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- In Your Portfolio: US Growth and Value ETFs, Core Building Blocks: A Guide to ETFs That Divide the U.S. Stock Market by Market Cap
- Asset Class Performance: Growth vs. Value
Wednesday, Dec 47:17 AMFutures flat as stocks look to break losing streak
Wednesday, Dec 47:17 AM| 7 Comments
- Stock index futures are flat ahead of the ADP jobs report at 8:15 ET, and as equities look to break a 3-day losing streak.
- Europe's off moderately and in Asia, the Nikkei dove 2.2% while Shanghai gained 1.3% overnight.
- The 10-year Treasury yield is up one basis point at 2.80%, and gold continues its move toward an eleven-hundred handle, off 0.6% to $1,213 per ounce.
- Index ETFs: SPY, QQQ, IVE, SH, DIA, SSO, SDS, PSQ, IVV, SPXU, UPRO, VOO, QID, TQQQ, DOG, RSP, SQQQ, DXD, QLD, RWL, EPS, UDOW, SDOW, DDM, IVW, SPYG, RPG, SPYV, BXUB, RPV, VOOG, QQEW, QQQE, VOOV, TRND, SFLA, BXUC, FTA, QQXT, BXDB, TNDQ
Tuesday, Dec 37:16 AMYesterday's jittery close looks to continue at open
Tuesday, Dec 37:16 AM| Comment!
- S&P 500 and DJIA futures are off 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 -0.1% as stocks at the open look to continue with yesterday's jittery close.
- Europe's down more than 1% and Asia was little-changed overnight.
- Treasury yields back down just a hair after yesterday's jump, the 10-year down one basis point at 2.79%. Gold is flat after yesterday's ugly plunge took the metal back near its YTD low set last summer
- ETFs: SPY, QQQ, SH, DIA, SSO, SDS, PSQ, IVV, SPXU, UPRO, VOO, QID, TQQQ, DOG, RSP, SQQQ, DXD, QLD, RWL, EPS, UDOW, SDOW, DDM, BXUB, QQEW, QQQE, TRND, SFLA, BXUC, QQXT, BXDB, TNDQ,IVE, IVW, SPYG, RPG, SPYV, RPV, VOOG, VOOV, FTA
Monday, Dec 211:31 AMMorgan's Parker unveils S&P 500 target of 2014 in 2014
Monday, Dec 211:31 AM| 4 Comments
- Morgan Stanley's Adam Parker completes his turn from one of the Street's most bearish to its most bullish investment strategist with his S&P 500 2014 in 2014 target - an 11.5% advance from here. "The only thing people are worried about is that no one is worried about anything," he says ... "That isn't a real worry."
- He's not discounting the chance of a "Pavlovian" sell-off amid taper banter, but says any spring dip as the taper commences will be a buying opportunity "unless our outlook for corporate earnings markedly deteriorates.”
- "It isn’t preposterous to say that we could be in an environment of synchronous global economic expansion in 2014, and tapering or not, that isn’t fully in today’s prices.”
- S&P 500 ETFs: SPY, SH, SSO, SDS, IVV, SPXU, UPRO, VOO, RSP, RWL, EPS, BXUB, TRND, SFLA, BXUC, BXDB, IVE, SPYV, RPV, VOOV, FTA, IVW, SPYG, RPG, VOOG
Monday, Oct 213:23 PMPricey market can get pricier
Monday, Oct 213:23 PM| 4 Comments
- The S&P 500's 22% YTD return has been driven almost entirely by multiple expansion rather than higher earnings, says Goldman's David Kostin. That and the fact that the Cyclically Adjusted PE (CAPE) Ratio made famous by now-Nobel-laureate Robert Shiller suggests the index is about 30% overvalued isn't enough to have Kostin forecasting a bear market.
- Instead, the music's playing so we dance - he sees a flat S&P through year-end, but has a target of 1,900, or 9% above today's level in 2014.
- Kostin's excellent charts: Markets and money flow, Mutual fund flows, Market performance YTD.
- S&P 500 ETFs: IVV, SPY, VOO, RWL, SFLA, SSO, UPRO, SDS, SPXU, SH, EPS, RSP, BXUB, BXUC, BXDB, IVW, RPG, SPYG, VOOG, SPYV, IVE, RPV, VOOV, FTA,
Tuesday, Oct 18:28 AMPast shutdowns offer little in way of predictable market direction
Tuesday, Oct 18:28 AM| Comment!
- We didn't start the fire. Today's government shutdown is the 17th in the last 100 years, with 16 of those occurring since 1976.
- Compiling the returns of the S&P 500 (SPY) during those other episodes, Raymond James' Jeff Saut finds little to base a market call on - the median return is negative 0.1% and returns are positive 47% of the time.
- S&P 500 ETFs: IVV, SPY, VOO, RWL, SFLA, SSO, UPRO, SDS, SPXU, SH, EPS, RSP, BXUB, BXUC, BXDB, IVW, RPG, SPYG, VOOG, SPYV, IVE, RPV, VOOV, FTA.
Wednesday, Sep 49:49 AMPresident's trouble spells stock market trouble
Wednesday, Sep 49:49 AM| 3 Comments
- "When the President is in trouble, the stock market is in trouble," said Eliot Janeway years ago. "Clearly the President is in trouble," says Raymond James' normally bullish, but recently cautious Jeff Saut.
- Yesterday's opening spike was seemingly the result of short-covering from those who sold Friday expecting missiles to fly over the weekend, says Saut. Once sated, markets drifted downward, barely eking out a gain by day's end. "Up mornings and down afternoons is not particularly good stock market action."
- This correction likely won't be complete until the S&P 500 moves south of 1,600 (1,640 at the moment), says Saut, but he expects the index to remain above 1,500.
- Notable is the level of investor complacency as shown by this chart from Jason Goepfert: The ratio of mutual fund and ETF assets to money market fund assets is at an all-time high of 3.49 - surpassing the levels seen at the peaks in 2000 and 2007.
- S&P 500 ETFs: IVV, SPY, VOO, RWL, SFLA, SSO, UPRO, SDS, SPXU, SH, EPS, RSP, BXUB, BXUC, BXDB, IVW, RPG, SPYG, VOOG, SPYV, IVE, RPV, VOOV, FTA,.
Wednesday, Apr 310:58 AMVanguard is reopening its Capital Opportunity Fund to new investors after being closed to new accounts since 2004. The fund's style of growth-stock investing has fallen out of favor with investors more interested in dividend and low-vol strategies. The fund lagged in 2010 and 2011, but beat the S&P last year and thus far this year. |Wednesday, Apr 310:58 AM| Comment!
Tuesday, Jan 112:00 PM
Monday, Mar 192012, 5:05 PMThe big move in equities (+27.7% from the October low) doesn't preclude further gains as a check of similar rallies shows they continue more often than not for the next year. Toss in earnings multiples below their historic average and maybe just an exogenous shock could knock the market down. Still concerned? The collapse in volatility makes out-of-the-money puts very cheap protection. |Monday, Mar 192012, 5:05 PM| Comment!
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