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SIJ vs. ETF Alternatives
ProShares Ultra Short Industrials seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to twice (200%) the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Industrials IndexSM.
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Thursday, Jan 166:36 PM
Thursday, Jan 166:36 PM| 10 Comments
- On January 24th the reverse split will occur, artificially decreasing the number of shares outstanding and increasing the price per share for the ETFs included in the split.
- Every 4 pre-split shares will result in the receipt of 1 post-split share and will be priced at 4 times the price of 1 pre-split share.
- The majority of the effected funds feature short term equity strategies and have underperformed during the recent economic upturn.
- ETFs undergoing a 1-for-4 reverse split on Jan 24th: EWV, EPV, QID, SQQQ, SMDD, SJH, SBB, SIJ, FXP, MZZ, TWM, SDD, SKK, AGQ, UVXY, SPXU,
Wednesday, Dec 112013, 10:02 AM
Wednesday, Dec 112013, 10:02 AM| Comment!
- "Warehouses over townhouses" is one of BAML's ten themes for 2014 - highlighting a potential shift away from consumer-driven stocks to industrial and commercial names.
- "If revenue growth continues to accelerate as we expect, corporations are likely to invest in their businesses by spending some of the cash accumulated on their balance sheets. This capex cycle, combined with improving global economic growth, is likely to benefit stocks in more industrial and cyclical parts of the economy over those that are more dependent on the consumer. In our view, this has already started, but probably is in its early stages."
- An attached chart shows this outperformance beginning to creep in in Q3.
- If the thesis is correct, investors may want to be sellers of Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Health Care (XLV), and Financials (XLF), and buyers of Tech (XLK), Energy (XLE), Industrials (XLI), and Materials (XLB).
- Related ETFs: FAS, XLF, IYH, FAZ, XLE, XLV, ERX, XLI, XLY, XLB, OIH, VHT, VDE, ERY, UYG, DIG, DUG, VFH, VCR, UYM, VAW, IYE, CURE, VIS, IGE, IYM, IYF, RXL, FXH, SEF, SMN, PXJ, IYG, PXI, IYJ, FXO, PFI, PSCH, KBWB, PSCE, FXD, UXI, MATL, PYZ, PRN, FXN, FXZ, RYE, RWW, FINU, FHLC, RYH, DDG, FXR, RCD, RTM, RYF, FIDU, SBM, SIJ, PSCF, PTH, FDIS, FENY, RGI, FNCL, RXD, PEZ, PSCD, PSCI, PSCM, FMAT, FINZ
Monday, Sep 302013, 12:55 PM
Monday, Sep 302013, 12:55 PM| Comment!
- Among BAML's Ten Reasons to Buy Industrials, most interesting is the team's argument for a P/E re-rating for the sector because of earnings stability. Industrials have the most stable earnings of all ten major market sectors - even against defensive areas like Consumer Staples - yet they're still penalized for being too cyclical. "There is a glaring mis-pricing of risk."
- Another reason is the charts: Industrials have quietly broken out relative to the S&P 500 - a bullish trend for those liking to buy relative strength.
- Relevant ETFs: FXR, IYJ, PRN, XLI, VIS, RGI, PSCI, UXI, SIJ.
Monday, Sep 92013, 12:23 PM
Monday, Sep 92013, 12:23 PM| 2 Comments
- Bullish on the economy, Goldman's David Kostin says investors should favor those firms with high fixed costs as they'll benefit most from margin expansion. This leads him to pick industrials (XLI) and financials (XLF) as his favorite sectors.
- Industrials ETFs: FXR, IYJ, PRN, XLI, VIS, RGI, PSCI, UXI, SIJ.
- Financials ETFs: XLF, IYF, PFI, VFH, RYF, RWW, FAS, UYG, FAZ, SKF, SEF, IAI, FXO, PSCF, KBWD, KBWB, IYG, FINU, FINZ.
- Goldman's got a basket of 50 names set to benefit most from stronger GDP growth. Included are ANF, WFM, APC, R, X. More names as we get them.
Wednesday, Jun 192013, 10:53 AM"Sell in May and go into cyclicals," says Ralph Acampora after the last month. He reminds of an old adage saying sectors going down the least during a selloff become the new market leaders. During SPY's 5.2% decline from May 22-June 6, the best performers were Tech (XLK) and Industrials (XLI). The worst were Telecommunications (IYZ) and Utilities (XLU). This "rolling rotation" between sectors is necessary, he says, to give further life to the secular bull market begun in March 2009. |Wednesday, Jun 192013, 10:53 AM| 3 Comments
Tuesday, May 212013, 8:49 AMExponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways," is #4 of Bob Farrell's "Market Rules to Remember." Channeling that, BAML's Steve Suttmeier sees stocks continuing their run with risks of a topping-out not arriving unti late summer. He's most bullish on industrials (XLI) - particularly "oversold" EXPD, DE, CAT, FDX - and also thinks financials (XLF) will remain market leaders. |Tuesday, May 212013, 8:49 AM| 4 Comments
Monday, May 62013, 7:27 AMThe S&P 500 (SPY) is fairly valued, says Goldman, but opportunity lies in cyclicals (XLY, XLE, XLI, XLB) which are more undervalued vs. defensives (XLU, XLP, XLV, XTL) than at any time in the last 15 years. "Given the 4 P/E multiple point head start, even a slight valuation normalization should translate into outperformance of cyclicals over defensives during the next 12 months." |Monday, May 62013, 7:27 AM| 1 Comment
Friday, May 32013, 8:00 AM"We don't want to sell in May and we continue to prefer cyclicals (XLY, XLI, XLB, XLE) ," says JPMorgan's Tom Lee, fully returned to his normal bullish stance. He notes client positioning is "dramatically different" from the heavily long stance of the last 3 years at this time. More, the downturn in gasoline prices could ad 50 bps to GDP in Q2, and the rally in high-yield suggests the economy is set to get stronger. |Friday, May 32013, 8:00 AM| 1 Comment
Monday, Nov 52012, 7:58 AMReporting Q3 profit off 85% from a year ago, Liugong Machinery President Zeng Guang'an warns of continued overcapacity in the Chinese construction-equipment sector, saying the country only needs about 10% of the current 200 firms in the business. "We have too much investment. We need more consumption." |Monday, Nov 52012, 7:58 AM| Comment!
Friday, Oct 192012, 9:10 AM"Investors need to understand the growing risks of overplaying the defense card," writes AllianceBernstein's Joe Paul, exploring whether high-yield stocks are in bubble territory. It's not news they're expensive compared to past metrics, but high-yielders now make up a record 44% of the S&P 500 (on a cap-weighted basis). "As a countermeasure, (investors) may want to add more cyclical, deeper-value names." |Friday, Oct 192012, 9:10 AM| 2 Comments
Friday, Oct 192012, 8:54 AMTechnicians get interested in the industrial sector (XLI) as the charts say there's a move coming, "and it's not going to be a boring one." The direction is not yet known, but J.C. Parets is giving the benefit of the doubt to the bulls. Wait for weekly closes above $38. The XLI -1.3% premarket, as its largest holding, GE, slides following earnings. |Friday, Oct 192012, 8:54 AM| Comment!
Friday, Mar 162012, 10:21 AMTaking its signal from rising bond yields, HSBC suggests cyclicals will outperform as higher rates are a sign nominal demand is rising. The main casualties: healthcare and consumer staples. As for being a threat to the entire market, HSBC believes this is only true at real yields above 4% (they're negative now), but "a sharp rise in bond yields is a threat from whatever level." |Friday, Mar 162012, 10:21 AM| Comment!
Tuesday, Oct 112011, 3:08 AMThe Financial Stability Oversight Council is due to release today proposals on how it will determine which non-bank financial firms are big enough to be labeled "systemic." It's a tag companies are anxious to avoid, as it will mean increased Fed oversight, as well as new capital and liquidity rules. |Tuesday, Oct 112011, 3:08 AM| Comment!