the shakers think about their book. Frankly, I am fearful we are bottoming in the equities and dollar, that means bonds may be attractive for a while. Isn't that disgusting? ReplyBond Expert: Wednesday Wrap [view article]
So based on this, this is the scary scenario I had been expecting. The smart and fast money is going into paper in preparation for the coming deflation. This has been helpful John to know that the trades I've been planning to put on are the right ones. It also goes to affirm that generally the obvious trades are obviously wrong. Reply