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- Ignore Stock Market Volatility [view article]
- Percentages of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages [view article]
- Options Trader: Friday Outlook [view article]
- Start Planning for a Hard Economic Landing [view article]
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [view article]
- Eyes Off the Target [view article]
- GDP Shows Economy Is Far from Recession [view article]
- Retail Investors Refuse to Globalize [view article]
- An ETF Portfolio of Olympian Proportions [view article]
- Why Core Inflation? [view article]
- September - Worst Month for Market Performance [view article]
- What's Pushing the Market Up? [view article]
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- Percentages of Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages
- An ETF Portfolio of Olympian Proportions
- Options Trader: Friday Outlook
- Chart of the Day: Corporate Profits 2
- Eyes Off the Target
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
- What's Pushing the Market Up?
- September - Worst Month for Market Performance
- Start Planning for a Hard Economic Landing
- GDP Shows Economy Is Far from Recession
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6 Reasons U.S. Stocks Will Outperform Foreign Stocks in 2008 [view article]
Al I know is that there are many technical and fundamental indicators that the market is headed down to the 2002 bear market lows.Point and figure charts for the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ all count down to that level. Don't know when it will happen, but it will happen.
Has anyone who is bullish read the Wall Street Journal? There was a recent article to the effect that there will be a down rating of Fed Bonds because of the indebtedness. Can you imagine what the market will do if the bond ratings are reduced? Every time you turn around, there is still more spending -- are you for tax increases?
Can you trust anyone in the government anymore? There is no courage around to straiten out the mess, which will bring short term pain, but long term health. Reply
y
Stimulus Plan: We're In The Money? [view article]
Herb, with your track record, I can see why you toil away as a journalist.Reply
The Fed Won't Save Us, But Here's How to Make Money - Barron's Interview with Jeremy Grantham [view article]
You guys talking about the housing market "correcting to the mean", well that is fine in California where you overbuilt and overbought, but in middle america (not Ohio), home prices are fine...still going up, albeit more slowly and unlikely to drop precipitously given the amount of growth we are seeing.Living on the coast might be nice, but you must start thinking it is the whole country, and it isn't. Reply
Embrace the Golden Bull [view article]
I see so much value right now, particularly in the miners, energy, and in the oversold highly profitable tech companies, that I cannot see the selling continuing much longer in these. The world has not ended! Reply6 Reasons U.S. Stocks Will Outperform Foreign Stocks in 2008 [view article]
Even after a whopping 225 basis points cut by the Fed,pessimism prevails. Together with some technical improvement
I expect the stock market to rally shortly.
I have been bearish, but call for a bottom on Jan 22.
and expect this pullback to be done in a day or two.
Reply
Options Trader: Wednesday Outlook [view article]
Seehttps://citigroupgeo.com/pdf/S...
for a different take on oil.
Note: Citi clearly states that the analysis is based on technicals and NOT fundamentals, so look out.
CrossProfit Reply
What Is The Best Asset Allocation Strategy? [view article]
Excellent. Nice, clearly written post.Your estimates on return may be a bit rosy, even if they are based on historical rates. You know what they say "past behavior is no predictor of future actions" but it is (in my humble opinion) probably in the ballpark. Reply
The Fed Won't Save Us, But Here's How to Make Money - Barron's Interview with Jeremy Grantham [view article]
Grantham has the right ideas but even he seems to be missing a key point. The housing market will correct obviously, but it won't be just to the mean. The mean wouldn't be the mean unless there are data points above and below the line.To correct for the unproductive employment of capital into over-priced housing the market will have to correct substantially. Either that or the inflation rate will have to be kinked into a hockey stick shape to catch the falling prices. Long gold and short housing will be a play for months to come.
By the way, that 1100 on the S&P as the forecast for the bottom is what most chartologists would say as the target level. There will be lots of buying support trying to turn the market once it gets there so it will likely be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Reply
Why This Is Not the Toughest Market [view article]
the sky is falling. don't you see? look at the charts with the numbers and the arrows. it shows you the sky is falling. the man with the suit said it was. so it has to be. falling. ReplyEmbrace the Golden Bull [view article]
I have been a bear for months. I called for a bottom Jan 22(documented in my Jan 18 post) and expect this pullback to end soon.With the high pessimism that exists and other indicators pointing to a bounce, I think that the StocK Market will have a nice rally.
Reply
The Fed Won't Save Us, But Here's How to Make Money - Barron's Interview with Jeremy Grantham [view article]
You go to London or Hong Kong and ask about him and you will gather a few blank looks. Ask for Soros and Faber: Now you are talking personalities that move the markets.Reply
Guy
The Fed Won't Save Us, But Here's How to Make Money - Barron's Interview with Jeremy Grantham [view article]
Jeremy Grantham has been bearish for a while. He was also bearish too early last time around. But the result was that he avoided the bubble and saved his clients a ton of money. So he has a certain authority, black beanie cap or not.Alpha Seeker: I think Soros and Faber read Grantham, not the other way around. He's that respected. "There might be 5% downside left." Why only 5%? He's saying that the next leg down of the credit crisis has yet to hit. Reply
The Fed Won't Save Us, But Here's How to Make Money - Barron's Interview with Jeremy Grantham [view article]
Gratham obviously reads Soros and Faber well. However, they made these statements in late 2007. Since then the market corrected well and while there might be 5% downside left, the rest of the traveling from here would be 70's style. What Grantham obviously likes to see is a perfect buying point for his firm, which is a dreamers point-of-perfection. With the $ so low, there are a lot of money on the sidelines waiting to invest in the unwavering Anglo-Saxon machine. While we did pay the price of having this decade go to waste, I think the perfect buying points are starting appear all around and it may take another another 5-6 months but never that late as 2010. Anyone who attempts to predict that far in the future, is a fool, left alone the "grandest thinker and oracle".Rob
WallastonInvestments.c... Reply
rver
Jeremy Grantham Discusses U.S. Financial Markets with Barron's [view article]
What is going on now is very like the onset of the Great Depression where the credit markets seized up after the failure of a European bank. In the U.S. consumer debt was concentrated in farm land loans and when these shakey loans failed it bankrupted the country banks and the depositers. Cash buying power became concentrated in the hands of the wealthy. Policy makers tried everything to stabilize wages, prices and get buying power back into the hands of the masses without much success. In 1929 Gross National Product was $100B, in 1932 it was $60B as debt was extinquished. It was painful then, it will be painful now. ReplyIs Inflation Still Really a Major Fed Concern? [view article]
This story has no value. Reply