Quote & Headlines
5d 1m 3m 1y 5y 10y
To learn more about Seeking Alpha PRO, click here.
There are no Transcripts on SOYB.
SOYB vs. ETF Alternatives
"The Teucrium Soybean Fund (NYSE: SOYB) provides investors unleveraged direct exposure to soybeans without the need for a futures account. The Teucrium Soybean Fund was also designed to reduce the effects of backwardation and contango. The investment objective of the Fund is to have the daily changes in percentage terms of the Shares’ Net Asset Value (“NAV”) reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of a weighted average of the closing settlement prices for three futures contracts for soybeans (“Soybean Futures Contracts”) that are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (“CBOT”). The three Soybean Futures Contracts will be: (1) second-to-expire CBOT Soybean Futures Contract, weighted 35%, (2) the third-to-expire CBOT Soybean Futures Contract, weighted 30%, and (3) the CBOT Soybean Futures Contract expiring in the November following the expiration month of the third-to-expire contract, weighted 35%."
See more details on sponsor's website
See more details on sponsor's website
Friday, Nov 2912:58 PMMielke: soybean futures set to fall on record supply
Friday, Nov 2912:58 PM| Comment!
- Soybean prices have outperformed other crops including corn and wheat on the year but may be set to fall in the next 6 months as global production rises 7.3% from last season to a record 286.5M tons, Oil World director Thomas Mielke believes. "Soybeans will be the leader to the downside," he stated at a conference in Hamburg.
- On the demand side, Mielke thinks Chinese buying has supported prices this year (soybean futures having fallen 5.5% this year on the Chicago exchange, vs. a 40% plunge in corn an 14% decline in wheat), leading to a situation in which markets haven't accounted for the increase in supply, particularly from South America, where next season's harvest may jump 9.4% to 158.5M tons.
- A confirmation of Mielke's forecast would be unfavorable for Teucrium Soybean (SOYB -0.7%), an ETF which seeks to track the futures of the 3 soybean contracts. Shares have been largely range bound in 2013, oscillating between $21.50-$26 and currently at $23.48.
Saturday, Oct 58:25 AMGovernment shutdown could send ag markets into turmoil
Saturday, Oct 58:25 AM| 9 Comments
- The U.S. government shutdown and the resulting lack of official statistics are prompting traders to shun agricultural commodities due to concerns about the vacuum of information and fears of a data dump that will hit markets hard when the shutdown ends.
- Likely to fall victim to the shutdown is the USDA's monthly Wasde crop production report, set for Oct. 11, which affects prices of grains and other agricultural commodities around the world.
- Analysts say concerns over a delay could lead to additional short-covering as speculative shorts look to take risk off the table; once the USDA resumes operations, a torrent of backlogged data could trigger a highly volatile reaction.
- ETFs: MOO, CROP, PAGG, VEGI, JJG, GRU, CORN, WEAT, SOYB, COW, UBC, JJA, RJA, AGF, DBA, FUD, UAG, DAG, AGA, ADZ, JJS, TAGS, USAG, RGRA.
Monday, Sep 303:49 PMCorn slides to 3-year low after bearish stocks data
Monday, Sep 303:49 PM| 2 Comments
- Corn (CORN -2.4%) and Soybeans (SOYB -3.2%) tumble - with corn hitting a 3-year low - after the USDA reports estimated corn stocks of 824M bushels, off 17% from a year ago, but far higher than trade estimates for 687M. Bean stocks are estimated at 141M bushels, also off 17% from a year ago, but 13% above estimates. Stocks still remain low, but these are old crop numbers, and forecasters are looking forward to a big crop this fall.
- Wheat (WEAT -2.7%) stocks of 1.85B bushels were slightly below expectations.
- Lower-than-expected feed usage and export demand were behind the big corn number - high prices had pig farmers substituting corn for wheat.
- Relevant grain ETFs: JJA, RJA, AGF, DBA, FUD, UAG, DAG, AGA, ADZ, JJS, TAGS, USAG, RGRA, JJG, GRU.
Thursday, Sep 121:07 PMCorn slides as USDA ups production and ending stocks
Thursday, Sep 121:07 PM| Comment!
- December Corn slides nearly 3% after the USDA revises upward its estimate for ending stocks to 1.855B bushels from last month's 1.837B. Trade forecasts were for 1.739B. Production is lifted to 13.843B bushels from 13.763B last month and trade estimates of 13.641B. The average yield is expected at 155.3 bushels/acre vs. 123.4 last year.
- Beans go green, however, as the USDA cuts it estimate for yields across the Midwest. The agency sees production at 3.149B bushels and ending stocks of 150M after cutting export demand by 20M bushels. "Leaves trade nervous," tweets Arlan Suderman of Water Street Solutions. "USDA too conservative on demand."
- Wheat's reverses an early loss to go flat even as the USDA revises higher its forecast of ending stocks to 561M bushels from 551M.
- Deere (DE -1.1%) got knee-jerked for a few cents on the news release, but looks to be in the process of bouncing back.
- CORN -2.7%.
- JJG, GRU, SOYB, WEAT.
Monday, Aug 268:05 AMIs drought back? Grains rally
Monday, Aug 268:05 AM| 1 Comment
- Soybeans lead big gains in the grains after the Pro Farmer tour suggests a harvest lower than the USDA prediction and DTN forecasts more hot, dry weather in the Midwest for the next 7-10 days.
- November beans +3.9%, December corn +3.6%, December wheat +1.5%.
- "The market's increasingly getting a bit nervous about the soybean crop," says an agricultural economist with ANZ.
- ETFs of interest: CORN, SOYB, WEAT. JJG, GRU.
Monday, Aug 1212:26 PMGrains spike on new USDA estimates
Monday, Aug 1212:26 PM| 4 Comments
- The grain pits party after the USDA lowers its corn production estimate to 13.76B bushels - still a whopper of a number, but off from 13.95B in July. Ending stocks are cut to 1.837B bushels.
- Bean production is cut to 3.255B bushels from 3.42B as acres planted are cut 500K and yield is lowered to 1.9 bushels/acre.
- No change is made to the wheat production estimate, but 25M bushels of extra exports cuts ending stocks by the same amount.
- December corn erases a sizable early loss, now up $0.15 to $4.69/bushel. CORN +1.5%.
- SOYB +3.4%, WEAT +0.3%.
- Grain ETFs: JJG +1.8%, GRU +2.5%.
- Other related: JJA, RJA, AGF, DBA, FUD, UAG, DAG, AGA, ADZ, JJS, TAGS, USAG, RGRA.
Friday, Jun 281:00 PMCorn (CORN -3.9%) crumbles after the USDA estimates farmers planted 97.379M acres - the most since 1936 and far ahead of estimates for just 95.431M acres. The number of acres to be harvested, however, fell to 89.135M from 89.5M projected 2 weeks ago, and stocks of 2.764B bushels are below expectations of 2.845B. Bean (SOYB -0.5%) acreage is estimated at about an inline 77.28M acres - the most ever. DBA -1%. |Friday, Jun 281:00 PM| 10 Comments
Wednesday, Jun 1212:19 PMCorn (CORN -1.8%) gives up early gains and turns sharply lower after the USDA estimates 2013/14 ending stocks of 151.8M tons, above the trade estimate of 149.6M. The USDA cut its yield projection by 1.5 bushels to 156.5 bushels/acre, but lower feed usage and no reduction in planted acreage (despite spring delays) has stocks higher. Tyson (TSN +0.9%) and Pilgrim's Pride (PPC +1.9%) cheer the news. The data was bearish for beans (SOYB -1.8%) as well. Grains ETF (JJG -1.3%). |Wednesday, Jun 1212:19 PM| Comment!
Wednesday, May 1511:38 AMAgricultural commodity prices (DBA) could fall a big 13% over the next year, says Goldman, predicting bumper crops across the globe. With weak demand and a record South American harvest (CORN, SOYB, WEAT) already in the books, it would require a major weather shock in the U.S. to keep prices near current levels. Earlier: Deere tumbles as poor weather slows U.S. planting progress. |Wednesday, May 1511:38 AM| Comment!
Friday, Feb 83:40 PMBeans (SOYB -2.6%) tumble as stronger Brazilian production has the USDA upping its forecast for ending stockpiles by a greater-than-expected 1.1% to 60.1M tons. Estimated corn (CORN -0.5%) inventories are raised 5% to a 632M bushels, but it's not enough to send prices lower as the level remains the lowest in the U.S. since 1995. |Friday, Feb 83:40 PM| Comment!
Friday, Jan 1112:13 PMThe inaugural midday release of the USDA's January crop report doesn't disappoint, with corn reversing early losses and now sharply green as Dec. 1 stocks come in at 8.03B bushels vs. expectations of 8.21B. Ending stocks are estimated at a slim 602M bushels vs. expectations of 667M. Beans are down after production came in higher than expected. Wheat jumps on lower-than-anticipated planted acres. |Friday, Jan 1112:13 PM| Comment!
Thursday, Jan 39:19 AMThe grains continue a tough post-U.S. harvest run with news today of China cancelling another order - this one 11.6M bushels of American beans. In the meantime, better weather is improving prospects for South America's crops. Beans -1.1%, Corn -0.7%, Wheat -0.2%. |Thursday, Jan 39:19 AM| Comment!
Monday, Nov 122012, 12:47 PMThe grains get a downgrade from Goldman following Friday's USDA report raising harvest estimates. Acknowledging continued tight supplies of corn and wheat, Goldman says "risks of critically tight soybean inventories continue to fade quickly." The grains are off sharply today: CORN -3.1%, SOYB -2.8%, WEAT -1.6%. |Monday, Nov 122012, 12:47 PM| Comment!
Friday, Oct 192012, 7:27 AM
Thursday, Oct 112012, 9:16 AMGrains soar as the USDA lowers its estimate of corn ending stocks to 619M bushels from 733M in September. The cut comes even as it raises its forecast of harvested acres to 360K. What happens, asks Arlan Suderman, if the USDA is forced to cut harvested acres in its next report? Yikes. Corn +4%, Beans +2.1%, Wheat +1.5%. |Thursday, Oct 112012, 9:16 AM| 2 Comments
Friday, Sep 282012, 8:56 AMCorn soars 3% as the USDA announces stocks at just 988M bushels, the low end of the expected range. Prior to the report, corn had tumbled about $1/bushel over the past month. Wheat stocks also came in low, suggesting greater-than-expected feed use for both grains. Bean stocks beat expectations after the USDA "finds" another 38M bushels from last year's crop. Wheat +2%, Beans flat. |Friday, Sep 282012, 8:56 AM| 1 Comment