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XLY

Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF

5/24/2013, 3:40 AM ET

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Monday, May 6, 7:27 AM The S&P 500 (SPY) is fairly valued, says Goldman, but opportunity lies in cyclicals (XLY, XLE, XLI, XLB) which are more undervalued vs. defensives (XLU, XLP, XLV, XTL) than at any time in the last 15 years. "Given the 4 P/E multiple point head start, even a slight valuation normalization should translate into outperformance of cyclicals over defensives during the next 12 months." 1 Comment
Friday, May 3, 8:00 AM "We don't want to sell in May and we continue to prefer cyclicals (XLY, XLI, XLB, XLE) ," says JPMorgan's Tom Lee, fully returned to his normal bullish stance. He notes client positioning is "dramatically different" from the heavily long stance of the last 3 years at this time. More, the downturn in gasoline prices could ad 50 bps to GDP in Q2, and the rally in high-yield suggests the economy is set to get stronger. 1 Comment
Monday, April 29, 7:23 AM Consumer spending watch: Gas prices are down 28% since February's peak and analysts see another 20% drop coming up in the next few months. A rough estimate of the impact of lower gas prices on consumer spending is that a dime drop translates into $13B back into the wallets of consumers. Companies that could see a boost from the trend include Wal-Mart (WMT), Target (TGT), and Costco (COST) - while ETFs such as Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY), Vanguard Consumer Discretionary (VCR), PowerShares Dynamic Consumer Discretionary (PEZ), and Market Vectors Retail (RTH) could also benefit. 3 Comments [Consumer, Quick Ideas]
Thursday, April 18, 3:14 PM The bear market in a gold is a signal China, emerging markets, and commodities (DBC) in general are through leading the markets, argues BAML, which reminds the peak for the metal occurred nearly 2 years ago. "In all scenarios, it's good for the U.S. dollar (UUP)." Looking back at 9 other sharp declines in gold since 1975, the team finds equities rally, led by consumer (XLP, XLY) and energy stocks (XLE) once the metal stabilizes. 1 Comment [Commodities, Global & FX]
Monday, April 8, 2:17 PM Moderate early losses are erased and stocks turn higher in afternoon trade, SPY +0.35%, QQQ +0.3%. Consumer goods stocks lead the way, the XLP +0.8%, the XLY +0.7%. 5 Comments
Wednesday, April 3, 3:02 PM The S&P and DJIA may have just hit new all-time highs, but the Health Care (XLV), Consumer Staples (XLP) and Discretionary (XLY) sectors left their records in the dust some time ago. Technology (XLK) and Financials (XLF) are the two biggest sectors and it could be years, if not decades before they put in new records. Comment!
Tuesday, March 19, 10:41 AM The market (SPY) is still a buy, says Investors Intelligence's Tarquin Coe, monitoring the "need vs. want" trade. The ratio between the consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) and the consumer staples ETF (XLP) remains in an uptrend, he notes, with a test of the 2007 peak in sight. 1 Comment
Friday, March 15, 2:53 PM Consumer wrapup: An improved jobs situation and a break upward in the value of houses seems to be trumping higher payroll taxes as consumers continue to spend more than some of the more dire forecasts for the first half of 2012 foreshadowed. By sector, Staples (XLP), Discretionary (XLY), and Retail (XRT) are all double-digit gainers for the year, while defensive-oriented plays (PG, CLX, CL, REV, GIS) have been busy tracking higher. A couple of retail powerhouses - Wal-Mart (WMT) and TJX Companies (TJX) - haven't joined the 2013 frivolity just yet and the department store group (M, SKS, DDS, JWN, KSS, JCP) has lagged. Comment! [Consumer, Quick Ideas]
Tuesday, March 12, 9:48 AM The trailing P/E ratio on the S&P 500 (SPY) has creeped up to 15.25 from just above 13 late last spring, writes Bespoke. There's nothing unusual about rising valuations during rallies, they say, but keep it on your radar. Contributing most of late to rising multiples have been Staples (XLP) and Discretionary (XLY), but dividend favorites Telecoms (XTL) and Utilities (XLU) continue to trade at nosebleed (for them) valuations. 3 Comments
Friday, March 8, 2:59 PM A check of sector performance YTD finds financials (XLF), consumer discretionary (XLY), healthcare (XLV), consumer staples (XLP), energy (XLE), and industrials (XLI) all ahead of SPY's 9% gain. Utilities (XLU) are lagging just a bit, but the biggest drag is tech (XLK), up 4.9%. Not bad considering Apple's 19% decline. Comment!
Tuesday, March 5, 3:36 PM Retailers worried about delayed tax refunds won't have to wait too much longer as 85% of Americans expect to get a refund, according to Capital One, with 35% of those planning to spend all or part of it - roughly inline with previous years. Tax hikes: 42% are aware of their shrinking paycheck this year, but 30% had no idea. Comment! [U.S. Economy]
Thursday, February 28, 9:28 AM Daily ETF flows show a lot of action in the SPDR Retail ETF (XRT), which added 8.6% to AUM amid a lot of news and movement in the sector yesterday. The VXX - which saw a big run-up in price and interest over the past week - saw assets flee (-15.6%) as stocks rebounded and volatility dropped. 1 Comment
Friday, February 15, 2:41 PM The XLP, XRT, and XLY all give up gains and turn lower following Wal-Mart sounding the warning over the effects of the payroll tax hike. It's fascinating that it took markets until just now to react to what was crystal clear 6 weeks ago. 2 Comments [Consumer, On the Move]
Thursday, February 7, 9:14 AM Retail ETFs (XRT, XLY, PMR, RTH) suddenly look a bit more attractive with a rush of department stores reporting stronger-than-expected January same-store sales. Though part of the gains were from a calendar effect and pent-up demand due to the fiscal cliff drama, in the larger context key firms (JWN, M, URBN) are proving that their omni-channel approach to sales through seamlessly tying in mobile devices to web and brick-and-mortar strategy is working. Comment! [Consumer, Quick Ideas]
Wednesday, February 6, 11:18 AM The divergence in the performance between junk bonds (HYG, JNK) and the S&P (SPY) is a yellow light to stock bulls, says technician Jon Krinksy, as the move resembles those just ahead of previous big selloffs. Another sign: Relative strength might be shifting to Consumer Staples (XLP) from Discretionary (XLY). Are investors bracing for a pullback? 1 Comment
Wednesday, January 30, 9:11 AM Quick question: What's the biggest holding in the SPDR Retail ETF (XRT)? It's Netflix, with 1.68% of assets. Money poured into the XRT yesterday, with the fund growing AUM by 31.25% (Amazon is a 1.07% holding). The Transports (IYT) saw a big inflow, growing AUM by 17.9%. Losing funds was the SPDR Oil & Gas Explorers (XOP), down 15%. Comment!

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