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- Why Cramer Should Be Suspended [view article]
- What Kind of Company Do These Markets Keep? [view article]
- Chasing Unicorns: The Cycle Gods Are Still Playing with Us Mere Mortals [view article]
- Europe's Bank Nationalization Fever [view article]
- 1929 All Over Again? [view article]
- The Crash of 2008 [view article]
- U.S. Trade Deficit at $59.1B; Job Losses Mount [view article]
- Market Performance During Past Recessions [view article]
- Too Late to Short SPY? An Historical Perspective [view article]
- Stop the Week, We Want to Get Off [view article]
- This Isn't a Bottom, It's a Disturbance in The Force [view article]
- The G7 Put vs. the Greenspan Put [view article]
Recent SPY Articles
- Europe's Bank Nationalization Fever
- Buy When the Market's Selling - and Vice Versa
- John Hussman: Market Poised for High Returns
- Making the Fed Model Work
- What Kind of Company Do These Markets Keep?
- Chasing Unicorns: The Cycle Gods Are Still Playing with Us Mere Mortals
- Gap Filled
- 1929 All Over Again?
- Don't Let the Market Rally Steal Your Long-Term Profits
- Stocks for the Long Run?
- Full List of Articles »
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NAR's Lawrence Yun Continues to Mislead on Housing [view article]
You don't consider some other very important demograhic facts. The Boomers Babies are entering the home buying stage of their lives and there are more of them then there are Boomers.Another thing to consider as is the constant transfer of wealth that is occurring and will likely excel as Boomers age. This will give their kids the resources necessary to buy homes.
The average age of a Hispanic head of household in this country is now in the upper 30's. Prime home buying age. Reply
Baltic Dry Index Almost Back to Record Highs [view article]
And of course financials were dominant in the S&P. ReplyBaltic Dry Index Almost Back to Record Highs [view article]
Were you in a different solar system during the last 10 months or so?Obviously financials were in a bubble, because they gave loans and mortgages to people, who couldn't afford them. (May be I am a bit old fashioned, but when people need to get a mortgage on their house to repair the roof of that very house, they cannot afford the house and on top of that the whole thing goes down with out a down payment.
That's what I call a bubble and that's what led to the credit crisis. Reply
Pursley
Energy Plan Political Pandering [view article]
Amen. Support Republican tax cuts and bankrupt Big Brother. Replyive
The Week Ahead: Geopolitical Issues Dominate [view article]
Why do americans get huffed up about $200/barrel or $4/gallon oil?Because the media wants them to. And the leaders can drum up sentiment to go to war over it. All Europe pays (and has been paying) more than $4 for several years ($8/gallon in London). Most of Asia pays about $4/gallon
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
"Geopolitical Issues Dominate" - they don't. Economy is just in a cyclical downturn. Can't make sense of the stock market - don't.
Don't get huffed up about oil prices!
Reply
VIX to VXV Ratio Is Giving a Strong Bearish Signal [view article]
If you can come up with a correlation coefficient I think it would strengthen your case a lot more. It would also allow you to know how and when to use this as an indicator.Ryan Reply
VIX to VXV Ratio Is Giving a Strong Bearish Signal [view article]
very interesting ReplyVIX to VXV Ratio Is Giving a Strong Bearish Signal [view article]
I think the price of oil is going to kill the rally. Neither the Fed nor the Hedgies can control the price of oil. When the oil domino hits the consumer domino and the consumer domino hits the GDP the whole stupid thing is going to come crashing down, way down. ReplyEli Hoffmann
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [view article]
Jersey's most recent comment (before Aimable) was accidentally deleted. We apologize.Here's what it said:
<<A quick search using key words oil profits and reasonable profits board revealed these and many more hits. These should clarify my position and concerns which should concern all of you as well. wtjs.com/pages/2127250...? edition.cnn.com/TRANSC... www.taxfoundation.org/... www.kansascity.com/273...;> Reply
Kadiddlehopp
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Baltic Dry Index Almost Back to Record Highs [view article]
JREwing are you saying the S&P was in a bubble for 36 months?If so, I disagree. Reply
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [view article]
Jersey, on your CNN link, Glenn Beck says "Do you want your profits to be reasonable? As long as it's legal, as long as it's ethical, I want the profits as big as I can get them." I don't know if you share his opinion verbatim. Because if you do, the question then becomes, is it ethical for oil companies to have record profits while food prices hit the roof, partly because of oil prices (transporting the food)? ReplyBarry Ritholtz Sees More Upside in Commodities [view article]
To: USER68127I read a few weeks ago on Barry's blog that he was considering withdrawl from Seeking Alpha because they had edited his material (whereas he said his agreement with them specifically stated they would publish his material without edits)...So make of it what you like. Reply
VIX to VXV Ratio Is Giving a Strong Bearish Signal [view article]
I agree! VNV is the way to go. Just a bit surprised to see someone making use of the VNV on this board. ReplyVIX to VXV Ratio Is Giving a Strong Bearish Signal [view article]
You know it's a horrible index at spotting bearish trends when it fails to capture either the MLK / SocGen drop or Bear Stearns scare. In both of these cases, the major indices set trading lows that were not reflected by your VIX:VXV ratio. If it clearly doesn't work (since it fails the common sense test), then you shouldn't use it.That reminds me, with all the talk about VIX, VXV, etc. I should listen one of my favorite bands, VNV (Nation). Reply
Weekly Street Sentiment: Facts Are Stubborn Things [view article]
The market seems to be in limbo between ending a short bear decline and proceeding to a bigger decline. On the one hand, you have two lead groups, the transports and the retail index, acting like they want to lead in a break of the decline. But on the other hand, you have the broad indexes still showing classic bear market rally technical signs.If you look at how the previous bear market played out on the VIX chart, you see that post 3/'00 the VIX declined to about 18 just prior to each major sell off (Aug. '00, Feb. '01, Apr. '02). Currently, the VIX drifted down to around 18 in Oct. '07 (the top before the decline) and it also drfted down to 18 in Dec. at the top of a bear market rally just prior to the Jan '08 sell off. In each case ('00-'03 and now) you can actually draw a straight trendline across the tops of the bear rallies and label where VIX 18 occurs and the 18s all fall very close to the line. Guess where the VIX is at right now - smack on 18 again, which seems to be something of a red flashing warning light with siren and a sign that reads "get out of Dodge!
But my advice, to add to the Starbucks coffee above, would be to maybe wait on the deployment of any new money to stocks and to watch carefully how the market works itself out of this repulsive limbo condition. Reply