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Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

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  • Fri, Apr. 24, 2:03 PM
    • Though the Nasdaq is up 0.7% thanks to market-pleasing earnings from Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, chip stocks (SOXX -2.1%) are adding to their Thursday losses after Freescale, Altera, Microsemi, and Maxim joined the ranks of chipmakers offering soft Q2 guidance; Texas Instruments, Xilinx, and Qualcomm did so on Wednesday afternoon.
    • NXP (NXPI -4.3%), set to merge with Freescale in a cash/stock deal, is selling off ahead of its April 29 Q1 report. RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.4%), and Avago (AVGO -5.2%) are also seeing steep declines.
    • Other decliners include a slew of telecom/networking, microcontroller, and analog/mixed-signal chipmakers. The group includes Marvell (MRVL -3%), ON Semi (ON -6.9%), Atmel (ATML -3.3%), Cypress (CY -4%), Lattice (LSCC -3.9%), Semtech (SMTC -6.9%), Cavium (CAVM -6%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -2.9%), InPhi (IPHI -3.8%), and Silicon Labs (SLAB -2.9%). Chip packaging/testing firm Amkor (AMKR -5.7%) is also off; its Q1 report arrives on Monday.
    • As was the case with TI and Xilinx, soft telecom equipment chip demand was often blamed by those guiding light yesterday afternoon. Freescale (FSL -3.5%) stated it expects network processor division sales to be down Q/Q and RF (base station power amplifier) division sales to be flat. Microcontroller, automotive, and analog and sensor division sales are expected to rise.
    • Altera (ALTR -3.3%) stated its "telecom and wireless business, and particularly our wireless business globally looks to be quite weak in [Q2], while the rest for our business will in aggregate be flat to slightly up." Regarding its Q1 miss, the company notes "Industrial, test, compute and storage, and to a lesser extent military, fell short of our forecast" (share loss to Xilinx?).
    • Maxim reports seeing "broad-based softness in communications infrastructure demand" and soft industrial bookings to go with healthier mobile/auto demand. The Galaxy S6 appears to be giving a lift to Maxim's mobile sales.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | 1 Comment
  • Nov. 26, 2014, 2:52 PM
    • Chip stocks are outperforming after Analog Devices (ADI +5.2%) beat FQ4 estimates and offered in-line FQ1 guidance. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +1.9%) has made new highs.
    • Notable gainers include many analog/mixed-signal and telecom IC firms: TXN +3%. LLTC +2.7%. SMTC +3.1%. ISIL +3.3%. SWKS +3.7%. AVGO +2.9%. OVTI +3.2%. FSL +3.1%. EZCH +2.5%. XLNX +2.3%. ALTR +2.1%. MX +4.3%. PMCS +2.7%. BRCM +2%.
    • On its CC (transcript), ADI noted its telecom equipment chip sales are holding up well in spite of weak capex, aided by the fact its dollar content for 4G base stations is "at least 20% to 30% better" than for 3G base stations. The company also mentioned its lead times were stable in FQ4.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | 3 Comments
  • Oct. 31, 2014, 11:31 AM
    • Three weeks after providing a calendar Q3 warning that triggered a massive chip stock rout, Microchip (MCHP +7.3%) has provided Q4 guidance that's in-line with lowered estimates. The microcontroller vendor, which has often seen trends emerge ahead of peers, also said it saw most of its inventory correction in Q3, and expects Q4 sales to be just "slightly below typical seasonal levels."
    • Chip stocks are up strongly (SOXX +4%) on a day the Nasdaq is up 1.4%. Since Microchip's warning, a slew of analog chipmakers and microcontroller firms (e.g. Atmel, Freescale, STMicro, Intersil, Linear) have offered light Q4 guidance, and other firms have reported seeing high-end Android weakness (e.g. Synaptics, Cirrus Logic, Amkor).
    • On the other hand, several mobile chipmakers (Skyworks, RF Micro, TriQuint, Silicon Motion), some of which have decent iPhone exposure, have provided strong results and/or guidance. Other chipmakers, such as Broadcom, Texas Instruments, and Xilinx, have rallied after delivering in-line guidance.
    • Susquehanna's Chris Caso: "By now, we think it’s clear that the weakness MCHP saw in September is not company specific ... The question now is if the full extent of the weakness has been dialed into estimates. If it has, then this would be among the shortest and mildest downturns in many years."
    • Notable gainers: SNDK +3.9%. MU +4.1%. AMAT +3.9%. TXN +4.7%. NXPI +3.9%. NVDA +3.5%. MXIM +4.7%. LLTC +5.1%. FCS +9.6%. FSL +8.8%ADI +6.5%. TQNT +6.8%. RFMD +6.5%. ATML +5.9%. AVGO +5.1%. MRVL +4.7%. AMCC +8.9%. BRCM +3.6%. TSM +4.4%. ARMH +3.3%.
    • Intel (INTC +3.5%) has recovered most of the losses it saw yesterday due to Intesil's (ISIL +3.3%) results and guidance, and related comments about a PC chip inventory correction.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | 17 Comments
  • Oct. 9, 2014, 4:37 PM
    • Microchip (NASDAQ:MCHP) expects FQ2 revenue of $546.2M, below prior guidance of $560M-$575.9M and a $567.9M consensus.
    • CEO Steve Sanghi: "The month of September is usually a strong month for our revenue after the summer holiday period. This time, the September sales did not materialize to our expectations. The revenue miss was led by China where the September quarter is traditionally the strongest."
    • Sanghi also highlights Microchip's status as a bellwether for the chip industry, due to its 80K+ customers and recognition of distributor revenue based on sell-through to customers rather than distributor sell-in. "We believe that another industry correction has begun and that this correction will be seen more broadly across the industry in the near future."
    • MCHP -8.1% AH.
    • Chip ETFs: SOXX, SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | 8 Comments
  • Jul. 23, 2014, 12:25 PM
    • Among the year's best tech performers, chip stocks are selling off (SOXX -1.8%) on an up day for the Nasdaq following weak numbers from FPGA giant Xilinx (XLNX -14.5%).
    • Xilinx missed FQ1 revenue estimates by over $18M, and also guided for FQ2 revenue to be well below consensus. The company blamed the FQ1 shortfall on soft defense and wireless sales. BMO and BofA/Merrill have downgraded Xilinx; the former thinks Xilinx's 28nm share might be peaking.
    • Xilinx stated on its CC (transcript) the wireless weakness was mostly due to soft 28nm chip sales to Chinese 4G base station vendors; Chinese 4G rollouts have long been viewed as a catalyst for both Xilinx and Altera (ALTR -4.7%). Aerospace/defense sales were hurt by program timing issues.
    • Meanwhile, switch/router vendor Juniper offered light Q3 guidance to go with a Q2 beat. The company noted on its CC (transcript) "market dynamics" for U.S. carriers, including M&A activity, are affecting project rollouts.
    • Also: Analog/mixed-signal IC vendor Linear (LLTC -4.1%) is selling off in spite of beating FQ4 estimates and guiding in-line (8%-11% Y/Y FQ1 rev. growth vs. 9.1% consensus).
    • Notable decliners: FSL -5.3%. IDTI -6.4%. EZCH -3.3%. PMCS -4.3%. LSCC -6.8%. CAVM -4.7%. SMTC -4.1%. ATML -3.2%. TQNT -3.1%. RFMD -2.9%. IRF -2.9%.
    • Qualcomm, NXP, TriQuint, and Cirrus Logic report after the bell.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | 2 Comments
  • Feb. 26, 2014, 11:24 AM
    • Chip stocks are outperforming (SOXX +1.1%) after Avago (AVGO +5.1%) posted an FQ1 beat and strong margin numbers (albeit while guiding light, as many expected), and STMicroelectronics (STM +3.9%) exec Paul Grimme states his company's European sales are stabilizing, with Germany leading the way.
    • Notable winners: AMBA +5.4%. AMCC +5.2%. CRUS +3.3%. SWKS +3%. QUIK +4.1%. INVN +2.7%. RFMD +3.5%. TQNT +3%. SIMO +2.7%. CAVM +3.6%. Nearly all of the aforementioned names have strong mobile and/or telecom equipment exposure.
    • RBC has hiked its Avago PT to $66 from $64, and says the chipmaker remains its "top play on China and global LTE deployments." With LSI in tow, the firm thinks FY15 (ends Oct. '15) EPS will top $5.
    • Morgan Stanley ($68 PT) is confident Avago can raise LSI's op. margin to 30% from 17% over the next few years, much as the company has doubled its own op. margin to 30% post-LBO.
    • Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
    | Comment!
  • Jun. 3, 2013, 5:33 PM
    Microchip (MCHP) +4.5% after raising its FQ1 (ends June 30) guidance. The microcontroller vendor now expects 4%-7% Q/Q sales growth and EPS of $0.52-$0.56; that's better than prior guidance of 2%-6% growth and EPS of $0.50-$0.54, and largely above a consensus of $447.7M and $0.52. Microchip, often seen as a bellwether for chip stocks (SOXX, SMH), says it has "continued to see a very strong bookings and business environment," has "received excellent visibility" from customers, and is returning employees to work faster than expected to keep inventories from falling too low. Microchip's guidance hike comes after the SIA estimated chip sales fell 10% M/M in March, better than a historical drop of 15.3%.
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  • Apr. 25, 2013, 8:28 PM
    Samsung Electronics (SSNLF.PK) says its Q1 profit rose 42% to a record high on strong smartphone sales. Net profit rose to a record KRW7.15T ($6.4B), up from KRW5.05T a year earlier. Operating profit rose 54% to KRW8.8T from KRW5.7T. Sales rose 16.8% to KRW52.9T from KRW45.3T, coming in in line with the company's guidance of KRW51T to KRW53T. The results stand in stark contrast those of Apple (AAPL), which earlier this week reported its first profit drop in a decade and forecast margins to decline in the current quarter ending in June.
    | 95 Comments
  • Apr. 24, 2013, 12:28 PM
    Are wireless chip stocks decoupling from Apple? Even with Apple off slightly as bleak June quarter guidance outweighs fresh capital returns, iPhone/iPad combo chip supplier Broadcom (BRCM +6.6%) is surging thanks to a Q1 beat and strong Q2 guidance, and is helping out some peers - QCOM +1.4%, SWKS +2.6%, INVN +1.8%, SNDK +1%. During its earnings call, Broadcom, which also provides combo chips for many Samsung phones, stated mobile chip sales only fell 1.6% Q/Q in seasonally weak Q1, and forecast sequential growth for the business (Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic sure isn't doing the same). Qualcomm reports after the close.
    | 4 Comments
  • Feb. 1, 2013, 1:34 PM
    Telecom chipmakers Cavium (CAVM +7.5%) and PMC-Sierra (PMCS +13.7%) soar after delivering Q4 beats (I, II), and contribute to a decent rally in chip stocks (SOXX +1.9%). Cavium guided on its Q4 call for Q1 revenue of $68.5M-$70.5M and EPS of $0.17-$0.19 vs. a consensus of $69.1M and $0.17. PMC guided on its call for Q1 revenue of $123M-$132M, largely above a $124.7M consensus. The numbers come amidst growing optimism (I, II) about 2013 telecom capex. Peers Broadcom (BRCM +2%), Marvell  (MRVL +3.1%), and LSI (LSI +4.7%) are all doing well.
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  • Jan. 17, 2013, 1:19 PM
    TSMC (TSM +2.5%) has hit levels last seen during the Dot.com bubble after delivering an in-line Q4 report (revenue was already known thanks to monthly reports) and guiding for a smaller Q/Q sales drop for seasonally weak Q1 than was expected. The world's top chip foundry claims 22% of Q4 wafer sales involved its cutting-edge 28nm process - TSMC struggled with 28nm yield issues earlier in 2012. Chip stocks are getting a lift from the report (SOXX +1.4%), and from ASML's guidance.
    | Comment!
  • Jan. 10, 2013, 11:24 AM
    TSMC (TSM +2.3%) provides some cheer for chip stocks by announcing sales for the seasonally weak month of December were NT$37.1B ($1.28B), -16% M/M but +19% Y/Y. That leads total Q4 sales to amount to NT$131.3B, slightly above guidance of NT$129B-$131B. TSMC's 28nm manufacturing process lead and strong exposure to Apple/Samsung suppliers helped it gain chip foundry share in 2012. (previous)
    | 1 Comment
  • Dec. 21, 2012, 4:15 PM
    O2Micro (OIIM) warns it expects Q4 revenue of $16M-$17M, below prior guidance of $17M-$20M and a consensus of $18.6M. The company, no stranger to warnings, blames "broad-based weakness in demand in our end markets, coupled with lower than normal inventories being held in the supply chain." At least a few other chipmakers have similar problems. Shares are likely to fall after rising 8% in regular trading. (PR)
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  • Dec. 13, 2012, 4:34 PM
    Tessera (TSRA) -6.9% AH after warning it expects Q4 revenue of $50M-$53M, well below the $73.5M estimated by the one analyst who covers the company. Chip packaging IP revenue is expected to fall to $42M-$43M from Q3's $57.9M, and camera module sales to $8M-$10M from Q3's $14.8M. No explanation is given for the warning, which is harsh even in light of the ones recently issued by Altera and Lattice Semi.
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  • Nov. 9, 2012, 4:42 PM
    It pays for chip companies to have good mobile exposure these days. TSMC (TSM +1.4%), the top foundry for Qualcomm, OmniVision, Broadcom, and other mobile chip names, reported its October sales rose 15% M/M and 32% Y/Y to $1.7B, boosted by growing 28nm chip production. Rival UMC, by comparison, only saw 12% Y/Y growth. Credit Suisse now thinks TSMC should be able to hit the high end of its Q4 revenue guidance range thanks to smartphone-related orders.
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  • Nov. 9, 2012, 10:34 AM
    Analog chipmakers Diodes (DIOD -7%) and Microsemi (MSCC -5%) are heading south following their Q3 reports (I, II). Though Diodes' Q4 revenue guidance ($160M-$167M vs. $164M consensus) was in-line, its gross margin forecast of 23%-27% is underwhelming, given the midpoint is below Q3's 26.2%. Microsemi is guiding for Q4 revenue of $262M-$268M and EPS of $0.57-$0.60, mostly below a consensus of $268.1M and $0.60. The chip industry remains mired in a slump. (Diodes PR) (Microsemi PR)
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SMH Description
The Market Vectors®Semiconductor ETF (SMH) seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the Market Vectors US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index (MVSMHTR). The Index is a rules-based index intended to track the overall performance of 25 of the largest U.S. listed, publicly traded semiconductor companies.
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Country: United States
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