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United Continental Holdings, Inc (UAL)

  • Sat, Jun. 20, 2:45 PM
    • Airlines stocks are poised for a breakout as the reality of improved profits overrides concerns on capacity growth, reasons Barron's Jack Hough.
    • The publication mirrors the view of many SA commenters that there's a disconnect between valuations in the sector and the degree to which lower jet fuel prices continue to prime operating earnings.
    • Take for example no-hedging American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) which is estimated to save $4B a year from the lower level of jet fuel prices. Other airlines are peeling off some hedges to reap a bigger fuel benefit each quarter.
    • Efficiency for U.S. airlines is still solid with a majority of airlines reporting load factors of 80% or higher, although increased competition in some markets has pushed key metric RASM lower. The most recent read on fares came in positive.
    • Also in the mix is the continued growth of service fees and consolidation benefits from mergers by legacy carriers.
    • P-E ratios of below 12 (based off of 2015 estimates) are common in the sector giving investors something of a value play. Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET) can be nabbed with a forward earnings multiple of 6.48. JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) is up 27% YTD, but only trades with a 10.5 P-E collar.
    • Barron's identifies American Airlines Group, Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Continental (NYSE:UAL), and Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) as four stocks that could rise 15% to 50% over the next year. If the view on the sector is spot-on - JetBlue, Virgin America (NASDAQ:VA), Hawaiian Holdings (NASDAQ:HA), Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE), Republic Airways, Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT), SkyWest (NASDAQ:SKYW),  and Alaska Airlines Group (NYSE:ALK) should also put in gains.
    • Related ETFs: JETS
    | Sat, Jun. 20, 2:45 PM | 37 Comments
  • Fri, Jun. 19, 10:31 AM
    • Airline stocks rally off of a drop in oil prices and a week of declining concerns on unrestrained capacity growth.
    • JPMorgan added to sentiment with a positive note on airline stocks in which it called the group oversold recently.
    • The read on U.S. fares earlier this week was also positive.
    • American Airlines Group (AAL +4.3%), United Continental (UAL +3.5%), Delta Air Lines (DAL +3%), JetBlue (JBLU +2.9%), and Hawaiian Holdings (HA +2.5%) are making the strongest gains in the sector.
    • The U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:JETS) is up 1.60%.
    | Fri, Jun. 19, 10:31 AM | 14 Comments
  • Thu, Jun. 18, 9:06 AM
    • Airline fares rose 5.7% in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
    • The average fare was still down 6.6% from last year on an unadjusted basis after the sector ran off a string of months with decreases.
    • Fares fell 1.3% in April and 1.7% in March.
    • If the bump in fares extends it could alleviate some concerns in the industry over capacity growth.
    • Related stocks: LUV, UAL, DAL, AAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET, VA, SKYW.
    • BLS CPI data
    | Thu, Jun. 18, 9:06 AM | 14 Comments
  • Tue, Jun. 16, 12:23 PM
    • United Continental (UAL -1.9%) says it will end service into New York's JFK International Airport in October.
    • The company will add more United Airlines flights out of its hub in Newark as part of its p.s. Transcontinental Service.
    • Delta Air Lines (DAL -0.6%) will nab the JFK slots in exchange for some additional Newark slots for United.
    | Tue, Jun. 16, 12:23 PM | 9 Comments
  • Wed, Jun. 10, 1:26 PM
    • JPMorgan's Jamie Baker thinks fear in the airline sector over capacity growth isn't based on historical precedence.
    • The analyst points to prior periods when capacity growth led to improved revenue metrics.
    • The gain in revenue from extra seats counterbalances the risk carriers will need to drop prices, he reasons.
    • Baker adjust his price targets in the sector based on the current level of pessimism while holding firm on a long-term bullish view.
    • JP's PT changes: Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) to $63 from $72, American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) to $72.50 from $84.50, United Continental (NYSE:UAL) to $78.50 from $89, Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) to $42.50 from $52.
    • Previously: IATA raises global airlines profit outlook (June 8)
    • Previously: Airline stocks grounded on capacity concerns (June 9)
    | Wed, Jun. 10, 1:26 PM | 44 Comments
  • Wed, Jun. 10, 10:30 AM
    • The EPA says greenhouse gases from aircraft endanger human health, a finding that begins a process to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from the aviation industry, the latest sector to be regulated under the Clean Air Act after cars, trucks and power plants.
    • The endangerment finding allows the EPA to implement domestically a global carbon dioxide emissions standard being developed by the International Civil Aviation Organization; the airline industry favors a global standard over individual national standards since airlines operate all over the world and want to avoid a patchwork of rules and measures.
    • GEVO, which has been working on renewable fuels for airplanes, is +3.5% today and +27% so far this month in anticipation of the EPA findings.
    • Also higher are REGI +2%, SZYM +2.5%, AMRS +2%.
    • Potential related stocks: AAL, UAL, SAVE, DAL, ALK, HA, SKYW, LUV, JBLU, VA
    | Wed, Jun. 10, 10:30 AM | 19 Comments
  • Tue, Jun. 9, 10:58 AM
    • The jittery airline sector is having a volatile day once again.
    • Capacity concerns have been the major focus of sellers, although the strong move higher of oil prices today is also in the background.
    • American Airlines Group reported a drop in its load factor earlier as capacity growth came in ahead of revenue passenger miles.
    • Though Raymond James issued a biting downgrade on American, United Continental, and Delta yesterday - some analysts such as Sterne Agee CRT's Michael Derchin think the pessimism is overdone.
    • Q2 conference calls could calm fears on capacity running hot, reasons the analyst.
    • A higher level of buybacks in the sector and reasonable valuations based on earnings projections are also factors.
    • Sector watch: Alaska Air Group (ALK -6.4%), Southwest Airlines (LUV -5.8%), SkyWest (SKYW -3.4%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -4.7%), Spirit Airline (SAVE -4.4%), Delta Air Lines (DAL -3.7%), Allegiant Travel (ALGT -3.6%), Republic Airways (RJET -2.9%), Virgin America (VA -2.6%), United Continental (UAL -1.8%), American Airlines Group (AAL -2%), JetBlue (JBLU -1.9%).
    • The U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:JETS) is down 2.96% on the day.
    • Previously: American Airlines Group's capacity up 2% in May
    | Tue, Jun. 9, 10:58 AM | 19 Comments
  • Mon, Jun. 8, 6:20 PM
    • Revenue passenger miles rose 0.5% to 18.245B for United Continental (NYSE:UAL) in May.
    • Available seat miles were up 2.1% to 21.741B, led by gains in domestic capacity and new routes in Latin America.
    • May load factor -140 bps to 83.9%.
    • YTD load factor -60 bps to 81.8%.
    • UAL flat in AH trading.
    | Mon, Jun. 8, 6:20 PM | 3 Comments
  • Mon, Jun. 8, 9:33 AM
    | Mon, Jun. 8, 9:33 AM | 26 Comments
  • Thu, Jun. 4, 1:00 PM
    | Thu, Jun. 4, 1:00 PM | 5 Comments
  • Mon, Jun. 1, 3:56 PM
    • Southwest Airlines (LUV +2.3%) CEO Gary Kelly brought some cheer to the airline sector when he told Bloomberg TV it will increase capacity this year at a 7% rate - instead of the 8% pace tipped off last month.
    • "We’re going to make sure we manage accordingly to the low end of the range. That should address some of the concerns of our investors,” said Kelly.
    • Alaska Air Group (ALK +2.2%), American Airlines Group (AAL +4.3%), Delta Air Lines (DAL +3.4%), and United Continental (UAL +3.2%) all reacted positively to the cautious stance from Southwest.
    | Mon, Jun. 1, 3:56 PM | 23 Comments
  • Sat, May 30, 10:43 AM
    • The airline sector has been rattled this month by an indication from Southwest Airlines of a slight increase in capacity and some RevPAR tallies below expectations.
    • Concerns on pricing and capacity have held back some analysts from setting higher price targets on the group for the next year.
    • Over the last year, most airline stocks have showed a high degree of correlation with oil prices despite all the other factors that impact profits in the sector.
    • Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), United Continental (NYSE:UAL), Alaska Airlines Group (NYSE:ALK), and Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) all had a correlation coefficient of -0.90 or lower between their daily closing share price and the level of oil. A mark of -1.0 indicates perfect negative correlation - while 0.0 indicates no correlation and +1.0 is perfect positive correlation.
    • American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU), Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET), and Hawaiian Airlines (NASDAQ:HA) were all at -0.80 or lower.
    • Over a shorter period due to its IPO launch, the correlation coefficient on Virgin America (NASDAQ:VA) vs. oil came in at -0.733.
    • The U.S. carriers marching with the most independence from oil prices were Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE) at -0.622 and SkyWest (NASDAQ:SKYW) at -0.701.
    • Pricing data and correlation coefficients
    | Sat, May 30, 10:43 AM | 16 Comments
  • Wed, May 27, 12:06 PM
    • Airline stocks trade higher to help take some of the sting off recent declines generated in the sector.
    • Some analysts see the strong free cash flow trends in the industry offsetting concerns over pricing and capacity.
    • Hawaiian Holdings (HA +6.7%), United Continental (UAL +3.2%), Spirit Airline (SAVE +2.1%) and JetBlue (JBLU +2.6%) are making the sharpest moves on the day.
    • Previously: Airline sector in midst of worst streak in seven months (May 26)
    • Related ETFs; JETS.
    | Wed, May 27, 12:06 PM | 2 Comments
  • Tue, May 26, 9:57 PM
    • Airline stocks stretched their losing streak to six sessions today, the longest such stretch since last October and the worst cumulative showing (-8.8%) since shedding 10.9%, also in October.
    • Analysts cite pressure from concerns over capacity growth and the resulting lack of pricing power, as well as a May spike in west coast jet fuel prices due to several unscheduled refinery outages; "jet fuel assumptions at airlines may have to be raised due to the high cost of refining jet fuel on the west coast," Cowen's Helane Becker says.
    • Even as he remains somewhat bullish on the stocks, UBS analyst Darryl Genovesi today cut his earnings estimates this year and next for American (NASDAQ:AAL), Delta (NYSE:DAL) and Alaska Air (NYSE:ALK), and lowered his estimate for Southwest (NYSE:LUV) earnings this year and United (NYSE:UAL) in 2016.
    • Among some of the more active airline stocks, DAL has fallen 11%, JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) has shed 8.7%, AAL has plunged 15%, and LUV has sunk 14% over the past six sessions.
    • ETFs: IYT, JETS
    | Tue, May 26, 9:57 PM | 23 Comments
  • Fri, May 22, 9:02 AM
    | Fri, May 22, 9:02 AM | 14 Comments
  • Wed, May 20, 5:52 PM
    • Aggressive positioning by airlines this week has led to some sharp share prices declines.
    • American Airlines indicated it would match lower fares from peers, while Southwest Airlines added capacity on some key routes.
    • Lower oil prices and stronger demand in the business segment has sparked some of the capacity growth.
    • Airline stocks: LUV, AAL, DAL, JBLU, SAVE, ALK, HA, VA, RJET, UAL.
    • Related ETF: JETS.
    | Wed, May 20, 5:52 PM | 30 Comments
UAL vs. ETF Alternatives
Company Description
United Continental Holdings Inc transports people and cargo through its mainline operations, which use jet aircraft with at least 118 seats, and its regional operations.
Sector: Services
Industry: Major Airlines
Country: United States