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at MarketWatch.com (Mar 7, 2014)
at MarketWatch.com (Apr 2, 2012)
at MarketWatch.com (Dec 1, 2011)
at MarketWatch.com (Nov 30, 2011)
Fri, Jan. 24, 2:29 PM
- "Investors should prepare for a bout of significant Russell 2000 underperformance," presciently wrote Michael O'Rourke of Jones Trading last night, noting how unusual it was to see the DJIA off 2.3% YTD, but the Russell up 1%. Look for that performance gap to close, he said.
- Closing it is today, with the small-cap index off 2.5%, about 1% worse than the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq. The iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) -2.7%.
- Small-cap ETFs: IJS, IWM, TZA, TNA, UWM, VB, IJR, SLY, EES, RWJ, VBR, VBK, URTY, TWM, SCHA, IWN, IWO, IJT, RWM, SRTY, DWAS, SAA, JKL, VTWO, SLYG, RZV, SLYV, SDD, JKJ, SBB, RSCO, VIOO, RZG, VTWG, FYX, UKK, TILT, VIOG, XSLV, VIOV, FYT, FNDA, JKK, EWRS, SKK, UVT, PXSV, TWOK, VTWV, SMLV, FYC, SJH, IESM, PXSC, VLU, PXSG
Dec. 9, 2013, 12:00 PM
- December is the new January as far as small caps are concerned, with Arthur Hill pointing out it's actually the year's last month when small caps are most likely to outperform the market - they do it 74% of the time vs. 50% in January (and a range of 40-60% for the rest of the year).
- The Russell 2000 (IWM -0.2%) is off today as the S&P 500 (SPY +0.3%) rises, and thus far this month the S&P 500 - is ahead of the Russell by 140 basis points.
- Small cap ETFs: IJS, IWM, TZA, TNA, UWM, VB, IJR, SLY, EES, RWJ, VBR, VBK, URTY, TWM, IWN, SCHA, IWO, IJT, RWM, SRTY, SAA, JKL, DWAS, VTWO, SLYG, RZV, SLYV, SBB, SDD, JKJ, RSCO, RZG, TILT, UKK, XSLV, FYX, VTWG, VIOO, JKK, SKK, FYT, VIOG, EWRS, UVT, VIOV, PXSV, TWOK, VTWV, SMLV, SJH, FNDA, FYC, IESM, VLU, PXSG, PXSC
Sep. 29, 2013, 9:13 PM
- Particularly apt reading tonight as stocks head south on worry about a partial U.S. government shutdown, The Brooklyn Investor makes the case for trying to ignore whatever the latest macro-boogeyman happens to be, and instead focus on buying and holding reasonably valued stocks. Paraphrasing Seth Klarman: "You just have to figure out what a business can earn in five or ten years on a normalized basis and see what it's worth; if you can buy it for lower than that, then it doesn't matter what the headlines say."
- The Shiller cyclically adjusted P/E ratio does raise TBI's eyebrow as it shows the market to be 47% overvalued, but it was similarly so in 1966. While the averages did nothing over the next 16 years, the "Superinvestors of Graham and Doddsville" (Walter Schloss, Tweedy Brown, Sequoia Fund) racked up ridiculous returns (this, of course, may be of little comfort to index investors).
- Buffett's classic "Superinvestors" article from 1984.
- Can the market go down? A lot? No doubt, says TBI, but the odds against being able to exploit a bear market are far too long - better to spend time looking for stocks trading at 1.1x book that should be selling for 1.5x book.
- Index value ETFs: SPYV, IVE, RPV, VOOV, FTA, SPYV, IVE, RPV, VOOV, FTA, IWN, VTWV, UVT, SJH, IWW, MDYV, IJJ, RFV, IVOV, SLYV, IJS, RZV, VIOV.
Sep. 2, 2013, 6:29 PM
- What George Soros' The Alchemy of Finance was to global macro investors, Michael Burry's journal of trades in 2000/2001 may be to value fans. "My strategy isn't very complex. I try to buy shares of unpopular companies when they look like road kill, and sell them when they've been polished up a bit ... I care little about the level of the general market and put few restrictions on potential investments."
- Plucked out of message-board obscurity and staked by Joel Greenblatt, Burry posted returns at his Scion Capital hedge fund of 8.2% in 2000 (partial year), 44.7% in 2001, and 13.1% in 2002, as the S&P lost 7.5%, 11.9%, and 22.1% during the same periods. When the S&P bounced 28.7% in 2003, Scion gained 50.7%.
- This journal shows Burry willing to venture into just about any industry or situation as long as he sees value there. One place he definitely didn't spot value was in the previously-favored big cap tech names as their stock prices imploded. "Now that the bubble is pricked, tech stocks will face scrutiny they never faced before. It is a good time to start picking prices based on a solid understanding of the fundamentals ... greater bargains are sure to come."
- Burry went on make an even bigger fortune for himself and his investors by shorting MBS from 2005 on (though his investors, including Greenblatt, never forgave him for straying from stockpicking).
- Value ETFs: SPYV, IVE, RPV, VOOV, FTA, IWD, VONV, UVG, SJF, IWN, VTWV, UVT, SJH, IWW, MDYV, IJJ, RFV, IVOV, SLYV, IJS, RZV, VIOV.
Jul. 9, 2013, 3:11 PMState Street (STT) is competing aggressively on price with the launch of its Russell 2000 ETF (TWOK) - the fund will have an expense ratio of 0.12% vs. iShares' (BLK) IWM with expenses of 0.24%, and Vanguard's VTWO at 0.21%. In addition, SSgA is relaunching 3 existing ETFs after refitting them to Russell indexes. The SPDR Russell 3000 ETF (THRK) replaces the SPDR Dow Jones Total Market ETF (TMW), with expense ratio halved to 0.10%. The SPDR Russell 1000 ETF (ONEK) replaces the SPDR Dow Jones Large Cap ETF (ELR), with expense ratio halved to 0.10%. The SPDR Russell Small Cap Completeness ETF (RSCO) replaces the SPDR Dow Jones Mid Cap ETF (EMM) with expense ratio falling to 0.10% from 0.25%. | Comment!
Jul. 8, 2013, 3:54 PMState Street (STT) looks to take on iShares' (BLK) dominant small cap ETF (IWM) with the Tuesday launch of the SPDR Russell 2000 ETF (TWOK). IWM currently has $23.3B in AUM and an expense ratio of 0.24%. This compares to other far smaller competitors like Schwab's SCHA at 0.08% and Vanguard's VB at 0.10%. Previous: Small cap stocks outpace the S&P 500. Other reasonably popular ETFs: IJS, IJR.
| 4 Comments
Jun. 4, 2013, 10:51 AMBNP's "Love-Panic Index" signals a correction ahead as it crossed into "love" territory a few weeks back. Past experience says to brace for an average 12% decline in the S&P (SPY) over the next 6 months. The biggest drivers of the recent move into "love" have been State Street's Investor Confidence, the CFTC's COT report, falling short interest, rising Nasdaq to NYSE trading volume, and small caps (IWM) outperformance over large caps (IWB). | 14 Comments
May. 20, 2013, 3:11 PMThe Russell 2000 (IWM) cracked 1,000 for the first time this morning, but the small cap sector is far from over-loved by the fund managers who invest in it, according to Credit Suisse's Lori Calvasina - they ended Q1 with cash holdings at a near 10-year high. Indexing (IJR, IWO, IWN XSLV are some others) beats most active management, but Calvasina screened for stocks owned by fewer than 50 small-cap funds with $500M-$1.5B market cap, and with favorable investment ratings. No surprise the answer is heavy on mREITs - MTGE, AMTG, PMT. Also coming up: OMX and WFR. | Comment!
May. 9, 2013, 3:24 PM"Our enthusiasm is clearly a notch below where we were at the beginning of the year," write Credit Suisse analysts, starting to see a bit of froth creep into small caps. At 16.4x earnings, the Russell 2000 (IWM) "has admittedly lost its valuation appeal." For now, they're buyers on dips, but should the index near the 1,000 level, valuation pressure will really start to be felt. | 3 Comments
Apr. 26, 2013, 9:26 AM
Apr. 15, 2013, 5:28 PMVanguard adjusts fees on 3 ETFs, including the Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), where strong inflows allows the expense ratio to fall to 0.05% vs. 0.21% at TMW and 0.20% at IYY. VBR is cut to 0.20% vs. competitors SLYV and IWN at 0.25%. VOE is hiked to 0.12%, but remains below IJJ, IWS and MDYV which charge 0.25% each. | Comment!
Apr. 15, 2013, 12:38 PM
Apr. 14, 2013, 8:25 AMThe reconstitution of the Russell indexes coming up in June, Credit Suisse aims to anticipate who's in and who's out. The rules-based approach of the Russell 2000 has allowed arbitragers to profit each summer by front-running the moves, making the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) a poorer play for small cap fans than IJR . Expected among the top 25 adds are ARCP, SRPT, PBYI, ACAD, and WSTC. Among the top 25 deletes: CPST, FCEL, CHKE, OMER, and EML. | 1 Comment
Mar. 26, 2013, 1:27 PMSmall-cap stocks are set to outperform, according to Goldman research showing the IWM outperforms the SPY by an annualized 8.1% in quarters following a steep drop in the VIX. The "acute" decline in the VIX YTD "provides a tailwind to small-cap performance in 2Q13." A must-read for small cap index fans is SA author Ploutos' piece suggesting IJR is your best bet. | 3 Comments
Mar. 22, 2013, 12:29 PMLagging the solid rise in stocks today are small caps, the Russell 2000 (IWM) up 0.1% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq post better than 0.5% gains. Thus far in 2013, IWM is about level with the S&P, but is about 300 bps better on a Y/Y basis. IJR - maybe better for small cap fans - has outperformed both. | Comment!
Mar. 14, 2013, 8:44 AMGuggenheim increases expense ratios on 4 ETFs on account of "higher acquired fund fees associated with the S&P benchmarks these ETFs track". The affected funds (with new expense ratio in parentheses) are: RFV (0.40%), RZV (0.38), EWMD and EWSM (0.43%). Two Russell and MSCI ETFs seeing a decline in fees are: EWRS (0.43%) and EWEM (0.70%). | 1 Comment
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