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Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF seeks to track the performance of a benchmark index that measures the investment return of large-capitalization value stocks.
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Country: United States
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- Asset Class Performance: Growth Vs. Value
Tuesday, Aug 142012, 1:05 PMDoug Kass continues net short into this rising market, noting the S&P - back at its spring highs - could be making a triple top. Also of interest, the Transports (IYT) and Small-caps (IWM) have sharply diverged from SPY's solid performance over the past month. Then there's the VIX - it's rarely paid to buy stocks when it's been this low, he says. |Tuesday, Aug 142012, 1:05 PM| 10 Comments
Monday, Aug 132012, 12:54 PM"Bull markets typically end when valuations are extreme, the Fed is tightening monetary policy, and investors are over-enthusiastic about (stocks)," writes Richard Bernstein, explaining in less space than a Market Current why he remains bullish. (full note here) |Monday, Aug 132012, 12:54 PM| 4 Comments
Friday, Aug 102012, 7:05 AMSentiment starts to turn, bulls gaining 6 points to 36.5% in the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey. Those bearish fell 7.6 points to 27.4%. It snaps a 13-week streak of more bears than bulls (just the 4th such streak in the last 22 years). In the other instances, stocks were higher over 1,2, and 3 month periods following. |Friday, Aug 102012, 7:05 AM| 2 Comments
Tuesday, Aug 72012, 11:32 AM
Tuesday, Aug 72012, 9:25 AMLong-term Treasury yields climb to their highest level in a month, the 10-year up 5 bps to 1.62%, the long bond up 6 bps to 2.72%. A bit has been made about the divergence between stocks and Treasury yields - perhaps it will be resolved through falling Treasury prices, rather than lower stock values. |Tuesday, Aug 72012, 9:25 AM| 18 Comments
Monday, Aug 62012, 8:58 AM
Wednesday, Aug 12012, 8:51 AMBAML's sell side indicator falls to the lowest level in its 27-year history, flashing a contrarian buy signal as never before. The index - based on the average recommended equity allocation of Street strategists - first indicated a buy signal in May, and has continued falling since. |Wednesday, Aug 12012, 8:51 AM| 14 Comments
Monday, Jul 302012, 2:46 PMAn interesting chart from Morgan Stanley shows the effect of Fed intervention - as measured by PE multiple expansion (green line) on the broad stock market - has gotten smaller over time, and quickly dissipated once the program ended. Technicians would say it's a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. (via) |Monday, Jul 302012, 2:46 PM| 2 Comments
Monday, Jul 302012, 8:28 AMHave Bernanke and Draghi finally figured it out, asks John Hussman - that economic and market downturns need never happen again as long as money can be printed. And if that doesn't work, just print some more? Current rumored central bank interventions are already "well-reflected" in market prices, and investors will ultimately regret their confidence in such machinations. |Monday, Jul 302012, 8:28 AM| 4 Comments
Monday, Jul 302012, 3:50 AMFor a brief, shining moment, the outlook had been for continued growth in earnings, but global weakness is forcing U.S. firms to cut costs and cut guidance; the ratio of negative-to-positive Q3 forecasts is the most negative since 2001. Analysts now expect Q3 profit and revenue for S&P 500 companies to decline 0.4% Y/Y. |Monday, Jul 302012, 3:50 AM| 5 Comments
Wednesday, Jul 252012, 9:32 AM"You have been warned," writes Nomura's Bob "the bear" Janjuah, expecting a 20-25% decline in the S&P over the next quarter. Agreeing with consensus about deteriorating economic growth seemingly everywhere, Janjuah believes the market is too optimistic about the timing, size, and efficacy of any government policy moves. |Wednesday, Jul 252012, 9:32 AM| 11 Comments
Thursday, Jul 122012, 11:27 AMBAML cuts its S&P EPS targets for 2012 and 2013 to $102 and $109 respectively, saying bottom up estimates aren't accounting for the EU crisis, the fiscal cliff, and a slowing China (via CNBC's John Melloy). It's hard to believe this hasn't been priced in, but time will tell. (see also) |Thursday, Jul 122012, 11:27 AM| Comment!
Wednesday, Jul 112012, 9:40 AMA fascinating FRBNY study shows nearly all of the S&P 500's return since 1994 has been earned in the 24 hours prior to scheduled FOMC announcements (which occur just 8 times per year!). Going further, excluding the 3-day window before and after scheduled FOMC announcements yields a flat S&P over the last 28 years. |Wednesday, Jul 112012, 9:40 AM| 5 Comments
Monday, Jul 92012, 1:34 PM
Monday, Jul 92012, 8:16 AMThe "fetishization" of bond funds is among the reasons Josh Brown likes stocks in H2. After a Q2 in which LQD and BND led all ETF inflows (continuing a year of bond fund inflows and stock fund outflows), Barron's chips in this week by enshrining bonds on its cover. |Monday, Jul 92012, 8:16 AM| Comment!
Tuesday, Jul 32012, 12:52 PMDoug Kass also leans against the market's current upsurge, noting the high correlation of SPY with the ISM Prices Paid index. "Low prices paid are good until they are too low, and then it's bad." Monday's report showed prices paid at 37, a dive of 24 points over 2 months, and the lowest read in more than 3 years. |Tuesday, Jul 32012, 12:52 PM| Comment!