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Trina Solar Limited

5/21/2013, 10:43 PM ET

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Tuesday, May 21, 12:43 PM Another driver for the run in U.S. solar stocks today is a big move in Chinese solar stocks overnight, particularly Hareon Solar Technology, which jumped to its 10% daily limit on speculation that the U.S. and China are seeking to resolve a dispute over trade in solar-energy equipment that could lead to soaring tariffs: JA Solar (JASO +5%), China Sunergy (CSUN +5.2%), Ascent Solar (ASTI +32%), Spire (SPIR +9.6%), Trina Solar (TSL +10.3%), Hanwha Solarone (HSOL +11.5%), Suntech Power (STP +20.5%), ReneSola (SOL +8.1%), LDK Solar (LDK +10.3%). 1 Comment [Global & FX, On the Move, Tech, U.S. Economy]
Tuesday, May 21, 9:21 AM Solar stocks took off in response to JA Solar's results yesterday, and they're surging premarket in response to Yingli's guidance hike today. Chalk it up to both heavy short interests, and growing optimism capacity cuts and rising non-European demand can put the troubled industry on more stable footing. Lux Research predicts solar's supply glut will evaporate, but not until 2015. TSL +9.1%. JASO +14.6%. LDK +9.8%. FSLR +1.6%. CSIQ +6.2%. JKS +6.5%. SOL +11.3%. Comment! [Tech, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 21, 9:10 AM Premarket gainers: SDBT +66%. YGE +27%. EMKR +16%. HSOL +15%. JASO +13%. SOL +11%. LEDS +9%. NM +9%. TSL +8%. ACRX +8%. MCP +7%. AVL +7%. JKS +7%. RSOL +7%. LDK +7%. CSIQ +7%. REE +6%. DRYS +6%. SKS +6%.
Losers: FSGI -46%. CIMT -10%. CUK -7%. NBG -6%. CCL -6%. Comment! [On the Move]
Monday, May 20, 10:45 AM JA Solar (JASO +34.4%) is now skying higher following its Q1 beat and full-year shipment guidance reiteration, and is providing fresh fuel for the colossal solar stock rally that started last fall (TAN +4.4%). TSL +13.3%. DQ +20%. LDK +9.9%. JKS +10.3%. SCTY +11.6%. SOL +9.4%. CSUN +8.9%. SPWR +4.9%. ASTI +9.4%. YGE +8.4%. CSIQ +6.6%. The fact 38% of JA's Q1 module shipments went to Japan (a market with higher ASPs/margins than China) is likely going over well with investors. 6 Comments [Tech, On the Move, Earnings]
Thursday, May 16, 3:10 PM ReneSola's (SOL -14%) larger than expected Q1 loss on falling prices and shipments has shares reeling and is dragging down other Chinese solar stocks. SOL offered an optimistic take on the rest of the year, saying Q2 sales could hit $330M, but investors aren't impressed. TSL -4.2%, JASO -3.5%, STP -1%, but YGE +2%. Comment! [Energy, Tech, On the Move]
Wednesday, May 15, 9:17 AM SunPower (SPWR) +7.5% after providing strong guidance ahead of today's analyst day, which starts at 10AM ET (webcast). SunPower expects Q2 revenue of $550M-$600M and EPS of $005-$0.15, above a consensus of $513.3M and -$0.02. 2013 guidance (possibly conservative) is for revenue of $2.5B-$2.6B and EPS of $0.60-$0.80 vs. a consensus of $2.55B and $0.64. Gross margin is expected to fall to 14%-16% in Q2 from Q1's 22.7%, and total 15%-17% in 2013. 2013 free cash flow of $100M-$200 is expected. Shares now +57% since SunPower posted a huge Q1 beat on May 2. FSLR +2.5%. WFR +1.9%. LDK +1.5%. TSL +3.5%. SOL +2.7%. (slides) Comment! [Tech, On the Move, Earnings]
Tuesday, May 14, 3:19 PM Nomura sees better days ahead for Trina Solar (TSL -9.7%), even after the company shipped fewer modules than forecast and said Q1 gross margins would come in well below the analyst's forecast of 6.2%. Nomura likes TSL's tight cost and raw material inventory control; strong relationships with project developers and utility companies; and net debt of 42% of equity, best among solar companies it covers. Comment! [Tech, Energy, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 14, 1:19 PM Ever-volatile Chinese solar stocks slide after Trina (TSL -8.3%) slashes its Q1 module shipment guidance and forecasts a gross margin for the quarter of just 1%-3%. DQ -5.9%. JKS -5.9%. YGE -5.1%. LDK -4.8%. SOL -3.6%. JASO -2.2%. U.S. solar installer/electricity seller SolarCity delivered mixed Q1 results and reiterated its full-year guidance yesterday afternoon. (yesterday's gains) Comment! [Tech, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 14, 9:10 AM Premarket gainers: PDII +33%. ECTY +20%. NSPH +18%. SNE +9%. WPX +8%. TTWO +6%. TSLA +6%. RENN +5%.
Losers: TRMD -15%. MOSY -13%. PT -11%. VELT -10%. SCTY -10%. TSL -6%. NBG -6%. 2 Comments [On the Move]
Tuesday, May 14, 8:23 AM Trina Solar (TSL) -6.2% premarket after cutting its Q1 shipment guidance, estimating solar module shipments of 390-400 MW vs. prior guidance of 420-430 MW. TSL also expects Q1 bottom line results will be impacted by an accounts receivables provision reversal of $10.5M-$11.5M and a foreign currency exchange loss of $18.5M-$19.5M. Comment! [Tech, Energy, On the Move]
Friday, May 10, 12:29 PM Volatile/well-shorted solar stocks are ripping higher (TAN +5.4%) to close out a week in which the EU imposed long-expected tariffs on Chinese solar panel imports. TSL +10%. CSIQ +16.1%. STP +9.1%. SCTY +8.6%. SOL +8.3%. JASO +7.5%. FSLR +4.6%. JKS +9.4%. LDK +3.4%. SPWR +7.8% A Reuters column today notes the pace of module price declines is expected to slow, as weaker players are forced out and U.S./emerging markets demand gradually soaks up excess capacity. 4 Comments [Tech, On the Move]
Wednesday, May 8, 2:43 PM The EU plans to impose anti-dumping tariffs averaging 47.6%, and going as high as 67.9%, on Chinese solar panel imports by June 6, a "commerce official" tells Bloomberg. Several Chinese solar names are seeing moderate declines - investors have already been pricing in the impact of tariffs. JKS -3.8%. TSL -3.1%. YGE -2.9%. LDK -1.6%. CSIQ -4%. European trade group EU ProSun estimated in September Chinese firms control 80% of the local market. Additional tariffs could arrive later this year thanks to a solar subsidy investigation. Comment! [Tech, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 7, 10:43 AM Solar stocks head south (TAN -3.3%) in sympathy with First Solar, which is giving back some of this year's huge gains in response to a Q1 miss, a margin drop, and pipeline visibility concerns. SCTY -8.1%. LDK -6.2%. JASO -5.9%. SPWR -4.8%. CSIQ -4.3%. WFR -3.8%. YGE -3.5%. TSL -3.4%. GAT -3.1%. JKS -6.2%. The declines come a few days after a rally triggered by SunPower's strong Q1. Comment! [Tech, On the Move]
Friday, May 3, 10:09 AM Chinese solar stocks slump as Reuters reports EU trade chief Karl De Gucht is set to recommend import tariffs be placed on Chinese solar panels in the wake of an anti-dumping probe. European solar module demand has been weak for a while thanks to subsidy cuts and macro issues, but still accounts for a giant chunk of the global market. EU tariffs have been expected for some time, and the Chinese government might return fire by placing tariffs on polysilicon import from the EU and elsewhere. YGE -4.8%. CSIQ -3.3%. SOL -2.8%. TSL -2.6%. (U.S. tariffs) Comment! [Tech, On the Move]
Thursday, May 2, 4:37 PM Solar stocks spiked in the final hour of trading (TAN +2.3%) after SunPower's blowout Q1 results were leaked. LDK +8%. JKS +9.5%. JASO +11%. TSL +7.5%. WFR +3.6%. DQ +4.6%. YGE +3.7%. FSLR +1.4% after spending most of the day in negative territory. 2 Comments [Tech, On the Move]
Monday, April 15, 12:49 PM Disappointing Chinese GDP data helps fuel a rout in solar stocks (TAN -3.8%). A broader selloff in risk assets isn't helping either. Suntech (STP -21.1%) is the biggest loser, as the Buffett rumor rally officially comes to an end. JASO -11.8%. LDK -10.7%. YGE -8%. WFR -7.9%. GTAT -5.9%. SOL -8.2%. TSL -6.9%. SPWR -5.1%. JKS -8.5%. DQ -5.2%. YGE -8%. Comment! [Tech, On the Move]

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