Dec. 10, 2014, 3:53 PM
- "Why 2014 was a pause and flat to 2013 and not improving has been a bit puzzling," says Toll Brothers (TOL -7.6%) management on the earnings call.
- Asked about the impact of tumbling energy prices on markets like Dallas and Houston, management says the company's exposure there is small, with Houston accounting for 3.7% of signed contracts.
- Overall, Toll expects the housing recovery to be "bumpy," and that demand will truly return when buyers no longer fear price drops.
- Previously: Toll Brothers slips on FQ4 miss (Dec. 10, 2014)
- It's a different story (at least for the stock price) with Hovanian (HOV +5.9%) after its earning report today. Management: "It's an understatement to say that the past 12 months have been choppy ... Given the gains we've seen in employment, we would have expected stronger home sales."
- Previously: Hovnanian pops as fiscal 2015 starts off strong (Dec. 10, 2014)
- Other builders today: Ryland (RYL -5.1%), Lennar (LEN -5.3%), Beazer (BZH -5.1%), Pulte (PHM -3.5%), KB Home (KBH -5.1%).
- ETFs: ITB -3.4%, XHB -2.5%
Nov. 10, 2014, 10:08 AM
- Releasing preliminary FQ4 results ahead of a conference presentation, Toll Brothers reported sizable year-over-year sales gains both in terms of units and dollars. The ASP of homes delivered of $747K was up 6.3% from a year ago. The ASP of signed contracts in FQ4 of $757K was up 5%.
- PulteGroup (PHM +2.6%) is also benefitting from an upgrade to Buy at BofA. Others: Lennar (LEN +2.7%), D.R. Horton (DHI +2.1%), Ryland (RYL +3.1%), Hovnanian (HOV +3.4%), KB Home (KBH +3.1%).
- ETFs: ITB, XHB
Oct. 24, 2014, 4:14 PM
Sep. 17, 2014, 10:50 AM
- “Since early summer, builders in many markets across the nation have been reporting that buyer interest and traffic have picked up," says NAHB Chairman Kevin Kelly. On the other hand, says NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe, "We are still not seeing much activity from first-time homebuyers."
- This month's increase in the headline Housing Market Index to 59 was the fourth straight gain, and brought the level to its highest since November 2005.
- ITB +3%, XHB +1.8%
- Previously: Homebuilders party after Lennar results
Sep. 17, 2014, 10:04 AM
- Lennar's sizable earnings beat included a 23% gain in new orders - a strong result given the slowdown seen from some other builders.
- Previously: Lennar up 4.3% after reporting big quarter
- ETFs: ITB +2.6%, XHB +1.8%
- Individual players: Ryland (RYL +4.8%) Pulte (PHM +3.8%), Toll Bros. (TOL +3.2%), D.R. Horton (DHI +4%), Hovnanian (HOV +5.8%), KB Home (KBH +4.4%), Comstock (CHCI +4.2%), Standard Pacific (SPF +3.8%).
Sep. 3, 2014, 10:16 AM
- The homebuilders are lower in early action following Toll Brothers beating earnings estimates, but expressing caution on pricing power, and cutting guidance for full-year home deliveries.
- ITB -0.8%, XHB -0.5%.
- Individual names: Hovnanian (HOV -0.9%), Lennar (LEN -1.5%), KB Home (KBH -1.8%), PulteGroup (PHM -1.4%), D.R. Horton (DHI -1.1%), Ryland (RYL -1.5%), NVR (NVR -1.1%), Standard Pacific (SPF -1.1%).
Aug. 29, 2014, 4:20 PM
Aug. 22, 2014, 4:17 PM
Aug. 19, 2014, 8:38 AM
- Housing starts in July of 1.093M were 15.7% above the revised June estimate of 945K and 21.7 above the year-ago level. Single-family starts of 656K were 8.3% above June's revised level of 606K.
- Building permits of 1.052M were up 8.1% M/M and 7.7% Y/Y. Single-family permits of 640K gained 0.9% from June.
- Full report
- The homebuilder ETFs are on the move, with ITB +1.3% and XHB +1.6% premarket.
Aug. 18, 2014, 10:14 AM
- "Builders are seeing a noticeable increase in the number of serious buyers entering the market,” says NAHB Chairman Kevin Kelly, after his firm's Housing Market Index rises to 55 this month. Challenges still remain, he adds, noting tight credit, and shortages of finished lots and labor.
- The HMI's three sub-components all rose in August, with the current sales conditions and expectations for future sales gauges each ahead by two points to 58 and 65, respectively. The gauge of traffic for prospective buyers added three points to 42.
- ITB +1.8%, XHB +1.6%
Aug. 8, 2014, 4:22 PM
Jul. 24, 2014, 10:09 AM
- The ITB is lower by 1.5% and the XHB by 0.7% with earlier earnings misses from Pulte (PHM -1.5%) and D.R. Horton (DHI -5%). and just-released disappointing new home sales data weighing. Also reporting this morning was M/I Homes (MHO -3.2%), and that company beat estimates.
- June single-family new home sales of 406K fell 8.1% from May's rate of 442K (which was revised down from 504K). Expectations for June sales were 479K.
- The supply of new homes rises to 5.8 months at June's sales pace from 5.2 months previously.
- Other names: Lennar (LEN -1.6%), Ryland (RYL -2.3%), Standard Pacific (SPF -2%), Hovnanian (HOV -0.9%), Toll Brothers (TOL -2.2%).
Jun. 30, 2014, 10:12 AM
- May's NAR Pending Home Sales Index of 103.9 is up 6.1% from April. but 5.2% below the level of a year ago. The 6.1% sequential increase is the fastest gain since April 2010 when it jumped 9.6% ahead of the expiration of a tax credit program.
- The NAR's Larry Yun expects a quickening pace of sales in H2, but not enough to offset the sluggish first half of the year, with affordability and access to credit remaining key issues.
- ITB +0.9%, XHB +0.8%
- Full report
Jun. 24, 2014, 10:09 AM
- May's adjusted annual pace of 504K new home sales is the fastest print in six years. The number is 18.6% above April's pace and 16.9% higher than a year ago. The supply of new homes on the market at the current sales pace dropped to 4.5 months worth from 5.3 months in April.
- Sales in the Northeast jumped to 34K from 22K in April, and those in the West to 130K from 97K.
- Full report
- Homebuilder ETFs: ITB +1.2%, XHB +0.7%.
- Toll Bros. (TOL +1.2%), Lennar (LEN +1.4%), D.R. Horton (DHI +1.7%), KB Home (KBH +1.7%), Hovnanian (HOV +1.3%), PulteGroup (PHM +1.3%)
- Previously: New home sales soar past estimates
Jun. 23, 2014, 10:13 AM
- Homebuilders (ITB +1%), (XHB +0.7%) are on the rise early after existing home sales rise 4.9% to a seasonally-adjusted rate of 4.89M in May, ahead of expectations for 4.75M.
- The 4.9% monthly gain was the fastest rise since August 2011, but the 4.89M pace is 5% lower than a year ago.
- The NAR's Larry Yun notes slower price growth thanks to rising inventory along with a downtick in mortgage rates as boosting business.
- Total housing inventory of 2.28M homes for sale is a 5.6 month supply at the current sales pace, down from 5.7 months in April, but 6% higher than a year ago.
- The median home price of $213.4K is 5.1% higher than a year ago. Distressed home sales of 11% falls from 18%.
- The percent of first-time homebuyers continues to disappoint, down to 27% in May from 29% in April and 29% a year before that.
- Full report
Jun. 20, 2014, 10:38 AM
- The averages are nudging higher, but not the homebuilder names after Owens Corning cuts 2014 guidance on continued weakness in its roofing business.
- Soft action in Q1 continued through April and May, says the company, which now sees H1 roofing volumes as much as 20% lower than 2013. Owens still expects H2 to be better, but is less confident of that forecast today than it was a few months ago.
- ETFs: ITB -1.3%, XHB -1.2%
- Toll Bros. (TOL -1.6%), TriPointe Homes (TPH -1.3%), Lennar (LEN -1.6%), Ryland (RYL -1.8%), Hovnanian (HOV -0.9%), PulteGroup (PHM -1.2%), D.R. Horton (DHI -0.8%), Standard Pacific (SPF -1.8%)
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