Tue, Apr. 14, 12:58 PM
- Canadian Oil Sands (OTCQX:COSWF +5.5%), the company with the largest stake in oil sands miner Syncrude Canada, is a prime takeover target and its most likely suitor is Imperial Oil (IMO +1.9%), the company with the second-largest stake, says FirstEnergy Capital analyst Michael Dunn.
- The analyst says his report is partly based on recent investor meetings with senior IMO execs who believe now is a good time to consider making acquisitions.
- Dunn thinks IMO would not want to pay more than a price in the low teens for COSWF, so its stock would have to fall further to make a bid attractive, and he suggests the company would not want to take on excessive debt - which could mean an equity-based offer, help from its controlling shareholder, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), or enrolling a current Syncrude partner such as Suncor (NYSE:SU).
Mon, Mar. 30, 3:58 PM
- Exxon Mobil (XOM +2.4%) says it began production at its Hadrian South gas development in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico with facilities tied back to the nearby Lucius project, reducing additional infrastructure requirements.
- XOM expects daily gross production from Hadrian South, its deepest subsea tie-back in nearly a mile and a half of water, to reach ~300M cf of gas and 3K barrels of liquids from two wells.
- Hadrian South is a subsea production system with flowlines connected to the Anadarko-operated Lucius truss spar, which started production in January.
- With the startup of Hadrian South and Lucius, XOM's total Gulf of Mexico net production capacity has increased by more than 45K boe/day.
- XOM holds a 46.7% interest in Hadrian South, with partners Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) at 23.3% and Eni (NYSE:E) holding a 30% stake; XOM owns a 23.3% interest in Lucius.
Fri, Mar. 13, 3:58 PM
- Whiting Petroleum (WLL +3.1%) spikes on a Bloomberg report suggesting Exxon Mobil (XOM -0.2%) could be interested in the company; trading is now halted for volatility.
- Continental Resources (CLR -4.8%), Hess (HES +0.4%) and Statoil (STO +1.4%) also are reportedly looking at WLL, according to the report, and WLL has set up a data room for potential buyers to evaluate the company’s financial information and asked them to submit bids next week.
- WLL is the largest producer in North Dakota’s Bakken Shale, and the four rumored suitors already are among the 10 largest holders of acreage in the play.
- WLL had been down all day on an earlier report that it was considering selling off pieces rather than the whole company.
Mon, Mar. 9, 3:35 PM
- Analysts are mostly positive on Whiting Petroleum (WLL +10.8%) after WSJ's report that the company is looking to sell itself, particularly seeking out Statoil (STO -1.7%) to make a bid.
- WLL is a prime takeover candidate, given its attempt to sell itself in 2012, BofA Merrill says as it maintains its Buy rating and $45 price target, adding that the scale of WLL's assets has increased significantly because of its Kodiak acquisition and could attract large energy companies with strong balance sheets such as Exxon (NYSE:XOM), Chevron (NYSE:CVX) and Hess (NYSE:HES).
- WLL could get a strong price because of its rich assets in the Bakken Shale; on the other hand, investors have become particularly concerned about E&P companies that are heavily focused on a single region, as WLL is in the Bakken.
- UBS analyst Betty Jiang points out some hurdles to a potential deal, including a wide price differential between buyers and sellers, and potential acquirers' apparent preference for buying land in areas that are cheaper than the Bakken.
Wed, Feb. 18, 1:22 PM| 9 Comments
Thu, Feb. 12, 2:14 PM
- If Exxon Mobil (XOM +1.6%) decides to go hunting for struggling energy peers with shrinking cash flow - as it did five years ago when it acquired XTO Resources for $25B, during an energy rout worse than today's - it would need to go big or not go at all in order to meaningfully boost its oil and gas reserves, WSJ writes as it discusses BP (BP +2.1%) as a potential takeover target.
- BP “is the obvious fit says Wolfe Research's Paul Sankey; buying BP, which is still dealing with the fallout of the 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill, “would close out a damaged brand at a terrific price” and bolster XOM’s capacity to find new sources of oil and gas, he says.
- Other potentially attractive targets singled out by analysts include a smaller tier of companies such as Anadarko (APC +1.9%) and BG Group (OTCPK:BRGXF, OTCQX:BRGYY), which have discovered huge deposits of oil and gas but may lack the cash flow to develop them quickly.
Fri, Jan. 30, 11:39 AM
- Chevron (CVX -2.9%) turns sharply lower after saying during its earnings conference call that it is suspending its share buyback program for 2015 given the change in market conditions.
- The company also says it is reviewing staff levels around the world.
- Other oil majors also turn lower: XOM -1%, COP -1.7%, BP -0.9%, RDS.A -2.1%.
Thu, Jan. 29, 1:47 PM
- France's Total (TOT +1.5%) is one of the day's few energy gainers after the surprise announcement of a new deal to operate some of the Persian Gulf's largest onshore oil fields in the United Arab Emirates.
- TOT is taking a 10% stake for 40 years in a joint venture with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to extract crude in the 15 main fields in the UAE with a total output of 1.6M bbl/day.
- Four oil majors - TOT, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A, RDS.B) and BP - had each held 9.5% equity stakes in the ADCO concession since the 1970s.
- Concessions for international oil companies to produce on in the Persian Gulf Arab states such as the UAE are rare and highly prized due to the size of reserves and low production costs.
Mon, Jan. 5, 2:44 PM
- Chevron (CVX -3.8%) is downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup after outperforming big oil peers in the past three months in a reflection of the resilience of CVX's balance sheet.
- Citi revises its earnings forecasts to reflect lower oil prices, and says the stock now offers little upside in absolute and relative terms, "certainly when balanced against a portfolio that still carries uncertainties around both execution and reinvestment."
- The firm also downgrades Eni (E -8.6%) and Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY -5.8%), whose business models and valuations will look more challenged in a lower oil environment, but prefers companies it says boast strong growth credentials, such as BG (OTCPK:BRGXF), Total (NYSE:TOT) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP); it keeps Exxon (XOM -2.6%) at Neutral, thinking share buybacks likely will be dialed down to preserve the balance sheet for a prolonged period of lower prices or eventual acquisitions.
Mon, Jan. 5, 12:18 PM
- Energy stocks severely underperform the broader market, with the sector -4.2% vs. the S&P 500's -1.4%, as U.S. oil prices briefly slip below $50/bbl for the first time since April 2009; Nymex crude recently was -4.4% at $50.37, while Brent crude -5.9% at $53.08.
- Among the day's biggest losers: DNR -9%, RIG -7.6%, NBR -4.8%, CHK -5.9%, SDRL -9.1%, SD -12.3%, NOV -5.9%, PSX -6.2%, APA -5.9%, DVN -4.4%, EOG -6%, SU -5.2%, OXY -4.2%, APC -8.7%, PWE -9%, ECA -5.5%, MRO -5.3%.
- Global oil majors, which have been seen as less vulnerable to falling oil prices, are posting big losses: XOM -2.7%, COP -4.5%, CVX -3.8%, BP -5.8%, RDS.A -4.6%, TOT -6.5%.
- ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UCO, ERX, VDE, OIH, SCO, XOP, ERY, FCG, DIG, PBW, BNO, GASL, DTO, DBO, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, QCLN, IEZ, UWTI, PXE, USL, PXI, FENY, DWTI, PXJ, DNO, PSCE, RYE, SZO, PUW, FXN, OLO, DDG, HECO, TWTI, OLEM
Dec. 22, 2014, 10:45 AM
- Natural gas prices fall 9.5% to near two-year lows at $3.133/mmBtu, in the biggest one-day percentage loss since February and the lowest intraday price since January 2013, on mild weather forecasts and inventory that is above year-ago levels.
- Prices are now down more than 15% in three straight losing sessions and are 30% lower than the six-month high closing price of $4.489/mmBtu it hit just a month ago.
- Weather has been unseasonably warm for December, limiting demand for home heating and allowing relatively low stockpiles to catch up to where they were a year ago and encouraging traders to sell based on the belief that supply is relatively healthy.
- Gas producers are among the biggest early decliners: XOM -1.1%, CHK -7.3%, APC -2.6%, SWN -6%, DVN -2.2%, COP -2.3%, BP -1.5%, COG -4%, BHP -1.9%, CVX -1.3%, ECA -5.1%, EQT -4.3%, RDS.A -1.7%, UPL -12%, WPX -6.9%, EOG -1%, OXY -1.1%, RRC -6.1%, APA -2.3%, AR -3.2%, CNX -3%, QEP -4.8%, LINE -4.9%, NBL -1.6%, SM -2.6%, XEC -4.2%, PXD -2.9%, NFX -5.1%.
- ETFs: UNG, DGAZ, UGAZ, BOIL, GAZ, FCG, GASL, KOLD, UNL, NAGS, DCNG
Dec. 17, 2014, 10:56 AM
- Ivory Coast's government says it has signed production sharing agreements with Exxon Mobil (XOM +3.2%) for two ultra-deepwater blocks in the Gulf of Guinea.
- The deal covers Ivory Coast's CI-602 and CI-603 blocks, which cover 3,874 sq. km and 5,543 sq. km respectively and vary in depth from 3K-4K meters.
- Ivory Coast is seeking investors for seven new ultra-deepwater blocks.
Dec. 16, 2014, 11:44 AM
- Exxon Mobil (XOM +2.1%), Suncor Energy (SU +6.9%) and ConocoPhillips (COP +4.8%) combine to offer $559M for exploration rights in the deepwater Flemish Pass, the largest-ever bid for a license in Canada’s Newfoundland and Labrador province.
- The region is where Statoil last year announced the huge Bay du Nord find, which is estimated to contain up to 600M barrels of light, sweet crude.
Dec. 10, 2014, 12:58 PM
- Energy stocks are slammed across the board as oil prices take another nosedive (I, II), with the losses heaviest on shares of small, U.S.-based oil and gas producers.
- “Financial leverage is being thrown out the window, and everything else is being purged as well,” says Simmons analyst Bill Herbert, who adds that cuts to production budgets in the coming year likely will mean more pain for oil service companies.
- Among the hardest-hit shares: TPLM -15.2%, CRK -12.4%, GDP -11.9%, NOG -9.5%, AREX -8.6%.
- Investors have been less quick to dump shares of integrated oil companies, but today they have been smacked too: XOM -2.8%, CVX -2.9%, COP -2.3%, BP -2%, RDS.A -2.2%, TOT -2.3%.
- Today's worst performers on the S&P 500 include OKE -8.2%, DNR -7.4%, NE -5.6%.
- Service companies also are down: SLB -2.6%, HAL -2.7%, WFT -6.6%, BHI -2%.
- ETFs: XLE, ERX, VDE, OIH, ERY, DIG, DUG, IYE, XES, IEZ, PXI, FENY, PXJ, RYE, FXN, DDG
Dec. 8, 2014, 12:30 PM
- M&A likely will become a bigger theme in the energy exploration and production sector in 2015, and Exxon Mobil (XOM -2%) is among companies rumored to be headed for a deal.
- XOM is said to be interested in BG Group (OTCPK:BRGXF, OTCQX:BRGYY); with XOM's long-term growth plans in Russia at risk in today’s environment, the company could use some new, exciting opportunities, and BG’s Brazilian assets or an E&P company’s U.S. shale prospects would fit the bill, WSJ's Liam Denning says.
- XOM may be spooked by its 2010 deal for XTO Energy, which helped cut its annual return on capital employed to 18% last year from 34% in 2008; BG's return on capital last year was ~10%.
- With XTO’s legacy still apparent, Denning says XOM needs a clear bargain price to sell a strategic deal to investors but the dismal outlook for oil prices could make it easier to do as next year unfolds.
- Earlier: Low price oil could lead to big mergers
Dec. 3, 2014, 11:32 AM
- The energy sector (XLE +1.5%) continues its momentum from yesterday, leading the way again as the best performing sector in early trading with crude oil rising 1.2% so far today and reports that U.S. well permits fell 40% last month.
- Top performers include Clayton Williams (CWEI +7.7%), Transocean Partners (RIGP +10.6%), Gaslog (GLOG +13.8%) and Energy XXI (EXXI +15.7%).
- Other leading energy names are showing stronger recoveries as they clear last Friday's bearish gap zone: XOM +0.2%, CVX +0.4%, COP +2.5%, OXY +2.5%, DVN +2.9%, EOG +2.5%, HES +2.2%, MUR +1.5%, NBL +2.3%, PXD +4.2%, SU +3%, CNQ +1.9%.
- Some analysts warn that the worst may not be over, however, as much of the advance is being driven by investors repurchasing ETFs they used to make short bets; investors also could opt to sell oil shares at a loss in coming weeks to reduce tax burdens.
XOM vs. ETF Alternatives
Exxon Mobil Corporation is engaged in energy, involving exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas, manufacture of petroleum products and transportation and sale of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products.
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