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Fri, Aug. 29, 1:00 PM
- Low expectations and a high short interest (11.9M shares as of Aug. 15) are proving a good mix for Veeva (VEEV +18.1%) following its FQ2 beat and guidance hike. Several firms have raised their targets.
- Workday (WDAY +5.5%), which sold off yesterday (and took peers down with it) following its FQ2 report, is following Veeva higher. As are Veeva partner Salesforce (CRM +2.1%) and several other cloud software names. NOW +2.9%. CTCT +3.4%. JIVE +2.5%. CSOD +2%. ULTI +1.9%. MKTO +1.9%.
- "We like [Veeva's] momentum with new products, the pace of customer deployments, and view the second-half guidance as likely conservative," says Deutsche (Buy).
- Pac Crest (Outperform) likes the fact Veeva's billings and subscription revenue each rose over 60% Y/Y, and that its large deal activity also grew. It sees a $5B addressable market for life sciences CRM/content management software.
Tue, Aug. 12, 11:04 AM
- Ultimate Software (ULTI +4%) will be joining the S&P MidCap 400 after Thursday's close, and Consolidated Communications (CNSL +3.4%) will be joining the S&P SmallCap 600 following the Aug. 18 close.
- The companies are respectively replacing The Hillshire Brands and Taylor Capital, each of which is set to be acquired.
Wed, Jul. 30, 3:58 PM
- Ultimate Software (ULTI +7.4%) beat Q2 estimates on the back of a 26% Y/Y increase in recurring revenue (84% of total revenue). The cloud HR software vendor also disclosed on its CC (transcript) it added three new enterprise clients with 10K or more employees; the largest has 40K.
- Full-year guidance for 23% revenue growth (25% recurring growth) has been reiterated. Q3 guidance for revenue of $127M is roughly in-line with a $127.3M consensus.
- A number of cloud software peers have also rallied. Cloud HR/talent management peers Workday (WDAY +6.5%) and Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +5.1%) are among the biggest gainers, but others are also doing quite well. CRM +2.7%. NOW +4.7%. LPSN +5.3%. MKTO +4.1%. CNQR +4.8%. JIVE +3.6%. N +4.2%.
Tue, Jul. 29, 4:12 PM| Comment!
Tue, Apr. 29, 4:28 PM| Comment!
Tue, Apr. 29, 12:44 PM
- Cloud ERP/HR/e-commerce software vendor NetSuite beat Q1 estimates, reported strong deferred revenue growth, and hiked its 2014 top-line guidance.
- Meanwhile, Pac Crest is reiterating an Outperform for Workday (WDAY +8.8% - competes to an extent with NetSuite) and Splunk (SPLK +5.6%), and thinks the companies, along with Neutral-rated Salesforce (CRM +3.6%), can attract growth investors at current levels. The firm adds the companies are trading below their average price/sales multiples for the last 3 years.
- Workday is down 38%, and Splunk 47%, from their respective 52-week highs. But the companies still both go for ~12x FY16E (ends Jan. '16) sales. Price/billings multiples are a bit lower, but still steep.
- Several other enterprise cloud software vendors are joining NetSuite, Workday, and Salesforce in rallying on an up day for the Nasdaq. NOW +7.7%. CSOD +5.6%. ULTI +4%. DWRE (a NetSuite rival) +3.2%.
Thu, Apr. 3, 3:57 PM
- Today's rout in tech momentum names (the latest in a string) has been especially harsh on enterprise cloud software, security, and big data/analytics plays.
- Major cloud software decliners: NOW -11%. WDAY -9.6%. N -6.5%. CNQR -7.2%. SAAS -6.3%. TXTR -6.3%. ULTI -5.5%. DWRE -8%. MKTO -6.2%. CSLT -9%. RALY -7.2%.
- Salesforce (CRM -4.1%) is following the group lower after announcing plans to offer industry-specific cloud software solutions. Pac Crest thinks Salesforce's top-line will benefit, but is cutting its EPS estimates on margin concerns.
- Security decliners: FEYE -10.3%. PANW -8.2%. KEYW -5.7%.
- Big data/analytics decliners: DATA -7.4%. SPLK -6.9%. QLIK -4.1%. Splunk's selloff comes in spite of a two-notch CLSA upgrade to Outperform.
Tue, Feb. 4, 5:37 PM
- Cerner (CERN) expects Q1 revenue of $770M-$810M and EPS of $0.36-$0.37 vs. a consensus of $780.7M and $0.38. 2014 guidance is for revenue of $3.2B-$3.4B and EPS of $1.62-$1.67 vs. a consensus of $3.33B and $1.66. Q1 bookings are expected to total $860M-$930M. Shares +1.3% AH. (Q4 results, PR)
- Nanometrics (NANO) expects Q1 revenue of $48M-$54M and EPS of $0.01-$0.13 vs. a consensus of $50.6M and $0.08. Gross margin is expected to be in a range of 48%-50% (compares with a Q4 level of 48.9%). (Q4 results, PR)
- Ultimate Software (ULTI) expects Q1 revenue of $119M ($96M recurring), above a $117.9M consensus. Full-year guidance is for revenue to grow 23%, roughly in-line with a 22.9% consensus; recurring revenue is expected to grow 25%. (Q4 results, PR)
Tue, Feb. 4, 4:07 PM| Comment!
Tue, Feb. 4, 12:10 AM
Mon, Feb. 3, 5:35 PM
Thu, Jan. 30, 1:16 PM
- Much as consumer Web plays are rising in sympathy with Facebook, enterprise cloud software names are sharply higher after cloud IT service desk software leader ServiceNow (NOW +14.3%) beat Q4 revenue estimates, provided very strong guidance, and reported its deferred revenue/backlog balance rose 59% Y/Y.
- Salesforce (CRM +5.5%), Workday (WDAY +5.4%), NetSuite (N +6.2%), Textura (TXTR +9.8%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +3.6%), Jive Software (JIVE +3.4%), Ultimate Software (ULTI +3.4%), InContact (SAAS +3.9%), Tangoe (TNGO +3.7%), and LivePerson (LPSN +5.4%) are among the winners.
- Baird has upgraded ServiceNow to Outperform, and several other firms have upped their PTs. Raymond James (Strong Buy) praises ServiceNow's efforts to expand into complementary markets such as HR automation, grow both its packaged and custom app sales, and to keep taking share from on-premise IT service desk vendors such as CA, BMC Software, H-P, and IBM.
- On the CC (transcript), CEO Frank Slootman mentioned ServiceNow's installed base has grown to 2,060 accounts and 400 global 2000 customers. That's up from 1,900 and 360 three months earlier.
- He added 80% of customers are now deploying custom apps, and that 20% of the annual contract value recorded in Q4 involved products other than tradition IT service desk licensing.
Nov. 5, 2013, 10:14 AM
- In creating its list of top investment ideas, Credit Suisse allows its analysts a max of 3 picks over a 6-12 month horizon. Those who don't list a name under $3B in market cap are allowed a "bonus small-cap pick."
- Picks are broken down by sector and by analyst, with each allowed a few words for his/her elevator pitch ... a neat read for ideas to keep by your desk.
- Additions to the Top Picks list since the last publication in basic materials: CE, FOE, NUE, STLD.
- In consumer discretionary: BYD, MAR, CAB.
- Consumer staples: CVS.
- Energy and utilities: JKS.
- Financials: EV.
- Health care: ABBV, BMY.
- Industrials: PH.
- Media/Internet/Telecom: NXST.
- Tech: AVGO, NXPI, KLAC, TER, ULTI, CTXS.
- See also: Those removed from the list.
Oct. 29, 2013, 4:38 PM
Oct. 24, 2013, 12:09 AM
- Ahead of tomorrow's Q3 report, NetSuite (N) has struck a deal to acquire TribeHR, a developer of cloud HR apps aimed at SMBs. NetSuite plans to fuse the startup's offerings with its SMB-focused cloud ERP apps.
- "Really there has been no HR offering in the mid-market," states NetSuite CEO Zach Nelson (a little hyperbolically). He sees an intergrated ERP/HR solution allowing SMBs to do away with manual HR processes, and also talks up the value of TribeHR's social/collaboration tools.
- The purchase means NetSuite will compete more with Workday (WDAY), which leads the cloud HR market and also offers cloud ERP software. But Workday has a stronger focus on large enterprises. Ultimate Software (ULTI), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD), and Paylocity (reportedly eying an IPO) also compete in cloud HR.
- Separately, NetSuite and others see an opportunity for the company to poach clients from SAP's SMB-focused Business ByDesign cloud apps, which the German software giant has decided to pare its investments in. NetSuite has launched a Business ByDesign migration program.
- SAP has reportedly invested €3B in Business ByDesign development over 7 years, but the platform has never generated more than €23M/year in sales in 3 years of availability. Business ByDesign resources will be shifted towards SAP's Hana Cloud, which runs cloud apps on top of the popular Hana in-memory database.
Oct. 16, 2013, 9:56 AM
- Intel (INTC +0.3%) has been upgraded to Buy by B. Riley following its Q3 beat and light Q4 revenue guidance.
- Yahoo (YHOO +1.7%) has received a two-notch upgrade to Outperform from CLSA after it posted mixed Q3 results and soft Q4 guidance, but also strong Q2 numbers for Alibaba.
- Cisco (CSCO +0.4%) has been cut to Neutral, and Juniper (JNPR +3.6%) upgraded to Buy, by MKM. Juniper reports on Oct. 22.
- Netflix (NFLX -0.2%) has been cut to Hold by Hudson Square ahead of its Oct. 21 Q3 report.
- Vimpelcom (VIP +3.9%) has been upgraded to Overweight by Morgan Stanley.
- BT (BT +1.7%) has been upgraded to Conviction Buy by Goldman.
- CyrusOne (CONE +2.7%) has been upgraded to Buy by BofA/Merrill. However, the firm is maintaining its $23 PT.
- Ultimate Software (ULTI +1.6%) has been upgraded to Overweight by Evercore.
- Ellie Mae (ELLI -6.5%) has been cut to Market Perform by JMP.
- Super Micro (SMCI -2.7%) has been cut to Hold by Stifel.
ULTI vs. ETF Alternatives
Ultimate Software Group, Inc. is a provider of cloud-based human capital management. Its UltiPro software is a comprehensive, easy-to-use solution delivered primarily over the Internet to organizations based in the United States and Canada.
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