Seeking Alpha

Splunk Inc. (SPLK)

  • Nov. 20, 2014, 4:03 PM
    • Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK): Q3 EPS of $0.02 beats by $0.01.
    • Revenue of $116M (+47.5% Y/Y) beats by $8.69M.
    • Shares +4.37%.
    • Press Release
    | Comment!
  • Nov. 19, 2014, 5:35 PM
  • Nov. 17, 2014, 2:49 PM
    • Splunk (SPLK -4.8%) is having a rough day ahead of Thursday's FQ3 report. Volume (1.53M shares thus far vs. a 3-month average of 2.35M) is relatively light.
    • Shares are still up 44% since Splunk posted an FQ2 beat and hiked its FY15 guidance in August.
    | Comment!
  • Nov. 11, 2014, 12:44 PM
    • New Relic, a provider of cloud-based tools for analyzing software data to monitor performance and usage, has filed to raise up to $100M under the symbol NEWR. The Underwriters are Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, UBS, Allen & Co., JMP, and Raymond James. (prospectus)
    • New Relic, which declares itself to be "powering a global data nerd movement," had 250K+ users at the end of September. Revenue for the six months ending Sep. 30 totaled $48M (+84% Y/Y), and net loss $19.4M. Sales/marketing spend of $37.6M had much to do with the red ink.
    • Splunk (SPLK -0.1%), whose machine/log data software is used to analyze app performance (among other things), is a key rival. Last year, Splunk (hungry to expand beyond its core IT operational intelligence end-market) bought mobile app machine data analytics startup BugSense.
    | 1 Comment
  • Nov. 7, 2014, 8:32 AM
    • Evercore ISI has upgraded Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) to Buy, and CA Technologies to Hold. Its targets have been respectively been upped to $75 and $30.
    • Evercore is upbeat about Splunk's ability to improve sales productivity (a recent concern), and considers risk/reward favorable at current levels. It cites valuation and improving enterprise IT spending as reasons for upgrading CA.
    • SPLK +1.2% premarket. The machine data analytics vendor's FQ3 report is due on Nov. 20.
    | Comment!
  • Oct. 22, 2014, 1:22 PM
    • Enterprise software vendors are having a rough day after VMware (VMW -5.6%) provided light Q4 guidance to go with a Q3 beat.
    • On its CC (transcript), VMware also reported its bookings fell Q/Q in Q3. They were hurt by Russian and German softness, and a failure to close a major enterprise license agreement (ELA) with a federal client. ELAs made up 29% of Q3 bookings, down from 37% in Q2.
    • Rivals Oracle (ORCL -1.5%), Red Hat (RHT -3.3%), and Citrix (CTXS -1.5%) are among the decliners, as are Splunk (SPLK -4.7%), Tableau (DATA -2.8%), Qlik (QLIK -2.5%), and MicroStrategy (MSTR -0.9%). Oracle provided light guidance last month.
    • Several enterprise cloud software stocks are also selling off: N -2.5%. VEEV -2.9%. ZEN -4.2%. CSOD -2.3%. SAAS -3.2%. NOW -1.7%.
    • Nomura and Raymond James have downgraded VMware. Nomura thinks 2015 guidance (expected in January) will also be light, and believes slow vSphere server virtualization growth (affected by competition and high penetration rates) will remain a headwind, given it's still over half of VMware's business. "Growth has to come from the vCloud Suite ... other newer products are just too small still to matter."
    • Some of those "other newer products" are doing well: VMware's end-user computing license bookings (boosted by the AirWatch acquisition) rose over 60% Y/Y in Q3, and its much-hyped NSX software-defined networking platform now has 250+ paying customers (up from just 100 a few months ago).
    • A slew of enterprise tech names sold off on Monday in response to IBM's Q3 report. Big Blue's software sales fell 2% Y/Y in Q3, after rising 1% in Q2. CA, Citrix, and ServiceNow report after the bell.
    | Comment!
  • Oct. 13, 2014, 9:12 AM
    • William Blair has upgraded Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) to Outperform. The firm cites improving visibility and a reasonable valuation.
    • Morgan Stanley upgraded the machine data analytics vendor a week ago. Shares still go for 11x FY16E (ends Jan. '16) sales. Price/billings multiples are a little lower.
    | Comment!
  • Oct. 6, 2014, 10:00 AM
    • Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss has upgraded Splunk (SPLK +4.5%) and Tableau (DATA +6.7%) to Overweight, and downgraded Tableau rival Qlik (QLIK -2.9%) to Equal-weight.
    • Weiss: "As a 'Big Data pure play, Splunk benefits from strong secular tailwinds and significant market momentum." He highlights the machine data analytics software firm's FQ2 growth acceleration, and thinks its user conference (starts today) could act as a fresh catalyst. CFO Dave Conte will be hosting a talk with investors/analysts at the conference tomorrow at 2:15PM ET.
    • Regarding Tableau, Weiss predicts the analytics/data visualization upstart's "with a large market opportunity, expanding distribution capacity and strong execution" will yield "plenty of runway" for growth. He thinks a bull case of 50%+ and 100%+ annual sales and free cash flow growth, respectively, is quite achievable.
    • As for Qlik, Weiss admits the pending launch of Qlik Sense (previous) is an opportunity, but is concerned about execution, as well as the need for higher sales/marketing spend to support the Sense ramp. As it is, sales/marketing spend has outpaced revenue growth for several years.
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 29, 2014, 1:23 PM
    • A 33% FQ2 price cut for the Splunk Cloud machine data analytics platform (Amazon price cuts were passed on) appears to be paying off, says CLSA after taking stock of Splunk's (SPLK +19.4%) FQ2 beat and strong guidance. The firm thinks the cuts, along with the launch of an online sandbox for prospective buyers led to "an influx" of new entry-level clients in FQ2.
    • Cowen likes the fact term licenses (as opposed to perpetual licenses) made up 37% of license bookings, much better than the firm's 25% forecast and "indicative of an even stronger quarter than it initially appears." Pac Crest is pleased with CC remarks (transcript) about improving sales productivity (a recent concern) and strong government orders.
    • Morgan Stanley likes Splunk's top-line and customer growth, but remains worried about competition (rival Sumo Logic has been claiming strong growth) and notes management has hinted at further price cuts.
    • Analytics/data visualization software vendors Tableau (DATA +6.3%) and Qlik (QLIK +1.9%) are following Splunk higher.
    • Prior Splunk earnings coverage
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 29, 2014, 12:45 PM
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 29, 2014, 9:07 AM
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 28, 2014, 5:35 PM
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 28, 2014, 4:15 PM
    • Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) expects FQ3 revenue of $105M-$107M, above a $104.3M consensus. FY15 (ends Jan. '15) revenue guidance is at $423M-$428M, up from a prior $402M-$410M and above a $411.6M consensus. FY15 op. margin guidance has been raised to 1% from 0%.
    • License revenue +44% Y/Y in FQ2 to $62.1M, an improvement from FQ1's 42% growth. Services revenue (driven by past license deals) +67% to $39.5M.
    • Splunk added 500+ customers in FQ2, up from 400+ in FQ1. The total base is now above 7.9K. The deferred revenue balance rose 62% Y/Y to $207M.
    • GAAP opex rose 101% Y/Y to $146.8M, soundly exceeding revenue growth of 52%. Sales/marketing spend +79% to $80M; R&D +111% to $34.2M.
    • Shares had gone into earnings down 57% from a February high of $106.15.
    • FQ2 results, PR
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 28, 2014, 4:03 PM
    • Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK): FQ2 EPS of $0.01 beats by $0.03.
    • Revenue of $101.54M (+51.8% Y/Y) beats by $7.61M.
    • Shares +3.62% AH.
    • Press Release
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 27, 2014, 5:35 PM
  • Aug. 12, 2014, 2:13 PM
    • The Splunk App for Stream (SPLK -2.1%) captures streaming wire data in real-time from data center and networking hardware, and allows companies to filter and correlate the data as they see fit. (PR)
    • Splunk, which already offers plenty of other tools for capturing/analyzing machine data, sees potential use cases for the wire data offering in app management, IT troubleshooting, security (e.g. threat detection/analysis), and business analytics.
    • The app is the fruit of Splunk's December acquisition of network data capture startup Cloudmeter. Splunk's FQ2 report is due on Aug. 28.
    | Comment!
Visit Seeking Alpha's
SPLK vs. ETF Alternatives
Company Description
Splunk Inc Splunk Inc provides software products. Its lagship product is Splunk Enterprise and at its core is a proprietary machine data engine, comprised of collection, indexing, search, reporting analysis and data management capabilities.
Sector: Technology
Country: United States