Seeking Alpha

Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF)

  • May. 31, 2013, 3:21 PM
    Large-cap banks are poised for multiple expansion, says Sterne Agee, as discussions with managements along with data points from recent investor presentations suggest business in Q2 is doing better than expectations. The team is recommending a basket of C, JPM, MS, and GS. In a similar vein, they like a basket of "discounted regionals" - PNC, MTB, RF, USB, and STI.
    | Comment!
  • May. 30, 2013, 11:36 AM
    "The smartest people in banking want to be bankers again," says Cramer, pointing to the recent IPO of Customers Bancorp (CUBI), led by CEO Jay Sidhu. Sidhu previously built Sovereign Bank into one of the country's largest before flipping it to Santander. He says financials (XLF +1%) are the market's most undervalued group and set to "make fortunes" as long rates head up. Deep-value investor Richard Pzena agrees.
    | Comment!
  • May. 28, 2013, 11:06 AM
    Can't make this stuff up. Moody's upgrades its outlook on the U.S. banking system (XLF) to Stable from Negative, citing "continued improvement in the operating environment and reduced downside risks to the banks from a faltering economy." The outlook had been Negative since 2008.
  • May. 23, 2013, 1:13 PM
    The "Too Big To Fail" subsidy is a myth, according to Goldman research which shows the banking industry (XLF) is about the only one in the U.S. where the larger firms pay higher funding costs than the smaller ones. It may be so now, but the TBTFs had a large funding advantage amid the financial crisis and have paid an average of 31 basis points less than their smaller brethren over the last decade.
    | 1 Comment
  • May. 21, 2013, 8:49 AM
    Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways," is #4 of Bob Farrell's "Market Rules to Remember." Channeling that, BAML's Steve Suttmeier sees stocks continuing their run with risks of a topping-out not arriving unti late summer. He's most bullish on industrials (XLI) - particularly "oversold" EXPD, DE, CAT, FDX - and also thinks financials (XLF) will remain market leaders.
  • May. 17, 2013, 4:49 PM
    The week's ETF movers - Gainers: TAN +9.6%. XLF +3.7%. UNG +3.4%. GAZ +3.2%. EWJ +3.0%.
    ETF Losers: GDXJ -14.2%. GDX -11.5%. PSLV -7.3%. SLV -6.9%. SIVR -6.7%.
    | 1 Comment
  • May. 17, 2013, 8:13 AM
    Thomas Lee lifts his year-end S&P 500 (SPY) forecast to 1,715 from 1,580 as the bull has already outrun his expectations. His team sees clues economic performance is picking up, including the outperformance of semiconductors (XSD) vs. transports (IYT), and the steepening of the 10 year/30 year Treasury curve. Risk/reward is particularly appealing in tech (XLK), healthcare (XLV), and financials (XLF).
    | Comment!
  • May. 17, 2013, 5:56 AM
    UBS upgrades global financials to Overweight from Underweight on a healing global economy, rebuilt capital, and the sector's shift "from being a net issuer to a net distributor of cash." Furthermore, the U.S. banking sector (XLF) is taken to Overweight as balance sheet strength and attractive valuations play well with the housing market recovery to create compelling opportunities. European banks (EUFN) are lifted to Neutral "with a preference towards Nordic and U.K. banks." Financials respond in London with LLoyds Banking Group (LYG) +2.3%, Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) +3.3%, and Barclays (BCS) up 0.5%.
  • May. 15, 2013, 12:18 PM
    Stocks resolve a meandering early part of the session to turn decidedly green midday, the Dow +0.5%, the S&P +0.6%, the Nasdaq (weighed by a 3% decline in Apple) +0.3%. Also notably lower are H-P -2.7%, Deere -4.9%, and Energy (XLE -0.2%). Leading higher are the financials (XLF +1%), with Citigroup +2.5% and notching a new 52-week high.
    | Comment!
  • May. 15, 2013, 7:54 AM
    "You're getting cost cuts as a means of sustaining performance and that's not a great sign," says analyst Simon Maughan. "What HSBC (HBC) is showing you (job cuts earlier) is that there is very little growth in the banking industry (XLF) for years to come." CEO Stuart Gulliver notes HSBC has met its savings target, but hasn't met a goal to reduce costs as a percentage of revenue because revenue hasn't grown.
    | 1 Comment
  • May. 8, 2013, 12:05 PM
    Stocks begin to move higher midday with tech (QQQ +0.5%) leading the way as Apple resumes its post-earnings, post-debt offering move upwards. Also notably green are the financials (XLF +0.9%), led by Bank of America and Citigroup, both up more than 2% and both at 52-week highs. The Dow (DIA +0.2%) underperforms as Disney slides 1.3% post-earnings.
    | Comment!
  • Apr. 24, 2013, 3:58 PM
    Richard Pzena (PZN) - still heavily overweight financials (XLF) and mature tech (XLK) - makes his case for global banks in today's earnings call (transcript): With capital levels of 11-13% at JPM, C, and BCS double what they were pre-crisis, will regulators allow banks to earn a decent return on said capital? A definite "yes," says Pzena, seeing no reason demand for financial products won't continue to grow faster than GDP, and noting bank managers' "laser-like focus" on improving returns. An average price-to-book ratio of 0.7x combined with a modest ROE of 12-13% suggests fair value more than double current prices.
    | Comment!
  • Apr. 24, 2013, 12:44 PM
    Stocks take more of a negative tone at midday, the DJIA (DIA) -0.3%, led by 5% declines in both AT&T and Procter & Gamble. Also notably in the red is the healthcare (XLV -1.2%) sector, but financials (XLF +0.5%), energy (XLE +1.4%), and materials (XLB +1.2%) are posting gains. The Nasdaq -0.4%, led by the aforementioned AT&T, Cisco, and Apple.
    | 1 Comment
  • Apr. 23, 2013, 10:27 AM
    Stocks continue higher, SPY +0.9% as Europe soars (FEZ +2%) following economic data (there, here, and in China) that on balance was pretty weak. Leading the gains in the states is the banking sector - XLF +1.3% - following a big upgrade for Bank of America (up 3%).
  • Apr. 18, 2013, 7:37 AM
    Coming alongside a rise in lender earnings are calls for tougher regulation, including even more stringent capital requirements. Bank profits have thrived the past few years even with all the new rules, but maybe at the expense of economic growth. "The government aimed a Stinger missile at the banking industry and missed and hit the consumer as well," says Dick Bove. The XLF has about matched the S&P's 120% rise since the March 2009 bottom.
    | 1 Comment
  • Apr. 15, 2013, 12:28 PM
    The Brown/Vitter bill being rolled out in Congress is essentially Armageddon to the TBTF banks, says Goldman, seeing it as mandating another $1.1T in equity for the banking system. Banks would need 12 years of earnings to build this amount organically, though the bill would give just 5 - say goodbye to lending. Break up the banks? BAC, C, JPM, and WFC all have multiple divisions with more than $400M in assets - the level at which the bill gets tough on lenders.
Visit Seeking Alpha's
XLF vs. ETF Alternatives
XLF Description
The Financial Select Sector SPDR® Fund, before expenses, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the Financial Select Sector Index. Our approach is designed to provide portfolios with low portfolio turnover, accurate tracking, and lower costs.
See more details on sponsor's website
Sector: Financial
Country: United States
Find the right ETFs for your portfolio: Visit Seeking Alpha's ETF Hub