Wed, Sep. 16, 8:07 AM
- Ur-Energy (NYSEMKT:URG) proposes to more than double the size of its Lost Creek in-situ uranium mine in Wyoming to an area covering 15 square miles, on the hope that weak uranium prices since the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster will begin to make a comeback.
- Under the plan, production from the site would increase to as much as 1.2M lbs./year from ~800K lbs., while total permitted production would rise to 2.2M lbs./year from 1M million, which includes as much as 1M tons brought in from elsewhere for processing into yellowcake.
- Spot prices for uranium were $37.25/lb. yesterday, roughly half of where they were in early 2011, but URG believes prices could recover as Japan restarts more of its ~40 nuclear reactors.
Mon, Aug. 10, 11:58 AM
- Japan is rejoining the countries using atomic power after the Fukushima nuclear disaster more than four years ago, as Kyushu Electric Power says it will begin bringing online the No. 1 reactor at its Sendai facility on Aug. 11, start power generation as early as Aug. 14 and return it to normal operations next month.
- The move is an important de-risking event for the uranium market, says BMO Capital analyst Edward Sterck: While "Japanese utilities are sitting on significant excess inventories, the fact that these will now start to be consumed [in Japan] should ease fears of sales from inventory,” and it shows there is a regulatory restart process in Japan that actually works, which clears the way for more.
- Relevant stocks: CCJ +4.1%, DNN +5.1%, LEU -1.3%, URRE +5.7%, UEC -1.5%, URG -2.7%, UUUU +8%.
- ETFs: URA, NLR
Tue, Aug. 4, 6:05 PM
Mon, May 4, 4:41 PM
Wed, Apr. 22, 12:30 PM
- Uranium names are showing notable strength today following yesterday's ruling in Japan that will allow the Sendai nuclear plant to reopen, which would be the first plant to be reopened since the Fukushima disaster: CCJ +6.8%, DNN +5.6%, LEU +10.3%, URRE +4.5%, UEC +5%, URZ +2.6%, URG +1%, UUUU +1.7%.
- The news is positive for the nuclear industry to the extent that authorities in Japan have not given up on the energy source despite Fukushima.
- China is pushing for more nuclear power, with the government reportedly approving eight new nuclear power projects.
- A MarketWatch article paints a bright picture of the nuclear industry, with uranium prices rising ~35% since last summer and improving public opinion; "China and India believe that the upside from the clean energy from nuclear far outweighs the downside risks of sticking to dirty coal,” says GoldStockTrades.com editorJeb Handwerger.
- Last week, CCJ signed a deal with India to provide 7.1M lbs. of uranium concentrate over the next five years.
- ETFs: URA, NLR
Nov. 24, 2014, 2:37 PM
- Uranium prices have reversed recent gains, plunging $6/lb. (~13.5%) to $38 over the past week in their biggest weekly drop since 1996.
- TD Securities' Greg Barnes thinks the current volatility is more reflective of trader positioning in a thinly traded market than utilities exhibiting strong fundamental demand; the analyst is not convinced that the rapid drop will be enough to trigger a wave of buying by utilities.
- Uranium names are broadly lower today: CCJ -3%, DNN -3.8%, UEC -1.6%, URG -5.7%, URZ -4.4%, UUUU -1.5%, URRE -0.4%.
- ETFs: URA, NLR, NUCL
- Earlier: Uranium spot prices could pass $50/lb. in next 12 months, analyst says
Nov. 10, 2014, 2:41 PM
- Uranium names are moving briskly higher after H.C. Wainwright analyst Jeffrey Wright says uranium spot prices could rise above $50/lb. in the next year, as a positive decision on the restart of two Japanese nuclear reactors could alleviate psychological pressures on the uranium market.
- The firm maintains Buy ratings for Uranium Energy (UEC +9.3%), Uranerz Energy (URZ +14.7%) and Ur-energy (URG +8.6%).
- Also higher: CCJ +2.9%, DNN +7.1%, URRE +30.9%, UUUU +10%.
- ETFs: URA, NLR, NUCL
Nov. 7, 2014, 12:20 PM
- Reports that Japan is restarting some reactors may be helping uranium stocks catch a bid today.
- Two reactors at Japan's Sendai nuclear plant are due to become the first to be restarted in the country since the 2011 meltdown at the Fukushima facility.
- Also, Denison Mining (DNN +22.2%) reported Q3 earnings last night, delivering a loss of $0.01 vs. a loss of $0.10 in the prior-year quarter.
- CCJ +10.3%, UEC +5.4%, UUUU +6.1%, URRE +27.2%, URG +16.9%, URZ +11.5%.
- ETFs: URA, NLR, NUCL
Nov. 3, 2014, 5:18 PM
Aug. 4, 2014, 6:24 AM
Jul. 16, 2014, 11:52 AM
- Uranium miner Cameco (CCJ +1.7%) is higher despite reporting that ore from its Cigar Lake mine in Saskatchewan would not be milled until early 2015 instead of before the end of 2014, due to problems freezing the ground.
- CCJ freezes the mine's ore zone and surrounding ground to prevent water from flooding production areas, but it says freezing has not advanced as quickly as expected.
- Uranium/nuclear names are broadly higher after two of Japan's nuclear reactors received clearance to re-start: USU +8.2%, DNN +3.3%, URG +3.2%, URRE +1.6%, BWC +1%, URS +0.3%, LTBR flat.
Jul. 16, 2014, 8:35 AM
- Japan's nuclear watchdog gives safety clearance for the restarting of two nuclear reactors in southern Japan, recognizing their compliance with stricter regulations created after the 2011 Fukushima nuclear accident.
- The move is seen as unlikely to lower prices for liquefied natural gas because the country’s 46 other units are unlikely to resume this year; North Asia LNG prices have rallied 54% since Japan shut nuclear plants and boosted gas purchases for power generation after the Fukushima disaster.
- Related nuclear tickers: NLR, CCJ, URA, BWC, SHAW, URS, FLR, LTBR, URG, UEC, URRE, USU, DNN
Jul. 2, 2014, 11:31 AM
- USEC (USU +25.5%) extends yesterday's huge gains following news of $2.5M in new funding from the Department of Energy; shares have dropped off early morning gains of as much as 65% but have more than tripled since the announcement.
- A Seeking Alpha blog says the $2.5M influx moves the needle very little in the context of refinancing $530M of bonds outstanding, and that the stock soon will revert to fundamental valuation; post-reorganization, with convertible note holders taking the lion's share of value, equity holders will be left with less than 5% of the current trading value of the stock.
- Uranium peers are mostly higher: URRE +8.8%, URG +5%, UUUU +2.8%, URZ +2.7%, DNN +1.5%, UEC flat.
Jul. 1, 2014, 10:58 AM
- Uranium supplier USEC (USU +60.4%) soars as much as 70% in early trading after an SEC filing reveals it secured ~$2.5M in additional funds through the U.S. Department of Energy, bringing total DoE funding to ~$16M.
- The funds come via an amendment to the agreement with UT-Battelle, operator of Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee, for continued R&D of the American Centrifuge technology in furtherance of Department of Energy national security objectives.
- Also, a statement of operations shows revenues of ~$6M and a net loss of ~$3.5M in May.
- Uranium peers on radar include UEC +7.7%, URG +2.7%, URRE +2.7%, DNN +1.6%, UUUU +1.6%.
Jun. 5, 2014, 10:54 AM
- RBC cuts its outlook for uranium prices over the next several years as it concludes the market will remain in surplus through 2020.
- RBC believes Japanese reactor restarts could result in a recovery in uranium prices to $40/lb. in late 2014 or early 2015, but thinks the price is likely to be capped at that level until the market begins to tighten; the firm predicts only four Japanese reactors will restart this year with 28 - slightly more than half the current fleet - eventually restarting.
- Spot prices recently dropped below $30 as supply remains well ahead of demand since the Fukushima disaster.
- RBC cuts its price target for industry leader Cameco (CCJ -2.5%), seeing shares rangebound between $18-$27.
- URZ -3.3%, UUUU -2.5%, URRE -1.5%, UEC -1.1%, USU -0.9%, DNN flat, URG flat.
- ETFs: URA, NLR, NUCL.
May 16, 2014, 5:30 PM
- Uranium prices have dropped to eight-year lows, with delays in restarting Japan's nuclear reactors prolonging a uranium supply glut, Bloomberg reports.
- Uranium dropped to $29/lb. on May 2, the lowest since June 2005 and extending this year’s drop to 16%; UBS has reduced its 2014 price forecast by 9% to $39/lb., and Credit Suisse cut its projection by 7% to $38.80.
- Japanese restarts are the key catalyst to get utilities to resume long-term contracting, which should support prices, Raymond James analyst David Sadowski says, cutting his 2014 price forecast by 14% to $36.
- "The next 18 months we see as being a very difficult period for the market," Cameco CEO Tim Gitzel says in the report.
- ETFs: URA, NLR, NUCL.
- Companies: CCJ, DNN, USU, URRE, UEC, URG.
URG vs. ETF Alternatives
Ur-Energy Incis a junior mining company operating the Lost Creek in-situ recovery (ISR)uranium facility in south-central Wyoming. It engages in the identification, acquisition, exploration & operation of uranium projects in the United States & Canada.
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