Thu, Jul. 23, 8:44 AM
- United Continental (NYSE:UAL) reports consolidate passenger revenue fell 3.4% to $8.7B in Q2.
- Ancillary revenue increased 6.7% Y/Y.
- Passenger revenue growth by region: U.S. +0.2%, Atlantic -6.4%, Pacific -6.9%, Latin America -4.9%.
- Passenger revenue per available seat mile fell 5.6%.
- Aircraft fuel expense -32.1% to $2.106B.
- The company authorizes a new $3B buyback program.
- Previously: United Continental EPS in-line, misses on revenue
- UAL +2.21% premarket to $58.33.
Tue, Jul. 14, 11:04 AM
- It's a topsy-turvy day for the airline sector with JetBlue (JBLU +1.5%) impressing with its June traffic numbers and Spirit Airlines (SAVE -8.5%) disappointing with guidance.
- The bigger story might be the forecast on oil prices after the Iran nuclear deal was hammered out.
- Though oil prices haven't moved off dramatically with the timing of excess supply on the market unknown, the development is a long-term consideration for airlines which are looking for a sustained period of lower jet fuel prices.
- Also on the radar, capacity concerns have been dialed back a bit over the last week, while a report yesterday on booming ancillary revenue in the sector painted a bright picture.
- Trading is mixed on Delta Air Lines (DAL +0.2%), American Airlines Group (AAL -0.8%), United Continental (UAL -0.5%), Virgin America (VA -0.4%), Allegiant Trading (ALGT -0.8%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -0.5%), Alaska Airl Group (ALK +0.4%), Republic Airway (RJET -1.9%), and Southwest Airlines (LUV -0.4%).
- There's always the U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSEARCA:JETS) for a broad sector play.
- Previously: Load factor impresses at JetBlue (Jul. 14 2015)
- Previously: Spirit Airlines cuts 2015 op. margin guidance; shares -4.8% (Jul. 13 2015)
Mon, Jul. 6, 2:15 PM
- Believing its merger integration work is now "in the seventh inning" and that margin/cash flow growth is in store, CRT Capital's Michael Derchin has upgraded United Continental (NYSE:UAL) to Buy, and set a $70 target.
- Derchin cites UAL's recent decision to suspend its money-losing transcontinental service at New York's JFK Airport and redeploy assets to its profitable Newark hub as an example of its "proactive focus on cost control and revenue enhancement programs." Larger buybacks and an improving Q3/Q4 revenue outlook are seen as potential catalysts.
- The upgrade comes 5 days after UAL and other airline stocks sold off in response to news of a DOJ price-collusion probe.
Wed, Jul. 1, 2:31 PM
- A DOJ spokeswoman states the agency is probing potential "unlawful coordination" between some airlines. The AP states a document obtained by the news service indicates the DOJ is "investigating whether airlines are colluding to grow at a slower pace as part of an effort to keep airfares high." No word yet on which airlines are being probed.
- Airline stocks have sold off in response. Decliners include United Continental (UAL -4.3%), American Airlines (AAL -4.1%), Southwest (LUV -4.5%), Delta (DAL -4.2%), Alaska Air (ALK -1.7%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -4.8%), JetBlue (JBLU -5%), Spirit Airlines (SAVE -3.1%), SkyWest (SKYW -4.1%), and Virgin America (VA -1.9%).
- The U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:JETS) is down 2.8%.
Fri, Jun. 19, 10:31 AM
- Airline stocks rally off of a drop in oil prices and a week of declining concerns on unrestrained capacity growth.
- JPMorgan added to sentiment with a positive note on airline stocks in which it called the group oversold recently.
- The read on U.S. fares earlier this week was also positive.
- American Airlines Group (AAL +4.3%), United Continental (UAL +3.5%), Delta Air Lines (DAL +3%), JetBlue (JBLU +2.9%), and Hawaiian Holdings (HA +2.5%) are making the strongest gains in the sector.
- The U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:JETS) is up 1.60%.
Wed, Jun. 10, 10:30 AM
- The EPA says greenhouse gases from aircraft endanger human health, a finding that begins a process to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from the aviation industry, the latest sector to be regulated under the Clean Air Act after cars, trucks and power plants.
- The endangerment finding allows the EPA to implement domestically a global carbon dioxide emissions standard being developed by the International Civil Aviation Organization; the airline industry favors a global standard over individual national standards since airlines operate all over the world and want to avoid a patchwork of rules and measures.
- GEVO, which has been working on renewable fuels for airplanes, is +3.5% today and +27% so far this month in anticipation of the EPA findings.
- Also higher are REGI +2%, SZYM +2.5%, AMRS +2%.
- Potential related stocks: AAL, UAL, SAVE, DAL, ALK, HA, SKYW, LUV, JBLU, VA
Tue, Jun. 9, 10:58 AM
- The jittery airline sector is having a volatile day once again.
- Capacity concerns have been the major focus of sellers, although the strong move higher of oil prices today is also in the background.
- American Airlines Group reported a drop in its load factor earlier as capacity growth came in ahead of revenue passenger miles.
- Though Raymond James issued a biting downgrade on American, United Continental, and Delta yesterday - some analysts such as Sterne Agee CRT's Michael Derchin think the pessimism is overdone.
- Q2 conference calls could calm fears on capacity running hot, reasons the analyst.
- A higher level of buybacks in the sector and reasonable valuations based on earnings projections are also factors.
- Sector watch: Alaska Air Group (ALK -6.4%), Southwest Airlines (LUV -5.8%), SkyWest (SKYW -3.4%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -4.7%), Spirit Airline (SAVE -4.4%), Delta Air Lines (DAL -3.7%), Allegiant Travel (ALGT -3.6%), Republic Airways (RJET -2.9%), Virgin America (VA -2.6%), United Continental (UAL -1.8%), American Airlines Group (AAL -2%), JetBlue (JBLU -1.9%).
- The U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:JETS) is down 2.96% on the day.
- Previously: American Airlines Group's capacity up 2% in May
Mon, Jun. 1, 3:56 PM
- Southwest Airlines (LUV +2.3%) CEO Gary Kelly brought some cheer to the airline sector when he told Bloomberg TV it will increase capacity this year at a 7% rate - instead of the 8% pace tipped off last month.
- "We’re going to make sure we manage accordingly to the low end of the range. That should address some of the concerns of our investors,” said Kelly.
- Alaska Air Group (ALK +2.2%), American Airlines Group (AAL +4.3%), Delta Air Lines (DAL +3.4%), and United Continental (UAL +3.2%) all reacted positively to the cautious stance from Southwest.
Wed, May 27, 12:06 PM
- Airline stocks trade higher to help take some of the sting off recent declines generated in the sector.
- Some analysts see the strong free cash flow trends in the industry offsetting concerns over pricing and capacity.
- Hawaiian Holdings (HA +6.7%), United Continental (UAL +3.2%), Spirit Airline (SAVE +2.1%) and JetBlue (JBLU +2.6%) are making the sharpest moves on the day.
- Previously: Airline sector in midst of worst streak in seven months (May 26)
- Related ETFs; JETS.
Wed, May 20, 10:42 AM
- Airline stocks are making a strong move lower after oil prices react to supply data out of the U.S. and Japan along with renewed tension in Yemen.
- Some sector analysts have noted the swings in airline share prices (up/down) are outsized compared to the impact on jet fuel prices of daily developments in the crude oil market.
- Platts has a breakdown of how supply and demand forces in the jet fuel market bring other factors into play.
- Leading airline decliners: Southwest Airlines (LUV -6.8%), American Airlines Group (AAL -6.1%), JetBlue (JBLU -6.3%), United Continental (UAL -6%), Spirit Airline (SAVE -5.3%), Delta Air Lines (DAL -4.9%), Alaska Air Group (ALK -3.9%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -4.6%), Republic Airways (RJET -3.5%), Allegiant Travel (ALGT -3.8%).
- Related ETFs: JETS.
Fri, Apr. 24, 11:10 AM
- The airline stocks sector is active today as oil prices retreat and the first batch of Q1 earnings reports come in promising.
- Fuel costs at American Airlines (AAL +2.7%) fell 42% during Q1, while the expense was down 34% at Hawaiian Holdings (HA +11.4%).
- Efficiency metrics in the sector have also impressed for the most part if F/X swings are backed out.
- United Continental (UAL +3.1%), Alaska Air Group (ALK +2.8%), Delta Air Lines (DAL +1.9%), and Virgin America (VA +2.2%) are all showing strength.
Thu, Apr. 23, 7:43 AM
- United Continental (NYSE:UAL) reports passenger revenue per available seat mile rose 0.4% in Q1 as booked revenue outpaced capacity increases.
- The company saw its strongest revenue growth in Latin America with a 9.4% rise to $747M.
- U.S. revenue +1.2% to $2.951B.
- Operating expenses -13.2% to $1.19B with the aircraft fuel expense category down 36% Y/Y during the quarter.
- Previously: United Continental beats by $0.08, misses on revenue
- UAL +0.85% premarket.
Thu, Apr. 23, 7:34 AM
Fri, Apr. 10, 9:51 AM
Wed, Apr. 1, 10:55 AM
- Airline stocks are lower on the day with oil rallying again.
- American Airlines Group (AAL -4.1%), Delta Air Lines (DAL -3.8%), and United Continental (UAL -3.7%) are the leading decliners after taking on a Deutsche Bank downgrades on top of the oil development.
- Allegiant Travel (ALGT -2.1%), Spirit Airlines (SAVE -2.1%), and Alaska Airways Group (ALK -2.4%) are also peeling off share price.
- The sector could see some volatility over the next week as carriers report on their March load factors and passenger revenue metrics.
- Previously: Supply and demand questions in the U.S. airline sector
- Previously: Deutsche Bank warns on international airline sales
Thu, Mar. 26, 8:20 AM
- Airline stocks are reacting to the jump in crude oil prices as would be expected.
- Crude oil is markedly higher off of unrest in Yemen.
- Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) is down 4.1% in premarket action, while United Continental (NYSE:UAL) is off 2.9%.
- Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) and JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) are both down about 3%.
- No-hedging American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) continues to be a curiosity to some traders with its tendency to move in-line with peers on oil swings - despite having a different fuel pricing strategy. AAL -3.4% premarket.
- A deeper dive into jet fuel prices is available at Platts.
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