PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN)
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UDN Forum Topics
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- General Discussion on UDN
- Response of Global Markets Indicates Crisis of Confidence [view article]
- U.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
- Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work? [view article]
- Global Liquidity Crisis: What Now? [view article]
- What the Retail Layoffs Are Telling Us [view article]
- Non-Farm Payrolls: Enough for a Fed Rate Cut? [view article]
- Post-Bailout Investing: The Big Picture [view article]
- Will Non-Farm Payroll Numbers Trigger a Rate Cut? [view article]
- Dollar's Recent Strength Has Little to Do With U.S. Economy [view article]
- Short Cut to Profits? A Closer Look at Inverse Funds [view article]
- Trading ERO This Week [view article]
- Bailout Drama Driving Euro Down [view article]
loading ...Recent UDN Articles
- Monetary Madness: Global Margin Call Underway
- Response of Global Markets Indicates Crisis of Confidence
- What the Retail Layoffs Are Telling Us
- Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work?
- U.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High
- Non-Farm Payrolls: Enough for a Fed Rate Cut?
- Global Liquidity Crisis: What Now?
- Friday Outlook: Investors Finally Giving Bad Data Its Due
- Dollar's Recent Strength Has Little to Do With U.S. Economy
- Will Non-Farm Payroll Numbers Trigger a Rate Cut?
- Full List of Articles »
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Response of Global Markets Indicates Crisis of Confidence [view article]
Loose translation: Market participants are finally beginning to realize that the only thing governments can do to stem the complete implosion of the financial markets is to print more paper money. This will buy time, but only at the expense of future problems.Swap pricing will reflect beliefs regarding relative speed with which each central bank is creating new fiat currency.
Smart money is now realizing that gold and silver supplies are increasing much less slowly than any paper currency is likely to for the foreseeable future. Reply
U.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
I'm placing Alpha in the Spam column on my email. ReplyGlobal Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work? [view article]
The rescue package will take time to work its magic. And while people watch for indicators of success from implementaion of the rescue package, there is a possibility that better opportunities might emerge. This is time when perceived risks are higher than real risks. In the short term, corporations may well find earnings potential fall below long term earnings potential; and this might cause better entry points. However several economic risks are already priced in. This is a market for long term investors (5/6 years). Sector allocation is important, overweight positions need to determined based on which sectors will benefit most during the next cyclical upswing; also to consider is over-weighting the presently undervalued sectors; and finally consider the sectors which outprform based on where we are in the economic cycle today. Investors should also not forget to rebalance portfolios more frequently than in normal times. Finally, do not forget diversification across asset classes. Its a good market for traders too; volatility is high which is good for day traders. Positional traders can also look forward to an up quarter followed by a re-test of lows. This is one of those times when there is opportunity for everyone, regardless of style - short term/long term/trader/bull/bear. The only styles I would say might feel a bit left out is growth; because I think this is a time value will outperform and off course, small caps should lag large caps. ReplyGlobal Liquidity Crisis: What Now? [view article]
Iran -Israel war. The weird thing there is it would bolster the dollar. ReplyWhat the Retail Layoffs Are Telling Us [view article]
Will you should just say that the dollar will not fare well anywhere, and that means that prices of all imports to the US will rise again and the trade deficit of 60 billion will move up even more, unless the recession results is demand destruction. The Upshot is that energy imports will rise, as well prices and then the real problem unfolds. Not good and likely to reach historic proportions of the dollar starts down again. ReplyU.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
Like the above where the title "Says it all" my article ie titled---$700 billion worth of faith placed in "trustworthy"... Banking Sector??.
No article needed!--elect a fool to congress" Reply
U.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
Go Mark, so far none of the posts lead anywhere.Maybe his intention was to try to get an insight on the thoughts of anyone who was willing to post ideas, but so far it seems to be unsuccessful Reply
U.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
Ebwjd:Mark Perry did say quite a bit in his past article. He did not say anything in this article because he meant to let people discuss it in the comment section. So use this comment sector. Right below his photo you can see there is a link allow you to submit your own article. Use that if you want.
I do have quite a bit to say regarding the inflation/deflation/US dollar debate. But here is not an appropriate place to say it. Wait for my next article on the big topic:
seekingalpha.com/autho...
Reply
U.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
Wow CLH, that was straight and to the point. Yet I was thinking the same thing. Why didn't he take his oportunity here? Go figure ReplyU.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
Ebwjd--You sound like a idiot. If you had anything intelligent to say you could have said it here. You didnt. ReplyU.S. Dollar Hits a 13-Month High [view article]
I don't llike to be crittical, but I opened this article expecting to read something, maybe a bit of commentary, some thoughts, something!You didn't write anything of use at all. Everyone knows the dollar hit a high, and isn't the point of being able to write articles on seeking alpha to give some insight, to write an article.
If all I have to do is mention to dow numbers at the end of the day, I would love to have my picture and resume posted on Seeking Alpha for the world to see.
In fact, I have quite a bit to say about the markets and I'm quite often correct, my analysis is sharp, and my predictions seem to come true about 90% of the time if not higher.
How can I publish here?
Reply
Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work? [view article]
End government control over rights of way, implement Performance Standards for power generation and transportation and in 6 years. seekingalpha.com/artic...Building the Physical-Internet will likely working family disposable income can increase by $3,200 per year. www.jpods.com/ar_Burde... Reply
Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work? [view article]
Excellent review! The Doom & Gloom scenario seems almost universal - indicating that perhaps the worst has already been discounted. But "hold on" for more volatily until the dust settles and investors begin looking past the devastation to the inevitable economic and market recovery. ReplyNon-Farm Payrolls: Enough for a Fed Rate Cut? [view article]
Please look at how Credit Card companies adjust their rates or How a Home Equity line rate is calculated, or a student loan, car loan, small business loan, or every conceivable type of loan.Almost everyone of them uses Prime plus LIBOR. I the past 30 days LIBOR is up more than 50%. To offset this TAX, the Fed and only the Fed can act by reducing the Prime Rate.
IT doesn't matter whether it will help finance anything new. What matters is that the rates on everything outstanding are going to be up another 1.5%.
Think of it as if the Fed raised the interest rate level from 2% to 3.5% in one month. This is exactly what has happened. If LiBOR doesn't drop next week and the FED does nothing, the stock market will drop like a rock until the Fed does an emergency cut. Reply
Global Liquidity Crisis: What Now? [view article]
The problem with your analysis as I see it, is that you have not factored in the major correction coming in commercial real estate, world wide. Regional and local Banks will be failing with 60% of their loans in commercial real estate.Capitalization rates were two low, based on expected appreciation and low interest rates. They will begin to rise with the interest rates and added risk premium due to rising vacancy. Prices of commercial real estate will be falling, as will industrial property with rising unemployment.
This means, that while residential property values may bottom in 2010, there will be a longer delay before commercial real estate will show signs of recovery. New construction might be expected in a more normal recession sponsored by government, but with lower property taxes and failing state governments (CA and NY etc) there is no source of wealth to back up the economy. Then if you really want to get depressed, what will happen as social security tax revenues fall and the system breaks down sooner than expected?
A long bitter road is ahead, better tread carefully.
Might be a that WW III will be needed to end the mess. This could all happen much sooner than you expect. What happens if there is an Iran-Israel war between the time of the election and inaguration? Get right with GOD? Reply