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- The Cramer Crash? [view article]
- Getting Ready for... Anything [view article]
- Pay Little Heed to Economic Reports and Move On [view article]
- Carbon ETN Outpaces Oil and Natural Gas ETFs [view article]
- Time for Global Coordinated Easing [view article]
- John Hussman: Depression Fear Mongering 'Ridiculous' [view article]
- Sentiment Overview: Options Action Confuses [view article]
- Rising Gold and Silver: Essential to Any Investment Strategy [view article]
- Today Was a Buyer's Strike [view article]
- Bailout Bill Passes; What Happens Now? [view article]
- Last Week on Wall Street: Deflating [view article]
- Comparing Value-at-Risk to Crash-and-Burn [view article]
Recent SPY Articles
- Time for Global Coordinated Easing
- Pay Little Heed to Economic Reports and Move On
- Weekly Street Sentiment: Sell-Side Continues to Remain Bearish
- Getting Ready for... Anything
- Today Was a Buyer's Strike
- John Hussman: Depression Fear Mongering 'Ridiculous'
- Comparing Value-at-Risk to Crash-and-Burn
- Expected Inflation at a Six-Year Low (Unadjusted)
- Dow 10,000: Does Anybody Care?
- Analysts: Expecting a 30% Rally Over the Next 12 Months?
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The Credit Bubble: Deregulation Gone Wild [view article]
Your many excellent contributions to this article give me solace to know that people out there do get it!Reply
Spend Your Dollars Quickly before They Print More [view article]
If the money supply increases at a faster rate than the increase in available goods and services, then it will lead to inflation. Classic Austrian definition. But few people believe in this one nowadays. Which also explains why we are where we are today. ReplyUS and Asia Still in for a Downturn [view article]
great article! I think a lot of bloggers have mentioned this information in various texts. Nice to see it all in one, a complete view of the issues.I have doubts the OIL and commodities would keep rising though due to slower demand. I just read an article saying demand in the us for OIL has slowed down since a year ago, and the reserves are at the highest levels since 1990. Since I only know what others report, it is hard for me to be cartain one way or the other. Here is the article I mentioned
www.moneynews.com/mone...
any comments on the validity of the above article?
thanks.
Reply
Spend Your Dollars Quickly before They Print More [view article]
locke, actually that's what inflation *is*. If it doesn't translate to price increases, that's only because the extra money is being hoarded. But this is all moot because, however much the banks have hoarded, it very clearly has translated to price increases. If you don't believe this, step out of your ivory tower and ask the man on the street. Yes, CDOs and MBSs are down, but man does not live on paper alone; normal people spend most of their money on things like bread, milk, gasoline, heating oil, and rent. You think those prices haven't risen? Look at the charts for DBA, DBC, UNG, and USO if you need something familiar to help you understand the situation.Ignoring this, doctoring the CPI, or brushing off multi-year persistent trends as "volatile" is dangerous to your health. It leads to alienation, which is how economic problems become social and then military problems and how democracies become failed states. Stop pretending nothing is wrong here. Many things are very, very wrong and eventually the common man is going to put 2 and 2 together and figure out the primary cause. You do not want to be among those saying nothing is wrong when that time comes. Reply
Spend Your Dollars Quickly before They Print More [view article]
Increasing monetary supply does not necessarily imply inflation. ReplySpend Your Dollars Quickly before They Print More [view article]
Sad to see all the MarketWatch.com Chicken Littles and inflation-kiddies start to take over here. ReplySystemic Financial Crisis and Its Implications for Gold [view article]
We will see inflation and deflation over the next five to ten years.Debt assets,real estate, banks and debt paper will deflate, and real assets will inflate.
Foreigners are net sellers of US treasuries and the US dollar will continue to decline for several years as the Dollar loses its reserve hegemony, and is replaced by gold and baskets of currencies held as reserve.
This process will be take decades. The IMF is a political organization as much or more than a financial one--it will lose money on the sales.
Finally, Visa does have debt exposure--as fewer people use their cards, and bankruptcies increase, transactions will not materialize as expected. Reply
Tiedeman
These Market Internals Make It Hard To Be a Bear [view article]
A short term bottom was put in. This is obvious. The question is, where will the economy be in 6 months? This will equate in large part to where the DOW is in one year... ReplyTiedeman
Systemic Financial Crisis and Its Implications for Gold [view article]
It was announced that the IMF is going to sell 13 million ounces of Gold over the next several years. ReplyMarkets Bounce Back From Bear Stearns Panic; Is the Worst Over? [view article]
Given all this volatility, surely you would never want to be out of the woods? ReplySpend Your Dollars Quickly before They Print More [view article]
Right. What do you propose to spend money on? Would a house do? ReplyHawthorne
Markets Bounce Back From Bear Stearns Panic; Is the Worst Over? [view article]
Sure, we closed last week with the S&P up 4.2%; but almost all that gain was on the single day 4/1/08, which granted, was spectacular. Since then positive volume appears to have dried up, and the S&P is struggling to hold onto its gains.I agree that there is strong evidence that we are experiencing one of those violent bull rallies in the context of a broader bear market, and that the bull case has yet to be substantiated.
We live in interesting times... Reply
Hawthorne
These Market Internals Make It Hard To Be a Bear [view article]
"Hope-based" rallies in the context of bear markets can be as frustrating as they can be profitable... However, I believe that your thesis more or less begs the question... Price action improves as market internals improve as price action improves, &etc.Your study is interesting, but I would look for other technical indicators like RSI, OBV and MACD for confirmation, and in this case, it is lacking... Reply
3 Reasons Why the U.S. Will Avoid a Recession: I'm Skeptical [view article]
We won't have a recession simply because we talk about it so much. Once the rest of the world is convinced that dollar drop days are over, they will snap up US housing. ReplyMarkets Bounce Back From Bear Stearns Panic; Is the Worst Over? [view article]
We may not be out of the woods yet boys and girls. Reply