SPDR Homebuilders (XHB)
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- Housing Nowhere Near Bottom [view article]
- Home Inventories Soaring? Not Exactly [view article]
- Housing: Did We Learn Nothing from the Dotcom Bust? [view article]
- Housing Prices: Bottom or Temporary Bear Break? [view article]
- Credit Suisse: Housing Bottom More Than a Year Away [view article]
- Theoretical Declines of a Bursting Oil Bubble [view article]
- Most Overbought and Oversold US ETFs [view article]
- Real Estate, Retail ETFs Better Than You Think [view article]
- Crazy 2008 [view article]
- Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity [view article]
- Homebuilder News: Lawsuits, Bottom Calls... [Housing Tracker] [view article]
- June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
loading ...Recent XHB Articles
- Housing: Did We Learn Nothing from the Dotcom Bust?
- ETF Update: Middle Eastern ETFs?, August Reversal
- Housing Nowhere Near Bottom
- Home Inventories Soaring? Not Exactly
- Housing Prices: Bottom or Temporary Bear Break?
- Friday Outlook: What Phony Sell-off?!
- Theoretical Declines of a Bursting Oil Bubble
- Hovnanian Reports 8th Consecutive Loss
- Credit Suisse: Housing Bottom More Than a Year Away
- Thursday Outlook: Stormy Weather
- Full List of Articles »
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The Real Deal on July's Housing Numbers [view article]
Well said real estate reporter.I don't think that anyone is calling a bottom based on the latest figures. At the same time, it's not unreasonable to say that there are some signs of buyer interest and perhaps a slight change in sentiment. It took a while to get into this mess and it's going to take a while to get out of it. Reply
What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
Realizing everyone has stated valid points, heres another aspect to ponder...The Internet. People are now able to use the interent to search rates, new mortgage programs, stocks etc...
With that said i believe the internet is large contributing factor to our current "crisis". People are realizing that they can navigate their way through various internet sites, getting the "raw" truth about our current and what programs are available.
I believe when the market stablizes we will see numbers drop by atleast 1/3. Refer to the book Freakeconomics, by S. Levitt. Makes sense. Reply
estate
reporter
The Real Deal on July's Housing Numbers [view article]
We here in the media do make lots of mistakes, but this isn't one of them. The NAR figures *are* seasonally-adjusted.Reply
What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
Tim, you need to find that lost sales data from the 80s and 90s you did the analysis on. It probably didn't conclude what you think it did. There is no way real estate is stabilizing. ReplyFinancials and Housing: The Outlook Remains Ugly [view article]
Anyone see Radian increasing sales force- 30% to date. "We are seeing increased demand at the local level in many of our markets..." And here I thought you rocket scientists had it figured out. We're talking about mortgages right? Supply and demand business cyle righthome prices fall 30%...40%...50%...60%.... What happens to demand? Oh, maybe like at the top... it's different this time.... remember- "there not making any more land!"Hmmm... I guess everyones going to short on the spike up tomorrow... Reply
What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
What do they call a former homebuilder? Yeah, waiter. ReplyWhat the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
While everyone here is probably right about the real estate market, they are probably wrong about (homebuilder) stocks. The two are not always correlated and the author raises some credible "technical" points about these sector stocks. As a longtime bear on homebuilders, I am betting on the stocks recovering despite their "property" values declining. At least for a substantial retracement - which is still worth the long trade.Food for thought! Reply
What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
When I see on the evening news stories of holders of large inventories of unsold/unsalable homes bulldozing them to reduce that inventory, then I will consider the possibility that housing has bottomed. The current unsold inventories eclipse previous historical comparisons, making previous historical comparisons a poor yardstick to measure things by. ReplyWhat the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
If it walks like a duck, sounds like a duck, looks like a duck.... it has to be a duck !This is a down market and will not come back untill there is a much bigger implosion. The banks are so scared they do not want to lend any money. Look at the rates on forward money that tell the whole story.
We are far from the bottom... very far. Reply
Lathrop
What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
The market is digesting the sales reports from the summer. Home sales drop after Labor Day when children need to be registered in schools and do not pick up again until the end of the school year. Add in the cool weather pattern of La Nina with a cold winter with new homebuilders being forced to expend more of their own money to heat their new homes which will be sitting vacant and things are looking bleak. Meanwhile, municipalities, strapped for cash, will be raising local property tax rates, followed by a wallop of insurance premiums rebounding from the last five years when the industry was underpricing everything. Every potential homebuyer and speculator is sitting and waiting for the spring when home sellers will be desperate. Hot market real estate attorneys, title companies and settlement agencies are sitting at their computers playing solitaire waiting for the phone to ring. Real estate brokers are watching their Mercedes get reposessed. It is going to be a cruel, cruel winter as homebuyers try and save as much as they can for the upcoming inevitable mortgage rate increase by next summer. I would not gamble my worst enemy's money on a homebuilder ETF. It is strictly an eyes-glued-to-the-term... trader game, and I spend enough time in front of the computer as it is. ReplyIs the Bear Hibernating Already? Doubtful [view article]
How about a flight to gold?The Dollar is being debased with these endless bailouts, record deficits, and record debt. Reply
What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
Sounds like wishful thinking. A few weeks ago a bottom was being called in financials but that sentiment has quickly disappeared. Even if a bottom is in, any major recovery is years away. ReplyIs the Bear Hibernating Already? Doubtful [view article]
We americans invested in the US Markets are doomed! ReplyIs the Bear Hibernating Already? Doubtful [view article]
Whatever, the man is correct, we have a nasty ride ahead and equities they are not a place to be. I think flight to bonds will jack up the prices and it will be time to sell them. I suspect the bailouts of the financial group will require billions of newly printed money and interest rates will rise steeply. That is when the markets will suffer as housing goes down the drain, with the dollar following. All the Fed and the Treasury stand helpless by watching the inferno. Did I say oil will likely go up again? Good year to be an Australian. Replyrver
Is the Bear Hibernating Already? Doubtful [view article]
You have your terms wrong. This secular bear market has been around since 2000. We have just completed last October a cyclical bull market within this secular bear. Since October we are now in a cyclical bear market within the secular bear. Secular bull and bear markets last a long time. The last secular bear ran from 1966 to 1982. The secular bull then ran from 1982 to 2000. We may have 10 more years before the next secular bull market arrives. It will be announced with a blast above 16000 on the DJ with sustained rising prices on heavy volume. Reply