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Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond Index ETF (VGLT)

  • May. 29, 2013, 8:29 AM
    Treasurys are no longer a sell, says Goldman, closing out its (highly profitable) short in the 10-year note this morning. (via Doug Kass). Higher earlier, the 10-year yield is now 1 bp lower on the session at 2.15%. TLT +0.7% premarket, TBT -0.9%.
  • May. 29, 2013, 7:12 AM
    Treasury prices (TLT, TBT) are getting no bounce from declining equity markets worldwide, the yield on the 10-year rising another 2 bps to 2.18%. The belly of the curve (FIVZ, IEI, TBZ, VGIT) gets it worse, with the 5-year jumping another 5 bps to 1.07%.
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  • May. 28, 2013, 10:29 AM
    Stocks are at session highs following the Consumer Confidence beat, the DJIA (DIA +1.4%) up 214 points. In addition to the bounce to 76.2 for the composite, the Present Situation Index rose to 66.7 from 61 and Expectations jumped to 82.4 from 74.3. The labor market outlook is more upbeat, with those expecting more jobs in coming months rising to 16.8% from 14.3%. Treasurys (TLT -1.2%) sell off, the 10-year yield touching a 2013 high of 2.08%.
  • May. 28, 2013, 4:20 AM
    It was an ugly day in fixed-income - (TLT -2.6%), (LQD -1%) - the 10-year Treasury yield up 15 bps to a 13-month high of 2.16%. Maybe more troubling for those borrowing short and lending long is a 12 bp jump in the 5-year yield to 1.01% (its up from 0.65% in a month), and a 4 bp pop in the 2-year yield to 0.28%. It was shoot first, ask questions last for many income plays such as mREITs (MORT -2.8%), equity REITs (HCN, HCP), utilities, and leveraged income funds (PHK). Owners of the leveraged short Treasury Fund (TBT +5.3%) throw a party, now up 16% in a month.
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  • May. 22, 2013, 10:42 AM
    Bernanke: Stocks continue with solid gains as the chairman suggests the Fed may never sell the massive assets it's accumulated, instead just letting them roll down. Most interesting are Treasury prices (TLT -1.1%) rolling over - the 10-year yield sunk to 1.89% as Bernanke's soft comments hit the tape, but has reversed to now threaten 2%. Gold (GLD +0.6%) has given up much of its knee-jerk gains, and the dollar (UUP +0.3%) is having none of it, higher across the board, particularly vs. the aussie (FXA -1.1%), yen (FXY -1%), and loonie (FXC -0.6%).
  • May. 20, 2013, 9:47 AM
    UBS' 5 "suspected" asset bubbles: 1) Risk-free rates - specifically Treasurys (TLT), Bunds (BUND, BUNL), JGBs (JGBL, JGBT, JGBD, JGBS) 2) Credit (HYG, JNK) 3) Real estate in Asia (WPS) 4) Certain EM equity markets (EIDO, IDXJ, EPHE, THD, EWW) 5) Australian banks (WBK, NABZY.PK, ANZBY.PK, CMWAY.PK).
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  • May. 16, 2013, 10:10 AM
    More on Philly Fed: The big miss is another in a line of weak data points this morning. The decline was led by a steep drop in shipments to -8.5 from +9.1. Also notable is a big jump in inventories to +4.1 from -22.2. Employment worsened to -8.7 from -6.7. The percentage of firms reporting employment decreases was 22% vs. those reporting increases at 14% - a number sure to cross the desk of the FOMC doves this morning. Treasurys have had a tough May, but they're bouncing today, TLT +1.2%. The leveraged bear ETF: TBT -2.4%. Stocks give up early gains (DIA -0.2%).
  • May. 16, 2013, 8:38 AM
    SPY -0.3% premarket, giving up small early gains after a big jump in jobless claims and a rather shocking decline in housing starts. Starts were off 16.5% from March, but up 13.1% Y/Y. On a more hopeful note, building permits were up 14.3% from March, up 35.8% Y/Y. Treasurys catch a bid, TLT +0.5% premarket. Homebuilders ETF: XHB -0.2%.
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  • May. 13, 2013, 8:50 AM
    Stock index futures move to session highs following the big beat on retail sales, SPY -0.1% premarket. Excluding a 4.7% decline in gasoline sales, retail spending grew 0.6% in April. Bond prices continue their recent slide, the 10-year note off half of a point. The yield may challenge 2% today. TLT -0.9% premarket.
  • May. 10, 2013, 10:35 AM
    Bill Gross (BOND) attempts to ring a bell, calling the 30-year bond bull market over as of April 29, 2013 (while pushing Pimco as the one to help navigate in this new world). The 30-year Treasury yield touched 2.8% at April's end. Including a 9 bp pop today, the yield now stands at 3.08%. TLT -1%, TBT +1.9%.
  • May. 9, 2013, 1:47 PM
    Massive doesn't begin to describe the move into the ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (UST) last Wednesday as the $12M AUM fund went to $833M overnight. It was accompanied by a 53% increase in the $3.75B iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI), suggesting someone (or ones) making a large bet targeting the middle of the Treasury curve. The moves came following FOMC minutes at which it indicated a readiness to increase QE as needed.
  • May. 9, 2013, 6:23 AM
    "Today government bonds should come with a warning about interest rate risk," a university fund manager tells FT, which says many university endowments have slashed their U.S. Treasury (TLT, TBT) holdings from as high as 30% of AUM during the crisis to as low as zero currently ("everyone" has less than 5%, one manager claims). Holding fast to larger allocations may require a fleetness of foot going forward in order to avoid capital losses if (or when) rates rise, a style of investing not suited to endowment managers.
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  • May. 8, 2013, 12:29 PM
    "There is no safe haven in today's markets," says Paul Singer, speaking at the Ira Sohn conference, and blaming the distorting effects of QE. While not yet advocating shorting Treasurys (TLT, TBT), Singer says those long need to know they're trading at the wrong price, perhaps 50-100 basis points too low.
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  • May. 6, 2013, 3:29 PM
    This time is different for Treasurys (TLT, TBT)? "The Fed has been very transparent and their transparency should help offset the risks that were experienced in 1994," says JPMorgan's head of rates Edward Fitzpatrick. He's joined in this opinion by others who ought to know better, including Templeton's Michael Materasso and Vanguard's Gemma Wright-Casparius, all of whom attribute the 1994 rout to communication, not a crazed buildup in leverage.
  • May. 3, 2013, 3:13 PM
    "Bonds are acting like the bond market is manipulated ... because it is," says Jeff Gundlach, as QE is far more of a put on Treasury prices (TLT -2.3%) than it is on stocks. A salve to bond bulls on a day when the yield on the 30-year is 14 bps higher, Gundlach says yields won't go on a sustained rise anytime soon because QE is going nowhere. A favorite of the bond bears, TBT +4.6%.
  • May. 2, 2013, 8:36 AM
    More on the big drop in jobless claims: At 324K, it's the lowest level since January 2008. The 4-week moving average fell 16K to 342,250. S&P 500 futures remain +0.5%. Treasury prices slip, TLT -0.6%, TBT +1.2% premarket.
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VGLT Description
Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond ETF seeks to track the performance of a market-weighted government bond index with a long-term dollar-weighted average maturity.
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Country: United States
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