PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)
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- Short Squeeze Triggers Sharp Volatility in Stocks [view article]
- Amidst Chaos, Some Clarity on the Forex Markets [view article]
- Profiting from Fear in Forex: Dollar Hits 16-Month High vs. Euro [view article]
- Time for Global Coordinated Easing [view article]
- Is the Dollar Becoming Less Global? [view article]
- Stocks, Gold, and the U.S. Dollar [view article]
- Seeking the Fix That Will Finally Work [view article]
- Post-Bailout Investing: The Big Picture [view article]
- RBS Predicts Global Market Crash: What's In It for Them? [view article]
- Congress Charges 'Commission', Culminates Decades of Mismanagement [view article]
- October 9, 2008: Remember the Date - This is Huge [view article]
- Rate Cuts? What About Inflation? [view article]
loading ...Recent UUP Articles
- Profiting from Fear in Forex: Dollar Hits 16-Month High vs. Euro
- Short Squeeze Triggers Sharp Volatility in Stocks
- Friday Outlook: Who Let the Dogs Out?
- Seeking the Fix That Will Finally Work
- The Euro Shows Its Real Colors
- Congress Charges 'Commission', Culminates Decades of Mismanagement
- Rate Cuts? What About Inflation?
- Stocks, Gold, and the U.S. Dollar
- Amidst Chaos, Some Clarity on the Forex Markets
- Coordinated Rate Cuts: Bullish for the Dollar?
- Full List of Articles »
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Currencies: Dead Cats and Yapping Dogs [view article]
The dollar can't be considered strong just because other currencies are weak . And by the way , Rome ultimately fell because of arragance and greed .Does that sound familiar . ReplyIs the Buck Really Back? [view article]
My interest is what may happen to the Brasilian Real R$ vs the US$?? This powerful currency is rarely mentioned. ReplyWhat the Russian-Georgian War Means for the Euro [view article]
The real fear is that the EU will cease to be a viable political/military alliance. That would leave the eastern flank of the Western democracies open and without a functional NATO organization (it was never worth much except as a front for US military actions). The USA would once again become the principal power in Europe. We don't that just now. And yes the Euro could go away via a death of a thousand cuts. But the Ruble is not a substitute since it is Russian managed. The Putin Klepto-state has been looting the national treasury and it too is shell. There is no good out for the EU. That leaves the USD as some sort of a paragon of virtue. Think of that. ReplyProfits
Is the Buck Really Back? [view article]
4 Reasons for the Dollar Rally (And Why It Won’t Last)The dollar has taken a break from its recent climb. It fell 0.5% against the euro this morning in European trade. Nevertheless, dollar strength is big news these days. Could the US downturn be bottoming just as Europe falls into recession?
www.contrarianprofits....
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On the Dollar and Commodities: Currencies Move Because We Let Them [view article]
Very worthwhile, intelligent read. Thanks for the contribution. Much food for thought here presented in a logical and unbiased fashion. Please keep posting! Replying
Performance Since the Dollar's Lows [view article]
fairly clear, selling everything and staying in cash as inflation os booming,looks good for gold Reply
More Correlations: Oil and the Dollar (and Gold) [view article]
I don't know the exact correlation procedure you used, but if you correlated the actual prices, your results are probably spurious, that is, they don't mean much. This is a common error in such an analysis. I apologize for using a statistical term but this can happen if the two time series are "non-stationary&q... that is, they do not have a statistical mean as would be the case, for example, of the diameter of ball bearings being produced by a machine. Virtually all pricing time series( stock prices, interest rates, oil, wheat, etc.) are non-stationary so such a correlation analysis must be based on the changes or, statistically speaking, the first differences.The proper procedure would be to cross correlate these changes over time. Futhermore, using this procedure, you might answer an interesting question--is there a lead/lag relationship between changes in the value of the dollar and changes in the price of oil. It is widely thought that a weak dollar leads to higher oil prices and watching the market, one would think that this is the case. This makes mathematical sense because oil is quoted in dollars. However, one might also make the case that the cost of all the foreign oil we buy (over $600Billion/day at current prices) weakens the dollar in the long run by flooding the global market with more and more dollars. So, the question is--which one is the dog and which one is the tail?Finally, when performing such an analysis, the common perception is that more data is better. Statistically, this is true but when dealing with economic time series, the more distant data such as back to the early 1990s may reflect a completely different underlying era and thus the statistical relationships may be distorted. Fewer observations using more recent data may be more relevant and meaningful than a large number of observations going back in history.
Appreciate your effort! Reply
Questioning the Current Outlook for Gold, the Dollar and U.S. Markets [view article]
A litany of "What if's"The only valid "what if" is Hank and Ben fiddle, fuddle and manipulate as long as possible and beyond to avoid calamity, pre- election. Thereby just digging a deeper hole of denial that will take a looong period of fiscal restraint to climb out of.
"If" you don't think Politicians have the will power---buy gold! Reply
A Chill Descends on Fannie, Freddie and the U.K. [view article]
Chill in the economic air?Britain is bankrupt, it's nothing but a Ponzi scheme. These people should be starving, and will soon be, one hopes. Reply
Correction: Beware of Taxes with Currency, Precious Metal ETFs [view article]
doesn't anyone read a prospectus[time to address tax consequence is now. READ and ASK!] before investing? perhaps less time on SA/others and more time with J. K. LASSER? ReplyOn the Dollar and Commodities: Currencies Move Because We Let Them [view article]
Excellent work. I appreciate your use of numerous Stockcharts to assit in making your points. In this article I especially enjoyed the final data on the importance of cutting losses. Cutting losses short is a practice I have utilized for years, even though it flies in the face of all the buy-and-hold, invest for the long run, Warren Buffett fundamental types. Technical analysis protected my clients money by exiting US stocks in October of 2000 and staying out until March of 2003. Our US stock allocations were sold again this past January.I am curious about your use of a 325-Day moving average. It is not a fibonacci number and I have never seen it used before by Murphy or any of the other technicians. Does it have any significant characteristics that caused you to choose it?
Thank you for sharing your thoughtful insights. Reply
Gold and the Dollar: Putting the Relative Cart Before the Relative Horse [view article]
The bail out, true or not, is a nonstarter for the big race to the bottom in the dollar. The things that matter are the economies of the world and more specifically the demand side of things. It is failing, will get worse and the net result is series of sinking economies, including China by the way. Whether gold? God only knows, but I suspect some mad money printing soon before and after the great show, and then the hang over when gold shots the moon. I am not hope and the Chinese money is just a shot in the butt, but like all shots it will likely be just a feel good. ReplyCorrection: Beware of Taxes with Currency, Precious Metal ETFs [view article]
For those of you who are intent on sprouting political commentary on taxes, please don't forget the stealth taxes due to massive government borrowing and the debasing of the currency. This is a far greater "tax" on our standard of living than a potential 5% increase in ordinary or capital gains taxes. If our country returns to a stable financial footing, we all make and keep more. That's the real analysis. ReplyRecession Fears Go Global [view article]
Good observation indeed. ReplyIs the Buck Really Back? [view article]
Van...you're way above me in your article...after reading it from top to bottom, the end of your article reads just like the begining. You made a case for both weakening and strengthening of the dollar...so its ambiguous... Reply