iShares Lehman TIPS Bond (TIP)
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- 10-Year TIPS: An Investor's Benchmark [view article]
- Bond Expert: Thursday Wrap [view article]
- El-Erian's Recommended Allocation vs. Harvard, Yale [view article]
- More on TIPs closed-end funds (mentions IMF, TIP) [view article]
- The ‘No Direction’ Portfolio: S&P 500 Outperformance With Lower Volatility [view article]
- Runaway Inflation: Do TIPS Really Help? [view article]
- Why Core Inflation? [view article]
- Inflation Fears Subside [view article]
- Global Investing: Get Past the Noise [view article]
- Thoughts on Mohamed El-Erian's 'When Markets Collide' [view article]
- Report from the Bond War Frontlines [view article]
- FOMC August 5 Minutes Review: Inflation Debate Rages [view article]
Recent TIP Articles
- Bond Expert: Thursday Wrap
- 10-Year TIPS: An Investor's Benchmark
- Inflation Fears Subside
- Global Investing: Get Past the Noise
- Thoughts on Mohamed El-Erian's 'When Markets Collide'
- Report from the Bond War Frontlines
- Why Core Inflation?
- FOMC August 5 Minutes Review: Inflation Debate Rages
- Bond Expert: Monday Wrap
- Peak Theory, Applied To Inflation
- Full List of Articles »
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WIA: A TIPS Fund for the Conservative Investor [view article]
Yes WIA made some money in the last two years when TIPs ran amok. But is this a conservative investment? Decidedly not! This is just another amateur closed ender where your distributions are more likely to be carved out of capital as they are from interest. The TIPs rampage bailed out these guys in the last year or so; they still have a NAV below inception value. Lastly the manager has a hunting license to mix apples and oranges. Hold on to your wallet here! ReplyExpect a 1% Cut From the Fed [view article]
Even at .75% the market celebrates.It's funny that the Fed sees inflation risks cooling later in the year. I'm not going to predict prices over that short a horizon, but in the long run continued worldwide demand for raw materials and commodities is going to push prices up for many items. The fact that the Fed continues to take steps to dilute the value of the U.S. dollar will only exacerbate price pressures here. Reply
Slusiewicz: Commodities and Cash Still King [view article]
David: Are you talking about the "professionals&qu... at Bear Stearns or Countrywide? How about Mr. Angelo Mozzillo himself? Boy, these guys really know what they're doing, don't they? ReplySlusiewicz: Commodities and Cash Still King [view article]
All the bitter and twisted words coming out on these sites regarding the "manipulation&quo... of the markets and the rubbish about working groups etc.True or otherwise there is only one thing that matters in these markets: Making money. Either you are, or your not. Chances are if you're here having a whinge then you're in the latter group and should go and find a more satisfying day job.
The markets are what they are, use them to make money, use them to feed your addiction (then complain when you're beaten later) or leave them to the professionals.
David Reply
Slusiewicz: Commodities and Cash Still King [view article]
The problem with the whole analysis is that the entire market has been almost completely levitated by the PPT since the techcrash of 2000 (which was itself moderated by the PPT or would have been at least twice as bad). Remove the manipulation ("management"... if you like sugarcoating it) by the PPT (sugarcoated-the President's Group on Working Markets) and the market has already crashed. The Fed has been creating money (out of nothing) at an ever-increasing rate since 2002...it now approaches 20%/yr(which defines "hyperinflationar...
You should have known that's what they were going to do...it's the only reason they stopped publishing M3 back in March 2006 (they claimed it was b/c of "costs" of publishing it which as i recall were around $10M/yr...WOW!!!! what a ton of money, esp when they turn around over a weekend and dump $200BILLION with a "B" to bail out their banker buddies!!!$@#$$%# and then do the same thing a week or two later!!!!!!!
The point is that everything you're looking at when you look at for instance the DOW is a lie...it's a manipulated chart...and all the TA that "informs" so many investors is also a manipulated TA, since all TA takes for its data the past...and if the past is manipulated, then the future is based on manipulated data.
Get out of the stock market, except perhaps for commodities, and there, perhaps limited to gold and silver miners, maybe oil and NG companies. But more important is to know where your wealth is. If it's all in the dollar and dollar-denominated investments, you're in a heap o' trouble. You've got to be earning at least 20%/year just to break even, but that doesn't take into consideration the fact that to continue their Ponzi scheme, the Fed is going to just have to inflate at higher and higher rates. Make sure you trade in at least a portion of your worthless paper "money" for REAL money...silver and gold. AS hard as the anti-gold Cartel of the Fed and Western CBs has worked (and in large part succeeded) in convincing the sheeple people of the US...and actually of most of the Western World...that gold and silver are only good for making pretty jewelry and otherwise are useless, inedible, out-of-date "barbarous relics," they remain the premier currencies of the world for all known time, and all fiat currency frauds have ended badly with gold and silver re-taking their rightful places. We're getting near folks...got silver?...got gold?
jt Reply
Slusiewicz: Commodities and Cash Still King [view article]
In a bear market, you should short at the 150 day moving average, not buy into it. Reply10-Year TIPS vs. 10-Year Treasury: Which is the Better Choice? [view article]
OK saveCD, how about making it simple for us poor slobs. ReplySeaberg
Import Prices and Retail Sales: Two More Clues About the Future [view article]
If we discount the retail/food service sales of the above chart by the "true" inflation calculated in the shadowstats.com, we will find that the retailers and food sellers shipped 10% less goods out of the door than last year (13% p.a. inflation minus 3 % higher nominal sales). That means the consumer bought 10% fewer goods than last year. Now, if that is not a recession! ReplySlusiewicz: Commodities and Cash Still King [view article]
I love these guys....I'm gonna wait until it goes UP to buy.So, you are going to buy...just gonna wait until you can get less for your money.
Yeah. Please manage my funds. Reply
Seaberg
Interest Rates Fated to Rise? [view article]
Gold will do well as long as we have negative real interest rates. Just deduct the inflation rate of shadowstats.com from the yield of the fixed rate debt. ReplySlusiewicz: Commodities and Cash Still King [view article]
While I agree with Slusiewicz when he says that "it pays to be patient," I'm not so sure about the 16-20% rally he's expecting to see in the broader market. What's the fundamental change that's going to justify grinding upward? It seems increasingly unlikely that we'll get a string of economic data to buoy stocks, and the Fed has lost the power to raise hopes with a magical rate cut or a new T-acronym. ReplyImport Prices and Retail Sales: Two More Clues About the Future [view article]
Unfortunately the characters involved in the sub-prime fiasco are not the ones to be hurt by the medicine provided. Most of the banks and mtge brokers will be bailed out with easy money.The ones most hurt are the retirees or near-retirees who will see lower CD/money market interest and reductions in their 401Ks and IRAs as well as their brokerage accounts. Is this not the case when the savings banks fouled up in the early 1990's? Retirees have higher inflation to contend with as well. Once over the hump Banks will mark up their loan portfolios and it will be business as usual. Is it any wonder Americans do not save more?? Rick Reply
Why You Should Worry About Negative Short TIPS Spreads [view article]
Yes on the bear-bull spread idea; see Hulbert in Barron's online week of 10 March.EJW Reply
Interest Rates Fated to Rise? [view article]
My question is how will Gold do with rising interest rates and quickening Debt Deflation? ReplyOn Money Aggregates, Asset Prices, and Low Quality Trades [view article]
Assets don't have a "monetary store of purchasing power" quality unless there can be a net conversion of that asset into money, eteris peribus. In other words it must be possible to effect this conversion without necessitating that any persent money holder reduce his holdings.ANY OTHER INTERPRETATION BECOMES MIRED IN A FUTILE DISCUSSION OF RELATIVE DEGREES OF CONFIDENCE & LIQUIDITY.
Much more than monetary liquidity for the individual holder is necessary if an asset can be said to have the "store of purchasing power" quality; it must be SIMULTANEOUSLY MONETARILY LIQUID for society as a whole. -- Dr. Leland James Pritchard
MS - Statistics (Syracuse University)
Ph.D. - Economics (Chicago 1933)
Reply