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- Ignore Stock Market Volatility [view article]
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- Why Core Inflation? [view article]
- September - Worst Month for Market Performance [view article]
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Why Obama Will Be the Next President of the United States [view article]
Michael.Ironically, I also voted for Ron Paul for the same reasons as you. But like you since he is no longer a viable candidate, I've switched to Obama. Like you, I won't like all his policies, but I think, like JFK, he will lead the nation.
And for those who think Democrats are Isolationists and/or wimps, check your history books: JFK stood down the Russians wrt missles in Cuba; FDR swung the nation into WWII; Truman stood up to N. Korea.
As a 'Nam vet, I'm against war unless SINCERE diplomacy fails. I've seen the horros of war. We need a strong, yet pragmatic President, not one who thinks he has a "direct channel to a Christian God" as some of the Islamofascists think they do to Allah.
For those who preach war, I hope you walk your talk by being in the front lines and leading the troops in "Iraq for the next 100 years", but I just suspect you're Chickenhawks, hiding behind some deferment like the current batch of administration Neocons and On-air "entertainers&quo... (Rush and his hemmroids deferment - no wonder he's a pain in the a$$) that got us into this mess. All talk, no walk.
This is why Obama will win. Zip your lips, and open your ears and eyes and you'll know what's going on around you, just like that old saying: "There are those who make it happen, there are those who let it happen, and there are those who don't know what's happening" Reply
Businesses Advised to Walk Away [view article]
I like your analyses, but leave out your Iraq politics. It makes me doubt your logic. ReplyAnother Discouraging Inflation Report [view article]
very nice article. inflation is the problem and one of the side effects, once that becomes apparent is going to be another 10% drop in the stock market :) ReplyMost Global Markets Currently in Downtrends [view article]
Question the upside potential for ewh in 2008. ReplyWhy Obama Will Be the Next President of the United States [view article]
I thought I was reading the rantings of the mid 30's isolationists. Obama as Commander in Chief, G-d help us all. Islam extremists will be upon us like a swarm of hornets. ReplyCredit Market Bottom Nowhere In Sight [view article]
A lot of market bulls point out that the actual monetary damage from the debt "instrument" mess is going to wind up being much smaller than the markets' reaction thus far. But markets don't really work that way. When a company releases financial results and some well calculated and explained guidance, the market knows precisely how to adjust prices. But what the market abhors and is puzzled by the most is uncertainty. And it is uncertainty that seems to be the theme of the credit mess. Satyajit Das is considered maybe the most knowledgable consultant on global debt structure who is talking and writing much about it, and he chose to title his recent book Guns, Traders, and Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives. Focusing on the unknowns, he describes in detail how the complexity of packaged debt instruments has mushroomed unregulated the last 10 years to the point where a large portion of the buyers of these products don't even know what they are buying or who is supposed to pay what debt. If you read his commentary on the evolving problem, you are struck by how many times he uses the term "unknown" in guaging the monetary damages. How do markets work with this kind of uncertainty? He points to a recent announcement by some Chinese, Korean, and Japanese banks where they estimated their damages from sub-prime exposure. The markets wiped 30 to 50 times the potential damage off the share prices.Untill the market clearly sees a resolution to all this and has a good guage on the damage to all the effected bottom lines, we will likely have a bear market. Reply
demand
Another Discouraging Inflation Report [view article]
"Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon." Who said that again?I just hope they put Greenspan's face on the hundred when they issue the "strong" US dollar at 1,000:1 for today's greenbacks. Reply
Guy
China's Global Impact: Inflation Exporter or Deflation Trendsetter? [view article]
Good article."According to a recent Wall Street Journal article, there is evidence to suggest that foreign exporters are willing to adjust prices to hold on to U.S. market share as the dollar declines in value."
This effect is recognized by economists, but tends to be only short run. In the long run, producers react to lower prices in their domestic currency.
An interesting issue that you didn't discuss is the potential lack of price elasticity of demand for Chinese products in the US. Normally, when prices go up demand falls. But the US has now become totally dependent on Chinese products, and even with rising prices there are no cheaper alternatives. In which case higher prices may lead to the same relative demand for each product, but overall cuts to consumers budgets.
I wonder how rising Chinese prices would impact Walmart. Reply
er
Recession Strategies: Good Things Come in Small(cap) Packages [view article]
Excellent research and post. ReplyReviewing John Mauldin's Economic Cycles Chart [view article]
I am a huge fan of John Mauldin. Motley Fool ranked him second only to Warren Buffett as the best investment advisor for 2007.In his newsletter last week, he forwarded the Roubini forecast for a deep recession to all his readers. He had previously thought a mild recession might be in order, but he is becoming more and more bearish. Reply
The 7th Best Time to Buy Stocks Over the Past 22 Years? [view article]
Your text says NYSE issues, but the graph says NASDAQ. Why the discrepancy? ReplyAnother Discouraging Inflation Report [view article]
If inflation is this high during the doldrums, when demand wanes, what should we expect when the economy -- and demand -- picks up? Hyperinflation? Commodity prices will go from a roar now, to parabolic when business rebounds! I shudder to think! ReplyWhy Obama Will Be the Next President of the United States [view article]
Does this mean Obama will talk also talk to Bin Laden, North Korea and Taliban? ReplyWhy Obama Will Be the Next President of the United States [view article]
Re : Why Obama will be next President"Obama is a uniter who will exit Iraq and talk with your enemies instead of attempting to bomb them into an attitude change"
Do you mean he will talk to Bin Laden, North Korea, and the Taliban? Reply
Why Obama Will Be the Next President of the United States [view article]
Mark my anonymous words: Walking away from Iraq due to its financial cost at the expense of the moral obligations of its people will soon come to justify for our people the walking away of our own debts: housing, credit cards, and the like.We are all it seems, both morally and financially bankrupt. Reply