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UUP

PowerShares DB USD Bull ETF

5/20/2013, 10:31 AM ET

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Friday, May 17, 12:53 PM The bull move in the greenback (UUP, UUPT) is just getting started, writes Vince Cignarella, believing the dollar's about to get another boost from safe-haven flows. The catalyst will be a selloff in fixed income taking yields on junk bonds (HYG, JNK) - now at all-time lows - to more realistic levels. The catalyst for the catalyst? It won't be 2007 all over again, he says, but instead maybe the dreaded "tapering" move from the Fed, or perhaps Syria flaming up higher. Comment! [Global & FX]
Friday, May 17, 9:38 AM Did the Fed tighten while we were getting a cup of coffee? The greenback is soaring against all other currencies, with the dollar bull ETF (UUP) gaining 0.6% - an unusually large move for that vehicle. Strength against the yen (FXY -0.3%) and the aussie (FXA -0.9%) are givens of late, but the greenback is up about 1% vs. both the loonie (FXC) and the swissie (FXF), and about 0.6% vs. the euro (FXE) and cable (FXB). Getting hit are Treasurys (TLT -0.5%), the dollar bear ETF (UDN -0.6%) and of course, gold (GLD -0.7%). 5 Comments [Global & FX]
Wednesday, May 15, 11:16 AM Gold (GLD -2.1%), (IAU -2.2%) sinks back below $1,400 as the bounce since mid-April is officially over. At work here, suggests RBC Capital, is the strong stock market. To participate, foreign investors sell gold, buy dollars (UUP is up big in May), and call their stockbrokers. Commerzbank notes gold ETF outflows were another 6 tons yesterday, bringing the total since early April to 230 tons. Silver (SLV -3.1%) tags along. 34 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, May 9, 3:36 PM Apparently behind the mid-afternoon drop in the S&P 500 (SPY) (a not insignificant 10 points), the soaring dollar (UUP), and sinking commodities (GLD, USO) was the rumor of a Jon Hilsenrath article set to hit the WSJ claiming "tapering" of asset purchases is coming sooner rather than later. Thus far, nothing is up. 47 Comments
Thursday, May 9, 3:06 PM The dollar (UUP +1%) is soaring across the board (not just against the yen, where it's now spiked through ¥100 to ¥100.56). The greenback is threatening parity vs. the aussie (FXA -1.1%) for the first time since last summer, and the euro (FXE -1.1%), swissie (FXF -1.4%), loonie (FXC -0.5%), and pound (FXB -0.6%) are seeing sizable declines as well. Commodities? Red. Gold (GLD -1.1%), Silver (SLV -1.2%), Oil (USO -0.6%), Copper (JJC -0.8%). 5 Comments [Global & FX, Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, May 9, 4:53 AM RBC is bullish on the U.S. dollar: "Longer term, we still expect to see USD grind higher almost by default when other currencies remain under cyclical pressure. We think the U.S. is further ahead in the economic cycle compared to the euro area, UK and Japan, and over a long enough horizon, the prospect of Fed exit will drive that through to the currency." (ETFs: DBV, UUP, UDN, UUPT, UDNT) Comment! [U.S. Economy]
Friday, May 3, 8:43 AM Stock futures pop after the big NFP beat, SPY +0.8%, QQQ +0.7% premarket. The long bond dives, now down nearly a full point, TLT -1.2% premarket. Sporting losses earlier, the dollar moves into the green, UUP +0.4%. Nicely higher minutes ago, GLD -0.4%. Comment!
Wednesday, May 1, 2:12 PM More FOMC: Other than the pledge to adjust QE as necessary, there's little changed language in the policy statement. The one dissenting vote is again KC Fed Chief Esther George. The S&P 500 is marginally higher now than before the statement, (SPY -0.7%). Treasurys (TLT +0.6%) lose a little ground, but the 10-year yield is sharply lower on the day, down 5 bps to 1.63%. The dollar (UUP -0.2%) remains down for the session. 5 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Monday, April 29, 7:31 AM Precious metals continue their comeback tour, with the dollar (UUP) being lower across the board as good an excuse as any for buying this morning. GLD +1.1%, SLV +1.5% premarket. The greenback is particularly weak vs. the aussie (FXA), +0.6%. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, April 18, 3:14 PM The bear market in a gold is a signal China, emerging markets, and commodities (DBC) in general are through leading the markets, argues BAML, which reminds the peak for the metal occurred nearly 2 years ago. "In all scenarios, it's good for the U.S. dollar (UUP)." Looking back at 9 other sharp declines in gold since 1975, the team finds equities rally, led by consumer (XLP, XLY) and energy stocks (XLE) once the metal stabilizes. 1 Comment [Commodities, Global & FX]
Wednesday, April 17, 3:37 PM Dollar strength against the "risk" currencies on these panicky sessions is often offset by weakness vs. the yen, leading to little change in the dollar index. Not today - the greenback is surging against nearly every asset on the planet, leading the dollar bull ETF (UUP +1.1) to a relatively outsized gain. UDN -1.1%. 1 Comment [Global & FX, On the Move]
Tuesday, April 16, 10:38 AM Asset purchases are "open-ended but temporary," says the Chicago Fed's Charles Evans, adding he sees plenty of headwinds for the economy. In a rare comment on the dollar, he calls the greenback "quite strong" and says the FOMC is surprised by this. The dollar (UUP -0.5%) sheds a few more ticks, particularly vs. the euro - FXE +0.9%. Comment! [U.S. Economy, Global & FX]
Monday, April 15, 2:42 PM Another popular position unwound today is the yen short trade, with much of the move coming in the past 90 minutes. The dollar (UUP) is off a full 1% vs. the yen (FXY +1.2%), but surging against most all other units. Particularly noteworthy are the "commodity currencies" - the aussie (FXA -1.6%), the loonie (FXC -1%). 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Thursday, April 11, 5:25 PM As expected, the IMF has cut its 2013 GDP growth outlook for the U.S. to 1.7% from 2%. The dollar and euro are called moderately overvalued, and the yuan moderately undervalued. Thanks to Shinzo Abe's efforts, Japan's GDP is now expected to grow 1.5% in 2013, up from a prior 1.2%. 4 Comments [U.S. Economy, Global & FX]
Monday, April 8, 4:25 AM The amount of dollar cash in circulation has jumped 42% in the past five years, with the proportion held abroad climbing from 56% to nearly 66%. The eurozone crisis has boosted demand since 2010, a trend that could strengthen following the raid on Cypriot bank deposits. 3 Comments [Global & FX, U.S. Economy]
Tuesday, March 19, 10:54 AM Dollar (UUP) bullishness of 72% of respondents reached the highest level in the history of BAML's fund manager survey. At the same time, bearishness on U.S. stocks (SPY) reversed, with a net 5% calling the U.S. the market it most wishes to overweight vs. 19% underweight in January. (PR) 3 Comments

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