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Crop Progress: 37% Lag In Corn PlantingT. Marc Schober • Tue, May 14
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Soggy Weather Delays 2013 PlantingT. Marc Schober • Thu, May 2
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Corn Leads Agriculture ETF RallyTom Lydon • Tue, Apr 30
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Crop Progress: Only 5% Of Corn Crop PlantedT. Marc Schober • Mon, Apr 29
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Crop Progress: 37% Lag In Corn PlantingT. Marc Schober • Tue, May 14
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Soggy Weather Delays 2013 PlantingT. Marc Schober • Thu, May 2
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Corn Leads Agriculture ETF RallyTom Lydon • Tue, Apr 30
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Crop Progress: Only 5% Of Corn Crop PlantedT. Marc Schober • Mon, Apr 29
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WEAT vs. ETF Alternatives
WEAT Description
"The Teucrium Wheat Fund (NYSE: WEAT) provides investors unleveraged direct exposure to wheat without the need for a futures account. The Teucrium Wheat Fund was also designed to reduce the effects of backwardation and contango.
The investment objective of the Fund is to have the daily changes in percentage terms of the Shares’ NAV reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of a weighted average of the closing settlement prices for three futures contracts for wheat (“Wheat Futures Contracts”) that are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (“CBOT”), specifically: (1) the second-to-expire CBOT Wheat Futures Contract, weighted 35%, (2) the third-to-expire CBOT Wheat Futures Contract, weighted 30%, and (3) the CBOT Wheat Futures Contract expiring in the December following the expiration month of the third-to-expire contract, weighted 35%."
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Key Info
- In Your Portfolio: A Guide to Commodity ETFs and ETNs
- Asset Class Performance: Commodities
- All
- | Earnings
- | Dividends
- | M&A
- | On the move
- Wednesday, May 15, 11:38 AM Agricultural commodity prices (DBA) could fall a big 13% over the next year, says Goldman, predicting bumper crops across the globe. With weak demand and a record South American harvest (CORN, SOYB, WEAT) already in the books, it would require a major weather shock in the U.S. to keep prices near current levels. Earlier: Deere tumbles as poor weather slows U.S. planting progress. Comment! [Commodities]
- Friday, February 8, 3:40 PM Beans (SOYB -2.6%) tumble as stronger Brazilian production has the USDA upping its forecast for ending stockpiles by a greater-than-expected 1.1% to 60.1M tons. Estimated corn (CORN -0.5%) inventories are raised 5% to a 632M bushels, but it's not enough to send prices lower as the level remains the lowest in the U.S. since 1995. Comment! [Commodities]
- Friday, January 11, 12:13 PM The inaugural midday release of the USDA's January crop report doesn't disappoint, with corn reversing early losses and now sharply green as Dec. 1 stocks come in at 8.03B bushels vs. expectations of 8.21B. Ending stocks are estimated at a slim 602M bushels vs. expectations of 667M. Beans are down after production came in higher than expected. Wheat jumps on lower-than-anticipated planted acres. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
- Thursday, January 3, 9:19 AM The grains continue a tough post-U.S. harvest run with news today of China cancelling another order - this one 11.6M bushels of American beans. In the meantime, better weather is improving prospects for South America's crops. Beans -1.1%, Corn -0.7%, Wheat -0.2%. Comment! [Commodities]
- Monday, November 12, 2012, 12:47 PM The grains get a downgrade from Goldman following Friday's USDA report raising harvest estimates. Acknowledging continued tight supplies of corn and wheat, Goldman says "risks of critically tight soybean inventories continue to fade quickly." The grains are off sharply today: CORN -3.1%, SOYB -2.8%, WEAT -1.6%. Comment! [Commodities]
- Friday, October 19, 2012, 7:27 AM Wheat is catching a bid, the December contract +1.7% to $8.83/bushel on chatter the Ukraine is set to ban exports beginning Nov. 15. "Window dressing," says Tregg Cronin. "The market (is) already keeping them out of exports." Corn +1%, Beans +0.6%. Comment! [Commodities]
- Thursday, October 11, 2012, 9:16 AM Grains soar as the USDA lowers its estimate of corn ending stocks to 619M bushels from 733M in September. The cut comes even as it raises its forecast of harvested acres to 360K. What happens, asks Arlan Suderman, if the USDA is forced to cut harvested acres in its next report? Yikes. Corn +4%, Beans +2.1%, Wheat +1.5%. 2 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
- Friday, September 28, 2012, 8:56 AM Corn soars 3% as the USDA announces stocks at just 988M bushels, the low end of the expected range. Prior to the report, corn had tumbled about $1/bushel over the past month. Wheat stocks also came in low, suggesting greater-than-expected feed use for both grains. Bean stocks beat expectations after the USDA "finds" another 38M bushels from last year's crop. Wheat +2%, Beans flat. 1 Comment [Commodities, On the Move]
- Friday, August 24, 2012, 3:29 PM Pro Farmer estimates following this week's crop tour have corn yield at 120.25 bu/acre vs. the USDA estimate of 123.4. Beans 34.8 bu/acre vs. USDA at 36.1 ("The crop from Ohio to Nebraska needs a drink right now to realize these yield estimates"). Iowa (nation's largest producer): "Early start to the growing season turned into a mid-season nightmare for corn trying to pollinate." Market reaction will have to wait until Sunday night. 5 Comments [Commodities]
- Tuesday, August 21, 2012, 4:34 PM As panic hits the pits, Wells Fargo's Sameer Samana makes a contrarian call, arguing it's a good time to cover bullish grain bets. The weather is improving, he says, and low yields are priced in. "There seem to be fewer catalysts for price appreciation." Yet as Commerzbank notes, it's too late in the season for better weather to help the corn crop. 7 Comments [Commodities]
- Tuesday, August 21, 2012, 3:18 PM "For the first time in this rally, there is a feel of commercial panic," says a broker after a 2nd day of the Pro Farmer crop tour adds to worries over the security of physical grain supplies (day 1 report here). "You cannot load soybean futures in a ship and send to China (or) feed to chickens and hogs ... panic is in the physical ownership." Price records are falling everywhere. JJG +2.2%. 8 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
- Monday, August 20, 2012, 12:16 PM Grains rally as the Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour gets underway and early reports suggest the USDA's low estimated corn and bean yields could be optimistic. DTN's Katie Micik reports her Ohio route averaged 104.4 bu/acre (corn) vs. the USDA state estimate of 126. Pam Smith: "You know the corn is bad when you can see the scouts." CORN +1.4%, SOYB +1%. 5 Comments [Commodities]
- Monday, August 13, 2012, 4:32 PM China plans to release corn and rice from state reserves to cool inflation and ease import needs. The amount isn't yet known, but is estimated to be around 2M tons (the country consumes 10-15M tons monthly). The grains were sharply lower today as traders mostly sell Friday's news of a short crop. Corn -2.2%, Beans -3.1%, Wheat -3.2%. 1 Comment [Commodities, On the Move]
- Friday, August 10, 2012, 8:53 AM More on the crop report: Corn yields in Iowa (the largest producer) are estimated at 141 bu/acre, notes Arlan Sunderman, while an industry tour had it at 117. He also spots the USDA upping China's corn production to 200 MMT from 195 last month, and dropping Chinese imports to 2 MMT from 5 MMT ... "but when has the USDA been right about Chinese imports." 5 Comments [Commodities]
- Tuesday, August 7, 2012, 3:26 PM Surging corn prices likely will have a ripple effect on other agricultural commodities such as wheat, Goldman Sachs says. Wheat feeding will be required to supplement corn use to limit livestock liquidation, the firm believes, resulting in "a smaller wheat-to-corn premium than currently priced into the CBOT future curves." 1 Comment [Commodities, U.S. Economy]
- Monday, July 30, 2012, 8:18 AM Grain futures rally sharply following their first week of decline since early summer as a little bit of rain fails to stem reports of crop damage. While soybeans could still be saved by decent rainfall, a good portion of the U.S. corn crop is past the pollination stage and beyond repair. Sept. Corn +2.7% to $819/bushel, Sept. Beans +2.3%, Sept. Wheat +2%. 1 Comment [Commodities, On the Move]
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x oil -field
Bloomberg: $DRYS Cold Weather to Boost India Wheat to Record for Seventh Year,Potentially Boosting Exports. http://bloom.bg/WsIVcH $WEAT - View all 0 replies
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The Mays Report
Morning Commodities Report from Allendale for September 25, 2012 http://wp.me/p16pXm-3Xq CORN SOYB WEAT CF RNF UAN POT MOS - View all 0 replies
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The Mays Report
Afternoon Commodities Report from Allendale for September 24, 2012 http://wp.me/p16pXm-3Xa CORN SOYB WEAT CF RNF MOS POT AGU - View all 0 replies
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The Mays Report
Morning Commodities Report from Allendale for September 24, 2012 http://wp.me/p16pXm-3X4 CORN SOYB WEAT RNF UAN CF MOS POT - View all 0 replies
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The Mays Report
Morning Commodities Report from Allendale for August 31, 2012 http://wp.me/p16pXm-3Sb CORN WEAT SOYB CF MOS POT UAN RNF - View all 0 replies
LATEST REPLIES
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The Mays Report
Afternoon Commodities Report from Allendale for August 28, 2012 http://wp.me/p16pXm-3Qu CORN WEAT MOS POT AGU CF - View all 5 replies
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GreenWorld BVI
http://bit.ly/NYW7Vr - wheat continues to soar. WEAT an option, but we believe long-term inveatment in agricultural land is best. - View all 3 replies
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GreenWorld BVI: Glad you agree - these ETFs are a JOKE! The commodity futures markets are totally manipulated by the investment banksters. -
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Justin M. Hall
6/28/12 5:14A ET: DJIA 2012 v. 2010 (DIA, SPY) + Two Grains Trades Produce Nice Gains (CORN, WEAT) http://bit.ly/LEUA9w - View all 4 replies
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Justin M. Hall: I just updated the entry cited above - if we don't get the sell-off, the Summer Rebound is likely to continue thru July 2012 in my view. -
Justin M. Hall: AGAIN, I'm positioned for the LONGER-TERM & thereby not as concerned with short-term market fluctuations. Nevertheless, I still work at it.
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The Mays Report
Prices Soar On Weather Concerns - Afternoon Commodities Report from Allendale - June 19, 2012 http://wp.me/p16pXm-3ne CORN SOYB WEAT $CF - View all 2 replies
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