Is VALE a buy? - Seeking Alpha

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HEADLINES:

5 Commodity Stocks Moving On News
Matthew Smith • Fri, May 17 • 11 Comments
The Most Important Thing To Know If You're Using Stocks As Fixed Income
Jeffrey Dow Jones • Fri, May 17 • 34 Comments
A Few Near-Term Catalysts To Consider When It Comes To Vale S.A.
Heather Ingrassia • Wed, May 15
9 Boss Basic Materials Dogs Decree 13.7% To 49.2% Gains In April
Fredrik Arnold • Wed, May 15 • 7 Comments
Why Vale Still Is Overvalued And What The Iron Ore Market Weakness Means
Patent News • Mon, May 13 • 51 Comments
Potash Economics And An Undervalued American Junior Potash Play
Chris Grunewald • Fri, May 10 • 52 Comments
ThyssenKrupp Close to Finally Biting the Bullet
MetalMiner • Thu, May 9 • 1 Comment
You Still Have Time To Buy Silver Wheaton
Vladimir Zernov • Mon, May 6 • 22 Comments
Vale Has Valuation Upside Potential
Valuentum • Thu, May 2 • 1 Comment
The Top 5 Most 'Undervalued' High Dividend Stocks
Insider Monkey • Tue, Apr 30 • 3 Comments
5 Commodity Stocks Moving On News
Matthew Smith • Tue, Apr 30 • 1 Comment
6 Takeaways Following Cliffs Natural Resource Earnings
Chris Lau • Mon, Apr 29
Vale S.A. Management Discusses Q1 2013 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Thu, Apr 25
Vale's Earnings Will Contend With Weak Iron Ore Prices
Trefis • Wed, Apr 24 • 7 Comments
Anorthosite: What It Is And Why You Should Care
The Gold Report • Wed, Apr 24
Andrea Rubakovic: Will Development Pitfalls Create A Global Potash Shortage?
The Energy Report • Wed, Apr 24 • 1 Comment
BHP Billton: Production Is Increasing But More Patience Is Needed
Nick Chiu • Tue, Apr 23 • 3 Comments
Gold's Crash, Europe's Woes Signal Global Decline: Companies To Watch
Emmet Kodesh • Mon, Apr 22 • 87 Comments
Gold And Silver Royalty Companies Part 3: Silver Wheaton Corp.
Ben Kramer-Miller • Mon, Apr 22 • 13 Comments
Score 5.5% Yields With Short-Term Caterpillar Bonds In Russian Rubles
Randy Durig • Wed, Apr 17 • 4 Comments

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A Few Near-Term Catalysts To Consider When It Comes To Vale S.A.
Heather Ingrassia • Wed, May 15
Why Vale Still Is Overvalued And What The Iron Ore Market Weakness Means
Patent News • Mon, May 13 • 51 Comments
Vale Has Valuation Upside Potential
Valuentum • Thu, May 2 • 1 Comment
Vale's Earnings Will Contend With Weak Iron Ore Prices
Trefis • Wed, Apr 24 • 7 Comments
Vale, An Interesting Turnaround Candidate
Conrado Foglio Bonda • Fri, Apr 12 • 18 Comments
Vale Plans Miles Of Conveyor Belts At Mega Mine To Cut Costs
Trefis • Wed, Apr 10 • 2 Comments
Vale Stalls Guinea Iron Ore Project Amid Dispute And Falling Prices
Trefis • Fri, Apr 5 • 1 Comment
Silver Wheaton: Is $65 A Share By 2023 Really Possible?
Clayton Rulli • Tue, Mar 12 • 29 Comments
Vale: Brazil's Rising Star
Equity Options Guru • Mon, Mar 4 • 14 Comments
Vale Misses Badly, Cuts Dividend On Massive Quarterly Losses
Bob Johnson • Fri, Mar 1 • 34 Comments
Vale Reports First Loss In A Decade
Emerging Money • Thu, Feb 28 • 2 Comments
Weak Vale Results Expected As Production And Investment Guidance Closely Watched
Trefis • Tue, Feb 26
Vale's Carajás Mineral Province Key To Company's Big Bet On Iron Ore
MetalMiner • Mon, Feb 4 • 1 Comment
Vale: Investing In A Global Leader In Iron Ore
Antonio Carradinha • Fri, Jan 25 • 6 Comments
How Will Vale Do In 2013?
Efsinvestment • Tue, Jan 15 • 5 Comments
Vale: Expect Capital Raise To Meet Production Targets
Osiris Farol • Thu, Jan 3 • 4 Comments
Vale: Pinched More By Shipping Costs As Iron Prices Fall
Osiris Farol • Wed, Jan 2 • 2 Comments
Does The Rebound In Iron Ore Prices Make Vale An Attractive Investment?
Caiman Valores • Thu, Dec 27, 2012 • 19 Comments
Is Vale The Top Iron Ore Stock For 2013?
Stock Whisper • Wed, Dec 26, 2012 • 7 Comments
Vale Shares Are Trending Higher Now And Analysts See 60% Upside
Trade In Mexico • Fri, Dec 14, 2012 • 6 Comments

5 Commodity Stocks Moving On News
Matthew Smith • Fri, May 17 • 11 Comments
The Most Important Thing To Know If You're Using Stocks As Fixed Income
Jeffrey Dow Jones • Fri, May 17 • 34 Comments
9 Boss Basic Materials Dogs Decree 13.7% To 49.2% Gains In April
Fredrik Arnold • Wed, May 15 • 7 Comments
Potash Economics And An Undervalued American Junior Potash Play
Chris Grunewald • Fri, May 10 • 52 Comments
ThyssenKrupp Close to Finally Biting the Bullet
MetalMiner • Thu, May 9 • 1 Comment
You Still Have Time To Buy Silver Wheaton
Vladimir Zernov • Mon, May 6 • 22 Comments
The Top 5 Most 'Undervalued' High Dividend Stocks
Insider Monkey • Tue, Apr 30 • 3 Comments
5 Commodity Stocks Moving On News
Matthew Smith • Tue, Apr 30 • 1 Comment
6 Takeaways Following Cliffs Natural Resource Earnings
Chris Lau • Mon, Apr 29
Anorthosite: What It Is And Why You Should Care
The Gold Report • Wed, Apr 24
Andrea Rubakovic: Will Development Pitfalls Create A Global Potash Shortage?
The Energy Report • Wed, Apr 24 • 1 Comment
BHP Billton: Production Is Increasing But More Patience Is Needed
Nick Chiu • Tue, Apr 23 • 3 Comments
Gold's Crash, Europe's Woes Signal Global Decline: Companies To Watch
Emmet Kodesh • Mon, Apr 22 • 87 Comments
Gold And Silver Royalty Companies Part 3: Silver Wheaton Corp.
Ben Kramer-Miller • Mon, Apr 22 • 13 Comments
Score 5.5% Yields With Short-Term Caterpillar Bonds In Russian Rubles
Randy Durig • Wed, Apr 17 • 4 Comments
4 Reasons Cliffs Natural Resources Could Be Bottoming
Chris Lau • Tue, Apr 16 • 32 Comments
These 4 Cheap Commodity Stocks Could Be Poised For A Strong Rebound
Trade In Mexico • Wed, Apr 10 • 8 Comments
Cramer's Mad Money - McCormick Has Twice The Flavor Of The S&P 500 (4/9/13)
SA Editor Miriam Metzinger • Wed, Apr 10 • 4 Comments
Wait A Little To Buy Silver Wheaton
Vladimir Zernov • Tue, Apr 9 • 25 Comments
Stansberry Analyst Matt Badiali's 4 Rules For Finding Junior Miners To Like Or Avoid
The Gold Report • Tue, Apr 9 • 6 Comments

Vale S.A. Management Discusses Q1 2013 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Thu, Apr 25
Vale's CEO Discusses Q4 2012 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Thu, Feb 28
Vale S.A. Management Discusses Q3 2012 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Thu, Oct 25, 2012
Vale S.A. Management Discusses Q2 2012 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Thu, Jul 26, 2012
COMPANHIA VALE ADS Management Discusses Q3 2010 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Sun, Oct 31, 2010
Vale S.A. Q2 2010 Earnings Call Transcript
Sun, Aug 1, 2010
COMPANHIA VALE ADS Q4 2009 Earnings Call Transcript
Fri, Feb 12, 2010
Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (Vale) Q1 2009 Earnings Call Transcript
Fri, May 8, 2009
Companhia Vale do Rio Doce Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
Fri, Oct 24, 2008
Companhia Vale do Rio Doce Q3 2007 Earnings Call Transcript
Fri, Oct 26, 2007

Cramer: Is China Stronger Than You Think?

at CNBC.com (Apr 9, 2013)
Lightning Round: Oracle, Vale & More

at CNBC.com (Mar 20, 2013)
Lightning Round: Vale, Heinz & More

at CNBC.com (Mar 5, 2013)
After-Hours Buzz: GRPN, JCP, LTD & More

at CNBC.com (Feb 27, 2013)
QE to Push Gold, Silver Higher: Silver Wheaton CEO

at CNBC.com (Feb 7, 2013)
Caixin Online: Iron-ore prices doing push ups over China imports

at MarketWatch.com (Jan 22, 2013)
6 Climbing High-Yield Dividend-Paying Stocks

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Lightning Round: Wynn Resorts, Applied Materials & More

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Bernanke Signaling 'A Bond-Friendly World': Pro

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Your First Move for Thursday, Oct. 25

at CNBC.com (Oct 24, 2012)
China Plays for Growth: Tim Seymour

at CNBC.com (Oct 18, 2012)
Your First Move for Thursday, Oct. 4

at CNBC.com (Oct 3, 2012)
Latin American Markets: Brazilian stocks get lift after manufacturing data

at MarketWatch.com (Oct 1, 2012)
Lightning Round: Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Morgan Stanley, Vale and More

at CNBC.com (Sep 19, 2012)
The Technical Indicator: Charting a technical breakout

at MarketWatch.com (Sep 18, 2012)
Latin American Markets: Brazilian stocks seesaw after string of wins

at MarketWatch.com (Sep 17, 2012)
Latin American Markets: Brazil stocks up as gov’t outlines more stimulus

at MarketWatch.com (Sep 11, 2012)
Latin American Markets: Brazil steel stocks up on China moves; Gol rallies

at MarketWatch.com (Sep 10, 2012)
Market Extra: Alpha, Cliffs shine in mining rally

at MarketWatch.com (Sep 7, 2012)
MarketWatch First Take: China goads commodities bulls

at MarketWatch.com (Sep 7, 2012)

VALE vs. ETF Alternatives

Company Description

Vale S.A. are the second-largest metals and mining company in the world and the largest in the Americas, based on market capitalization. We are the world's largest producer of iron ore and iron ore pellets and the world's second-largest producer of nickel. We are one of the world's largest... More

Sector: Basic Materials

Industry: Steel & Iron

Country: Brazil

All
| Earnings
| Dividends
| M&A
| On the move

Tuesday, May 14, 5:36 PM Vale (VALE) resumes coking coal shipments from its Moatize operation in Mozambique, following a two-day stoppage due to the blockading of the Linha do Sena Railway by brickmakers demanding additional compensation for lost production for up to two family generations. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX]
Monday, May 13, 2:59 PM Shipments of coal from Vale's (VALE -1.1%) Moatize operation in Mozambique are halted for the second time in less than a month amid protests by displaced brickmakers. The brickmakers are said to be requesting compensation for lost production of up to two family generations. Between 10K-12K metric tons of coal are shipped daily from Moatize. Comment! [Energy, Global & FX]
Thursday, May 9, 2:37 PM Vale (VALE -1.2%), unhappy with its declining share in the Brazilian iron ore market, will work to rebuild this core area of its business while keeping steel investments at arm's length, CEO Murilo Ferreira says. Vale's attitude toward the steel sector betrays a shift in strategy over recent years and reflects a broader austerity effort amid greater volatility in iron ore prices. Comment! [Commodities]
Tuesday, May 7, 3:26 PM Vale (VALE +3%) says it hasn't been contacted by ThyssenKrupp about a reported proposal to increase its stake in a troubled Brazilian steel mill. The German steelmaker is seeking to sell two plants in the Americas, including one near Rio de Janeiro in which Vale has a 27% stake. One proposal was said to have Vale increasing its stake in the mill to 33%. Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX, On the Move]
Friday, May 3, 2:32 PM Vale (VALE +2.7%) says it won't play an active role in the change of ownership at Companhia Siderurgica do Atlantico, a loss-making steel mill in Brazil, and plans only to maintain existing supply contracts. Vale owns a 26.87% stake in the JV with ThyssenKrupp, which put its stake up for sale after losing billions of dollars on the projects in recent years. (earlier) Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 3, 3:31 AM ThyssenKrupp AG (TYEKY.OB, TYEKF.PK) +5% in Frankfurt on news Companhia Siderrgica Nacional (SID), Brazil's No.3 steelmaker, has reportedly emerged as the leading bidder for its Brazilian and U.S. steel-plant assets. For now, ThyssenKrupp remains in parallel negotiations with Vale (VALE) and the Brazilian gov't for the assets. ThyssenKrupp has spent the last year figuring out how to dispose of the unprofitable plants. Comment! [Breaking News, Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, May 2, 6:39 PM Even as things look better for Vale (VALE) at home in Brazil, where the government has adopted a more pragmatic stance, WSJ's Charles Roth reminds investors that times likely will remain tough. Iron ore still accounts for about 90% of Vale's operating income, and new iron ore supply, especially from Australia, is coming online even amid doubts about Chinese demand. 1 Comment [Commodities, Global & FX]
Saturday, April 27, 9:32 AM Vale (VALE) signs an agreement with the Argentine government to leave the $6B Rio Colorado potash mining project where it suspended work in December, Reuters reports. Vale's existing concession at Rio Colorado reportedly would remain in place for up to four years; in the meantime, the miner is free to seek a buyer or partner for the venture. Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX]
Thursday, April 25, 4:49 PM Vale (VALE) says it is optimistic that Brazilian environmental authorities will issue in coming weeks the main license it needs to build the massive S11D iron ore mine in the Carajas region. Vale is betting its future on S11D, an $8B billion mine and processing plant expected to churn out 90M metric tons/year of iron ore starting in H2 2016. Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX]
Thursday, April 25, 12:39 PM Vale (VALE +2.5%) is strong after its better-than-expected Q1, driven by lower costs and expenses and a stronger performance from base metals, which Goldman analysts say "should provide a strong catalyst to consensus earnings upgrades and reduce bearish sentiment.” Vale has been receiving good news recently, as a special-participation tax looks dead and analysts take a more positive view. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Wednesday, April 24, 7:58 PM More on Vale (VALE): Q1 misses on the top line but beats on a per share basis as its bottom line swings back to a profit on cost cuts and a lack of write-downs. Net profits were down 18% Y/Y, but the result beat the previous period, stemming seven straight quarters of declining profits. Slowing growth in China has weighed heavily on iron ore prices. But VALE embarked on a company-wide cost-cutting mission last year, and its austerity efforts appear to be bearing fruit, with operating costs and other expenses declining Y/Y. Shares +1% Y/Y. Comment! [Earnings, Commodities, Global & FX]
Wednesday, April 24, 6:33 PM Vale (VALE): Q1 EPS of $0.62 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $11.1B misses by $1.B. Shares +1.3% AH. (PR) Comment! [Earnings, Breaking News]
Wednesday, April 24, 12:33 PM "You can't see the other side of the trade," says Jim Chanos, holding court on CNBC for the hour. Be careful looking at 13Fs, he cautions, as managers cleverly put on positions designed to hedge or even mask their true intentions (he's currently long DE, but short other machinery stocks). "Servers are PCs on a rack," he says, not surprised Blackstone backed off DELL (he remains short, along with HPQ). Apple (AAPL)? He's long both it and Samsung (SSNLF.PK), but reminds it's more of a hedge against his PC shorts. China - along with any company (VALE) dependent on it - is still a short (presentation). 16 Comments
Wednesday, April 24, 11:51 AM Brazil’s President Rousseff may have been persuaded not to include a proposed special participation tax, which would have forced Vale (VALE +2.4%) to pay a share of some of its most profitable mines to the government, in the new set of mining regulations due in May. That's a big deal, Goldman says; since September, Vale’s discount to peers has widened to ~19% vs. its 2% historical average. 1 Comment [Commodities, Global & FX, On the Move]
Friday, April 19, 11:19 AM Argentina's labor ministry begins mandatory mediation proceedings between Vale (VALE) and employees at the Rio Colorado potash mine project which was suspended due to soaring costs. Argentine officials have threatened to revoke Vale's concession for the mine if the company doesn't move forward. Vale is blocked from firing or laying off workers for 30 days while mediation takes place. Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX]
Thursday, April 18, 8:49 AM Vale (VALE) +2.2% premarket after Q1 iron ore output fell 3.5% Y/Y but nickel and coal output rose and production of copper and cobalt hit record levels. The impact of falling iron ore output was eased by rising production at new and much-delayed projects in Brazil, Canada, Australia and New Caledonia. Q1 is typically the year's weakest as operations are affected by the Southern Hemisphere rainy season. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]

ratu68
Whats causing $VALE to go down like this? Is it currency related ?
Wed, 12:27 PM
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techwonk: Hmph, flat growth yoy and 17 p/e, high payout ratio putting dividend at risk...that could do it all right.
Wed, 3:49 PM
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techwonk: It is selling a bit briskly.
Wed, 3:57 PM
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Jake2992
$VALE short interest jumps 9.5% from 3/28 to 4/15 http://on.wsj.com/YSvzcn
Apr 24, 8:20 PM
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Rhinoish
$VALE "China permits giant Valemax to dock" http://on.ft.com/ZJiG4t
Apr 23, 12:18 AM
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nasdaqczar
$VALE Upgraded to BUY Vale is paying strong dividends .43c on April 30th 5% yield its very oversold and has been upgraded by BofA $23 Target
Apr 18, 1:07 AM
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Tony Kau
$VALE looking oversold. May 14/13 put credit spread for 0.12, 87% chance of profit http://ow.ly/k9Lxq http://ow.ly/i/1UCII
Apr 17, 12:29 PM
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Rhinoish
picked up some $VALE today ahead of ex-div
Apr 16, 4:56 PM
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Tony Kau
$VALE bullish options play: May put credit spread @ 14/13 for 0.07, 94% chance of profit
Apr 16, 1:14 PM
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Tony Kau
$VALE seeing a buy signal today - exhausted to the downside, TE Score: 5 http://ow.ly/k7viZ http://ow.ly/i/1U9Ms
Apr 16, 1:13 PM
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Dividend Sheet
$PFLT $KED and $MAIN are tomorrow's top yielding ex-dividend stocks - http://stks.co/gRgB - 18 Shares - 4.18% Yield $FL $VALE $CMTL $SNN
Apr 16, 4:25 AM
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paulalmony
$VALE. What moved VALE at around 3:15. Moved 7.5% in 10 minutes.
Apr 12, 4:48 PM
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LATEST REPLIES

ratu68
Whats causing $VALE to go down like this? Is it currency related ?
Wed, 12:27 PM
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techwonk: Hmph, flat growth yoy and 17 p/e, high payout ratio putting dividend at risk...that could do it all right.
Wed, 3:49 PM
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techwonk: It is selling a bit briskly.
Wed, 3:57 PM
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Chines33
is $VALE a single digiter?
Apr 2, 7:41 PM
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Chines33: The higher the Divy goes the more concerned I would become that it gets cut. Its best chance is to bounce somewhere in 14-16 area
Apr 2, 8:00 PM
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Energysystems: I believe the 2008 low will be tested. Stated as much on here a few months back. $BTU is also getting close to testing their 08 low too.
Apr 2, 10:44 PM
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Joe Springer
A turn-around list for tomorrow, names that were leading until the pull-back: $QCOM, $AXLL, $MNKD, $CACI, $KCAP, $VALE, $CNI, $LVS, $VRX
Feb 25, 7:45 PM
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sheldond: Love Vale long term and my humanitarian interest in mannkind is well documented. I will do some dd 4 others. QCOM makes me anxious thanks JS
Feb 26, 1:16 PM
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sheldond: Today I added CLSN at .99 think it will have legs soon off the bottom and looking at new financing.
Feb 27, 1:17 PM
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Antonio Carradinha
Iron ore prices (62 percent content) climbed 5.3 % in January. Good news for $VALE. Expected to reach $170/t first half 2013.
Feb 6, 11:42 AM
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mapes: I bought some March $20 calls
Feb 7, 2:35 AM
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jmodrkrk
$VALE or $CLF -- someone convince me or I might buy small positions of both.
Jan 23, 10:44 AM
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HackFab: I own CLF and write calls against the position.
Jan 23, 4:13 PM
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joe kelly: Waiting for CLF pullback to near 30. Far more upside for a long with clf.
Jan 28, 8:48 AM
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Michael Bryant
"Cliffs Natural (CLF) Starting to Look Cheap." Also look at VALE. http://fxn.ws/UOoKWs
10/8/12
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Michael Bryant: I think it will go higher. I am well aware of the tax situation. Just did a 5 page report on it. They have exposure everywhere.
10/9/12
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Michael Bryant: And check the numbers.
10/9/12
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iadops40
iron ore at '09 lows, could see a bottom here real soon. Look for China easing to reverse the trend. RIO BHP VALE
8/30/12
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Ocean Man: CLF has a 7% yield while you wait.
8/31/12
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Energysystems: that's the other name I'm watching, US-centric play.
8/31/12
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sreimer77
VALE is at 08 lows. It broke below $15 for a short period in 08, but $16 was the average for the period of Oct-April 09. May 09 it was $18+
8/30/12
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iadops40: but iron ore bottom could be found soon...China easing
8/30/12
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Energysystems: 08 lows would be about 10$ a share.
8/31/12
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Clayton Rulli
Can it get any worse for VALE? looking at selling sept 15 put 14 put spreads
8/23/12
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Clayton Rulli: I just sold ABX for a nice gain off the lows, nearly 10 percent in less than 2 weeks. looking for another play.
8/23/12
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Ocean Man: ABX solid.
8/23/12
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whitehead1
buying VALE with 16.8 stop loss. 3 up 1 down. good speculation for short term.
8/22/12
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iadops40: careful with that, iron ore is crashing through the floor, could see all time lows coming up for VALE http://on.ft.com/Sqd53w
8/23/12
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iadops40: http://bit.ly/OXXk2V
8/23/12
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The_American
FCX SCCO PBR VALE EEM DEM VLO TOT can all be great buys due to price increase and tension in Mid East : on GLD SLV PSLV SIVR PHYS SGOL ANR
7/19/12
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wallstreetpro2: yep ive owned SCCO for years pays nice dividend
7/20/12
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Caiman Valores
Vale (VALE) looks like a great buy but is shrouded in uncertainty http://seekingalpha.com/a/f30x
7/5/12
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Mercy Jimenez: Caiman, you wrote a very substantive article; worth a read for anyone investing in ANY company which does a lot of business with Brazil.
7/5/12
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Caiman Valores: Mercy thank appreciated. I actually look forward to the perspective you can bring to these types of discussions.
7/5/12
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Mercy Jimenez
GS suddenly bullish in coal players http://bit.ly/LDYkS7 ;wouldn't have anything to do with GS purchase of coal mine from VALE ...
5/29/12
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dwillis: or maybe its b/c the truth is that coal is actually cleaner than nat gas?
5/29/12
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Mercy Jimenez: That must be it -- they got religion -- LOL.
5/29/12
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Mercy Jimenez
Asset sellers growing VALE,IOC,ERF + KBass = return of capital becoming more important than return on capital http://read.bi/Jyjsge
5/17/12
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saratogahawk: While I hate the current ERF price I am a buyer at this level and will pick up any Canadian oils that have been sold off like ERF.
5/23/12
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Mercy Jimenez: Agree saratogahawk; lots of good values for many Canadian high yielders.
5/23/12
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iadops40
"China Buyers Defer Raw Material Cargos (Financial Times)" Not good news for VALE and others http://bit.ly/Jhz48M
5/21/12
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iadops40: Vlad, again, best of luck, be professional.
5/21/12
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iadops40: I do not have time for this inprofessionalism
5/21/12
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VALE Vale S.A.

VALE

Vale S.A.