Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)
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- Paulson Finally Doing the Right Thing
- 95 Stocks with Low Debt to Equity
- Comparing This Past Week to the '87 Crash
- Exxon Mobil Appears at Lower End of Valuation Range
- Oil Industry: Farewell, Good Old Days
- Bargain Buys For Patient Investors - Barron's
- Hunting Season in Blue Chip Territory
- Stop the Week, We Want to Get Off
- Ten Texas Stocks
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Blackman
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
Cara;You and all the other analysts I've heard labeling this an excellent or 'once in a generational time' to buy may be right. But given the trend we are in there is a greater chance you and they are wrong. (Trends reverse when a force greater than what is pushing them down exerts an upward force). Such major trend reversals do not happen often especially considering that the bailout attempts are now having a diminishing effect (see tradesystemguru.com/co... ). Our debt situation ( tradesystemguru.com/co... ) doesn't help.... Reply
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
I think a lot of these stocks are good picks, but I think Apple (AAPL) should be added to tech stocks.The price may have dropped quite a bit from its high, but Apple still has a long way to go in gaining market share in computer sales, which is their most profitable product type. Also, they will continue to innovate. Apple is really a great all around company that you can buy for relatively cheap now. Reply
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
John PseudonymI think there are a lot of people who will be choking on their optimism in a few days... Or I'd like to know what's in that glass their drinking... :-)
Asia is tanking, even after the bailout and fingers are pointing now at Congress for screwing things up. A $700 billion bailout that didn't even get an up tick.
Soup lines... I don't know what it's like where you are, but I've already heard of suicides that are believed to be related to these financial problems in the United States and overseas.
Anyhow, I do think energy stocks are the best bet of the group since many are involved in alternatives and hybrid sources... But all of them long, as this may turn out to be a decade or more correction. (sorry those of you in the instant gratification generation -- how we got here in the first place).
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Pseudonym
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
All better in March 2009?You are way overly optimistic.
This will take much longer to correct itself and if the politicians keep trying to stop the decline and speed up the recovery we are all going to end up in soup lines.
Reply
r
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
I just set up a pseudonym because I tired of being User X. In this discussion I posted above as User 210417.Ames, I actually think you and Bill Cara are both correct partially!! I think this is a bottoming cycle but the bottom ain't gonna be pretty -- maybe six months of wicked downs and ups that will pretty much keep the ETF investors thoroughly whipped out. 1975 this is NOT. The best one can do is buy companies whose earnings are not entirely driven by the economy, like selective drugs/healthcare. Again, very company specific. Indiscriminate buying or shorting will result in whiplash. Perhaps dividend plays make sense here -- stable companies only with little economic downside. Reply
Tiedeman
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
All of these names are going lower. The DOW is going under 9,000. Reply36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
I share your view regarding most of these. I disagree, however, with your call regarding QCOM. Rather than bank on the mobile chipsets, I'd rather play the terrestrial and mobile backhaul/edge network angle via AKAM. Akamai moves 1/5th of the planet's daily internet traffic--despite continued competition in this space, it's exceedingly undervalued. Reply36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
Good information Bill. You acknowledge the poor factory orders and unemployment, but you don't explain how those numbers factor into your forecast. Please post.Thanks Reply
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
Oops... That should be User 210417... Odd... User 189281's post disappeared... Reply36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
User 189281: Maybe they're thinking Matt and Meridith on the Today show will pull them through... LOL :-) I see your point - NBC network is tanking in the ratings, so their advertising income must be tanking too.It is really sad... It seems like so many good companies actually diversified themselves into this mess! I think a lot of them were fooled, just like the public. Reply
r
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
I agree with you, but...I think GE is probably not the most imaginative pick. Why pick a stock for it's industrial nature whose earnings in the past have come mostly from the finance arm? Also it is composed of heavily healthcare and entertainment. Doesn't make sense. Maybe TEL makes more sense as an industrial conglomerate.
Reply
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
User 189281:It is what I call the "Madison Avenue" aspect to our economy... Demand and value creation in the markets run amok. As I read yesterday, the "Pet Rock" concept... It's worth it because you are made to believe it's worth it.
For the past 20 years our economy has run from bubble to bubble created by marketing and advertising firms (I blame them just as much as Wall Street), but now the world is hitting a brick wall.
I don't think any amount of Hype in the media, bloggers, or even the latest CNBC's savior (GE) What Would Buffett Do? push consumers and investors into this farce anymore.
When the market gets down to value (one suggested DOW 5,000 ... I think 6,000 or 7,000 is more realistic), only then will investors be drawn back into the market as it won't be built on hype and marketing/media games.
Currently, I feel the risk is to the downside and big time... Reply
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
I have the highest respect for Bill's analysis, yet also respect the possibility for DEBT DEFLATION on an unprecedented scale. Presumably, as many corporations have limited access to credit they will need to either offer debt at unreasonable cost, issue more equity, or sell assets. Yes, we have extremely oversold conditions, but still, the number of bullish/opportunity articles this weekend is staggering. The risk is BINARY, with both upside and downside potential, IMO. ReplySwift
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
Possibly useful suggestions, but very pompous and self-centered commentary... including those comments above from sycophants.Does anyone follow the profit/loss history of these blog commentaries?
I'd like to see the performance record of the above recommendations in about a year. Reply
36 Opportunities for the Beginning of the Bull [view article]
"This week, despite the loss of ten percent of equity in the average portfolio in the span of five days, I wish to reiterate my belief that equity markets are in a cycle bottoming phase and that a new Bull cycle has commenced." What planet are you on? Easy credit was so five years ago. We will have a new bull cycle when you stop posting this nonsense and the DJ30 gets to 5000. Reply